Axel Sanchez

SS Everett AquaSox

Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 185 lbs A+ K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	AASEA	114	.242/.330/.414	4	3	90	—	.235/.304/.402
2025	22	A+SEA	48	.108/.298/.270	1	0	22	—	.077/.234/.205
2026	23	AAASEA	76	.209/.293/.358	3	3	51	—	.188/.253/.290
2026	23	A+SEA	208	.221/.346/.395	7	12	61	—	.178/.278/.317
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBSEA	1	.197/.276/.323	0	0	72	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBSEA	104	.200/.280/.330	3	3	75	0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBSEA	172	.202/.282/.333	5	5	76	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV86

Speed82

BB%36

Chase%34

Whiff%33

Z-Con%28

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsJeter Downs (age 24) · Zack Short (age 24) · Kaden Polcovich (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .276 / .323

PA1

HR0

K%29

BB%8

BABIP256

ISO127

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	191	162	42	7	0	1	20	46	6	15	4	259	362	321	683	62	350	24	10	315	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	34	34	8	1	0	0	0	9	0	0	0	235	235	265	500	29	320	26	0	224	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Modesto Nuts	—	152	131	40	13	2	8	15	42	6	4	1	305	401	618	1.020	313	395	28	10	440	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	99	86	23	5	2	2	11	20	1	9	2	267	357	442	799	174	323	20	11	352	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	305	272	54	15	3	7	26	89	7	14	4	199	285	353	638	154	267	29	9	289	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	393	344	68	7	2	5	35	111	6	15	9	198	283	273	556	76	268	28	9	255	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	114	99	24	5	0	4	12	30	1	3	3	242	330	414	744	172	303	26	11	328	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	48	37	4	3	0	1	8	15	2	0	1	108	298	270	568	162	136	31	17	271	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	76	67	14	1	0	3	7	21	1	3	0	209	293	358	652	149	250	28	9	292	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	208	172	38	9	0	7	27	43	6	12	3	221	346	395	742	174	248	21	13	333	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	191	168	28	4	0	0	14	56	6	15	4	167	255	190	446	24	235	29	7	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	34	34	7	1	0	0	0	12	0	0	0	206	206	235	441	29	293	35	0	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	152	136	31	9	2	7	10	59	6	4	1	228	309	478	787	250	336	39	7	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	99	90	15	3	1	1	7	29	1	9	2	167	235	256	490	89	237	29	7	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	305	278	41	11	2	5	20	115	7	14	4	147	223	255	478	108	227	38	7	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	393	356	56	5	2	3	23	149	6	15	9	157	221	208	429	51	242	38	6	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	114	102	24	5	0	4	9	34	1	3	3	235	304	402	706	167	292	30	8	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	48	39	3	2	0	1	6	21	2	0	1	77	234	205	439	128	117	44	12	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	76	69	13	1	0	2	5	25	1	3	0	188	253	290	543	101	248	33	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	208	180	32	7	0	6	19	58	6	12	3	178	278	317	595	139	207	28	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	191	168	28	4	0	0	14	56	6	15	4	167	255	190	446	24	246	29	7	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	191	162	42	7	0	1	20	46	6	15	4	259	362	321	683	62	350	24	10	315	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	285	260	53	13	3	8	17	100	7	13	3	204	271	369	640	165	294	35	6	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	3 teams	—	285	251	71	19	4	10	26	71	7	13	3	283	366	510	876	227	357	25	9	384	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	305	278	41	11	2	5	20	115	7	14	4	147	223	255	478	108	228	38	7	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	—	305	272	54	15	3	7	26	89	7	14	4	199	285	353	638	154	267	29	9	289	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	393	356	56	5	2	3	23	149	6	15	9	157	221	208	429	51	251	38	6	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	—	393	344	68	7	2	5	35	111	6	15	9	198	283	273	556	76	268	28	9	255	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	162	141	27	7	0	5	15	56	3	3	4	191	283	348	631	156	268	35	9	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	162	136	28	8	0	5	20	45	3	3	4	206	321	375	696	169	261	28	12	311	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	284	249	45	8	0	8	24	83	7	15	3	181	271	309	581	129	228	29	8	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	284	239	52	10	0	10	34	64	7	15	3	218	332	385	717	167	249	23	12	322	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	191	169	28	4	0	0	14	56	6	15	4	166	255	189	445	24	235	29	7	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	285	259	53	13	3	8	17	100	7	13	3	205	271	371	642	166	296	35	6	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	305	275	41	11	2	5	20	115	7	14	4	149	223	258	481	109	227	38	7	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	393	361	56	5	2	3	23	149	6	15	9	155	221	205	426	50	242	38	6	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	162	143	27	7	0	5	15	56	3	3	4	189	283	343	626	154	240	35	9	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	284	251	45	8	0	8	24	83	7	15	3	179	271	307	578	127	218	29	8	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	393	361	56	5	2	3	23	149	6	15	9	155	221	205	426	50	242	38	6	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	162	143	27	7	0	5	15	56	3	3	4	189	283	343	626	154	240	35	9	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	284	251	45	8	0	8	24	83	7	15	3	179	271	307	578	127	218	29	8	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	334	298	60	11	1	9	27	96	6	9	3	199	278	328	606	129	258	29	8	275	72	-11	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	SEA	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	197	276	323	599	126	256	0	0	272	72	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	SEA	30%	342	305	62	12	1	9	28	97	6	9	3	202	281	335	616	133	260	28	8	279	75	-10	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	SEA	44%	388	347	70	13	1	10	32	109	6	10	3	204	283	338	622	134	262	28	8	281	76	-11	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	SEA	49%	404	361	74	14	1	11	34	112	6	10	4	205	284	339	624	134	263	28	8	282	77	-11	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	SEA	52%	413	370	76	14	1	11	34	115	6	9	3	206	284	339	623	133	263	28	8	281	77	-12	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.2
2032	29	MLB MLE	SEA	51%	409	366	75	14	1	11	34	114	6	7	3	206	283	336	620	131	264	28	8	280	76	-12	+0	-1	+4	+9	0.0
2033	30	MLB MLE	SEA	51%	406	364	74	14	1	10	33	114	6	5	2	203	280	329	609	126	262	28	8	276	73	-13	+0	-2	+4	+9	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	SEA	30%	104	92	18	3	0	3	9	29	2	3	1	200	280	330	609	130	258	28	9	276	75	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	SEA	44%	172	153	31	6	0	5	14	48	3	5	2	202	282	333	615	131	259	28	8	278	76	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	SEA	49%	198	177	36	7	0	5	16	55	3	5	2	203	282	334	617	131	260	28	8	279	77	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	SEA	52%	213	190	38	7	0	5	18	59	3	5	2	204	282	333	616	130	261	28	8	279	77	-6	+0	-0	+2	+5	0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	SEA	51%	211	189	37	7	0	5	17	59	3	4	2	203	282	331	613	128	261	28	8	277	76	-6	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.0
2033	30	MLB CTX	SEA	51%	209	187	37	7	0	5	17	59	3	3	1	201	278	324	602	123	260	28	8	273	73	-7	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1107	988	197	37	0	28	91	309	17	25	10	199	278	322	600	122	257	28	8	277	63	-32	+1	-2	+12	+24	0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	116	22	0	16	53	181	10	15	6	200	278	321	599	121	258	28	8	277	63	-19	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4272	3824	733	139	14	98	332	1303	77	133	48	192	270	312	582	121	259	31	8	262	63	-79	+3	-4	+28	+57	0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	111	21	2	15	51	198	12	20	7	191	270	311	581	120	257	30	8	262	63	-19	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.7	1,107	29	24	205	281	338	+12	+9	1.2	1.2
/162	664	17	14	+7.1	+5.4	0.7	pk7: 1
#5Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Axel Sanchez (OGILVIE)	24	35	48	55	50	197/276/325	128	258	7	8	29%	8%	72	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	36→41	46→50	53→55	41	190/255/315	125	268	15	19	34%	7%	61	-1.5	185/268/313	128	266	15	22	34%	8%	66	-1.1	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Zack Short 2019 · AA	24	40→39	47→50	47→45	51	202/293/345	143	270	14	9	29%	11%	82	+0.0	198/291/335	137	280	14	7	32%	10%	79	-0.2	177/277/302	125	240	14	9	31%	11%	66	-0.8
✕Kaden Polcovich 2023 · AA	24	41	45	55	46	204/286/328	124	274	13	16	29%	8%	76	-0.4	199/283/311	112	277	10	18	30%	9%	71	-0.8	172/267/273	101	245	8	23	30%	10%	54	-0.7
✕Kenedy Corona 2024 · AA	24	41→42	48→50	54→55	41	211/269/351	141	285	16	24	31%	7%	74	-0.5	207/273/312	105	285	10	24	29%	7%	67	-1.1	202/273/295	93	277	8	27	28%	7%	60	-1.1
✕Trey Sweeney 2024 · AA	24	42→45	47→50	54→55	49	213/293/347	134	271	14	19	26%	9%	82	+0.0	222/286/356	134	295	15	16	28%	8%	82	-0.0	219/281/356	137	291	16	15	29%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Andrew Navigato 2023 · AA	25	42→41	48→55	49→50	43	216/280/356	141	266	16	14	26%	6%	80	-0.2	218/276/377	159	279	17	15	28%	6%	83	+0.1	207/267/370	164	270	18	17	30%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Bryan Lavastida 2023 · MLB	24	44	44→45	50→55	44	216/281/334	118	281	11	12	27%	7%	75	-0.5	220/289/334	114	283	11	21	25%	8%	78	-0.3	221/293/333	112	282	11	27	24%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Jesús Bastidas 2024 · AAA	25	42	47→50	47→50	41	214/282/345	132	284	16	13	30%	6%	78	-0.3	207/274/345	138	271	15	13	29%	6%	75	-0.5	196/264/333	138	256	16	13	29%	5%	66	-0.8
✕Brandon Hicks 2010 · AA	24	40→41	46→50	53→50	41	201/266/333	131	287	13	13	33%	7%	69	-0.9	200/261/337	137	293	16	12	36%	7%	68	-1.0	193/259/342	149	302	19	10	40%	7%	65	-0.8
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	40	45→40	50	45	199/284/317	118	274	12	12	31%	8%	73	-0.6	204/294/293	89	285	8	11	29%	9%	71	-0.8	194/286/264	70	270	4	8	27%	9%	60	-0.6
✕Tim Tawa 2023 · AA	24	43→45	45→55	49→50	47	215/282/334	119	268	14	12	25%	8%	75	-0.5	214/278/349	135	274	16	11	27%	8%	77	-0.3	223/286/391	168	267	21	13	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Jake Rogers 2019 · AA	24	38→40	47→60	48→45	42	198/263/331	133	270	14	9	32%	7%	68	-1.0	210/285/377	167	290	20	5	33%	8%	86	+0.3	210/288/419	208	272	29	1	33%	8%	97	+0.6
✕Ryan Cordell 2016 · AA	24	46→42	48→50	55→50	41	234/280/377	144	297	16	15	27%	5%	84	+0.1	217/263/360	143	281	16	14	28%	5%	74	-0.6	205/250/346	141	263	15	14	28%	5%	63	-0.7
✕Lolo Sanchez 2023 · AA	24	43→45	44→45	50→55	50	214/293/323	108	257	12	18	21%	9%	77	-0.3	206/277/287	81	252	7	10	20%	8%	62	-1.4	191/265/252	61	231	5	7	18%	8%	47	-1.0
✕Sean Coyle 2016 · AAA	24	42→38	50	52→50	40	212/274/364	153	310	19	13	37%	7%	79	-0.2	181/244/285	104	283	10	10	37%	7%	49	-2.4	153/218/242	88	242	7	9	38%	7%	27	-1.9
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	41→40	47→50	54→55	44	208/283/351	143	281	14	17	30%	8%	80	-0.2	198/279/320	122	275	12	17	30%	8%	71	-0.8	173/262/276	103	236	10	19	29%	9%	53	-1.1
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA	24	42→44	42→45	52→65	44	208/270/316	107	274	9	20	27%	7%	65	-1.2	229/287/323	94	314	7	28	27%	7%	74	-0.6	229/291/325	96	311	8	37	27%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Corey Joyce 2023 · AAA	24	44	46→40	49→50	49	214/312/344	129	290	14	11	29%	10%	89	+0.5	212/309/310	98	304	8	14	30%	10%	80	-0.1	207/293/299	92	288	9	15	29%	9%	68	-0.6
✕Aaron Palensky 2024 · AAA	25	37→32	54→50	54→55	44	201/287/382	182	269	21	18	33%	8%	88	+0.5	204/286/326	122	277	12	19	29%	9%	75	-0.5	169/264/227	58	238	2	28	27%	10%	44	-1.0
✕Brennen Davis 2024 · AAA	24	37→43	43→50	46→45	41	187/271/296	108	268	12	11	33%	7%	63	-1.3	200/289/350	150	264	19	8	31%	8%	83	+0.1	188/287/362	173	236	23	4	30%	8%	83	+0.0

Axel Sanchez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps