Gioskar Amaya
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 23 | AA/A+/INTL3 orgs | 386 | .241/.314/.377 | 7 | 4 | 54 | — | .165/.229/.252 |
| 2017 | 24 | INTLNavegantes de… | 33 | .286/.355/.393 | 0 | 0 | 102 | — | |
| 2019 | 26 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 385 | .248/.307/.359 | 4 | 1 | 52 | — | .188/.230/.261 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cubs 1 | — | 285 | 238 | 67 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 33 | 10 | 18 | 8 | 282 | 380 | 353 | 733 | 71 | 317 | 12 | 10 | 329 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK | AZL Cubs | — | 227 | 204 | 77 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 13 | 39 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 377 | 423 | 510 | 933 | 132 | 458 | 17 | 6 | 400 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A | Kane County Cougars | — | 516 | 453 | 114 | 26 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 108 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 252 | 333 | 369 | 701 | 117 | 316 | 21 | 8 | 314 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ | Daytona Cubs | — | 435 | 369 | 102 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 53 | 90 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 276 | 381 | 369 | 749 | 92 | 354 | 21 | 12 | 342 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A | South Bend Cubs | — | 456 | 400 | 104 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 44 | 73 | 6 | 17 | 5 | 260 | 342 | 345 | 687 | 85 | 308 | 16 | 10 | 312 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | INTL | Tigres de Aragua | — | 44 | 40 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 279 | 325 | 604 | 100 | 273 | 18 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 146 | 131 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 183 | 267 | 237 | 504 | 53 | 264 | 29 | 9 | 239 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 168 | 143 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 36 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 245 | 341 | 427 | 768 | 182 | 286 | 21 | 12 | 336 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | INTL | Tigres de Aragua | — | 72 | 71 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 338 | 347 | 535 | 882 | 197 | 442 | 25 | 0 | 385 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 33 | 28 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 355 | 393 | 748 | 107 | 348 | 21 | 6 | 318 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 295 | 269 | 66 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 71 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 245 | 302 | 342 | 644 | 97 | 323 | 24 | 5 | 289 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 90 | 82 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 256 | 322 | 415 | 737 | 159 | 365 | 31 | 7 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cubs 1 | — | 285 | 246 | 46 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 40 | 10 | 18 | 8 | 187 | 275 | 236 | 511 | 49 | 202 | 14 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 227 | 210 | 63 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 56 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 300 | 332 | 395 | 727 | 95 | 385 | 25 | 3 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 516 | 467 | 91 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 150 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 195 | 260 | 287 | 547 | 92 | 264 | 29 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Daytona Cubs | — | 435 | 383 | 86 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 39 | 133 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 225 | 311 | 295 | 606 | 70 | 328 | 31 | 9 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 456 | 414 | 87 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 101 | 6 | 17 | 5 | 210 | 273 | 273 | 546 | 63 | 260 | 22 | 7 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 146 | 135 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 148 | 212 | 200 | 412 | 52 | 233 | 36 | 6 | 184 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 168 | 151 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 53 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 179 | 244 | 298 | 542 | 119 | 240 | 32 | 7 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 295 | 276 | 52 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 89 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 230 | 261 | 491 | 72 | 267 | 30 | 3 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cubs 1 | — | 285 | 246 | 46 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 40 | 10 | 18 | 8 | 187 | 275 | 236 | 511 | 49 | 215 | 14 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Cubs 1 | — | 285 | 238 | 67 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 33 | 10 | 18 | 8 | 282 | 380 | 353 | 733 | 71 | 317 | 12 | 10 | 329 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 227 | 210 | 63 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 56 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 300 | 332 | 395 | 727 | 95 | 401 | 25 | 3 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Cubs | — | 227 | 204 | 77 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 13 | 39 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 377 | 423 | 510 | 933 | 132 | 458 | 17 | 6 | 400 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 516 | 467 | 91 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 150 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 195 | 260 | 287 | 547 | 92 | 274 | 29 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A RAW | Kane County Cougars | — | 516 | 453 | 114 | 26 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 108 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 252 | 333 | 369 | 701 | 117 | 316 | 21 | 8 | 314 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Daytona Cubs | — | 435 | 383 | 86 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 39 | 133 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 225 | 311 | 295 | 606 | 70 | 333 | 31 | 9 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ RAW | Daytona Cubs | — | 435 | 369 | 102 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 53 | 90 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 276 | 381 | 369 | 749 | 92 | 354 | 21 | 12 | 342 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 500 | 454 | 94 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 110 | 6 | 17 | 5 | 207 | 270 | 267 | 536 | 59 | 265 | 22 | 7 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 500 | 440 | 113 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 47 | 81 | 6 | 17 | 5 | 257 | 337 | 343 | 680 | 86 | 304 | 16 | 9 | 308 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 386 | 352 | 58 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 130 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 165 | 230 | 250 | 480 | 85 | 241 | 34 | 7 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 386 | 345 | 83 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 97 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 241 | 314 | 377 | 691 | 136 | 311 | 25 | 9 | 308 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | INTL MLE | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 33 | 28 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 355 | 393 | 748 | 107 | 348 | 21 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | INTL RAW | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 33 | 28 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 355 | 393 | 748 | 107 | 348 | 21 | 6 | 318 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 385 | 361 | 69 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 116 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 191 | 234 | 269 | 502 | 78 | 273 | 30 | 3 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 385 | 351 | 87 | 25 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 99 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 248 | 307 | 359 | 666 | 111 | 332 | 26 | 6 | 298 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cubs 1 | — | 285 | 253 | 46 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 40 | 10 | 18 | 8 | 182 | 275 | 229 | 505 | 47 | 202 | 14 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 227 | 215 | 63 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 56 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 293 | 332 | 386 | 718 | 93 | 385 | 25 | 3 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 516 | 470 | 91 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 150 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 194 | 260 | 285 | 545 | 91 | 264 | 29 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Daytona Cubs | — | 435 | 384 | 86 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 39 | 133 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 224 | 311 | 294 | 605 | 70 | 328 | 31 | 9 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 500 | 457 | 94 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 110 | 6 | 17 | 5 | 206 | 270 | 265 | 535 | 59 | 260 | 22 | 7 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 386 | 353 | 58 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 130 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 164 | 230 | 249 | 480 | 85 | 237 | 34 | 7 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 385 | 362 | 69 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 116 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 191 | 234 | 268 | 502 | 77 | 267 | 30 | 3 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2767 | 2501 | 515 | 96 | 20 | 18 | 167 | 742 | 54 | 80 | 38 | 206 | 270 | 282 | 552 | 76 | 282 | 27 | 6 | 240 | 49 | -169 | +1 | +0 | +49 | +60 | -6.