Mikey Tepper — OGILVIE

Mikey Tepper P Wilmington Blue Rocks

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 225 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 19 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 110

ERA4.92

FIP4.92

K%20.9%

BB%12.9%

K-BB%8.0%

ROS IP19

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	3	13	66	15	10	0	43%	1.9	14.8%	16.5%	-1.7%	0.0%	10.12	3.94	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	3	13	66	15	10	0	43%	1.9	14.8%	16.5%	-1.7%	0.0%	10.12	3.94	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	3	13	66	15	10	0	43%	1.9	22.7%	15.2%	7.6%	0.0%	10.12	3.10	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	5	49	214	55	27	1	26%	2.6	19.1%	14.6%	4.5%	0.7%	3.88	3.71	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	5	49	214	55	27	1	26%	2.6	19.1%	14.6%	4.5%	0.7%	3.88	3.71	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	19	5	49	214	55	27	1	26%	2.6	25.7%	12.6%	13.1%	0.5%	3.88	2.77	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	2	2	8	38	7	4	2	100%	3.8	18.4%	10.5%	7.9%	5.3%	10.57	5.77	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	2	2	8	38	7	4	2	100%	3.8	18.4%	10.5%	7.9%	5.3%	10.57	5.77	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	2	2	8	38	7	4	2	100%	3.8	18.4%	10.5%	7.9%	5.3%	10.57	6.23	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	18	12	65	292	64	40	9	67%	3.6	16.7%	16.0%	0.7%	4.0%	4.41	5.90	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	18	12	65	292	64	40	9	67%	3.6	16.7%	16.0%	0.7%	4.0%	4.41	5.90	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	ROK RAW	WSH	1	1	2	10	2	1	0	100%	2.0	20.0%	10.0%	10.0%	0.0%	9.00	2.68	—
2026	24	A RAW	WSH	5	5	17	73	20	7	0	100%	3.4	27.4%	9.6%	17.8%	0.0%	1.06	2.00	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	WSH	12	6	46	209	42	32	9	50%	3.9	20.1%	15.3%	4.8%	4.3%	5.44	5.71	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	WSH	11	11	65	274	59	32	8	100%	5.9	21.6%	11.7%	9.8%	2.9%	4.77	4.71	+0.1
2028	26	MLB MLE	WSH	11	11	65	274	60	31	8	100%	5.9	21.9%	11.5%	10.4%	2.9%	4.69	4.66	+0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	WSH	5	5	28	118	25	14	3	100%	5.6	21.6%	11.7%	9.8%	2.9%	4.77	4.71	+0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	WSH	7	7	43	182	40	21	5	100%	6.1	21.9%	11.5%	10.4%	2.9%	4.69	4.66	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	12	71	299	65	35	9	100%	5.9	21.8%	11.6%	10.2%	2.9%	4.72	4.30	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	183	99	25	100%	5.9	21.8%	11.6%	10.2%	2.9%	4.72	4.30	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		46	22	135	610	107	93	15	48%	2.9	17.5%	15.2%	2.2%	2.5%	5.13	4.91	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	33	200	904	158	138	22	48%	2.9	17.5%	15.2%	2.2%	2.5%	5.13	4.91	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mikey Tepper (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.92	20.9%	12.9%	2.9%	—	4.68	21.7%	10.1%	130	-0.24	—	—	—
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.38	17.8%	5.3%	123	-0.47	3.90	164	90
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.53	17.5%	5.2%	170	-0.49	3.97	187	82
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.73	25.0%	14.9%	174	-0.70	2.47	304	80
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.36	19.8%	10.9%	189	+0.28	3.06	349	79
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	79
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.18	21.7%	9.2%	123	+0.88	4.30	181	79
Jake Lee R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	24	SP-	4.65	25.7%	12.4%	3.9%	.296	3.52	18.7%	10.3%	40	-1.13	2.78	181	79
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	78
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.16	23.1%	9.1%	200	-1.68	3.51	223	76
Andrew Quezada R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP-	4.40	18.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.46	4.40	412	76
Sean Mooney R 2022 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	24.7%	13.5%	3.6%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	102	76
Chris Campos R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP-	4.91	21.0%	11.8%	3.8%	.364	4.57	18.7%	11.7%	237	-0.34	4.54	306	76
Keagan Gillies R 2022 · 5.68 FIP	24	SP-	5.68	17.2%	11.3%	4.7%	.370	3.54	23.4%	13.8%	142	-2.14	2.93	176	74
Orlando Rodriguez R 2021 · 4.54 FIP	25	SP-	4.54	20.8%	10.1%	3.5%	.380	4.51	19.3%	7.9%	101	-0.03	4.40	119	74
Nick Gallagher R 2019 · 4.56 FIP	23	SP-	4.56	22.0%	17.9%	1.9%	.274	5.02	21.0%	7.0%	73	+0.46	4.10	196	74
Greyfer Eregua R 2017 · 4.87 FIP	23	SP-	4.87	18.3%	9.3%	3.9%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	126	74
Jared Lyons R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	22	SP-	4.47	20.1%	15.3%	2.1%	.345	4.24	18.1%	8.1%	206	-0.23	3.28	260	74
Carson Rudd R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	21.0%	13.0%	4.7%	.274	4.61	17.5%	-0.1%	110	-0.92	3.39	242	73
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.40	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.40	3.65	299	73
Hunter Gregory R 2023 · 4.06 FIP	24	SW	4.06	20.0%	12.1%	2.0%	.322	5.11	20.1%	8.3%	161	+1.05	3.84	249	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	50	21.6%	11.8%	1.10	4.75
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58