Channing Austin
P
Brooklyn Cyclones
Age 24
RHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
A+
peak 0.6 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION45 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 151142vR 133
ERA5.89
FIP5.89
K%14.2%
BB%16.8%
K-BB%-2.5%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 109 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 4.16 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 3.85 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 12 | 74 | 336 | 69 | 45 | 2 | 57% | 3.5 | 15.0% | 15.6% | -0.6% | 1.1% | 4.38 | 4.43 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 12 | 74 | 336 | 69 | 45 | 2 | 57% | 3.5 | 20.5% | 13.4% | 7.1% | 0.6% | 4.38 | 3.41 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 11 | 11 | 45 | 188 | 54 | 28 | 1 | 100% | 4.1 | 23.2% | 15.9% | 7.3% | 0.8% | 1.81 | 3.58 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | NYM | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 39 | 46 | 7 | 100% | 5.4 | 14.2% | 16.8% | -2.5% | 2.7% | 5.89 | 5.89 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.2% | 16.8% | -2.5% | 2.7% | 5.89 | 5.89 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 109 | 462 | 93 | 74 | 8 | — | — | 20.1% | 16.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 4.23 | 4.95 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 14.2% | 16.8% | -2.5% | 2.7% | 5.89 | 5.51 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | NYM | 12 | 12 | 68 | 287 | 46 | 43 | 8 | 100% | 5.7 | 16.0% | 15.1% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 5.61 | 5.53 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | NYM | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 49 | 42 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.1% | 14.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.44 | 5.39 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | NYM | 11 | 11 | 67 | 283 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.4% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.38 | 5.38 | -0.5 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | NYM | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.4% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.40 | 5.43 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | NYM | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 20 | 18 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.0% | 15.1% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 5.61 | 5.53 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | NYM | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 32 | 28 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 17.1% | 14.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.44 | 5.39 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | NYM | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.4% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.38 | 5.38 | -0.5 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | NYM | 9 | 9 | 55 | 232 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.4% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.40 | 5.43 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 30 | 30 | 181 | 765 | 131 | 111 | 21 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.1% | 14.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.44 | 5.04 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 145 | 122 | 23 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.1% | 14.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.44 | 5.04 | +0.8 | ||
| Career | — | 33 | 23 | 120 | 528 | 95 | 83 | 5 | 70% | 3.6 | 18.0% | 15.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 3.38 | 4.12 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 38 | 200 | 880 | 159 | 139 | 9 | 70% | 3.6 | 18.0% | 15.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 3.38 | 4.12 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Channing Austin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.89 | 14.2% | 16.8% | 2.7% | — | 5.43 | 16.8% | 2.1% | 203 | -0.46 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Thurman R 2026 · 6.01 FIP | 24 | SP- | 6.01 | 14.4% | 16.9% | 3.6% | .291 | 2.59 | 16.8% | 9.6% | 25 | -3.42 | 2.59 | 237 | 89 |
| Carlson Reed R 2025 · 5.27 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.9% | 15.4% | 3.0% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 237 | 83 |
| Cobi Johnson R 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.34 | 16.0% | 14.8% | 3.1% | .257 | 4.62 | 19.9% | 1.4% | 41 | -0.72 | 4.62 | 140 | 82 |
| Tanner Hall R 2025 · 5.39 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.39 | 10.1% | 14.7% | 2.3% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.56 | 137 | 80 |
| Boone Whiting R 2027 · 5.21 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.21 | 11.3% | 13.9% | 2.4% | .337 | 4.78 | 10.9% | 4.8% | 132 | -0.43 | 4.78 | 227 | 79 |
| Ramsey David R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.23 | 18.6% | 17.4% | 2.7% | .219 | 7.27 | 19.1% | -0.7% | 30 | +2.04 | 5.23 | 107 | 78 |
| Zach Linginfelter R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.72 | 19.1% | 16.0% | 4.0% | .295 | 4.94 | 18.8% | -0.6% | 46 | -0.78 | 3.58 | 109 | 78 |
| Bryce Conley R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.33 | 17.0% | 16.0% | 3.0% | .227 | 4.60 | 17.4% | 5.6% | 142 | -0.73 | 4.60 | 529 | 78 |
| Holt Jones R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.30 | 16.1% | 17.9% | 2.4% | .285 | 4.38 | 20.9% | 5.2% | 137 | -0.92 | 4.13 | 217 | 78 |
| Casey Steward R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.79 | 15.1% | 12.4% | 2.5% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.02 | 191 | 77 |
| J.P. France R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.38 | 17.9% | 13.9% | 3.7% | .285 | 4.39 | 26.3% | 15.2% | 225 | -0.99 | 4.11 | 563 | 77 |
| Hayden Merda R 2025 · 5.06 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.06 | 16.1% | 15.3% | 2.5% | .325 | 4.42 | 25.8% | 12.5% | 87 | -0.64 | 3.50 | 182 | 76 |
| Bryce Cunningham R 2025 · 5.93 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.93 | 17.4% | 15.3% | 4.3% | .228 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 101 | 76 |
| Johnny Hellweg R 2028 · 5.98 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.98 | 9.9% | 19.0% | 2.4% | .269 | 4.11 | 15.2% | 2.0% | 48 | -1.87 | 2.98 | 109 | 75 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 75 |
| Carlos Tavera R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.54 | 19.6% | 17.3% | 3.5% | .267 | 5.35 | 19.4% | 4.8% | 114 | -0.19 | 4.12 | 263 | 75 |
| Drew Gagnon R 2027 · 5.78 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.78 | 11.6% | 12.6% | 3.8% | .313 | 4.01 | 20.4% | 12.2% | 311 | -1.77 | 3.74 | 534 | 74 |
| Keith Weisenberg R 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.75 | 15.5% | 19.0% | 1.0% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 162 | 74 |
| Brayan Romero R 2025 · 5.06 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.06 | 10.7% | 19.7% | 0.7% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 164 | 73 |
| Paxton Schultz R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.22 | 17.5% | 12.2% | 3.7% | .293 | 4.57 | 22.2% | 10.9% | 274 | -0.65 | 4.00 | 512 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 67 | 16.4% | 15.0% | 1.07 | 5.54 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |