Channing Austin — OGILVIE

Channing Austin P Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 200 lbs A+ peak 0.4 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION56 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147139vR 131

ERA5.99

FIP5.99

K%14.2%

BB%17.7%

K-BB%-3.5%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 62 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL3030

CMD3030

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.3	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.16	—
2024	22	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.3	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.16	—
2024	22	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.3	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.85	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	12	74	336	69	45	2	57%	3.5	15.0%	15.6%	-0.6%	0.9%	4.38	4.32	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	12	74	336	69	45	2	57%	3.5	15.0%	15.6%	-0.6%	0.9%	4.38	4.32	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	12	74	336	69	45	2	57%	3.5	20.5%	13.4%	7.1%	0.6%	4.38	3.41	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	15	15	56	233	66	31	2	100%	3.7	22.1%	15.1%	7.0%	1.1%	2.26	3.72	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	15	15	56	233	66	31	2	100%	3.7	22.1%	15.1%	7.0%	1.1%	2.26	3.72	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	NYM	8	8	38	159	48	22	1	100%	4.8	30.2%	13.8%	16.4%	0.6%	1.17	2.65	—
2026	24	AA RAW	NYM	7	7	17	74	18	9	1	100%	2.5	24.3%	12.2%	12.2%	1.4%	4.67	3.33	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	NYM	1	1	6	26	4	5	1	100%	6.1	14.2%	17.7%	-3.5%	2.7%	5.99	5.99	-0.1
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	NYM	—	—	62	259	70	36	3	—	—	26.9%	13.7%	13.2%	1.0%	2.63	3.95	+0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	NYM	12	12	68	287	46	45	8	100%	5.7	16.0%	15.7%	0.3%	2.7%	5.69	5.60	-0.5
2028	26	MLB MLE	NYM	11	11	68	287	49	44	8	100%	6.2	17.1%	15.2%	1.8%	2.7%	5.51	5.46	-0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	NYM	11	11	67	283	49	42	8	100%	6.1	17.4%	15.0%	2.4%	2.8%	5.44	5.44	-0.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	NYM	11	11	65	274	48	41	8	100%	5.9	17.4%	15.0%	2.4%	2.9%	5.46	5.49	-0.4
2027	25	MLB CTX	NYM	5	5	29	122	20	19	3	100%	5.8	16.0%	15.7%	0.3%	2.7%	5.69	5.60	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	NYM	8	8	45	190	32	29	5	100%	5.6	17.1%	15.2%	1.8%	2.7%	5.51	5.46	-0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	NYM	9	9	52	220	38	33	6	100%	5.8	17.4%	15.0%	2.4%	2.8%	5.44	5.44	-0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	NYM	9	9	55	232	40	35	7	100%	6.1	17.4%	15.0%	2.4%	2.9%	5.46	5.49	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		30	30	181	764	130	116	21	100%	6.0	17.1%	15.2%	1.9%	2.8%	5.50	5.11	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	144	128	23	100%	6.0	17.1%	15.2%	1.9%	2.8%	5.50	5.11	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		37	27	131	573	103	89	6	73%	3.5	18.0%	15.5%	2.5%	1.0%	3.44	4.08	-1.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		56	41	200	875	157	135	9	73%	3.5	18.0%	15.5%	2.5%	1.0%	3.44	4.08	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Channing Austin (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.99	14.2%	17.7%	2.7%	—	5.50	16.8%	1.5%	203	-0.49	—	—	—
Andrew Thurman R 2016 · 6.31 FIP	24	SP-	6.31	14.4%	16.9%	4.2%	.291	2.59	16.8%	9.6%	25	-3.72	2.59	264	85
Mason Pelio R 2023 · 6.38 FIP	23	SP-	6.38	13.3%	17.4%	4.0%	.255	5.88	9.0%	-12.8%	26	-0.50	5.88	122	84
J.P. Massey R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	23	SP	4.95	18.2%	16.0%	2.5%	.259	5.12	15.9%	0.6%	115	+0.17	4.72	195	81
Cobi Johnson R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	23	SP-	5.52	16.0%	14.8%	3.5%	.257	4.54	19.9%	1.4%	41	-0.98	4.54	140	79
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	79
Jacob Watters R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	22	SP	4.87	18.3%	17.1%	2.1%	.319	4.38	17.0%	5.1%	81	-0.49	3.85	165	79
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	78
Johnny Hellweg R 2015 · 5.96 FIP	26	SP	5.96	9.9%	19.0%	2.4%	.269	4.06	15.2%	2.0%	48	-1.90	2.98	109	77
Holt Jones R 2023 · 5.06 FIP	24	SP-	5.06	16.1%	17.9%	1.9%	.285	4.01	21.7%	7.0%	161	-1.05	3.37	241	77
Bryce Conley R 2019 · 5.40 FIP	24	SP-	5.40	17.0%	16.0%	3.1%	.227	4.28	17.4%	5.6%	142	-1.12	4.22	560	76
Boone Whiting R 2015 · 5.33 FIP	25	SP-	5.33	11.3%	13.9%	2.6%	.337	4.88	10.9%	4.8%	132	-0.45	4.88	227	76
Hunter Parks R 2023 · 5.15 FIP	22	SP	5.15	18.9%	19.3%	2.2%	.265	5.04	20.3%	3.9%	136	-0.11	4.62	298	76
Oscar Verdugo R 2015 · 6.33 FIP	25	SP-	6.33	10.5%	13.9%	4.3%	.241	5.78	10.8%	-1.8%	74	-0.55	5.01	144	75
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	75
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	75
Jake Madden R 2023 · 5.46 FIP	21	SP	5.46	15.9%	15.2%	3.2%	.299	4.57	14.1%	-1.1%	44	-0.89	4.57	123	75
Hayden Merda R 2023 · 5.17 FIP	23	SP	5.17	16.1%	15.3%	2.7%	.325	4.41	25.9%	11.8%	106	-0.76	3.84	202	75
Peyton Pallette R 2023 · 5.56 FIP	22	SP	5.56	18.0%	15.1%	3.8%	.254	4.00	23.2%	11.3%	197	-1.56	3.60	269	73
Carlos Tavera R 2023 · 5.86 FIP	24	SP-	5.86	19.6%	17.3%	4.0%	.267	5.23	18.9%	5.6%	114	-0.63	3.91	263	73
Henry Williams R 2023 · 5.59 FIP	21	SP	5.59	16.5%	14.2%	3.8%	.271	4.67	16.8%	7.0%	338	-0.92	4.16	404	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	67	16.4%	15.7%	1.06	5.62
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91