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 122 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 174 | 13 | 19 | 9 | 207 | 272 | 284 | 556 | 77 | 284 | 27 | 6 | 240 | 49 | -40 | +0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AATennessee Smokies · 295 PAwOBA .280 → .219 (−61)K% 24.1% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.07% | ÷0.972 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.75% | ÷1.047 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 3.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.03% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 1.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷1.051 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 18.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.977 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 7.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.51% | ÷0.957 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 0.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.01% | ÷1.142 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.69% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 110, 2B 95, 3B 91, K 94, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .280 → .219; ISO .097 → .077; BABIP .323 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans · 168 PAwOBA .333 → .243 (−90)K% 21.4% → 31.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.43% | ÷0.965 | ×1.420 | — | — | 31.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.90% | ÷1.043 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 7.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.60% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.69% | ÷1.044 | ×0.940 | ×0.964 | ×0.988 | 16.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.41% | ÷0.920 | ×0.830 | ×0.964 | ×0.988 | 7.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.93% | ÷1.038 | ×0.800 | ×0.964 | ×0.988 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.67% | ÷1.311 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 3.17% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 162, 1B 109, 2B 84, 3B 108, K 93, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .333 → .243; ISO .182 → .129; BABIP .286 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AATennessee Smokies · 146 PAwOBA .233 → .184 (−49)K% 29.5% → 36.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.45% | ÷0.992 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.90% | ÷0.982 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 6.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.37% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷1.013 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 19.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.27% | ÷0.918 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 2.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.14% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 1.07% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.14% | ÷1.059 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.87% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 103, 2B 84, 3B 80, K 98, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .233 → .184; ISO .053 → .043; BABIP .264 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ASouth Bend Cubs · 456 PAwOBA .305 → .240 (−66)K% 16.0% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.01% | ÷0.984 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.65% | ÷1.006 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 6.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.32% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 1.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.46% | ÷1.036 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | ×0.990 | 21.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.50% | ÷1.109 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | ×0.990 | 4.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.61% | ÷1.073 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | ×0.990 | 0.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.22% | ÷1.064 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.91% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 107, 2B 122, 3B 115, K 97, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .305 → .240; ISO .085 → .063; BABIP .308 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Daytona Cubs · 435 PAwOBA .335 → .276 (−60)K% 20.7% → 30.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.69% | ÷0.959 | ×1.420 | — | — | 30.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.18% | ÷1.044 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 8.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.07% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 1.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.32% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×0.990 | ×1.012 | 26.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.73% | ÷1.006 | ×0.960 | ×0.990 | ×1.012 | 5.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.08% | ÷0.986 | ×0.810 | ×0.990 | ×1.012 | 0.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.43% | ÷0.930 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 1.37% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 99, 2B 101, 3B 97, K 92, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .335 → .276; ISO .092 → .079; BABIP .354 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AKane County Cougars · 516 PAwOBA .309 → .240 (−69)K% 20.9% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.93% | ÷0.980 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.14% | ÷1.047 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 5.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.52% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.32% | ÷1.091 | ×0.920 | ×0.982 | ×1.015 | 18.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.54% | ÷0.990 | ×0.830 | ×0.982 | ×1.015 | 6.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.74% | ÷1.105 | ×0.910 | ×0.982 | ×1.015 | 1.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.45% | ÷0.913 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.29% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 118, 2B 98, 3B 121, K 96, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .309 → .240; ISO .117 → .094; BABIP .316 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ROKAZL Cubs · 227 PAwOBA .393 → .311 (−82)K% 17.2% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.18% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 24.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 3.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.32% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.048 | ×1.008 | 30.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.048 | ×1.008 | 5.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.048 | ×1.008 | 3.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .393 → .311; ISO .132 → .098; BABIP .458 → .385. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 DSLDSL Cubs 1 · 285 PAwOBA .326 → .221 (−105)K% 11.6% → 14.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.58% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 6.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.51% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 2.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 17.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 2.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 0.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.23% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .326 → .221; ISO .071 → .042; BABIP .317 → .202. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .