Erich Uelmen
P
Reno Aces
Age 30
RHP
6'3" / 195 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 57 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135126vR 116
ERA5.16
FIP5.14
K%19.4%
BB%12.8%
K-BB%6.6%
ROS IP58
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3893.7
Whiff%
p6327.3%
K%
p1617.2%
xwOBA vs
p490.313
SL-0.8
FB-1.5
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 20 | 89 | 379 | 82 | 30 | 3 | 95% | 4.3 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 1.1% | 3.83 | 3.53 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 20 | 89 | 379 | 82 | 30 | 3 | 95% | 4.3 | 21.6% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 0.8% | 3.83 | 2.71 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 17 | 91 | 390 | 76 | 37 | 9 | 100% | 5.4 | 15.3% | 10.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 4.55 | 4.59 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 17 | 91 | 390 | 76 | 37 | 9 | 100% | 5.4 | 19.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 2.3% | 4.55 | 3.94 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 11 | 90 | 407 | 88 | 41 | 16 | 35% | 2.9 | 17.9% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 5.78 | 5.19 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 11 | 90 | 407 | 88 | 41 | 16 | 35% | 2.9 | 21.6% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 3.9% | 5.78 | 4.82 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 0 | 69 | 301 | 73 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.2% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 1.7% | 3.52 | 3.56 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 0 | 69 | 301 | 73 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.3% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 1.7% | 3.52 | 3.32 | +1.1 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 4 levels | 17 | 0 | 19 | 86 | 17 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.4% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 5.79 | 3.94 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 4 levels | 17 | 0 | 19 | 86 | 17 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 1.2% | 5.79 | 3.58 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 3 | 31 | 147 | 28 | 17 | 4 | 12% | 1.2 | 16.1% | 12.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 5.58 | 4.71 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 3 | 31 | 147 | 28 | 17 | 4 | 12% | 1.2 | 19.0% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 5.58 | 4.63 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | ARI | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 47 | 31 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 12.8% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 5.16 | 5.14 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | ARI | 51 | 0 | 54 | 227 | 43 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.0% | 12.8% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 5.20 | 5.29 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | ARI | 47 | 0 | 50 | 210 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 12.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 5.33 | 5.47 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | ARI | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.0% | 12.8% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 5.20 | 5.29 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | ARI | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 21 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 12.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 5.33 | 5.47 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 71 | 0 | 75 | 329 | 59 | 39 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.0% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 5.47 | 4.69 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 189 | 0 | 200 | 876 | 157 | 104 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.0% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 5.47 | 4.69 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 164 | 51 | 389 | 1710 | 299 | 182 | 41 | 31% | 2.4 | 17.5% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 4.63 | 4.29 | +5.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 84 | 26 | 200 | 879 | 154 | 94 | 21 | 31% | 2.4 | 17.5% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 4.63 | 4.29 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Erich Uelmen (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.14 | 19.4% | 12.8% | 3.1% | — | 5.38 | 18.8% | 6.0% | 104 | +0.24 | — | — | — |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 78 |
| Chris Leroux R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 77 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2027 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 77 |
| André Rienzo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.33 | 18.9% | 15.6% | 1.5% | .301 | 5.30 | 17.9% | 6.1% | 29 | +0.97 | 3.58 | 200 | 74 |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.41 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.5% | .334 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 265 | 74 |
| Hector Velázquez R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.76 | 19.6% | 12.3% | 3.2% | .292 | 3.91 | 19.2% | 10.9% | 25 | -0.85 | 2.82 | 536 | 73 |
| Murphy Smith R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.47 | 13.6% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 300 | 72 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.99 | 11.4% | 1.3% | 125 | +0.71 | 3.49 | 212 | 72 |
| Grant Black R 2025 · 5.81 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.81 | 16.3% | 13.2% | 4.4% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.49 | 215 | 72 |
| Fredy Quintero R 2025 · 4.48 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.48 | 14.0% | 8.7% | 2.7% | .335 | 4.42 | 17.2% | 3.5% | 43 | -0.06 | 4.23 | 241 | 72 |
| Bradin Hagens R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.33 | 13.2% | 12.6% | 3.2% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 254 | 72 |
| Felipe Arredondo R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.08 | 14.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | .311 | 4.91 | 16.2% | 9.1% | 64 | -0.17 | 3.93 | 337 | 71 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2029 · 5.47 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.47 | 15.0% | 14.5% | 3.3% | .300 | 4.24 | 20.9% | 13.0% | 145 | -1.23 | 3.83 | 208 | 71 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 70 |
| Angel Castro R 2028 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 70 |
| Vin Mazzaro R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.99 | 13.6% | 10.2% | 1.4% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.82 | 126 | 70 |
| Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 70 |
| Eder Llamas R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.21 | 11.4% | 6.8% | 2.2% | .301 | 3.27 | 11.3% | 4.6% | 64 | -0.94 | 3.27 | 171 | 70 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.66 | 18.3% | 10.2% | 3.3% | .245 | 4.56 | 23.0% | 12.4% | 49 | -0.10 | 1.74 | 195 | 69 |
| Carlos Frías R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 204 | 69 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 54 | 19.0% | 12.8% | 1.26 | 5.23 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |