Tre Richardson III

SS Springfield Cardinals
Age 25 R/R 5'9" / 165 lbs AA HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1486ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422A+/ASTL330.210/.317/.29511639—.177/.264/.246
202523A+STL345.241/.331/.33031646—.194/.265/.264
202624AA/A+STL363.294/.384/.528193499—.237/.307/.408
2027PROJMLE25MLBSTL4.213/.282/.33100750.0
2028PROJ39% MLB26MLBSTL92.214/.284/.33524760.1
2029PROJ53% MLB27MLBSTL141.215/.285/.33636770.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Speed82
wOBA66
wRC+59
BB%58
ISO57
K%45
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 0.3, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 93%
CompsJosé Caballero (age 25) · Chad Hinshaw (age 25) · Daniel Carroll (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†75
AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .282 / .331
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%8
BABIP285
ISO127
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +1.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.00.10.10.10.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.6M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202321 APalm Beach Cardinals — 9679 19510 14182 71 241368329698 89306 1915 323 65 — — — — — —
202422 A+Peoria Chiefs — 249216 521031 24596 145 241333329662 88327 2410 302 53 — — — — — —
202422 APalm Beach Cardinals — 8165 7120 11253 22 108266185450 77171 3114 222 -4 — — — — — —
202523 A+Peoria Chiefs — 345303 731803 33608 169 241331330661 89290 1710 305 46 — — — — — —
202624 AASpringfield Cardinals — 241212 571008 27612 222 269357429786 160343 2511 353 78 — — — — — —
202624 A+Peoria Chiefs — 122104 365111 15352 121 3464387311.169 385424 2912 492 139 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202321 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 9683 17410 10262 71 205305277582 72288 2710 265 65 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEPeoria Chiefs — 249223 46821 17746 145 206280274554 67297 307 246 53 — — — — — —
202422 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 8168 6120 8353 22 88215162377 74147 4310 163 -4 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEPeoria Chiefs — 345314 611303 22808 169 194265264529 70247 236 236 46 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 241220 49806 19742 222 223290341631 118313 318 283 78 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLEPeoria Chiefs — 122109 29418 10442 121 266339541880 275360 368 373 139 — — — — — —
202321 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 9683 17410 10262 71 205305277582 72293 2710 265 65 — — — — — —
202321 A RAWPalm Beach Cardinals — 9679 19510 14182 71 241368329698 89306 1915 323 65 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLE2 teams — 330291 52941 251109 167 179265247512 69282 338 226 39 — — — — — —
202422 A+ RAW2 teams — 330281 591151 35849 167 210317295612 85294 2511 283 39 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEPeoria Chiefs — 345314 611303 22808 169 194265264529 70250 236 236 46 — — — — — —
202523 A+ RAWPeoria Chiefs — 345303 731803 33608 169 241331330661 89290 1710 305 46 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLE2 teams — 363329 7912114 291194 343 240309410720 170330 338 313 98 — — — — — —
202624 AA RAW2 teams — 363316 9315119 42964 343 294384528912 234366 2612 400 98 — — — — — —
202321 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 9684 17410 10262 71 202305274579 71288 2710 265 65 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLE2 teams — 330293 52941 251109 167 177265246510 68260 338 226 39 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEPeoria Chiefs — 345312 611303 22808 169 196265266531 71247 236 236 46 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLE2 teams — 363327 7912114 291194 343 242309413722 171329 338 313 98 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 A+ MLE2 teams — 330293 52941 251109 167 177265246510 68260 338 226 39 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEPeoria Chiefs — 345312 611303 22808 169 196265266531 71247 236 236 46 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLE2 teams — 363327 7912114 291194 343 242309413722 171329 338 313 98 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLESTL 2% 380344 731319 281115 174 213282335617 123283 297 278 75 -11 +2 +0 +4 +8 0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXSTL 2% 44 1000 010 00 213282331613 119285 250 277 75 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLESTL 39% 237214 46816 18683 102 214284339623 125283 298 281 76 -7 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.2
202927 MLB MLESTL 53% 269244 52916 20773 113 215285340625 125283 297 281 77 -7 +1 +0 +3 +6 0.2
203028 MLB MLESTL 60% 289261 561017 22824 112 215285339624 124283 288 281 76 -8 +1 -1 +3 +6 0.2
203129 MLB MLESTL 62% 291263 561017 22834 102 214284336620 122282 298 280 75 -8 +1 -1 +3 +6 0.1
203230 MLB MLESTL 63% 290263 561017 22833 82 213282333615 120281 298 278 74 -9 +1 -2 +3 +6 -0.1
202826 MLB CTXSTL 39% 9284 17302 7271 41 214284335619 121285 298 279 76 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
202927 MLB CTXSTL 53% 141127 27503 11402 61 215285336621 121285 288 280 77 -4 +1 +0 +2 +3 0.1
203028 MLB CTXSTL 60% 173156 34614 13492 71 215285335620 120285 288 280 76 -5 +1 -0 +2 +4 0.1
203129 MLB CTXSTL 62% 180162 36714 14512 61 214284333617 119284 288 278 75 -5 +1 -1 +2 +4 0.1
203230 MLB CTXSTL 63% 182164 36714 14522 51 213282329612 116283 298 276 74 -6 +1 -1 +2 +4 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 768693 15028317 592199 285 216286339626 123289 298 279 70 -22 +4 -3 +8 +17 0.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650587 12724314 501858 244 216287339626 123289 288 279 70 -19 +3 -2 +7 +14 0.3
Career— MLE — 27202451 516921256 20678943 13233 211283326610 116285 298 272 70 -46 +7 -4 +17 +34 0.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650586 12322313 4918910 328 210282324606 114285 298 272 70 -19 +3 -2 +7 +14 0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AASpringfield Cardinals · 241 PAwOBA .344 → .283 (−61)K% 25.3% → 30.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.31%÷1.000×1.220——30.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.20%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9987.83%
HBP% /PA0.83%—×0.870—×0.9980.72%
Singles /BIP25.83%÷1.000×0.920×1.025×0.99824.31%
Doubles /BIP6.62%÷1.000×0.840×1.025×0.9985.69%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.940×1.025×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP5.30%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9984.23%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .344 → .283; ISO .160 → .127; BABIP .343 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Peoria Chiefs · 122 PAwOBA .482 → .373 (−109)K% 28.7% → 36.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.69%÷1.000×1.270——36.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.30%÷1.000×0.710—×0.9788.54%
HBP% /PA1.64%—×0.790—×0.9781.27%
Singles /BIP27.54%÷1.000×0.920×1.012×0.97825.06%
Doubles /BIP7.25%÷1.000×0.810×1.012×0.9785.81%
Triples /BIP1.45%÷1.000×0.850×1.012×0.9781.22%
Home runs /BIP15.94%÷1.000×0.800—×0.97812.47%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .482 → .373; ISO .385 → .288; BABIP .424 → .360. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Peoria Chiefs · 345 PAwOBA .299 → .236 (−63)K% 17.4% → 23.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.39%÷0.951×1.270——23.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.57%÷1.027×0.710—×0.9886.53%
HBP% /PA2.32%—×0.790—×0.9881.81%
Singles /BIP21.40%÷1.010×0.920×0.992×0.98819.10%
Doubles /BIP7.41%÷1.083×0.810×0.992×0.9885.43%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.926×0.850×0.992×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP1.23%÷0.857×0.800—×0.9881.14%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 102, 2B 117, 3B 85, K 90, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.

