Tre Richardson IIISS Peoria Chiefs
Age 24 R/R 5'9" / 165 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION201 act + 134 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†59
AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .263 / .314
PA134
HR3
SB8
K%31
BB%7
BABIP260
ISO124
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -3.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +6.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+6RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +9.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: +1.50+1.5WAR
0.00.51.00.00.10.30.40.3+$8M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.9M+$0.3M
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.9M $0.9M +$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202321 APalm Beach Cardinals 9683 16410 10282 71 193295265560 72286 2910 267 63
202321 APalm Beach Cardinals 9679 19510 14182 71 241368329698 89306 1915 323 106
202422 A+2 teams 330289 48831 271179 167 166258225483 59273 358 223 29
202422 A+2 teams 330281 591151 35849 167 210317295612 85294 2511 283 75
202523 A+Peoria Chiefs 345314 581203 22908 169 185256252507 67248 266 230 34
202523 A+Peoria Chiefs 345303 731803 33608 169 241331330661 89290 1710 305 92
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD24 A+STL 201180 435112 17733 241 239315478793 239323 368 330 111 +2 +4 +0 +2 +6 1.5
YTD24 A+STL 201173 516115 24553 241 295390601991 306346 2712 426 185 +19 +4 +0 +2 +6 3.2
ROS24 A+STL 0% 134121 23413 10422 81 190263314577 124256 317 263 59 -6 +1 +0 +1 +4 0.0
ROS24 MLBSTL 0% 11 0000 000 00 256 00 250 49 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL24 A+STL 202181 435112 17733 241 238313475789 238320 368 330 110 +2 +4 +0 +2 +6 1.5
TOT24 A+STL 335301 669215 271155 322 219294412706 193295 348 303 90 -4 +6 +0 +4 +9 1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBSTL 30% 350314 611019 271076 173 194271318589 124260 318 267 63 -15 +2 +0 +4 +10 0.1
202826 MLBSTL 44% 393353 7112210 311186 194 201277331608 130263 308 272 67 -15 +2 +0 +4 +11 0.3
202927 MLBSTL 49% 411368 7412211 331227 204 201279334614 133264 308 275 69 -14 +2 +0 +4 +12 0.4
203028 MLBSTL 52% 419375 7613211 341247 194 203281336617 133265 308 276 69 -15 +2 -1 +4 +12 0.3
202725 MLBSTL 30% 10695 18303 8322 51 189267316582 126260 308 255 53 -6 +1 +0 +1 +3 -0.1
202826 MLBSTL 44% 174155 31514 14523 82 200279323602 123263 308 260 57 -8 +1 +0 +2 +5 -0.1
202927 MLBSTL 49% 201180 36615 16603 102 200276328604 128264 308 263 60 -9 +1 +0 +2 +6 -0.0
203028 MLBSTL 52% 216193 40716 18643 102 207285347632 140265 308 264 60 -10 +1 -0 +2 +6 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career 698624 12521318 5620811 337 200278330608 130266 308 261 58 -33 +4 -0 +7 +20 -0.2
/ 162G 650581 11720317 5219410 317 201278334612 133267 308 261 58 -31 +3 -0 +7 +18 -0.2
Career 24782217 427751248 19474847 12233 193272302574 110264 308 260 57 -121 +11 -1 +27 +70 -1.4
/ 162G 650582 11320313 5119612 329 194273306579 112266 308 260 57 -32 +3 -0 +7 +18 -0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202321 APalm Beach Cardinals 9679 19510 14182 71 241368329698 89306 1915 323 106 +1 +1 +3 0.4
202422 A+Peoria Chiefs 249216 521031 24596 145 241333329662 88327 2410 302 90 -3 +1 +7 0.5
202422 APalm Beach Cardinals 8165 7120 11253 22 108266185450 77171 3114 222 28 -7 -0 +2 -0.5
202523 A+Peoria Chiefs 345303 731803 33608 169 241331330661 89290 1710 305 92 -3 -0 +10 0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#3Chris Owingslast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA
92,4203578239286365+13-03.74.5
/1626641021+3.6-0.11.0pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
26991833200274328+7+60.60.6
/1626641732+7.1+5.70.5pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Tre Richardson III (OGILVIE) 24 45 30 55 40 219/294/412 193295 1532 34% 8% 90 +1.5
Mike Martin
2017 · A
24 44 36→30 51→55 43 207/272/268 61283 414 27% 7% 50 -1.7 224/273/295 71281 418 21% 5% 56 -1.3 231/275/2885728212718%4%52-0.8
Eduardo Torrealba
2023 · A
24 44 39→30 54→50 45 212/266/293 81256 617 20% 6% 53 -1.5 211/270/285 74267 514 22% 6% 53 -1.5 206/268/2554925931520%6%43-1.1
Nick Meyer
2021 · A
24 35 36→40 52→50 40 172/231/233 61252 415 32% 6% 24 -3.6 212/280/299 87278 914 25% 8% 62 -0.9 207/281/29083267101625%8%57-0.6
Hunter Jones
2016 · A
24 41→51 40→45 56→55 41 198/260/283 85278 821 30% 6% 49 -1.8 218/273/313 95290 717 26% 6% 62 -0.9 225/281/3249929371624%6%65-0.5
Derrik Gibson
2014 · AA
24 45→54 35→40 50→55 44 212/272/274 62294 315 27% 7% 51 -1.7 234/295/309 75305 412 23% 7% 69 -0.4 240/303/3086830531121%7%69-0.3
Malquin Canelo
2019 · AA
24 43→49 39→40 52→50 40 209/252/291 82286 616 29% 5% 46 -2.0 208/252/290 82311 612 33% 5% 46 -2.0 195/240/269733064836%5%33-1.5
Francisco Martinez
2015 · AA
24 44→51 36→40 54→55 38 208/247/268 60286 322 28% 5% 37 -2.6 219/247/320 101301 816 29% 3% 52 -1.6 224/243/33511130791530%2%50-1.5
Patrick Biondi
2015 · A
24 45→44 36→30 50→60 45 211/268/281 70279 315 24% 7% 50 -1.7 231/285/300 69308 425 24% 6% 63 -0.9 239/296/2965731833224%7%62-0.5
Grant Little
2021 · A
24 43 36→30 51→55 46 204/264/272 68264 38 23% 7% 47 -1.9 214/293/289 75298 518 27% 8% 65 -0.7 202/296/2474628822827%8%54-0.6
Jacob Young
2022 · A
23 43→53 38→40 57→60 43 204/254/284 80263 521 24% 6% 46 -2.0 243/304/321 78311 431 21% 7% 76 +0.1 252/314/3297731933620%6%80+0.3
Matt Lipka
2016 · AA
24 44→54 38→45 53→60 39 210/245/288 78261 519 22% 4% 43 -2.2 205/253/299 94267 719 25% 5% 50 -1.8 230/283/343114308113128%6%70-0.2
Mark Thompson
2009 · A
24 43 39→45 52→50 43 207/266/292 85258 612 22% 5% 53 -1.5 218/282/329 111282 1111 25% 6% 70 -0.3 215/285/332117276141126%6%70-0.2
Jecksson Flores
2018 · A
24 45→53 38→40 50→55 41 214/255/293 79268 513 22% 4% 48 -1.9 225/268/313 88278 718 21% 5% 59 -1.1 222/273/3058327161720%5%56-0.9
Dylan Neuse
2023 · A
24 36 40 49→50 44 178/256/260 82272 814 35% 9% 42 -2.3 211/287/303 92304 712 30% 9% 66 -0.6 219/303/3139430951328%10%75-0.0
Dwayne Bailey
2011 · AAA
24 42 35→30 53→50 40 195/250/250 55290 214 32% 6% 35 -2.8 219/281/290 71320 312 30% 7% 59 -1.1 227/294/2866033421130%8%59-0.7
Cade Gotta
2016 · A
24 40→50 40→45 53→55 42 197/257/297 100275 715 30% 7% 51 -1.7 229/274/327 98294 727 23% 6% 65 -0.7 241/300/34310230763622%8%78+0.1
Luke Williams
2021 · AA
24 41→46 42→45 52→60 43 202/263/305 103271 920 28% 7% 56 -1.3 228/286/325 97313 828 28% 7% 70 -0.3 230/291/360130317134230%7%79+0.2
Alfredo Rodriguez
2017 · A
23 42→52 36→30 55→45 42 200/265/269 69274 314 27% 6% 47 -1.9 218/259/272 54282 310 22% 4% 43 -2.2 230/268/284542942922%4%48-1.2
Ryan Lee
2010 · A
24 47 34→30 52→55 47 218/279/272 54278 216 21% 7% 53 -1.5 225/270/292 67310 315 27% 5% 54 -1.4 242/271/2965434022228%3%52-0.6
Rand Smith
2011 · A
24 41→39 36→30 53→50 46 195/260/260 66263 415 26% 8% 43 -2.2 207/272/280 73299 510 30% 8% 53 -1.5 186/262/225392881432%9%32-1.1