Erich Uelmen — OGILVIE

Erich Uelmen P Reno Aces

Age 30 RHP 6'3" / 195 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.09

FIP5.06

K%18.8%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%7.2%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL4545

CMD3535

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3893.7

Whiff%

p6327.3%

p1617.2%

xwOBA vs

p490.313

SL-0.8

FB-1.5

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	20	89	379	82	30	3	95%	4.3	16.2%	9.2%	7.0%	1.1%	3.83	3.48	—
2018	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	20	89	379	82	30	3	95%	4.3	21.6%	7.9%	13.7%	0.8%	3.83	2.71	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	17	91	390	76	37	9	100%	5.4	15.3%	10.7%	4.6%	2.7%	4.55	4.64	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	17	91	390	76	37	9	100%	5.4	19.5%	9.5%	10.0%	2.3%	4.55	3.94	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	11	90	407	88	41	16	35%	2.9	17.9%	11.0%	7.0%	4.3%	5.78	5.32	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	11	90	407	88	41	16	35%	2.9	21.6%	10.1%	11.5%	3.9%	5.78	4.82	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	0	69	301	73	32	5	0%	1.3	22.2%	11.0%	11.2%	1.8%	3.52	3.59	+0.8
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	53	0	69	301	73	32	5	0%	1.3	24.3%	10.6%	13.6%	1.7%	3.52	3.32	+1.0
2023	27	MIX MLE	4 levels	17	0	19	86	17	10	1	0%	1.1	16.4%	10.1%	6.2%	1.5%	5.79	3.83	+0.2
2023	27	MIX MLE	4 levels	17	0	19	86	17	10	1	0%	1.1	16.4%	10.1%	6.2%	1.5%	5.79	3.83	+0.2
2023	27	MIX RAW	4 levels	17	0	19	86	17	10	1	0%	1.1	19.8%	11.6%	8.1%	1.2%	5.79	3.58	+0.2
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	3	31	147	28	17	4	12%	1.2	15.1%	10.5%	4.6%	2.9%	5.58	4.72	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	3	31	147	28	17	4	12%	1.2	15.1%	10.5%	4.6%	2.9%	5.58	4.72	—
2024	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	3	31	147	28	17	4	12%	1.2	19.0%	11.6%	7.5%	2.7%	5.58	4.63	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			26	0	28	130	22	13	3	0%	1.1	16.9%	10.0%	6.9%	2.3%	5.79	4.31	+0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	ARI	5	0	5	21	4	2	1	0%	1.0	18.8%	11.6%	7.2%	3.1%	5.09	5.06	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	ARI	51	0	54	227	42	27	7	0%	1.1	18.5%	11.7%	6.8%	3.3%	5.13	5.21	-0.4
2028	32	MLB MLE	ARI	47	0	50	210	38	25	7	0%	1.1	18.1%	11.9%	6.1%	3.5%	5.27	5.40	-0.5
2027	31	MLB CTX	ARI	19	0	20	84	16	10	3	0%	1.1	18.5%	11.7%	6.8%	3.3%	5.13	5.21	-0.1
2028	32	MLB CTX	ARI	26	0	27	114	21	14	4	0%	1.0	18.1%	11.9%	6.1%	3.5%	5.27	5.40	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		71	0	75	329	58	37	10	0%	1.1	17.7%	11.1%	6.6%	3.0%	5.43	4.65	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		189	0	200	876	154	98	27	0%	1.1	17.7%	11.1%	6.6%	3.0%	5.43	4.65	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		164	51	389	1710	297	178	43	31%	2.4	17.4%	10.4%	6.9%	2.5%	4.63	4.33	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		84	26	200	879	153	92	22	31%	2.4	17.4%	10.4%	6.9%	2.5%	4.63	4.33	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Erich Uelmen (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.06	18.8%	11.6%	3.1%	—	5.30	18.3%	6.5%	104	+0.24	—	—	—
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	82
Chris Leroux R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SU	4.20	15.2%	8.6%	2.4%	.279	4.08	13.5%	5.5%	140	-0.12	4.08	219	80
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	76
Felipe Arredondo R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	30	SW	4.76	14.8%	7.3%	3.6%	.311	4.65	16.2%	9.1%	64	-0.11	3.92	337	76
Josh Zeid R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	30	SW	5.35	18.3%	10.8%	4.4%	.334	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	265	75
Murphy Smith R 2018 · 4.57 FIP	30	SW	4.57	13.6%	9.3%	2.6%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	300	74
Fredy Quintero R 2017 · 4.45 FIP	29	SW	4.45	14.0%	8.7%	2.6%	.335	4.62	17.2%	3.5%	43	+0.17	4.29	241	74
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	73
André Rienzo R 2017 · 4.40 FIP	29	SW	4.40	18.9%	15.6%	1.7%	.301	5.33	17.9%	6.1%	29	+0.93	3.53	200	73
Eder Llamas R 2016 · 4.12 FIP	30	SW	4.12	11.4%	6.8%	2.0%	.301	3.23	11.3%	4.6%	64	-0.89	3.23	171	73
Grant Black R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	29	SU	5.54	15.4%	11.3%	4.2%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	215	72
Bradin Hagens R 2019 · 5.46 FIP	30	SW	5.46	13.2%	12.6%	3.4%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	254	72
Vin Mazzaro R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	29	SU	4.04	13.6%	10.2%	1.5%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	2.82	126	72
Hector Velázquez R 2019 · 4.82 FIP	30	SW	4.82	19.6%	12.3%	3.3%	.292	3.81	19.2%	10.9%	25	-1.01	2.75	536	71
Marco Carrillo R 2017 · 5.33 FIP	30	SW	5.33	11.1%	7.4%	4.1%	.278	6.08	9.9%	0.8%	104	+0.75	5.33	194	71
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	70
Mike Broadway R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	30	SU	4.73	18.3%	10.2%	3.4%	.245	4.65	23.0%	12.4%	49	-0.08	1.74	195	70
Dustin McGowan R 2015 · 5.32 FIP	33	SU	5.32	15.0%	14.5%	3.0%	.300	4.23	20.9%	13.0%	145	-1.09	3.82	208	70
Carlos Frías R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	29	SP-	4.42	16.9%	11.1%	2.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	204	70
Alfonso Sanchez R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	29	SW	4.51	12.5%	9.8%	2.2%	.346	7.58	8.6%	1.4%	39	+3.07	4.51	224	70

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	54	18.5%	11.8%	1.27	5.16
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77