Carlos Amaya — OGILVIE

Carlos AmayaC Stockton Ports

Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 165 lbs A HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 91 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .267 / .311

PA91

HR1

K%28

BB%6

ISO103

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	75	67	21	4	1	0	6	17	1	2	2	313	378	403	781	90	412	23	8	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	75	63	26	6	1	0	10	12	1	2	2	413	500	540	1.040	127	500	16	13	456	207	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	127	117	20	6	1	2	7	45	1	2	1	171	224	291	515	120	250	35	6	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	127	112	28	9	1	3	12	31	1	2	1	250	328	429	757	179	312	24	9	331	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	57	53	6	2	0	0	1	22	1	0	0	113	145	151	296	38	182	39	2	121	-49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	57	53	7	2	0	0	1	14	1	0	0	132	164	170	333	38	171	25	2	150	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	2 teams	—	190	175	31	8	0	1	10	57	2	1	1	177	230	240	470	63	254	30	5	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	2 teams	—	190	170	36	9	0	2	15	43	2	1	1	212	283	300	583	88	270	23	8	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	OAK	—	91	84	16	3	0	1	6	26	1	1	0	190	253	262	515	71	284	29	7	263	60	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	OAK	30%	135	124	26	5	1	2	9	37	1	2	1	210	269	315	583	105	286	27	7	272	66	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2028	26	MLB	OAK	44%	239	219	48	9	1	5	16	65	2	4	1	219	278	338	616	119	286	27	7	278	71	-8	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2029	27	MLB	OAK	49%	302	275	61	12	2	6	21	82	3	4	1	222	284	345	630	124	286	27	7	280	73	-9	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.5
2030	28	MLB	OAK	51%	343	312	69	13	2	7	25	93	3	5	1	221	285	343	628	122	286	27	7	280	73	-11	+1	-1	+6	+10	0.5
2027	25	MLB	OAK	30%	41	38	9	2	0	1	3	11	0	1	0	237	293	368	661	132	283	27	7	263	59	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	26	MLB	OAK	44%	105	96	21	4	1	2	7	29	1	2	0	219	279	344	623	125	284	28	7	268	63	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	27	MLB	OAK	49%	148	136	30	6	1	3	10	40	1	2	1	221	279	346	624	125	284	27	7	271	65	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2030	28	MLB	OAK	51%	177	160	36	7	1	4	13	48	2	2	1	225	291	356	648	131	284	27	7	271	65	-7	+0	-0	+3	+5	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	471	430	96	19	3	10	33	128	4	7	2	223	285	351	636	128	292	27	7	269	64	-19	+1	-0	+8	+13	0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	132	26	4	14	46	177	6	10	3	223	285	351	636	128	291	27	7	269	64	-26	+1	-0	+12	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	1559	1426	298	62	8	24	101	444	15	21	8	209	268	314	583	105	282	28	6	262	59	-73	+1	-1	+28	+44	-0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	124	26	3	10	42	185	6	9	3	208	267	313	580	104	281	28	6	262	59	-30	+1	-0	+12	+18	0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	75	63	26	6	1	0	10	12	1	2	2	413	500	540	1.040	127	500	16	13	456	207	+9	-0	—	—	+2	1.1
2022	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	127	112	28	9	1	3	12	31	1	2	1	250	328	429	757	179	312	24	9	331	112	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2023	21	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	57	53	7	2	0	0	1	14	1	0	0	132	164	170	333	38	171	25	2	150	-27	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2024	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	38	36	8	2	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	222	222	278	500	56	267	18	0	210	19	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	22	A	Stockton Ports	—	152	134	28	7	0	2	15	36	2	1	1	209	298	306	604	97	271	24	10	278	71	-5	-0	—	—	+4	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	562	11	8	219	278	337	+10	+12	0.7	0.7
