Jake Gelof

3B Tulsa Drillers

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 195 lbs AA HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	A+LAD	362	.224/.321/.454	16	11	61	—	.171/.243/.339
2025	23	ROKLAD	23	.353/.500/.824	1	0	114	—	.211/.318/.526
2026	24	AALAD	522	.271/.393/.565	34	10	109	—	.220/.313/.449
2027PROJ2% MLB	25	MLBLAD	6	.206/.289/.402	0	0	93	0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBLAD	225	.207/.291/.402	10	4	94	0.5
2029PROJ59% MLB	27	MLBLAD	315	.208/.291/.399	13	5	94	0.6

Next 3 projected WAR 1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$0.2M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

ISO95

BB%92

wOBA90

wRC+90

Chase%64

Whiff%43

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 6, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 81%

CompsJonny DeLuca (age 25) · Nelson Velázquez (age 25) · Jabari Blash (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†93

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .289 / .402

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%17

BABIP258

ISO194

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$16M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	137	120	27	8	1	5	16	41	0	2	1	225	316	433	750	208	293	30	12	330	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	17	13	3	1	1	1	4	5	0	2	0	231	412	692	1.104	462	286	29	24	457	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	346	296	55	16	0	8	39	72	2	17	4	186	285	321	606	135	209	21	11	271	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	117	87	27	4	3	2	27	31	0	3	0	310	474	494	968	184	439	26	23	421	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	71	58	10	2	1	2	11	20	1	1	0	172	314	345	659	172	216	28	15	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	362	313	70	24	0	16	44	96	1	11	7	224	321	454	775	230	263	27	12	339	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	23	17	6	5	0	1	5	6	0	0	2	353	500	824	1.324	471	455	26	22	521	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	522	425	115	23	0	34	84	141	2	10	1	271	393	565	958	294	310	27	16	408	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	137	124	20	6	1	3	12	57	0	2	1	161	235	298	534	137	256	42	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	17	15	3	1	1	1	2	7	0	2	0	200	294	600	894	400	195	41	12	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	346	308	46	13	0	6	27	92	2	17	4	149	223	250	473	101	178	27	8	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	117	95	21	3	3	1	19	44	0	3	0	221	351	347	698	126	357	38	16	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	362	327	56	19	0	12	30	125	1	11	7	171	243	339	582	168	225	35	8	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	23	19	4	3	0	1	3	9	0	0	2	211	318	526	844	316	278	39	13	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	522	450	99	19	0	28	59	172	2	10	1	220	313	449	762	229	261	33	11	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	154	139	22	6	2	4	14	64	0	4	1	158	235	317	552	158	250	42	9	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	154	133	30	9	2	6	20	46	0	4	1	226	327	459	785	233	293	30	13	344	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	534	465	79	19	3	9	53	157	3	21	4	170	259	282	541	112	224	29	10	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	534	441	92	22	4	12	77	123	3	21	4	209	330	358	688	150	251	23	14	308	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	385	346	61	23	0	13	33	133	1	11	9	176	250	355	605	179	234	35	9	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	385	330	76	29	0	17	49	102	1	11	9	230	332	473	804	242	273	26	13	350	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	522	450	99	19	0	28	59	172	2	10	1	220	313	449	762	229	272	33	11	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	—	522	425	115	23	0	34	84	141	2	10	1	271	393	565	958	294	310	27	16	408	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	154	139	22	6	2	4	14	64	0	4	1	158	235	317	552	158	249	42	9	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	534	473	79	19	3	9	53	157	3	21	4	167	259	277	536	110	223	29	10	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	385	348	61	23	0	13	33	133	1	11	9	175	250	353	603	178	228	35	9	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	522	456	99	19	0	28	59	172	2	10	1	217	313	443	756	226	261	33	11	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	534	473	79	19	3	9	53	157	3	21	4	167	259	277	536	110	223	29	10	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	385	348	61	23	0	13	33	133	1	11	9	175	250	353	603	178	228	35	9	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	522	456	99	19	0	28	59	172	2	10	1	217	313	443	756	226	261	33	11	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	LAD	2%	380	338	71	16	1	16	38	119	1	7	2	208	291	401	692	193	263	31	10	306	93	-3	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.8
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	LAD	2%	6	5	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	206	289	402	691	196	258	33	17	306	93	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	LAD	43%	522	463	98	22	1	22	52	161	2	9	3	209	292	401	693	192	264	31	10	307	94	-4	+1	+0	+2	+11	1.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	LAD	59%	536	475	100	22	1	22	54	164	2	9	3	210	293	399	691	188	265	31	10	306	94	-4	+1	+0	+2	+12	1.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	LAD	67%	541	480	101	22	1	22	54	165	2	8	3	210	292	394	686	184	266	30	10	305	92	-5	+0	-1	+2	+12	0.9
2031	29	MLB MLE	LAD	69%	540	480	101	22	1	21	53	164	2	6	3	209	290	388	679	179	265	30	10	302	90	-6	+0	-1	+2	+12	0.6
2032	30	MLB MLE	LAD	70%	398	355	73	16	0	15	38	120	2	4	2	208	288	381	669	173	264	30	10	298	88	-6	+0	-2	+1	+9	0.2
2033	31	MLB MLE	LAD	71%	387	346	70	15	0	14	37	118	1	2	2	203	283	371	654	167	261	30	10	292	84	-8	-0	-3	+1	+8	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	LAD	43%	225	199	41	9	0	10	23	70	1	4	1	207	291	402	693	194	259	31	10	307	94	-2	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.5
2029	27	MLB CTX	LAD	59%	315	280	57	12	0	13	31	96	1	5	2	208	291	399	690	191	260	30	10	306	94	-2	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.6
2030	28	MLB CTX	LAD	67%	362	322	66	14	0	15	36	110	1	5	2	208	290	395	685	187	260	30	10	304	92	-3	+0	-0	+1	+8	0.6
2031	29	MLB CTX	LAD	69%	373	332	68	14	0	15	37	113	1	4	2	207	289	389	677	182	260	30	10	301	90	-4	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.4
2032	30	MLB CTX	LAD	70%	279	249	51	11	0	11	27	84	1	3	1	206	286	381	668	176	259	30	10	297	88	-4	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.2
2033	31	MLB CTX	LAD	71%	274	245	48	10	0	10	26	84	1	1	2	201	281	371	653	170	255	31	9	291	84	-5	-1	-2	+1	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1828	1627	331	70	0	74	180	557	6	22	10	203	285	383	668	179	256	30	10	301	85	-21	+0	-5	+7	+40	2.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	117	25	0	26	64	198	2	8	4	202	284	380	664	178	254	30	10	301	85	-7	+0	-2	+2	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	4839	4283	863	199	9	184	479	1518	18	90	33	201	285	381	666	180	258	31	10	294	85	-35	+2	-7	+12	+70	4.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	116	27	1	25	64	204	2	12	4	202	283	383	666	181	259	31	10	294	85	-7	+0	-1	+2	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	5.3	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#3Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#4Don Zimmer'54-'65 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,593 PA	5.4	3,593	91	45	231*	287*	380*	+22	+22	5.2	6.4
/162	664	17	8	+4.0	+4.1	1.0	pk7: 8
#5Johnny Vergez'31-'36 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,537 PA	3.8	2,537	52	22	234*	301*	404*	+9	-12	4.2	4.2
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	-3.2	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.8	1,835	72	23	209	288	391	+7	+2	3.6	3.6
/162	664	26	8	+2.4	+0.7	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Gelof (OGILVIE)	25	35	55	50	50	206/289/397	191	263	14	6	31%	10%	93	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonny DeLuca 2023 · AA	25	39→37	56→60	56→55	46	216/279/412	196	240	25	15	23%	7%	92	+0.7	229/292/388	159	267	18	19	21%	7%	91	+0.7	230/295/377	147	270	15	23	20%	7%	88	+0.2
✕Nelson Velázquez 2024 · MLB	25	38→39	58→60	49→50	40	214/275/413	200	286	28	13	35%	7%	91	+0.7	207/275/376	169	264	23	10	30%	8%	82	+0.0	190/263/344	153	238	21	9	29%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Jabari Blash 2016 · AAA	27	39→41	58→60	48→50	44	214/293/415	202	277	26	9	32%	8%	99	+1.2	210/311/399	189	307	24	7	36%	11%	101	+1.4	197/311/390	192	295	25	6	38%	12%	98	+0.8
✕Eric Haase 2018 · AA	25	37→42	55→65	45→40	38	200/260/387	187	285	23	5	38%	7%	80	-0.2	200/254/381	181	287	24	4	38%	6%	76	-0.4	220/279/438	218	287	32	2	35%	7%	98	+0.8
✕Andy Wilson 2006 · A	25	44→42	56→60	46→45	48	234/293/422	188	269	24	7	24%	8%	99	+1.3	216/273/338	122	285	13	5	28%	7%	72	-0.7	194/249/278	83	270	8	0	30%	6%	47	-1.5
✕Aaron Palensky 2024 · AAA	25	37→32	54→50	54→55	44	201/287/382	182	269	21	18	33%	8%	88	+0.5	204/286/326	122	277	12	19	29%	9%	75	-0.5	169/264/227	58	238	2	28	27%	10%	44	-1.0
●Jo Adell 2024 · MLB	25	42→47	58→65	50	39	224/285/429	205	300	26	11	34%	6%	99	+1.2	226/289/430	204	271	28	11	28%	7%	101	+1.4	228/290/425	197	264	28	9	26%	6%	101	+1.3
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2008 · AA	24	36→46	53→55	51→50	42	203/262/373	171	251	22	10	30%	6%	77	-0.3	215/265/375	160	270	19	11	27%	5%	78	-0.3	240/295/408	167	283	19	7	22%	7%	98	+0.8
✕Michael Chavis 2021 · MLB	25	46	56→60	50→45	41	238/297/424	186	314	25	7	32%	7%	101	+1.4	230/275/393	163	306	21	6	31%	5%	86	+0.3	221/266/377	156	281	18	6	28%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Alexander Canario 2024 · MLB	24	41→36	55→60	52→50	40	215/276/403	188	297	24	13	35%	7%	89	+0.5	220/284/380	160	317	20	10	35%	8%	86	+0.3	208/276/362	155	297	21	9	36%	8%	78	-0.1
✕Casper Wells 2010 · AA	25	43→44	53→60	49→50	43	222/296/400	178	289	20	13	30%	7%	96	+1.0	228/295/423	195	290	22	9	29%	7%	101	+1.4	226/296/429	204	279	23	7	27%	7%	101	+0.9
✕Peyton Burdick 2022 · AAA	25	40→34	51→50	45→50	46	202/298/366	164	295	19	9	36%	10%	89	+0.5	184/270/334	150	284	17	12	39%	9%	72	-0.7	166/253/310	144	262	17	13	41%	8%	58	-1.3
✕Davis Schneider 2024 · MLB	25	44→45	56→55	51→50	53	228/330/428	200	300	23	11	30%	12%	115	+2.4	209/318/382	173	278	20	9	30%	13%	100	+1.3	187/312/348	161	246	20	8	30%	14%	91	+0.4
✕Ruben Cardenas 2023 · AAA	25	38→43	54→55	45→50	38	212/260/385	173	276	24	9	33%	6%	79	-0.2	220/281/379	159	281	20	11	28%	7%	85	+0.2	217/282/374	157	273	19	11	27%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Damiano Palmegiani 2024 · AAA	24	40→42	52→50	52→40	44	210/289/381	170	282	20	6	32%	8%	89	+0.5	191/274/317	126	274	14	4	34%	8%	70	-0.9	163/254/270	107	234	13	1	34%	8%	49	-1.5
●Jack Suwinski 2023 · MLB	25	40→43	56→60	45→50	46	215/296/406	191	289	25	8	34%	10%	97	+1.1	209/298/399	190	280	25	13	33%	10%	97	+1.1	198/293/382	184	263	24	15	33%	11%	91	+0.5
✕Cody Decker 2012 · AA	25	39	59→65	45→30	39	219/274/427	208	282	28	3	33%	6%	94	+0.9	206/269/397	191	276	25	2	34%	7%	85	+0.2	193/260/381	188	256	25	0	35%	7%	76	-0.4
✕David Cook 2006 · A	25	44→49	55	45→50	48	227/306/413	186	301	23	7	32%	10%	102	+1.5	216/293/382	166	277	19	10	28%	9%	91	+0.6	227/305/409	182	270	22	10	24%	9%	99	+1.1
✕Ryan Rua 2014 · AA	24	37→47	54→50	52→50	42	205/269/387	181	252	23	10	29%	6%	83	+0.1	234/291/379	145	299	17	8	27%	6%	88	+0.5	243/301/377	133	312	16	9	26%	6%	90	+0.4
✕Rodolfo Castro 2023 · MLB	24	42	53→55	47→50	42	221/281/392	171	284	21	10	30%	7%	88	+0.4	212/278/350	138	282	17	9	30%	7%	78	-0.3	198/268/323	125	260	15	12	29%	7%	67	-0.8

Jake Gelof

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps