Jeremy Rivas — OGILVIE

Jeremy RivasSS Springfield Cardinals

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs AA HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION247 act + 27 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%30

BB%7

BABIP269

ISO40

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-2	$0.7M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	200	177	48	7	1	0	15	32	6	6	5	271	348	322	671	51	327	16	8	308	95	-1	-1	—	—	+4	0.2
2022	19	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	471	425	104	16	1	2	37	104	4	8	6	245	311	301	612	56	316	22	8	280	76	-14	-1	—	—	+10	-0.4
2023	20	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	453	397	83	18	0	3	45	101	4	22	5	209	296	277	573	68	268	22	10	264	65	-19	+2	—	—	+10	-0.7
2023	20	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	84	74	17	1	1	1	7	22	1	3	1	230	305	311	616	81	308	26	8	277	74	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2024	21	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	459	395	104	8	1	3	46	85	8	27	10	263	352	311	663	48	325	19	10	304	92	-5	+1	—	—	+10	0.7
2024	21	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	75	67	19	3	0	2	7	17	0	4	0	284	351	418	769	134	347	23	9	341	117	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	22	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	487	427	87	17	1	10	48	135	10	21	8	204	298	319	617	115	272	28	10	284	79	-12	+1	—	—	+11	-0.1
2025	22	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	31	28	6	2	0	0	1	6	1	0	1	214	267	286	552	71	261	19	3	246	53	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	200	183	39	5	1	0	9	46	6	6	5	213	273	251	524	38	270	23	4	231	42	-14	-1	—	—	+4	-1.0
2022	19	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	471	435	87	13	1	2	27	153	4	8	6	200	253	248	501	48	292	32	6	224	38	-35	-1	—	—	+10	-2.6
2023	20	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	453	412	66	14	0	2	30	142	4	22	5	160	224	209	433	49	229	31	7	198	20	-43	+2	—	—	+10	-3.1
2024	21	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	459	409	97	7	1	2	32	110	8	27	10	237	305	274	579	37	304	24	7	258	61	-21	+1	—	—	+10	-1.0
2025	22	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	487	443	78	15	1	7	33	166	10	21	8	176	249	262	511	86	259	34	7	229	41	-34	+1	—	—	+11	-2.3
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	200	183	39	5	1	0	9	46	6	6	5	213	273	251	524	38	281	23	4	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	—	200	177	48	7	1	0	15	32	6	6	5	271	348	322	671	51	327	16	8	308	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	471	435	87	13	1	2	27	153	4	8	6	200	253	248	501	48	299	32	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	471	425	104	16	1	2	37	104	4	8	6	245	311	301	612	56	316	22	8	280	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	537	488	79	16	0	3	35	168	5	25	6	162	225	213	438	51	235	31	7	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	537	471	100	19	1	4	52	123	5	25	6	212	297	282	580	70	274	23	10	266	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	534	478	113	9	1	2	37	128	8	31	10	236	302	272	574	36	314	24	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	534	462	123	11	1	5	53	102	8	31	10	266	352	327	679	61	328	19	10	309	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	518	470	82	16	1	7	35	177	11	21	9	174	248	257	506	83	260	34	7	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	518	455	93	19	1	10	49	141	11	21	9	204	297	316	613	112	271	27	9	282	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	200	183	39	5	1	0	9	46	6	6	5	213	273	251	524	38	270	23	4	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	471	437	87	13	1	2	27	153	4	8	6	199	253	247	500	48	292	32	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	537	492	79	16	0	3	35	168	5	25	6	161	225	211	437	51	229	31	7	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	534	484	113	9	1	2	37	128	8	31	10	233	302	269	571	35	304	24	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	