Daniel Vazquez — OGILVIE

Daniel VazquezSS Northwest Arkansas Naturals

Age 22 R/R 6'2" / 150 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION310 act + 206 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .259 / .253

PA206

HR1

SB6

K%31

BB%7

BABIP294

ISO53

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$7M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	118	107	13	2	1	1	9	47	0	4	0	121	190	187	377	65	197	40	8	160	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	118	102	19	3	1	1	14	31	0	4	0	186	284	265	549	78	250	26	12	254	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	327	306	41	7	0	0	15	140	0	10	5	134	174	157	331	23	241	43	5	154	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	327	293	57	10	0	0	28	86	0	10	5	195	265	229	493	34	270	26	9	229	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	471	421	73	10	1	2	41	168	3	32	10	173	252	216	468	43	281	36	9	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	471	400	89	15	1	3	62	107	3	32	10	223	331	287	619	65	295	23	13	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	2 teams	—	380	344	64	10	0	0	30	129	1	14	5	186	253	215	468	29	294	34	8	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	2 teams	—	380	324	84	13	0	0	50	85	1	14	5	259	360	299	659	40	347	22	13	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	4 teams	—	607	553	113	22	5	2	44	169	1	38	10	204	264	273	537	69	286	28	7	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	4 teams	—	607	526	142	30	5	4	70	126	1	38	10	270	356	369	725	99	343	21	12	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	AA	KC	—	310	285	61	10	0	3	19	104	1	13	3	214	266	281	546	67	326	34	6	240	42	-20	+1	+0	+3	+9	-0.7
YTD	22	AA	KC	—	310	276	67	12	0	3	27	81	1	13	3	243	311	319	630	76	333	26	9	285	76	-8	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.5
ROS	22	AA	KC	2%	206	189	38	7	0	1	14	64	1	6	2	200	259	253	512	53	292	31	7	239	41	-14	+0	+1	+2	+6	-0.4
ROS	22	MLB	KC	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		289	25	0	234	37	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	AA	KC	—	314	289	62	10	0	3	19	105	1	13	3	215	265	280	546	66	326	33	6	240	42	-21	+1	+0	+3	+9	-0.7
TOT	22	AA	KC	—	516	474	99	17	0	4	33	168	2	19	5	209	263	270	533	61	313	33	6	240	42	-34	+2	+1	+6	+15	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	KC	26%	562	515	110	19	2	7	40	166	2	10	3	214	273	299	572	85	295	30	7	258	56	-28	+1	+3	+6	+16	-0.3
2028	24	MLB	KC	37%	597	545	120	21	2	10	44	172	3	10	3	220	282	321	603	101	296	29	7	270	65	-24	+1	+3	+6	+17	0.3
2029	25	MLB	KC	43%	615	561	125	22	2	12	46	174	3	9	3	223	285	333	619	111	296	28	7	277	70	-21	+1	+3	+7	+17	0.7
2030	26	MLB	KC	47%	627	571	128	22	2	13	48	176	3	9	3	224	288	338	626	114	296	28	8	280	73	-19	+1	+3	+7	+18	0.9
2031	27	MLB	KC	48%	629	572	128	22	2	13	49	177	3	9	3	224	288	337	626	114	296	28	8	281	73	-19	+1	+3	+7	+18	0.9
2027	23	MLB	KC	26%	146	134	28	5	0	2	10	43	1	3	1	209	269	291	560	82	292	29	7	252	51	-8	+0	+1	+2	+4	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	KC	37%	220	201	44	7	1	4	16	63	1	4	1	219	280	323	603	104	293	29	7	263	60	-10	+0	+1	+2	+6	0.0
2029	25	MLB	KC	43%	265	242	53	9	1	5	20	75	1	4	1	219	281	326	608	107	293	28	8	270	65	-11	+0	+1	+3	+8	0.2
2030	26	MLB	KC	47%	293	267	59	10	1	6	22	82	2	4	1	221	285	333	619	112	293	28	8	273	67	-11	+0	+1	+3	+8	0.2
2031	27	MLB	KC	48%	300	272	60	10	1	6	23	85	2	5	1	221	286	331	617	110	293	28	8	273	67	-11	+1	+2	+3	+8	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1228	1120	245	41	4	23	91	349	7	20	5	219	282	324	606	105	294	28	7	268	63	-51	+2	+6	+13	+35	0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	130	22	2	12	48	185	4	11	3	219	282	324	606	105	296	28	7	268	63	-27	+1	+3	+7	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	5139	4684	953	164	17	61	380	1582	20	151	47	203	266	285	551	81	290	31	7	248	48	-302	+11	+16	+55	+146	-7.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	121	21	2	8	48	200	3	19	6	204	267	287	555	83	291	31	7	248	48	-38	+1	+2	+7	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	118	102	19	3	1	1	14	31	0	4	0	186	284	265	549	78	250	26	12	254	53	-6	+1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2022	18	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	327	293	57	10	0	0	28	86	0	10	5	195	265	229	493	34	270	26	9	229	34	-25	+0	—	—	+9	-1.6
2023	19	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	471	400	89	15	1	3	62	107	3	32	10	223	331	287	619	65	295	23	13	289	79	-11	+2	—	—	+13	0.5
2024	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	325	277	70	10	0	0	43	72	1	12	5	253	355	289	644	36	338	22	13	301	89	-4	+0	—	—	+9	0.6
