Ty Floyd

P Dayton Dragons

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 200 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2028

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #910

Scout OFP45ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	23	ACIN	8	8	28	3.25	3.93	28.4%	10.1%	—	K 21.0% · BB 11.9% · FIP 5.37
2026	24	MIX2 levels	10	8	32	3.09	3.69	28.5%	13.8%	—	K 18.3% · BB 19.7% · FIP 5.36
2027PROJ	25	MLBCIN	10	10	60	5.42	5.42	19.7%	15.5%	-0.4
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBCIN	4	4	26	5.29	5.29	20.3%	14.8%	-0.1
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBCIN	6	6	37	5.24	5.25	20.5%	14.4%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff46Control50Command50FB velo54

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsLuis Quiñones (age 25) · David Lebron (age 25) · J.P. Massey (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 120

ERA5.42

FIP5.42

K%19.7%

BB%15.5%

K-BB%4.3%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF4045

CTRL4050

CMD3550

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	23	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	8	8	28	109	31	11	4	100%	3.5	21.0%	11.9%	9.1%	4.6%	3.25	5.37	—
2025	23	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	8	8	28	109	31	11	4	100%	3.5	21.0%	11.9%	9.1%	4.6%	3.25	5.37	—
2025	23	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	8	8	28	109	31	11	4	100%	3.5	28.4%	10.1%	18.3%	3.7%	3.25	3.93	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	8	32	130	37	18	3	80%	3.2	18.3%	19.7%	-1.4%	2.4%	3.09	5.36	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	8	32	130	37	18	3	80%	3.2	18.3%	19.7%	-1.4%	2.4%	3.09	5.36	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	8	32	130	37	18	3	80%	3.2	28.5%	13.8%	14.6%	2.3%	3.09	3.69	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	CIN	10	10	60	253	50	39	8	100%	6.0	19.7%	15.5%	4.3%	3.0%	5.42	5.42	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	CIN	10	10	60	251	51	37	8	100%	6.0	20.3%	14.8%	5.5%	3.0%	5.29	5.29	-0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	CIN	10	10	59	247	51	36	8	100%	5.9	20.5%	14.4%	6.0%	3.0%	5.24	5.25	-0.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	CIN	9	9	57	240	49	34	8	100%	6.3	20.5%	14.3%	6.2%	3.1%	5.25	5.29	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	CIN	4	4	26	110	22	16	3	100%	6.5	20.3%	14.8%	5.5%	3.0%	5.29	5.29	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	CIN	6	6	37	156	32	23	5	100%	6.2	20.5%	14.4%	6.0%	3.0%	5.24	5.25	-0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	CIN	7	7	43	182	37	26	6	100%	6.1	20.5%	14.3%	6.2%	3.1%	5.25	5.29	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		18	18	105	444	91	64	14	100%	5.8	20.5%	14.5%	6.0%	3.1%	5.26	4.89	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	173	122	27	100%	6.0	20.5%	14.5%	6.0%	3.1%	5.26	4.89	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		18	16	60	239	47	39	8	89%	3.3	19.6%	16.2%	3.4%	3.4%	3.17	5.36	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		60	54	200	801	157	129	27	89%	3.3	19.6%	16.2%	3.4%	3.4%	3.17	5.36	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ty Floyd (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.42	19.7%	15.5%	3.0%	—	5.28	20.4%	5.9%	175	-0.14	—	—	—
Luis Quiñones R 2022 · 4.77 FIP	25	SP	4.77	23.5%	17.5%	2.6%	.289	4.80	22.4%	10.8%	160	+0.03	3.69	326	84
David Lebron R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	25	SP-	4.28	18.6%	14.2%	1.7%	.336	5.56	26.7%	12.0%	62	+1.28	4.28	144	82
J.P. Massey R 2024 · 4.72 FIP	24	SP	4.72	16.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.283	5.71	15.5%	-1.3%	46	+0.99	4.72	195	82
Alonzo Tredwell R 2024 · 4.43 FIP	22	SP-	4.43	19.3%	17.4%	1.4%	.336	4.19	22.0%	9.9%	100	-0.24	4.19	166	79
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	78
Khristian Curtis R 2024 · 5.48 FIP	22	SP	5.48	18.8%	14.4%	3.9%	.275	4.62	20.6%	8.4%	216	-0.86	4.60	291	77
Levi Wells R 2024 · 4.35 FIP	22	SP	4.35	20.0%	12.1%	2.6%	.360	3.82	19.0%	10.2%	132	-0.53	3.70	192	77
Joel Hanrahan R 2007 · 5.58 FIP	25	SP	5.58	17.4%	15.4%	3.6%	.318	3.06	27.8%	18.1%	218	-2.52	2.08	397	77
Andrew Politi R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	25	SP-	5.21	21.0%	12.2%	4.3%	.320	4.04	22.9%	13.8%	138	-1.17	3.38	292	77
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	76
Zach Fruit R 2024 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	19.3%	14.1%	1.9%	.258	5.03	15.4%	-0.2%	44	+0.74	4.29	151	75
Jackson Fristoe R 2024 · 4.81 FIP	23	SP	4.81	18.8%	19.6%	1.5%	.266	6.79	13.5%	-4.0%	74	+1.98	4.81	139	75
Jacob Meador R 2024 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP-	5.34	15.6%	14.0%	3.2%	.301	6.73	14.7%	-6.6%	50	+1.39	5.34	139	74
Paxton Schultz R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	25	SP-	4.87	19.5%	11.9%	3.5%	.319	4.02	23.3%	14.9%	227	-0.85	3.83	543	73
Cole Henry R 2024 · 5.88 FIP	25	SP	5.88	17.3%	16.2%	4.0%	.243	4.69	20.6%	10.7%	87	-1.19	2.96	186	73
Will Sanders R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	22	SP	4.95	19.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.297	4.11	20.1%	12.5%	173	-0.84	3.92	266	73
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	73
Brett Daniels R 2021 · 4.67 FIP	25	SP-	4.67	22.3%	13.0%	3.3%	.357	4.69	18.9%	3.2%	77	+0.02	3.95	270	73
Riley Thompson R 2022 · 5.32 FIP	26	SP	5.32	21.7%	14.7%	4.0%	.289	5.03	18.0%	7.4%	189	-0.29	4.48	340	73
Jake Bockenstedt R 2024 · 6.05 FIP	24	SP	6.05	17.0%	13.1%	5.0%	.322	4.35	16.8%	5.4%	126	-1.70	3.74	218	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	59	20.2%	14.8%	1.18	5.30
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*