518	467	82	16	1	7	35	177	11	21	9	176	248	259	507	84	259	34	7	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	537	492	79	16	0	3	35	168	5	25	6	161	225	211	437	51	229	31	7	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	534	484	113	9	1	2	37	128	8	31	10	233	302	269	571	35	304	24	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	518	467	82	16	1	7	35	177	11	21	9	176	248	259	507	84	259	34	7	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	STL	—	247	218	45	6	0	5	22	71	4	14	1	206	291	303	594	96	276	29	9	266	66	-10	+2	+0	+3	+5	0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA RAW	STL	—	143	122	30	5	0	5	16	31	3	11	1	246	348	410	757	164	284	22	11	338	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AAA RAW	STL	—	104	86	20	2	0	1	16	28	1	3	0	233	359	291	650	58	328	27	15	307	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	AA MLE	STL	2%	27	25	5	1	0	0	2	8	0	1	0	200	259	240	499	40	269	30	7	252	57	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	23	MLB CTX	STL	2%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						269	0	0	239	57	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	MLB A+C	STL	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	239	65	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	AA MLE	STL	—	274	243	50	7	0	5	24	79	4	15	1	206	288	296	584	91	278	29	9	264	65	-11	+3	+0	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	STL	31%	526	473	97	15	1	9	41	146	7	20	4	205	278	298	576	93	274	28	8	263	64	-22	+2	+0	+6	+11	-0.3
2028	25	MLB MLE	STL	45%	564	506	107	17	1	11	45	153	8	21	5	211	286	314	600	103	275	27	8	271	69	-20	+2	+0	+6	+12	-0.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	STL	51%	581	521	111	18	1	12	47	157	8	22	5	213	288	321	609	107	276	27	8	275	72	-19	+2	+0	+6	+13	0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	STL	53%	587	526	112	18	1	12	48	158	8	22	5	213	289	319	608	106	277	27	8	276	73	-19	+2	+0	+6	+13	0.3
2031	28	MLB MLE	STL	53%	586	524	111	18	1	12	49	158	8	21	5	212	289	319	608	107	276	27	8	276	73	-19	+2	-1	+6	+13	0.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	STL	53%	579	518	108	17	1	11	48	158	8	19	4	208	286	309	595	100	276	27	8	274	71	-20	+2	-1	+6	+13	-0.0
2033	30	MLB MLE	STL	52%	570	509	107	17	1	11	48	157	8	17	4	210	288	312	601	102	275	28	8	271	70	-21	+2	-2	+6	+12	-0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	STL	31%	163	147	29	5	0	2	13	45	2	6	1	197	272	272	544	75	273	28	8	250	64	-7	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	STL	45%	251	225	47	7	1	4	20	68	4	9	2	209	285	302	587	93	275	27	8	258	69	-9	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	STL	51%	296	266	56	9	1	5	24	80	4	11	2	211	286	308	594	98	276	27	8	262	72	-10	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	STL	53%	308	276	58	9	1	6	25	83	4	12	3	210	285	315	600	105	276	27	8	263	73	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	STL	53%	313	280	59	9	1	6	26	85	4	11	2	211	287	314	601	104	276	27	8	262	73	-10	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	STL	53%	304	272	57	9	1	5	25	83	4	10	2	210	286	305	591	96	275	27	8	261	71	-10	+1	-1	+3	+7	-0.0
2033	30	MLB CTX	STL	52%	297	266	54	9	0	5	25	82	4	9	2	203	281	293	575	90	274	28	8	258	70	-11	+1	-1	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1933	1733	360	57	5	33	158	526	26	68	14	208	284	304	587	96	276	27	8	260	60	-67	+8	-2	+21	+42	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	121	19	2	11	53	177	9	23	5	208	284	304	587	96	276	27	8	260	60	-23	+3	-1	+7	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6280	5656	1158	180	11	92	471	1767	89	234	68	205	276	289	566	85	278	28	8	256	60	-142	+16	-4	+43	+87	0.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	121	19	1	10	49	183	9	24	7	207	278	294	572	87	280	28	8	256	60	-23	+3	-1	+7	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	4.2	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
/162	664	14	30	+2.4	+12.6	2.5	pk7: 11
#4Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#5Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.9	1,939	37	69	211	284	313	+21	+9	1.5	1.5
/162	664	13	24	+7.1	+3.1	0.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jeremy Rivas (OGILVIE)	23	30	40	55	45	196/269/272	77	269	4	14	29%	8%	57	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	40	39→40	54→50	39	192/262/271	79	299	7	14	36%	7%	53	-2.1	205/306/320	115	292	11	13	31%	10%	82	-0.0	213/316/315	101	301	9	14	29%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	177/255/257	79	269	8	14	35%	9%	48	-2.5	207/287/299	92	295	7	12	29%	9%	69	-0.9	212/301/305	93	294	5	13	27%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	186/240/263	77	257	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	207/267/299	92	292	8	10	30%	7%	61	-1.5	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	176/235/239	63	249	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	212/281/292	80	276	8	14	24%	8%	65	-1.2	205/280/278	73	264	8	16	24%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	35	40→45	53→50	34	179/213/275	95	257	7	9	33%	4%	34	-3.5	216/264/299	83	296	5	9	27%	6%	59	-1.7	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→31	42→45	48→50	41	191/251/284	93	257	11	15	30%	6%	52	-2.2	195/269/308	113	260	13	14	29%	8%	64	-1.3	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Franklin Rollin 2019 · AAA	23	43	40→45	51→55	41	212/255/306	94	262	7	18	22%	4%	57	-1.8	200/251/284	84	267	7	13	27%	5%	51	-2.2	146/193/181	35	205	3	13	29%	4%	3	-1.4
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA	24	41→44	42→45	52→65	43	204/264/309	106	268	9	20	27%	6%	62	-1.4	227/285/320	93	311	7	28	27%	7%	72	-0.7	222/284/339	116	307	11	42	29%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Mariel Bautista 2021 · A	23	41→36	42→45	49→50	39	204/254/301	97	266	10	15	27%	5%	57	-1.8	211/256/332	121	306	12	11	34%	5%	64	-1.3	186/219/331	145	265	16	11	36%	3%	51	-0.5
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	49	-2.4	199/265/283	84	347	5	9	41%	7%	57	-1.8	146/235/232	85	299	4	14	47%	8%	34	-0.6
✕Jordyn Adams 2023 · AA	23	40→41	38→45	58→60	36	191/246/266	75	303	5	24	37%	6%	45	-2.7	199/258/305	106	305	10	29	36%	7%	59	-1.7	188/249/290	102	288	11	26	37%	7%	50	-1.3
✕Braulio Vasquez 2022 · A	23	41	40	55→65	40	192/273/283	91	301	8	31	36%	8%	61	-1.5	219/285/318	99	305	7	26	28%	7%	72	-0.7	228/293/324	96	308	4	32	25%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	35→45	44→45	52→60	39	184/241/293	109	256	12	21	32%	6%	50	-2.3	221/288/352	131	295	12	39	28%	8%	81	-0.1	221/289/349	127	292	11	41	26%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Max George 2019 · A	23	35→38	44→45	53→55	44	180/263/295	115	240	11	20	29%	7%	60	-1.6	190/276/300	110	283	11	20	34%	8%	66	-1.1	150/259/288	138	250	17	20	43%	10%	55	-0.8
✕Ethan Murray 2023 · AA	23	37→47	41→40	51→50	42	182/253/277	95	271	8	13	34%	8%	51	-2.2	200/272/288	88	292	6	12	31%	8%	61	-1.5	197/274/280	84	283	6	13	30%	8%	57	-1.1
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2022 · AA	23	34	41→40	54→60	55	164/295/260	96	258	8	24	35%	14%	66	-1.1	190/306/293	103	293	8	20	33%	12%	76	-0.4	190/308/293	103	292	8	21	33%	12%	74	-0.3
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	42	-2.9	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	65	-1.2	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	77	-0.1
✕Oliver Marmol 2009 · A	23	37	36→40	55	38	180/236/245	66	252	3	19	29%	5%	37	-3.3	186/267/274	88	282	6	13	34%	6%	57	-1.8	159/261/247	88	256	5	10	36%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Jake Rucker 2023 · AAA	23	42→43	42→45	48→45	44	204/281/312	109	285	8	12	30%	8%	70	-0.9	208/266/309	101	272	9	9	25%	6%	63	-1.4	210/274/329	118	244	13	9	20%	7%	68	-0.6
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	39	43→45	51→55	41	193/269/299	106	293	11	13	36%	8%	63	-1.4	203/273/300	97	309	8	12	34%	8%	64	-1.3	170/256/241	71	275	3	11	36%	10%	43	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps