Channing Austin — OGILVIE

Channing Austin P Brooklyn Cyclones

+0.0 WAR

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 200 lbs A+ peak 0.5 · 2027

ERA4.61

FIP4.61

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%20.9%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%9.6%

IP71

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.5peak

2027

STUF3535

CTRL3030

CMD3030

K†4550

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2024	22	A	St. Lucie Mets	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	—	—	—	0.00	—	—
2025	23	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	21	12	74	336	69	45	2	15.0%	15.6%	1.0%	4.38	4.34	+0.6
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	2	2	7	35	7	9	1	—	—	—	3.68	—	—
ROS	24	MLB	NYM	13	13	71	300	57	41	8	19.1%	13.8%	2.7%	5.09	5.09	-0.0
2026 Total	24	MLB	NYM	—	—	78	335	64	50	9	19.2%	15.1%	2.7%	4.96	4.61	+0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	25	MLB	NYM	13	13	72	304	60	39	8	19.9%	12.9%	2.7%	4.96	4.92	+0.1
2028	26	MLB	NYM	13	13	72	304	62	38	8	20.3%	12.6%	2.7%	4.87	4.85	+0.2
2029	27	MLB	NYM	13	13	71	301	62	38	8	20.5%	12.4%	2.8%	4.84	4.83	+0.2
2030	28	MLB	NYM	13	13	70	297	61	37	8	20.5%	12.4%	2.8%	4.84	4.85	+0.2
2031	29	MLB	NYM	12	12	69	290	59	36	8	20.4%	12.5%	2.8%	4.87	4.89	+0.1
2032	30	MLB	NYM	12	12	67	281	57	35	8	20.2%	12.6%	2.9%	4.92	4.95	+0.0
2033	31	MLB	NYM	12	12	64	271	54	35	8	20.0%	12.7%	3.0%	4.99	5.03	-0.0
2034	32	MLB	NYM	11	11	62	261	51	34	8	19.7%	12.9%	3.0%	5.07	5.12	-0.1
2035	33	MLB	NYM	59	—	59	249	48	32	8	19.4%	13.1%	3.1%	5.16	5.21	-0.2
2036	34	MLB	NYM	56	—	56	236	45	31	8	19.0%	13.2%	3.2%	5.26	5.32	-0.2
2037	35	MLB	NYM	53	—	53	223	42	30	7	18.6%	13.5%	3.3%	5.37	5.45	-0.3
2038	36	MLB	NYM	49	—	49	209	38	29	7	18.2%	13.7%	3.5%	5.50	5.58	-0.4
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			24	14	83	375	58	62	4	15.6%	16.7%	1.1%	4.25	4.51	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—			58	34	200	907	140	150	10	15.6%	16.7%	1.1%	4.25	4.51	+1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Channing Austin (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.09	19.1%	13.8%	2.7%	—	4.87	20.2%	7.6%	215	-0.22	—	—	—
David Trexler R 2026 · 4.58 FIP	24	SW	4.58	17.7%	13.4%	2.3%	.313	4.44	18.3%	4.8%	31	-0.14	4.44	100	95
Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	3.96	20.3%	11.1%	143	-0.28	3.84	206	93
Max Alba R 2026 · 4.50 FIP	24	SW	4.50	20.6%	12.6%	2.8%	.290	4.91	17.8%	11.6%	162	+0.41	4.50	217	91
David Griffin R 2027 · 4.42 FIP	25	SW	4.42	19.2%	11.9%	2.6%	.279	5.32	15.6%	5.5%	168	+0.90	4.42	239	91
Kevin Kopps R 2027 · 4.59 FIP	25	SW	4.59	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.54	16.5%	2.8%	182	-0.05	3.49	237	91
Jacob Webb R 2026 · 4.56 FIP	24	SW	4.56	19.8%	15.3%	2.2%	.283	4.53	18.5%	9.4%	111	-0.03	3.33	223	91
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2026 · 4.58 FIP	24	SW	4.58	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.72	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.14	4.04	404	90
Matt Lollis R 2026 · 4.56 FIP	24	SW	4.56	18.5%	12.2%	2.7%	.237	5.00	19.2%	4.7%	56	+0.44	4.56	120	90
Pat Light R 2026 · 4.34 FIP	24	SW	4.34	20.9%	14.5%	2.1%	.270	4.39	16.4%	2.8%	110	+0.05	4.15	172	89
Zach Linginfelter R 2026 · 5.56 FIP	24	SW	5.56	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.02	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.54	3.62	109	89
Ryan Ledbetter R 2026 · 4.75 FIP	24	SW	4.75	18.5%	12.3%	3.0%	.338	—	—	—	—	—	4.75	124	88
John Matthews R 2026 · 4.46 FIP	24	SW	4.46	16.5%	13.0%	2.0%	.264	4.99	14.5%	-0.5%	70	+0.53	4.46	213	88
Brandon Johnson R 2026 · 4.91 FIP	24	SW	4.91	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.68	22.3%	12.1%	127	-0.23	3.38	188	88
Craig Schlitter R 2026 · 4.61 FIP	24	SW	4.61	22.7%	15.4%	2.7%	.298	4.70	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.09	4.23	222	88
Jairo Díaz R 2026 · 4.54 FIP	24	SW	4.54	18.8%	13.6%	2.4%	.281	3.31	20.2%	10.3%	18	-1.23	2.97	190	87
Aaron Kurcz R 2026 · 4.00 FIP	24	SW	4.00	22.4%	13.6%	2.0%	.331	4.03	16.1%	8.0%	105	+0.03	3.31	213	87
Carlos Contreras R 2026 · 4.31 FIP	24	SW	4.31	22.2%	15.6%	2.0%	.271	4.48	11.9%	2.4%	40	+0.17	4.31	107	87
Juan Paniagua R 2027 · 4.69 FIP	25	SW	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.58	151	87
Dylan Burns R 2027 · 4.07 FIP	25	SW	4.07	17.1%	10.8%	1.9%	.300	4.87	11.6%	-2.4%	41	+0.80	4.07	120	87
Brett Lockwood R 2026 · 5.47 FIP	24	SW	5.47	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.60	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.87	4.27	132	87

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.