Channing Austin

P Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 200 lbs A+ peak 0.4 · 2028

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	ANYM	1	0	1	0.00	3.85	25.0%	25.0%	—	K 25.0% · BB 25.0% · FIP 4.16
2025	23	MIX2 levels	21	12	74	4.38	3.41	20.5%	13.4%	—	K 15.0% · BB 15.6% · FIP 4.32
2026	24	MIX2 levels	15	15	56	2.26	2.87	28.3%	13.3%	—	K 22.1% · BB 15.1% · FIP 3.72
2027PROJ	25	MLBNYM	12	12	70	5.55	5.55	18.2%	17.5%	-0.5
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBNYM	5	5	30	5.41	5.40	18.9%	16.6%	-0.2
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBNYM	7	7	43	5.35	5.36	19.3%	16.2%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff35Control30Command30

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 91%

CompsLuis Quiñones (age 25) · J.P. Massey (age 24) · Alonzo Tredwell (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139130vR 122

ERA5.55

FIP5.55

K%18.2%

BB%17.5%

K-BB%0.7%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL3030

CMD3030

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.3	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.16	—
2024	22	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.3	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.16	—
2024	22	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.3	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.85	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	12	74	336	69	45	2	57%	3.5	15.0%	15.6%	-0.6%	0.9%	4.38	4.32	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	12	74	336	69	45	2	57%	3.5	15.0%	15.6%	-0.6%	0.9%	4.38	4.32	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	12	74	336	69	45	2	57%	3.5	20.5%	13.4%	7.1%	0.6%	4.38	3.41	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	15	56	233	66	31	2	100%	3.7	22.1%	15.1%	7.0%	1.1%	2.26	3.72	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	15	56	233	66	31	2	100%	3.7	22.1%	15.1%	7.0%	1.1%	2.26	3.72	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	15	56	233	66	31	2	100%	3.7	28.3%	13.3%	15.0%	0.9%	2.26	2.87	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	NYM	12	12	70	296	54	52	7	100%	5.8	18.2%	17.5%	0.7%	2.5%	5.55	5.55	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	NYM	12	12	70	296	56	49	8	100%	5.8	18.9%	16.6%	2.3%	2.6%	5.41	5.40	-0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	NYM	12	12	69	291	56	47	8	100%	5.8	19.3%	16.2%	3.1%	2.7%	5.35	5.36	-0.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	NYM	11	11	67	282	55	45	8	100%	6.1	19.3%	16.0%	3.4%	2.8%	5.35	5.39	-0.4
2031	29	MLB MLE	NYM	11	11	64	270	52	43	8	100%	5.8	19.2%	16.0%	3.2%	2.9%	5.43	5.49	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	NYM	5	5	30	127	24	21	3	100%	6.0	18.9%	16.6%	2.3%	2.6%	5.41	5.40	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	NYM	7	7	43	182	35	29	5	100%	6.1	19.3%	16.2%	3.1%	2.7%	5.35	5.36	-0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	NYM	8	8	50	211	41	34	6	100%	6.2	19.3%	16.0%	3.4%	2.8%	5.35	5.39	-0.3
2031	29	MLB CTX	NYM	9	9	52	220	42	35	6	100%	5.8	19.2%	16.0%	3.2%	2.9%	5.43	5.49	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		29	29	176	742	143	120	20	100%	6.1	19.2%	16.1%	3.1%	2.8%	5.38	5.04	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	163	136	23	100%	6.0	19.2%	16.1%	3.1%	2.8%	5.38	5.04	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		37	27	131	573	103	89	6	73%	3.5	18.0%	15.5%	2.5%	1.0%	3.44	4.08	-1.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		56	41	200	875	157	135	9	73%	3.5	18.0%	15.5%	2.5%	1.0%	3.44	4.08	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Channing Austin (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.55	18.2%	17.5%	2.5%	—	5.38	19.2%	2.9%	206	-0.17	—	—	—
Luis Quiñones R 2022 · 4.77 FIP	25	SP	4.77	23.5%	17.5%	2.6%	.289	4.80	22.4%	10.8%	160	+0.03	3.69	326	83
J.P. Massey R 2024 · 4.72 FIP	24	SP	4.72	16.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.283	5.71	15.5%	-1.3%	46	+0.99	4.72	195	82
Alonzo Tredwell R 2024 · 4.43 FIP	22	SP-	4.43	19.3%	17.4%	1.4%	.336	4.19	22.0%	9.9%	100	-0.24	4.19	166	82
Joel Hanrahan R 2007 · 5.58 FIP	25	SP	5.58	17.4%	15.4%	3.6%	.318	3.06	27.8%	18.1%	218	-2.52	2.08	397	79
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	79
Jacob Meador R 2024 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP-	5.34	15.6%	14.0%	3.2%	.301	6.73	14.7%	-6.6%	50	+1.39	5.34	139	79
Justin Miller R 2002 · 5.01 FIP	24	SP-	5.01	14.5%	13.6%	2.6%	.280	5.41	12.5%	2.1%	82	+0.40	2.63	373	78
Bryce Conley R 2019 · 5.40 FIP	24	SP-	5.40	17.0%	16.0%	3.1%	.227	4.28	17.4%	5.6%	142	-1.12	4.22	560	77
Jason Savacool R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	22	SP-	4.83	14.9%	14.1%	2.2%	.275	4.88	17.2%	4.6%	128	+0.05	4.26	225	76
Khristian Curtis R 2024 · 5.48 FIP	22	SP	5.48	18.8%	14.4%	3.9%	.275	4.62	20.6%	8.4%	216	-0.86	4.60	291	76
Ryan Jensen R 2001 · 5.03 FIP	25	SP-	5.03	13.5%	13.0%	2.6%	.285	4.82	13.4%	5.2%	185	-0.21	4.35	253	76
Hayden Merda R 2023 · 5.17 FIP	23	SP	5.17	16.1%	15.3%	2.7%	.325	4.59	25.5%	10.9%	108	-0.58	4.20	203	75
Jackson Fristoe R 2024 · 4.81 FIP	23	SP	4.81	18.8%	19.6%	1.5%	.266	6.79	13.5%	-4.0%	74	+1.98	4.81	139	75
Elijah Dale R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP	4.55	16.7%	13.6%	2.1%	.239	6.48	18.4%	-1.6%	31	+1.93	4.55	140	74
Jacob Cravey R 2024 · 5.15 FIP	22	SP-	5.15	14.4%	18.0%	1.8%	.333	5.84	14.7%	1.0%	124	+0.69	4.97	208	74
Deylen Miley R 2023 · 5.34 FIP	25	SP-	5.34	22.3%	17.5%	3.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.07	185	74
Ike Buxton R 2024 · 4.45 FIP	24	SP	4.45	15.4%	13.1%	1.8%	.341	4.97	13.8%	-5.5%	46	+0.52	4.45	196	73
Reid Johnston R 2023 · 5.00 FIP	24	SP-	5.00	19.5%	13.9%	3.3%	.256	5.86	17.2%	2.4%	31	+0.86	3.74	234	73
Tyler Schlaffer R 2024 · 5.08 FIP	23	SP-	5.08	14.5%	13.3%	2.8%	.298	4.13	20.3%	7.7%	190	-0.95	3.79	399	73
Joe Nathan R 2000 · 5.19 FIP	25	SP-	5.19	14.3%	13.8%	2.8%	.262	3.30	26.3%	16.8%	79	-1.89	1.25	929	72

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	19.0%	16.5%	1.04	5.42
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Dave Jolly ('53-'57, -0 WAR*)	1.5	58	20.2%*	14.3%*	0.91*	4.33*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*