Logan Mercado
P
Amarillo Sod Poodles
Age 24
RHP
6'0" / 215 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION46 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134125vR 115
ERA5.09
FIP5.09
K%20.2%
BB%13.5%
K-BB%6.7%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 114 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 6 | 53 | 227 | 61 | 28 | 5 | 32% | 2.8 | 19.8% | 13.6% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 3.74 | 4.46 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 6 | 53 | 227 | 61 | 28 | 5 | 32% | 2.8 | 26.9% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 2.2% | 3.74 | 3.61 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Reno Aces | 25 | 1 | 46 | 211 | 55 | 20 | 6 | 4% | 1.9 | 23.1% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 3.3% | 6.41 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | ARI | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 57 | 38 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 13.5% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 5.09 | 5.09 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | ARI | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 13.5% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 5.09 | 5.09 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 114 | 495 | 112 | 58 | 14 | — | — | 22.7% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 2.9% | 5.63 | 4.71 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 20.2% | 13.5% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 5.09 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | ARI | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 60 | 35 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 4.92 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 61 | 34 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 4.83 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 60 | 34 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 4.81 | 4.82 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | ARI | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 26 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 4.92 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 40 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 4.83 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 47 | 26 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 4.81 | 4.82 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 123 | 0 | 129 | 543 | 115 | 65 | 16 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 4.85 | 4.45 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 179 | 101 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 4.85 | 4.45 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 44 | 7 | 99 | 438 | 94 | 51 | 12 | 16% | 2.3 | 21.4% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 2.8% | 4.98 | 4.32 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 89 | 14 | 200 | 882 | 189 | 103 | 25 | 16% | 2.3 | 21.4% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 2.8% | 4.98 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Logan Mercado (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.09 | 20.2% | 13.5% | 2.9% | — | 4.83 | 21.2% | 9.1% | 203 | -0.26 | — | — | — |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.21 | 19.5% | 14.2% | 1.7% | .287 | 4.49 | 19.3% | 10.3% | 169 | +0.28 | 3.81 | 233 | 89 |
| David Trexler R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.91 | 17.7% | 13.4% | 2.9% | .313 | 4.44 | 18.3% | 4.8% | 31 | -0.47 | 4.44 | 100 | 88 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2027 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 86 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 86 |
| Brandon Johnson R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.88 | 22.4% | 14.2% | 3.4% | .327 | 4.57 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 163 | -0.31 | 3.44 | 224 | 84 |
| Grant Black R 2029 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 84 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 84 |
| Marc Brakeman R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.71 | 18.3% | 13.7% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 156 | 84 |
| Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.34 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 2.4% | .341 | 4.64 | 15.7% | 4.0% | 343 | +0.30 | 3.76 | 467 | 84 |
| Harrison Cohen R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .282 | 4.01 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.09 | 146 | 83 |
| Cody Tucker R 2027 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.98 | 22.0% | 12.0% | 4.0% | .272 | 5.11 | 15.8% | -1.9% | 40 | +0.13 | 4.98 | 105 | 83 |
| Jake Gilbert R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.18 | 22.1% | 15.2% | 1.9% | .314 | 4.59 | 18.2% | 2.0% | 53 | +0.41 | 4.18 | 103 | 83 |
| Max Alba R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.24 | 20.6% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .290 | 5.06 | 17.4% | 10.5% | 207 | +0.82 | 4.24 | 262 | 83 |
| Nick Hull R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.79 | 19.0% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .296 | 4.83 | 18.7% | 8.3% | 87 | +0.04 | 3.93 | 268 | 83 |
| John Matthews R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.40 | 16.5% | 13.0% | 1.9% | .264 | 4.95 | 14.5% | -0.5% | 70 | +0.55 | 4.40 | 213 | 83 |
| Ben Hecht R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .293 | 7.95 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.39 | 4.55 | 155 | 83 |
| Hunter Mann R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.27 | 19.6% | 11.5% | 2.5% | .256 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 135 | 82 |
| Grayson Thurman R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.38 | 19.5% | 14.1% | 2.1% | .319 | 4.85 | 19.9% | 10.5% | 87 | +0.47 | 4.38 | 132 | 82 |
| Hunter Hayes R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.78 | 18.0% | 12.2% | 3.0% | .316 | 6.43 | 12.6% | -6.5% | 33 | +1.65 | 3.33 | 210 | 82 |
| Dylan Spacke R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.23 | 16.1% | 13.9% | 3.2% | .297 | 4.74 | 13.6% | 0.2% | 52 | -0.49 | 2.08 | 205 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 68 | 20.9% | 12.4% | 1.14 | 4.91 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Junior Guerra ('21) | 6 | 84 | 21.3% | 11.0% | 1.16 | 4.04 |