Zach Walters
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | AAACLE | 379 | .249/.314/.416 | 10 | 3 | 60 | — | .210/.252/.334 | |
| 2015 | 25 | MLBCleveland Ind… | 30 | .133/.133/.133 | 0 | 0 | -32 | -1.0 | ||
| 2016 | 26 | AAAOklahoma City… | 366 | .276/.331/.444 | 10 | 3 | 63 | — | .219/.258/.348 | |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 144 | .199/.238/.265 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | .152/.182/.203 | |
| 2018 | 28 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 21 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 126 | 116 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 293 | 339 | 371 | 709 | 78 | 405 | 26 | 6 | 315 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 412 | 361 | 109 | 27 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 96 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 302 | 379 | 485 | 864 | 183 | 386 | 23 | 10 | 377 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 91 | 83 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 258 | 301 | 560 | 96 | 254 | 23 | 4 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 105 | 98 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 260 | 286 | 545 | 71 | 290 | 27 | 6 | 247 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 172 | 164 | 48 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 293 | 326 | 518 | 844 | 226 | 350 | 22 | 5 | 367 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 207 | 193 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 269 | 309 | 399 | 708 | 130 | 318 | 21 | 5 | 311 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | INTL | Leones de Ponce | — | 138 | 122 | 31 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 254 | 316 | 336 | 652 | 82 | 330 | 22 | 7 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 521 | 487 | 123 | 32 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 134 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 253 | 289 | 517 | 807 | 265 | 285 | 26 | 4 | 343 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 56 | 50 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 240 | 321 | 440 | 761 | 200 | 321 | 34 | 11 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 137 | 127 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 9 | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 181 | 241 | 441 | 682 | 260 | 188 | 35 | 7 | 297 | 87 | -2 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +3 | -0.6 |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 292 | 268 | 83 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 67 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 310 | 362 | 619 | 981 | 310 | 357 | 23 | 7 | 419 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 30 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 133 | 133 | 267 | 267 | 50 | 0 | 121 | -32 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +1 | -1.0 | |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 379 | 341 | 85 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 79 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 249 | 314 | 416 | 730 | 167 | 292 | 21 | 8 | 320 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 366 | 333 | 92 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 63 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 276 | 331 | 444 | 775 | 168 | 309 | 17 | 7 | 338 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 48 | 46 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 208 | 239 | 447 | 65 | 250 | 29 | 2 | 204 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 96 | 90 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 211 | 253 | 278 | 530 | 67 | 261 | 22 | 5 | 240 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 167 | 157 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 9 | 63 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 222 | 382 | 604 | 210 | 202 | 38 | 5 | 266 | 66 | -7 | +0 | -3 | -9 | +4 | -1.5 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 21 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 126 | 119 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 48 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 218 | 250 | 277 | 527 | 59 | 352 | 38 | 4 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 412 | 374 | 89 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 133 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 238 | 298 | 369 | 667 | 131 | 338 | 32 | 7 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 105 | 100 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 212 | 240 | 452 | 60 | 271 | 33 | 4 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 172 | 167 | 46 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 275 | 297 | 473 | 770 | 198 | 344 | 27 | 3 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 207 | 197 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 62 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 203 | 230 | 305 | 535 | 102 | 255 | 30 | 3 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 521 | 493 | 109 | 26 | 4 | 27 | 14 | 164 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 221 | 250 | 454 | 704 | 233 | 261 | 31 | 3 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 137 | 127 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 9 | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 181 | 241 | 441 | 682 | 260 | 188 | 35 | 7 | 297 | 87 | -2 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +3 | -0.6 |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 292 | 274 | 70 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 79 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 255 | 297 | 507 | 804 | 252 | 300 | 27 | 5 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 30 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 133 | 133 | 267 | 267 | 50 | 0 | 120 | -32 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +1 | -1.0 | |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 379 | 353 | 74 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 94 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 210 | 252 | 334 | 586 | 125 | 254 | 25 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 366 | 342 | 75 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 83 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 219 | 258 | 348 | 606 | 129 | 255 | 23 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 48 | 46 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 167 | 174 | 341 | 43 | 213 | 35 | 2 | 155 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 96 | 92 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 163 | 189 | 217 | 407 | 54 | 209 | 27 | 3 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 629 | 574 | 135 | 29 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 212 | 5 | 19 | 11 | 235 | 291 | 354 | 644 | 118 | 351 | 34 | 6 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 629 | 560 | 160 | 39 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 150 | 5 | 19 | 11 | 286 | 354 | 434 | 788 | 148 | 369 | 24 | 9 | 346 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 622 | 592 | 132 | 24 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 183 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 223 | 250 | 345 | 594 | 122 | 298 | 29 | 3 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ RAW | 4 teams | — | 622 | 577 | 152 | 33 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 140 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 263 | 307 | 400 | 707 | 137 | 325 | 23 | 5 | 310 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 577 | 548 | 122 | 29 | 5 | 30 | 15 | 182 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 223 | 250 | 458 | 708 | 235 | 269 | 32 | 3 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 577 | 537 | 135 | 33 | 5 | 32 | 26 | 153 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 251 | 292 | 510 | 802 | 259 | 288 | 27 | 5 | 343 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 429 | 401 | 93 | 20 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 127 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 232 | 279 | 486 | 765 | 254 | 275 | 30 | 5 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 429 | 395 | 106 | 25 | 5 | 27 | 29 | 115 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 268 | 323 | 562 | 885 | 294 | 311 | 27 | 7 | 380 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 409 | 383 | 78 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 109 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 204 | 243 | 319 | 562 | 115 | 261 | 27 | 4 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 409 | 371 | 89 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 94 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 240 | 300 | 394 | 694 | 154 | 290 | 23 | 7 | 305 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 366 | 342 | 75 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 83 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 219 | 258 | 348 | 606 | 129 | 262 | 23 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA RAW | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 366 | 333 | 92 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 63 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 276 | 331 | 444 | 775 | 168 | 309 | 17 | 7 | 338 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 144 | 139 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 44 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 151 | 175 | 201 | 376 | 50 | 211 | 31 | 2 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 144 | 136 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 35 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 199 | 238 | 265 | 502 | 66 | 257 | 24 | 4 | 228 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 629 | 579 | 135 | 29 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 212 | 5 | 19 | 11 | 233 | 291 | 351 | 641 | 117 | 341 | 34 | 6 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 622 | 596 | 132 | 24 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 183 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 221 | 250 | 342 | 592 | 121 | 290 | 29 | 3 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 577 | 552 | 122 | 29 | 5 | 30 | 15 | 182 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 221 | 250 | 455 | 705 | 234 | 261 | 32 | 3 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 429 | 400 | 93 | 20 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 127 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 233 | 279 | 487 | 766 | 255 | 264 | 30 | 5 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 409 | 386 | 78 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 109 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 202 | 243 | 316 | 559 | 114 | 255 | 27 | 4 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 366 | 345 | 75 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 83 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 217 | 258 | 345 | 603 | 128 | 255 | 23 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 144 | 139 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 44 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 151 | 175 | 201 | 376 | 50 | 210 | 31 | 2 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 167 | 157 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 9 | 63 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 222 | 382 | 604 | 210 | 202 | 38 | 5 | 266 | 70 | -7 | +0 | -3 | -9 | +4 | -1.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 611 | 105 | 12 | 0 | 39 | 35 | 245 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 222 | 383 | 605 | 211 | 202 | 38 | 5 | 266 | 70 | -26 | +0 | -11 | -35 | +14 | -5.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3176 | 2979 | 656 | 137 | 28 | 91 | 134 | 940 | 20 | 39 | 26 | 220 | 259 | 377 | 635 | 156 | 286 | 30 | 4 | 271 | 70 | -7 | +0 | -3 | -9 | +4 | -1.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 610 | 135 | 28 | 6 | 19 | 27 | 192 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 221 | 259 | 380 | 639 | 159 | 286 | 30 | 4 | 271 | 70 | -26 | +0 | -11 | -35 | +14 | -5.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 96 PAwOBA .231 → .174 (−57)K% 21.9% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.88% | ÷0.967 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.17% | ÷0.982 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 2.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.74% | ÷1.051 | ×0.920 | ×0.972 | ×0.968 | 17.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.091 | ×0.840 | ×0.972 | ×0.968 | 3.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.972 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.45% | ÷1.114 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 1.01% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 110, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 93, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .231 → .174; ISO .067 → .046; BABIP .261 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 48 PAwOBA .199 → .155 (−44)K% 29.2% → 35.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.17% | ÷1.054 | ×1.290 | — | — | 35.