Yunior Severino — OGILVIE

Yunior Severino1B St. Paul Saints

Age 26 S/R 6'0" / 189 lbs AAA BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .278 / .358

PA170

HR6

K%37

BB%8

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

25→25

PWR

45→45

SPD

45→45

EYE

52→52

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.2peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.2M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-10M		$-21M	-$12M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	17	ROK	GCL Braves	252	235	42	12	2	2	15	97	2	0	1	.179	.234	.272	.506	.094	.294	38	6	.224	30	-20	-0	+0	-4	+7	-1.8
2018	18	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	218	205	41	6	0	6	10	74	1	0	1	.200	.241	.317	.558	.117	.276	34	5	.241	43	-14	-0	+0	-4	+6	-1.2
2019	19	A	2 teams	108	102	19	6	1	1	5	44	0	0	0	.186	.224	.294	.518	.108	.310	41	5	.213	21	-10	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.9
2021	21	A	2 teams	425	379	81	23	2	7	36	172	7	3	0	.214	.294	.340	.634	.127	.365	40	8	.277	70	-14	+1	+0	-8	+12	-0.9
2022	22	A+	2 teams	351	313	73	14	2	16	28	119	7	0	1	.233	.310	.444	.754	.211	.315	34	8	.318	102	+1	-0	+0	-6	+10	0.4
2023	23	AA	3 teams	561	508	110	15	3	26	38	233	12	3	4	.217	.287	.411	.698	.195	.333	42	7	.294	83	-11	-1	+0	-10	+16	-0.6
2024	24	AAA	St. Paul Saints	565	510	111	18	2	17	46	186	2	4	0	.218	.285	.361	.646	.143	.299	33	8	.282	74	-17	+1	+0	-10	+16	-1.0
2025	25	AAA	2 teams	155	135	23	8	0	1	19	67	0	1	0	.170	.273	.252	.525	.081	.324	43	12	.249	49	-9	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.7
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	MIN	170	153	33	6	1	6	14	63	1	1	0	.216	.286	.386	.671	.170	.304	37	8	.287	77	-4	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB 25%	MIN	262	236	50	9	1	9	22	93	2	2	1	.212	.285	.373	.657	.161	.302	35	8	.290	80	-6	+0	+0	-5	+7	-0.3
2028	28	MLB 37%	MIN	314	282	60	11	1	10	27	109	2	2	0	.213	.286	.365	.651	.152	.301	35	9	.292	82	-7	+0	-1	-6	+9	-0.4
2029	29	MLB 47%	MIN	335	301	64	11	1	11	29	115	2	1	0	.213	.286	.365	.652	.153	.300	34	9	.291	81	-7	+0	-1	-6	+9	-0.5
2030	30	MLB 55%	MIN	350	314	66	12	1	11	30	120	3	1	0	.210	.285	.360	.645	.150	.298	34	9	.289	79	-8	+0	-2	-6	+10	-0.7
2031	31	MLB 66%	MIN	341	306	63	11	1	10	30	119	2	0	0	.206	.281	.346	.627	.141	.297	35	9	.285	77	-9	+0	-3	-6	+10	-0.8
2032	32	MLB 83%	MIN	325	292	60	11	1	9	28	115	2	0	0	.205	.280	.342	.622	.137	.295	35	9	.281	73	-10	+0	-4	-6	+9	-1.0
2033	33	MLB	MIN	298	268	53	9	1	8	26	107	2	0	0	.198	.274	.328	.602	.131	.293	36	9	.275	69	-11	+0	-4	-5	+8	-1.2
2034	34	MLB	MIN	256	230	46	8	1	7	22	94	2	0	0	.200	.276	.335	.610	.135	.291	37	9	.269	64	-11	+0	-5	-5	+7	-1.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5286	4769	995	190	21	157	425	1927	49	18	8	.209	.280	.356	.636	.147	.308	36	8	.280	72	-166	+0	-20	-94	+150	-13.2
/ 162G	—			650	586	122	23	3	19	52	237	6	2	1	.208	.279	.355	.634	.147	.308	36	8	.280	72	-20	+0	-2	-12	+18	-1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	17	ROK	GCL Braves	252	226	61	19	3	3	24	67	2	0	1	.270	.345	.420	.766	.150	.372	27	10	.342	120	+6	-0	—	—	+7	1.3
2018	18	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	218	198	52	8	0	8	17	52	1	0	1	.263	.324	.424	.748	.162	.314	24	8	.331	111	+3	-0	—	—	+6	0.9
2019	19	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	86	78	19	7	0	0	7	27	0	0	0	.244	.306	.333	.639	.090	.365	31	8	.288	78	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2019	19	ROK	GCL Twins	22	22	5	1	1	1	0	6	0	0	0	.227	.227	.500	.727	.273	.267	27	0	.309	94	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2021	21	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	157	134	43	12	1	3	20	50	2	1	0	.321	.417	.493	.909	.172	.488	32	13	.402	166	+12	+0	—	—	+4	1.7
2021	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	268	229	56	17	1	5	32	75	5	2	0	.245	.350	.393	.743	.148	.338	28	12	.335	114	+4	+0	—	—	+8	1.3
2022	22	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	160	143	39	8	0	8	14	48	1	0	1	.273	.342	.497	.838	.224	.348	30	9	.364	137	+7	-0	—	—	+5	1.1
2022	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	191	159	45	9	2	11	25	43	6	0	0	.283	.400	.572	.972	.289	.321	23	13	.421	180	+17	+0	—	—	+5	2.3
2023	23	AAA	St. Paul Saints	153	133	31	2	1	11	15	56	3	0	0	.233	.325	.511	.836	.278	.294	37	10	.360	134	+6	+0	—	—	+4	1.0
2023	23	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	375	334	96	15	2	24	36	117	5	3	4	.287	.365	.560	.925	.272	.373	31	10	.403	166	+28	-1	—	—	+11	3.8
2023	23	INTL	Tigres del Licey	33	22	3	0	0	0	6	5	4	0	0	.136	.406	.136	.543	.000	.167	15	18	.298	86	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	24	AAA	St. Paul Saints	565	489	124	21	2	21	67	154	2	4	0	.254	.346	.434	.779	.180	.321	27	12	.344	122	+14	+1	—	—	+16	3.1
2025	25	AAA	St. Paul Saints	125	102	20	7	0	2	23	44	0	1	0	.196	.344	.324	.668	.127	.321	35	18	.313	98	-0	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2025	25	INTL	Tigres del Licey	30	26	5	1	0	1	3	9	0	0	0	.192	.276	.346	.622	.154	.235	30	10	.272	67	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yunior Severino (OGILVIE)	26	25	45	45	52	.206/.278/.358	.152	.304	6	1	37%	8%	77	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gabe Matthews 2023 · AAA	25	37→41	48→50	47→40	41	.188/.271/.327	.138	.287	15	5	38%	8%	66	-0.6	.206/.299/.338	.132	.309	15	5	35%	9%	82	+0.5	.200/.311/.326	.126	.298	15	2	34%	11%	81	+0.3
✕Darick Hall 2021 · AA	26	39→38	50→55	48→40	40	.204/.275/.359	.154	.271	18	5	31%	6%	76	+0.1	.216/.279/.389	.173	.268	21	4	27%	7%	85	+0.7	.219/.280/.401	.183	.261	25	2	27%	7%	87	+0.6
✕Nick Podkul 2023 · AAA	26	40	46→50	49→50	45	.202/.285/.330	.128	.282	15	9	32%	9%	72	-0.2	.215/.302/.373	.158	.297	19	5	32%	9%	92	+1.2	.211/.305/.392	.181	.283	23	1	32%	10%	92	+0.5
✕Logan Hill 2019 · AA	26	39→40	50	41→45	39	.205/.267/.356	.151	.290	19	5	35%	6%	72	-0.2	.209/.270/.357	.148	.300	18	4	35%	7%	73	-0.1	.198/.259/.343	.145	.279	17	1	34%	6%	62	-0.8
✕Jacob Heyward 2022 · AA	26	38→40	50	42→50	44	.192/.286/.345	.153	.293	18	8	38%	10%	78	+0.2	.193/.266/.328	.135	.309	17	5	40%	8%	64	-0.8	.160/.236/.267	.107	.265	15	1	43%	8%	34	-1.7
✕Davis Wendzel 2023 · AAA	26	35→28	49→50	43→40	41	.191/.255/.331	.140	.253	18	5	32%	7%	60	-1.0	.195/.273/.341	.146	.245	19	5	28%	8%	71	-0.3	.191/.275/.335	.144	.229	19	4	26%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Travis Taijeron 2015 · AA	26	41	52→55	42→40	41	.209/.283/.383	.174	.298	20	3	35%	8%	85	+0.7	.201/.286/.358	.157	.314	17	3	38%	9%	81	+0.4	.187/.280/.336	.150	.298	16	2	40%	9%	70	-0.3
✕Josh Ockimey 2022 · AAA	26	38→46	51→50	43→30	48	.196/.291/.355	.159	.286	20	3	37%	11%	82	+0.5	.203/.290/.349	.146	.301	17	5	35%	11%	79	+0.3	.184/.281/.333	.150	.264	17	3	35%	11%	69	-0.4
✕Kiel Roling 2013 · AA	26	38→36	51→55	42→30	36	.204/.251/.356	.152	.286	20	3	36%	6%	65	-0.7	.213/.262/.374	.161	.285	20	4	32%	6%	74	-0.1	.200/.251/.369	.169	.254	22	0	30%	6%	67	-0.4
✕Matt Skole 2015 · AA	26	41→39	48→50	49→40	47	.207/.287/.349	.142	.287	17	6	32%	10%	78	+0.2	.202/.270/.346	.144	.260	18	3	29%	8%	70	-0.3	.192/.259/.346	.154	.234	21	2	28%	8%	63	-0.6
✕David Washington 2017 · AAA	26	39→37	52→55	40→45	38	.196/.262/.361	.165	.317	21	5	43%	8%	71	-0.3	.219/.271/.391	.172	.352	22	8	42%	7%	82	+0.5	.221/.262/.402	.181	.344	25	9	42%	5%	76	+0.1
✕Jason Cooper 2007 · AAA	26	40→39	50→55	44→45	40	.208/.265/.364	.157	.282	18	6	33%	6%	72	-0.2	.214/.279/.366	.152	.276	14	8	26%	7%	79	+0.3	.217/.291/.379	.162	.266	13	7	23%	8%	86	+0.5
✕J.J. Matijevic 2022 · AAA	26	39→41	53→55	52→50	39	.204/.265/.374	.170	.305	21	9	39%	8%	76	+0.0	.217/.279/.391	.174	.301	21	11	33%	7%	85	+0.7	.211/.275/.382	.171	.285	20	12	32%	7%	78	+0.2
✕Tyler Dearden 2023 · AA	25	44→34	51→50	41→30	43	.220/.297/.376	.156	.320	20	3	36%	9%	89	+1.0	.227/.291/.340	.113	.330	11	3	32%	7%	76	+0.1	.227/.286/.320	.093	.324	8	2	30%	6%	66	-0.2
✕Tyreque Reed 2022 · AA	25	42→35	53→55	43→40	42	.216/.288/.382	.166	.303	21	5	35%	8%	87	+0.8	.210/.276/.352	.142	.334	17	6	40%	7%	74	-0.1	.163/.226/.275	.112	.273	15	0	44%	7%	29	-1.0
✕Michael Toglia 2023 · MLB	24	37	53→55	48→45	41	.199/.268/.368	.169	.289	21	8	38%	8%	75	-0.0	.199/.274/.372	.173	.274	22	7	34%	9%	79	+0.3	.194/.273/.372	.177	.259	24	6	34%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Evan Edwards 2023 · AA	26	39	55	49→50	43	.198/.288/.373	.175	.321	24	9	43%	10%	85	+0.7	.206/.283/.361	.155	.333	19	14	41%	9%	80	+0.4	.185/.261/.325	.140	.297	17	15	41%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Nellie Rodriguez 2019 · AAA	25	36→40	49→50	46→30	37	.184/.252/.328	.145	.309	18	2	44%	8%	58	-1.2	.190/.249/.334	.144	.335	18	4	46%	7%	58	-1.2	.154/.214/.297	.144	.268	20	0	49%	7%	33	-1.5
✕Logan Davidson 2023 · AA	25	39→45	46→50	45	41	.196/.262/.318	.122	.298	14	5	38%	8%	59	-1.1	.214/.277/.341	.127	.323	14	8	36%	7%	72	-0.2	.212/.282/.336	.124	.323	13	8	36%	8%	69	-0.3
✕Peyton Burdick 2023 · MLB	26	36→33	52→55	50	44	.192/.280/.359	.167	.275	20	12	36%	9%	79	+0.3	.185/.266/.345	.160	.294	20	12	41%	8%	69	-0.4	.162/.246/.317	.156	.267	21	12	45%	8%	51	-1.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)