Result: wOBA .299 → .236; ISO .089 → .069; BABIP .290 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Peoria Chiefs · 249 PAwOBA .294 → .246 (−47)K% 23.7% → 29.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.69%÷1.006×1.270——29.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.24%÷0.930×0.710—×0.9987.04%
HBP% /PA2.41%—×0.790—×0.9981.90%
Singles /BIP24.20%÷0.995×0.920×1.021×0.99822.82%
Doubles /BIP6.37%÷1.000×0.810×1.021×0.9985.26%
Triples /BIP1.91%÷1.150×0.850×1.021×0.9981.44%
Home runs /BIP0.64%÷0.993×0.800—×0.9980.51%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 101, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.

Result: wOBA .294 → .246; ISO .088 → .068; BABIP .327 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 APalm Beach Cardinals · 81 PAwOBA .221 → .163 (−58)K% 30.9% → 43.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.86%÷0.968×1.360——43.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.58%÷0.999×0.690—×0.9909.28%
HBP% /PA3.70%—×0.780—×0.9902.86%
Singles /BIP10.00%÷1.040×0.920×0.986×0.9908.64%
Doubles /BIP2.50%÷1.153×0.830×0.986×0.9901.76%
Triples /BIP5.00%÷0.946×0.910×0.986×0.9904.70%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.036×0.800—×0.9900.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 108, 2B 131, 3B 89, K 94, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .221 → .163; ISO .077 → .062; BABIP .171 → .147. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 APalm Beach Cardinals · 96 PAwOBA .319 → .265 (−55)K% 18.8% → 26.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.75%÷0.950×1.360——26.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.58%÷1.000×0.690——10.06%
HBP% /PA2.08%—×0.780——1.62%
Singles /BIP21.31%÷0.998×0.920×1.050—20.62%
Doubles /BIP8.20%÷1.007×0.830×1.050—7.09%
Triples /BIP1.64%÷1.023×0.910×1.050—1.53%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.010×0.800——0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 100, 2B 101, 3B 105, K 90, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .319 → .265; ISO .089 → .076; BABIP .306 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).