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.08% | ÷1.076 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 1.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.08% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 2.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.62% | ÷1.024 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.992 | 13.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.38% | ÷0.985 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.992 | 7.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.914 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.956 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 105, 2B 97, 3B 83, K 111, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .199 → .155; ISO .065 → .049; BABIP .250 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 366 PAwOBA .332 → .262 (−70)K% 17.2% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.21% | ÷0.972 | ×1.290 | — | — | 22.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.56% | ÷1.059 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 4.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.55% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.017 | ×0.900 | ×0.956 | ×1.003 | 18.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.975 | ×0.810 | ×0.956 | ×1.003 | 5.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.48% | ÷1.104 | ×0.810 | ×0.956 | ×1.003 | 1.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.947 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 3.06% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 121, K 94, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.
Result: wOBA .332 → .262; ISO .168 → .132; BABIP .309 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAColumbus Clippers · 379 PAwOBA .312 → .257 (−55)K% 20.8% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.84% | ÷1.009 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.12% | ÷1.068 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.53% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.47% | ÷1.005 | ×0.930 | ×0.962 | ×1.018 | 17.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.02% | ÷1.019 | ×0.830 | ×0.962 | ×1.018 | 6.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.15% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.962 | ×1.018 | 1.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.82% | ÷1.217 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 2.68% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 101, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 102, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .312 → .257; ISO .167 → .131; BABIP .292 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAColumbus Clippers · 292 PAwOBA .408 → .334 (−75)K% 22.9% → 27.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.95% | ÷1.016 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.85% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.68% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.40% | ÷1.034 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 17.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.95% | ÷1.047 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 8.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.49% | ÷1.007 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 2.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.46% | ÷1.028 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 7.14% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 107, 2B 109, 3B 102, K 103, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .408 → .334; ISO .310 → .254; BABIP .357 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 521 PAwOBA .335 → .296 (−39)K% 25.7% → 31.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.72% | ÷0.979 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.45% | ÷0.966 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 2.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.96% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.15% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×0.967 | ×1.048 | 15.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.07% | ÷0.979 | ×0.830 | ×0.967 | ×1.048 | 7.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.42% | ÷1.055 | ×0.970 | ×0.967 | ×1.048 | 1.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.22% | ÷0.914 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 7.92% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 98, 2B 96, 3B 111, K 96, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .335 → .296; ISO .265 → .237; BABIP .285 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Potomac Nationals · 207 PAwOBA .305 → .222 (−83)K% 20.8% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.77% | ÷0.991 | ×1.420 | — | — | 29.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.35% | ÷1.029 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 2.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.48% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 0.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.33% | ÷1.086 | ×0.940 | ×0.953 | ×0.998 | 20.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.33% | ÷1.028 | ×0.830 | ×0.953 | ×0.998 | 4.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.67% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×0.953 | ×0.998 | 0.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.159 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 2.58% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 117, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 98, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .305 → .222; ISO .130 → .092; BABIP .318 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAHarrisburg Senators · 172 PAwOBA .354 → .317 (−38)K% 22.1% → 26.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.09% | ÷1.006 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.07% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 2.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷0.967 | ×0.970 | ×1.002 | ×1.027 | 22.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.73% | ÷0.982 | ×0.860 | ×1.002 | ×1.027 | 7.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.17% | ÷1.015 | ×0.950 | ×1.002 | ×1.027 | 3.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.976 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 3.91% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 93, 2B 96, 3B 103, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .354 → .317; ISO .226 → .189; BABIP .350 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .