Jose Contreras
P
ACL Guardians
Age 24
RHP
6'2" / 175 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 12 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.37
FIP4.37
K%23.3%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%13.7%
ROS IP12
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Indians Blue | 11 | 11 | 23 | 129 | 16 | 41 | 0 | 100% | 2.1 | 8.4% | 39.7% | -31.3% | 0.0% | 15.09 | 7.42 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Indians Blue | 11 | 11 | 23 | 129 | 16 | 41 | 0 | 100% | 2.1 | 12.4% | 31.8% | -19.4% | 0.0% | 15.09 | 7.11 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL CLE Red | 12 | 12 | 34 | 183 | 31 | 33 | 0 | 100% | 2.8 | 11.5% | 22.5% | -11.0% | 0.0% | 10.85 | 4.98 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL CLE Red | 12 | 12 | 34 | 183 | 31 | 33 | 0 | 100% | 2.8 | 16.9% | 18.0% | -1.1% | 0.0% | 10.85 | 4.19 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Guardians | 15 | 0 | 21 | 119 | 26 | 36 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 14.9% | 37.8% | -23.0% | 0.0% | 10.89 | 6.64 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Guardians | 15 | 0 | 21 | 119 | 26 | 36 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.8% | 30.3% | -8.4% | 0.0% | 10.89 | 5.81 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | CLE | 2 | 2 | 12 | 52 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 6.2 | 23.3% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CLE | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 23.7% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CLE | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 23.7% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 4.28 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 8.6 | 23.7% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 3.90 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 211 | 70 | 23 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.7% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 3.90 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 38 | 23 | 77 | 431 | 50 | 138 | 0 | 61% | 2.0 | 11.5% | 31.9% | -20.4% | 0.0% | 12.10 | 6.17 | -1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 98 | 59 | 200 | 1115 | 128 | 356 | 0 | 61% | 2.0 | 11.5% | 31.9% | -20.4% | 0.0% | 12.10 | 6.17 | -1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jose Contreras (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.37 | 23.3% | 9.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.28 | 23.7% | 14.4% | 20 | -0.09 | — | — | — |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2028 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 82 |
| Casey Legumina R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 82 |
| Ray Gaither R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 77 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2027 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 75 |
| Keagan Gillies R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.41 | 17.2% | 11.3% | 4.2% | .370 | 3.48 | 23.5% | 13.7% | 142 | -1.93 | 2.88 | 157 | 74 |
| Nick Morreale R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.21 | 23.8% | 13.1% | 0.8% | .360 | 3.96 | 20.1% | 11.5% | 211 | +0.75 | 2.97 | 280 | 73 |
| Yosver Zulueta R 2026 · 3.20 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.20 | 27.1% | 14.0% | 1.1% | .299 | 3.84 | 24.8% | 10.5% | 195 | +0.64 | 3.20 | 314 | 72 |
| Drew Rasmussen R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.62 | 24.6% | 12.6% | 1.8% | .312 | 3.26 | 22.7% | 16.2% | 237 | -0.36 | 1.21 | 621 | 72 |
| Blair Henley R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .450 | 4.58 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.22 | 3.80 | 187 | 71 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 71 |
| Sean Harney R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.51 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 1.3% | .285 | 4.69 | 16.5% | 5.1% | 59 | +1.18 | 3.51 | 123 | 71 |
| Ryan Jennings R 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.29 | 23.4% | 11.9% | 1.2% | .316 | 4.60 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 109 | +1.31 | 3.29 | 142 | 70 |
| Greyfer Eregua R 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.85 | 18.3% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 126 | 70 |
| Sean Mooney R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 69 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 69 |
| Jake Lee R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.43 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 40 | -1.37 | 2.78 | 181 | 69 |
| Mason McGwire R 2024 · 3.50 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.50 | 23.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 128 | 69 |
| Chase Centala R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 124 | 69 |
| Brett Gillis R 2027 · 3.37 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.37 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .278 | 5.10 | 15.8% | 6.7% | 73 | +1.73 | 3.37 | 119 | 69 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.87 | 20.0% | 12.1% | 1.7% | .322 | 4.79 | 20.4% | 8.0% | 146 | +0.92 | 3.18 | 234 | 69 |