Jason Savacool — OGILVIE

Jason Savacool P Peoria Chiefs

Age 25 RHP 6'1" / 210 lbs A+ peak 0.3 · 2028

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 60 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140132vR 124

ERA5.65

FIP5.65

K%16.2%

BB%14.0%

K-BB%2.2%

ROS IP60

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL5050

CMD4040

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	4	0	6	23	6	5	2	0%	1.4	26.1%	21.7%	4.3%	8.7%	9.53	8.42	—
2023	21	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	4	0	6	23	6	5	2	0%	1.4	26.1%	21.7%	4.3%	8.7%	9.53	8.22	—
2024	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	22	17	97	401	81	48	7	77%	4.4	14.9%	14.1%	0.8%	2.2%	3.62	4.83	—
2024	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	22	17	97	401	81	48	7	77%	4.4	14.9%	14.1%	0.8%	2.2%	3.62	4.83	—
2024	22	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	22	17	97	401	81	48	7	77%	4.4	20.2%	12.0%	8.2%	1.7%	3.62	3.85	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	20	102	422	93	42	6	87%	4.4	16.6%	11.6%	5.1%	2.0%	2.99	4.26	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	20	102	422	93	42	6	87%	4.4	16.6%	11.6%	5.1%	2.0%	2.99	4.26	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	20	102	422	93	42	6	87%	4.4	22.0%	10.0%	12.1%	1.4%	2.99	3.28	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	29	151	34	22	9	0%	1.3	19.6%	16.4%	3.1%	6.9%	7.98	7.34	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	29	151	34	22	9	0%	1.3	19.6%	16.4%	3.1%	6.9%	7.98	7.34	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	29	151	34	22	9	0%	1.3	22.5%	14.6%	7.9%	6.0%	7.98	7.02	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	STL	57	0	60	253	41	35	8	0%	1.1	16.2%	14.0%	2.2%	3.2%	5.65	5.65	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	STL	88	0	92	389	67	52	12	0%	1.0	17.2%	13.3%	3.9%	3.2%	5.48	5.47	-0.9
2029	27	MLB MLE	STL	86	0	91	383	67	50	12	0%	1.1	17.5%	13.0%	4.6%	3.2%	5.40	5.41	-0.9
2030	28	MLB MLE	STL	84	0	88	372	66	48	12	0%	1.0	17.6%	12.8%	4.8%	3.3%	5.40	5.44	-0.9
2031	29	MLB MLE	STL	80	0	84	355	62	46	12	0%	1.1	17.5%	13.0%	4.5%	3.5%	5.47	5.54	-0.9
2032	30	MLB MLE	STL	75	0	79	334	64	42	12	0%	1.1	19.1%	12.4%	6.7%	3.7%	5.46	5.45	-0.8
2028	26	MLB CTX	STL	38	0	40	169	29	22	5	0%	1.1	17.2%	13.3%	3.9%	3.2%	5.48	5.47	-0.4
2029	27	MLB CTX	STL	54	0	57	241	42	31	8	0%	1.1	17.5%	13.0%	4.6%	3.2%	5.40	5.41	-0.5
2030	28	MLB CTX	STL	63	0	66	279	49	36	9	0%	1.0	17.6%	12.8%	4.8%	3.3%	5.40	5.44	-0.6
2031	29	MLB CTX	STL	65	0	68	287	50	37	10	0%	1.0	17.5%	13.0%	4.5%	3.5%	5.47	5.54	-0.7
2032	30	MLB CTX	STL	65	0	68	287	55	36	10	0%	1.0	19.1%	12.4%	6.7%	3.7%	5.46	5.45	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		285	0	299	1262	226	162	43	0%	1.0	17.9%	12.9%	5.0%	3.4%	5.44	5.08	-1.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	151	108	29	0%	1.1	17.9%	12.9%	5.0%	3.4%	5.44	5.08	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		72	37	234	997	166	135	30	51%	3.3	16.6%	13.6%	3.1%	3.0%	4.03	5.05	-2.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		61	32	200	851	141	115	25	51%	3.3	16.6%	13.6%	3.1%	3.0%	4.03	5.05	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jason Savacool (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.65	16.2%	14.0%	3.2%	—	5.44	17.4%	4.4%	271	-0.21	—	—	—
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	85
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	84
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	83
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	83
Cooper Adams R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SW	5.42	13.0%	12.2%	3.4%	.275	4.32	21.7%	10.4%	141	-1.10	3.05	221	82
Nick Hull R 2024 · 4.62 FIP	24	SW	4.62	19.0%	12.2%	2.9%	.296	5.00	16.8%	6.2%	111	+0.38	4.26	292	81
Jake Bray R 2018 · 5.37 FIP	25	SP-	5.37	15.4%	11.2%	3.9%	.294	5.65	20.5%	7.7%	61	+0.28	2.51	198	81
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	81
Mike Franco R 2017 · 4.75 FIP	25	SP-	4.75	17.2%	12.9%	2.7%	.251	4.33	21.9%	12.7%	98	-0.42	3.11	322	81
Hunter Adkins R 2016 · 4.64 FIP	25	SW	4.64	16.2%	10.3%	2.9%	.290	4.82	11.8%	0.5%	58	+0.18	4.64	160	80
Carlos Tavera R 2024 · 5.12 FIP	25	SW	5.12	18.3%	13.3%	3.4%	.299	5.43	21.9%	8.8%	29	+0.31	3.85	263	80
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	80
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	79
Tyler Brashears R 2017 · 5.47 FIP	23	SW	5.47	12.1%	13.0%	3.2%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	156	78
Paulshawn Pasqualotto R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	15.6%	9.5%	3.4%	.354	3.77	20.2%	10.8%	111	-1.07	3.73	186	78
Jorge Sosa R 2002 · 5.77 FIP	25	SW	5.77	11.1%	12.4%	3.7%	.228	4.55	15.7%	5.5%	362	-1.22	4.06	773	78
Matt Ruppenthal R 2021 · 4.76 FIP	25	SP-	4.76	18.5%	13.8%	2.7%	.308	4.28	22.7%	7.9%	102	-0.48	3.74	283	77
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	77
Erich Uelmen R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	25	SW	5.32	17.9%	11.0%	4.3%	.267	3.88	19.9%	9.1%	112	-1.44	3.48	383	77
David Rodriguez R 2024 · 4.50 FIP	22	SP-	4.50	13.5%	11.7%	1.9%	.316	3.85	16.9%	9.9%	125	-0.65	3.80	184	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,251 pitcher careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.5	82	17.6%	13.0%	1.29	5.47
Seth McClung ('09)	2.2	86	16.2%	13.1%	1.28	5.46
Bobby Jones ('04)	1.6	81	15.1%	12.9%	1.25	5.77
Britt Reames ('06)	1.1	73	20.7%	12.0%	1.32	5.28
Dustin Nippert ('10)	1.3	67	17.6%	11.2%	1.18	5.31
Todd Van Poppel ('04)	4.5	91	17.6%	11.4%	1.42	5.58
Mac Suzuki ('02)	2.3	93	15.4%	12.5%	1.29	5.72