2024	20	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	55	47	14	3	0	0	7	13	0	2	0	298	389	362	751	64	400	24	13	340	118	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	21	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	21	21	4	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	1	190	190	190	381		267	29	0	172	-10	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	21	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	463	404	105	23	5	1	48	93	1	26	7	260	339	349	688	89	329	20	10	308	94	-3	+2	—	—	+13	1.3
2025	21	ROK	ACL Royals	—	25	22	7	2	0	1	3	7	0	1	0	318	400	545	945	227	429	28	12	414	175	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	98	79	26	5	0	2	19	20	0	11	2	329	459	468	928	139	421	20	19	419	179	+9	+1	—	—	+3	1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,230	23	19	221	281	328	+13	+4	0.6	0.7
	/162	664	12	10	221	281	328	+7.1	+2.2	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel Vazquez (OGILVIE)	22	45	45	55	52	209/263/270	61	313	4	19	33%	6%	42	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	39→49	38→45	48→50	44	184/272/269	85	267	5	10	31%	8%	52	-1.6	206/276/298	92	284	6	11	28%	6%	60	-1.0	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Luke Williams 2019 · A	22	41→46	37→45	50→60	41	199/250/266	67	260	5	15	25%	5%	40	-2.4	204/263/297	93	276	7	19	27%	7%	53	-1.5	230/291/360	130	317	13	42	30%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Dru Baker 2022 · A	22	45→55	37→40	56→60	41	213/266/295	82	298	4	14	28%	6%	54	-1.4	239/296/340	101	343	9	30	31%	6%	79	+0.3	247/300/330	83	351	7	39	30%	6%	73	-0.1
●Levi Michael 2013 · A	22	40→50	36→45	52→55	48	189/266/251	62	254	3	6	25%	8%	43	-2.2	211/283/293	82	280	5	16	24%	8%	61	-1.0	226/293/341	115	319	10	11	30%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Kristopher Negrón 2008 · A	22	42→51	37→45	55	43	202/266/271	69	272	4	18	26%	6%	48	-1.9	225/285/322	97	290	7	20	24%	6%	69	-0.4	230/293/333	103	294	9	23	23%	6%	72	-0.2
✕Melvin Santana 2014 · A	22	42	37→45	51→50	45	200/253/283	83	254	3	11	22%	6%	45	-2.1	203/251/281	78	279	3	11	27%	6%	43	-2.2	195/231/264	69	262	0	19	24%	4%	29	-0.6
✕Nick Allen 2021 · A	22	45→55	37→40	52→50	43	212/261/293	81	267	4	14	22%	5%	51	-1.7	222/272/320	98	275	9	14	22%	6%	63	-0.9	242/303/316	74	289	6	16	17%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2021 · A	22	43	36→45	50→40	46	203/265/271	69	261	4	5	23%	7%	48	-1.9	218/265/320	102	270	9	4	22%	5%	60	-1.0	231/267/357	126	276	14	0	22%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Derrik Gibson 2013 · AA	23	42→52	34→40	51→55	43	198/255/246	48	275	1	16	27%	6%	36	-2.7	225/286/296	71	304	3	13	25%	7%	63	-0.9	236/301/308	72	311	3	11	23%	8%	69	-0.2
✕Ryan Dorow 2018 · A	22	47→45	36→45	51→45	43	220/280/290	71	307	2	10	28%	7%	59	-1.1	206/267/300	94	319	7	7	35%	6%	56	-1.3	205/268/324	119	302	11	6	34%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Erlin Cerda 2016 · A	22	45	35→40	53→55	47	208/277/280	72	264	1	14	20%	7%	55	-1.4	198/248/269	71	293	2	9	31%	5%	39	-2.5	163/196/205	43	251	0	8	34%	3%	-4	-1.3
✕Frainyer Chavez 2021 · A	22	43→47	36→40	50	45	203/261/265	62	273	3	15	26%	7%	43	-2.2	204/274/269	65	289	4	11	28%	8%	51	-1.7	228/293/326	98	302	11	17	26%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Mitch Delfino 2013 · A	22	43→52	38→45	51→40	44	203/259/288	85	259	4	8	22%	6%	49	-1.8	236/274/353	117	276	13	4	19%	5%	72	-0.2	239/278/347	108	278	12	3	18%	5%	69	-0.3
✕Jose Sibrian 2021 · A	22	43	38→50	49→30	39	204/261/283	79	291	5	6	30%	6%	49	-1.8	200/255/276	76	267	5	3	26%	5%	45	-2.1	193/253/280	87	245	8	0	24%	5%	42	-0.8
✕Richie Martin Jr. 2017 · AA	22	46→52	38→45	47→60	44	220/282/299	80	287	5	13	24%	6%	62	-0.9	216/271/313	97	284	7	16	25%	6%	61	-1.0	223/277/327	103	292	8	20	25%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Ramon Mendoza 2023 · A	22	40→50	37→45	48→45	45	189/266/266	77	278	4	7	31%	8%	47	-1.9	210/282/308	98	299	8	5	30%	8%	65	-0.7	232/306/347	116	310	11	3	27%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Wendell Rijo 2018 · AA	22	40→41	38→55	45→50	39	194/248/274	81	270	6	11	30%	5%	41	-2.3	205/260/312	107	271	11	7	27%	6%	56	-1.3	208/263/371	163	264	20	14	29%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	41→51	39→45	50	42	199/261/284	85	279	6	11	30%	7%	50	-1.8	227/277/335	108	310	11	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Justin Dean 2019 · A	22	48→49	38→45	54→65	43	222/288/312	90	324	3	14	30%	7%	67	-0.5	218/290/333	115	320	10	24	33%	8%	75	-0.0	232/303/321	89	344	6	48	32%	8%	73	-0.1