	/162	664	13	10	219	278	337	+11.9	+14.2	0.8	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Amaya (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	209/267/311	102	284	1	1	28%	6%	60	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bryan Holaday 2012 · AA	24	41	41→45	48→40	40	201/257/296	95	274	9	7	29%	6%	51	-1.7	214/263/302	88	270	7	5	23%	5%	55	-1.4	223/289/353	130	256	14	2	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Vito Friscia 2021 · A	24	43	40→45	49→40	42	208/266/303	94	290	7	5	30%	7%	56	-1.3	208/289/325	117	317	12	4	35%	9%	72	-0.2	195/284/314	119	296	12	2	35%	10%	66	-0.3
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	38	43→50	50→40	39	192/251/299	107	277	11	5	34%	6%	50	-1.8	211/268/341	130	275	14	5	28%	6%	67	-0.5	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	39	44→45	49→40	42	198/262/310	112	269	11	6	30%	7%	57	-1.2	190/247/298	108	260	12	4	31%	6%	47	-1.9	181/237/285	104	244	12	2	30%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Aramis Garcia 2017 · A	24	42	43→55	46→45	41	210/264/317	106	287	12	4	30%	6%	59	-1.1	216/261/363	147	297	18	2	33%	5%	70	-0.3	176/253/325	149	241	21	5	36%	7%	57	-0.5
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→50	48→30	43	190/254/280	90	264	9	6	30%	7%	46	-2.0	212/278/349	137	295	17	3	32%	8%	74	-0.1	203/274/342	139	279	18	1	32%	9%	67	-0.3
✕Jason Lopez 2021 · A	23	40	44→55	46→45	37	202/247/323	121	282	12	7	32%	5%	53	-1.5	194/256/297	103	298	10	10	36%	7%	50	-1.7	163/228/254	91	247	10	10	36%	8%	25	-0.9
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA	24	42→36	43→50	48→45	44	203/282/318	115	297	11	7	33%	8%	68	-0.5	193/294/347	154	320	18	5	41%	11%	82	+0.5	177/286/336	158	296	20	3	43%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Nick Fortes 2021 · A	24	40→44	41→45	46→45	46	198/261/293	96	247	8	5	23%	7%	53	-1.5	224/289/353	129	259	15	8	20%	6%	80	+0.4	221/287/348	127	250	16	8	19%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2023 · A	23	42	40→55	50→40	43	203/279/294	91	279	7	6	28%	7%	60	-1.0	209/281/354	145	278	18	4	31%	7%	78	+0.2	186/269/361	175	235	26	0	33%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A	25	42→43	43→45	50	42	207/270/323	116	273	10	12	27%	6%	63	-0.8	226/283/329	103	310	8	9	28%	6%	70	-0.3	228/286/321	93	317	7	7	29%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Xorge Carrillo 2013 · A	24	42	43→40	49→30	40	209/255/318	109	273	11	8	28%	5%	56	-1.3	239/291/323	84	297	7	4	21%	5%	72	-0.2	235/292/318	83	282	8	1	19%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2010 · A	24	42	40→45	48→50	43	207/262/298	91	275	7	6	27%	7%	53	-1.5	209/267/309	100	272	10	10	26%	6%	59	-1.1	226/262/325	99	269	14	12	22%	4%	56	-0.4
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2017 · A	24	43→38	42→55	50	37	209/268/315	106	297	9	13	31%	5%	61	-1.0	220/290/388	168	304	21	9	33%	7%	90	+1.0	212/288/404	192	284	26	7	34%	8%	94	+0.8
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A	24	38→45	47→50	49→50	43	195/276/331	137	262	14	9	30%	7%	69	-0.4	215/289/349	134	277	13	9	26%	7%	79	+0.3	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Carson Blair 2014 · A	24	37	44→50	45→30	40	186/252/307	121	288	11	6	38%	8%	52	-1.6	203/274/338	135	336	14	3	40%	8%	69	-0.4	193/269/328	135	322	14	1	41%	9%	62	-0.4
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A	24	35→33	41→45	49→55	36	182/228/277	95	252	9	9	31%	4%	33	-2.9	190/258/311	121	280	14	15	35%	7%	56	-1.3	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Jalen Washington 2019 · A	24	40	40→45	47→45	45	195/267/287	92	272	8	7	30%	8%	53	-1.5	202/269/311	109	272	10	9	28%	7%	60	-1.0	178/248/292	114	229	11	8	26%	6%	46	-0.8
✕Dustin Garneau 2012 · A	24	35→37	44→50	44→45	46	182/254/305	123	230	12	6	26%	8%	53	-1.5	198/265/326	128	230	13	5	20%	7%	63	-0.9	171/262/347	177	214	22	1	31%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Larry Cobb 2009 · A	24	42→43	43→45	48→50	46	208/273/316	108	257	11	12	23%	7%	63	-0.8	215/275/332	117	288	12	10	28%	6%	68	-0.5	176/235/286	110	248	15	4	34%	4%	36	-0.5