Will Sanders

P Iowa Cubs

Age 25 RHP 6'6" / 230 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 1.1 · 2028

Overview

AAAPROSPECTFG #332MiLBFA 2035

Scout OFP40ETA2028FG ETA2026MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	MIX2 levels	24	23	97	4.66	3.96	24.8%	10.0%	—	K 19.3% · BB 11.8% · FIP 4.95
2025	23	MIX2 levels	26	23	123	5.04	3.68	23.2%	7.7%	—	K 19.5% · BB 7.3% · FIP 3.92
2026	24	MIX3 levels	16	14	61	5.58	3.98	23.8%	9.7%	—	K 21.6% · BB 8.4% · FIP 4.58
2027PROJ	25	MLBCHC	24	24	143	4.65	4.65	20.9%	8.9%	0.4
2028PROJ48% MLB	26	MLBCHC	12	12	69	4.51	4.49	21.5%	8.8%	0.3
2029PROJ66% MLB	27	MLBCHC	16	16	93	4.50	4.51	21.5%	8.8%	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$1M2033Arb-2$1M2034Ext$7M

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff53Control55Command40FB velo50

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 7, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 84%

CompsRiley Gowens (age 24) · Rorik Maltrud (age 24) · Brian Edgington (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 105

ERA4.65

FIP4.65

K%20.9%

BB%8.9%

K-BB%12.0%

Proj IP143

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 143 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5055

CTRL—55

CMD3040

K†5050

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2032	Arb-1	$1M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	23	97	439	109	44	13	96%	4.0	19.3%	11.8%	7.5%	3.6%	4.66	4.95	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	23	97	439	109	44	13	96%	4.0	19.3%	11.8%	7.5%	3.6%	4.66	4.95	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	23	97	439	109	44	13	96%	4.0	24.8%	10.0%	14.8%	3.0%	4.66	3.96	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	23	123	531	123	41	15	88%	4.7	19.5%	7.3%	12.3%	2.8%	5.04	3.92	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	23	123	531	123	41	15	88%	4.7	19.5%	7.3%	12.3%	2.8%	5.04	3.92	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	23	123	531	123	41	15	88%	4.7	23.2%	7.7%	15.4%	2.8%	5.04	3.68	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	16	14	61	269	64	26	8	88%	3.8	21.6%	8.4%	13.2%	4.1%	5.58	4.58	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	16	14	61	269	64	26	8	88%	3.8	21.6%	8.4%	13.2%	4.1%	5.58	4.58	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	16	14	61	269	64	26	8	88%	3.8	23.8%	9.7%	14.1%	3.0%	5.58	3.98	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	CHC	24	24	143	604	126	54	20	100%	6.0	20.9%	8.9%	12.0%	3.3%	4.65	4.65	+0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	CHC	24	24	143	605	130	53	20	100%	6.0	21.5%	8.8%	12.7%	3.3%	4.58	4.56	+0.6
2029	27	MLB MLE	CHC	24	24	141	596	128	52	20	100%	5.9	21.5%	8.8%	12.7%	3.3%	4.57	4.58	+0.5
2030	28	MLB MLE	CHC	23	23	137	578	124	51	20	100%	6.0	21.4%	8.9%	12.5%	3.4%	4.61	4.65	+0.4
2031	29	MLB MLE	CHC	22	22	131	552	117	50	19	100%	5.9	21.2%	9.1%	12.1%	3.5%	4.70	4.77	+0.2
2032	30	MLB MLE	CHC	20	20	123	519	108	49	19	100%	6.2	20.8%	9.4%	11.5%	3.7%	4.85	4.95	-0.1
2033	31	MLB MLE	CHC	19	19	115	484	99	47	19	100%	6.0	20.4%	9.7%	10.7%	3.9%	5.03	5.15	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	CHC	12	12	69	291	63	26	9	100%	5.8	21.5%	8.8%	12.7%	3.1%	4.51	4.49	+0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	CHC	16	16	93	393	84	34	12	100%	5.8	21.5%	8.8%	12.7%	3.2%	4.50	4.51	+0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	CHC	18	18	106	448	96	40	15	100%	5.9	21.4%	8.9%	12.5%	3.2%	4.54	4.58	+0.3
2031	29	MLB CTX	CHC	18	18	108	456	97	41	15	100%	6.0	21.2%	9.1%	12.1%	3.4%	4.63	4.70	+0.2
2032	30	MLB CTX	CHC	18	18	107	452	94	42	16	100%	5.9	20.8%	9.4%	11.5%	3.6%	4.77	4.87	-0.1
2033	31	MLB CTX	CHC	17	17	102	431	88	42	16	100%	6.0	20.4%	9.7%	10.7%	3.8%	4.95	5.07	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		98	98	585	2472	522	225	84	100%	6.0	21.1%	9.1%	12.0%	3.4%	4.66	4.34	+3.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	178	77	29	100%	6.0	21.1%	9.1%	12.0%	3.4%	4.66	4.34	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		66	60	281	1239	247	113	42	91%	4.3	19.9%	9.1%	10.8%	3.4%	5.02	4.43	+1.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		47	43	200	881	175	80	30	91%	4.3	19.9%	9.1%	10.8%	3.4%	5.02	4.43	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Will Sanders (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.65	20.9%	8.9%	3.3%	—	4.60	21.5%	12.7%	422	-0.05	—	—	—
Riley Gowens R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	24	SP	4.55	22.6%	10.3%	3.7%	.279	4.37	21.3%	12.1%	173	-0.18	4.30	295	85
Rorik Maltrud R 2024 · 3.91 FIP	24	SP-	3.91	20.4%	9.6%	2.4%	.300	4.40	18.6%	9.4%	193	+0.49	3.91	298	83
Brian Edgington R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	25	SP	3.99	19.5%	6.5%	3.1%	.321	5.28	19.3%	7.0%	58	+1.29	3.99	171	82
Trevor Martin R 2024 · 4.21 FIP	23	SP	4.21	20.6%	8.1%	3.3%	.296	4.16	19.9%	9.6%	121	-0.05	3.94	353	82
Mason Black R 2024 · 4.73 FIP	24	SP	4.73	19.7%	9.3%	3.9%	.304	5.29	17.0%	7.1%	213	+0.56	3.95	569	82
Austin Love R 2022 · 4.34 FIP	23	SP	4.34	20.6%	10.6%	3.0%	.358	3.58	22.1%	9.7%	56	-0.76	3.58	240	81
Alex Pham R 2024 · 4.09 FIP	24	SP	4.09	22.6%	11.1%	2.7%	.284	3.85	23.2%	11.3%	100	-0.24	3.73	352	81
Chandler Champlain R 2024 · 4.72 FIP	25	SP	4.72	16.7%	8.1%	3.6%	.298	4.77	15.3%	8.7%	247	+0.05	4.56	628	81
Nolan McLean R 2024 · 4.40 FIP	23	SP	4.40	20.0%	10.1%	3.1%	.292	3.26	25.6%	16.0%	341	-1.14	3.17	451	81
Félix Peña R 2015 · 3.73 FIP	25	SP	3.73	21.0%	9.8%	2.1%	.296	3.83	24.0%	15.6%	263	+0.10	2.79	615	81
Mike Clevinger R 2016 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	22.1%	10.7%	2.6%	.290	3.19	28.1%	19.0%	482	-0.83	2.28	1,236	80
Jack Wenninger R 2024 · 4.33 FIP	22	SP-	4.33	20.9%	9.3%	3.3%	.309	4.29	21.1%	11.1%	251	-0.04	3.90	366	80
Wes Parsons R 2018 · 3.56 FIP	25	SP	3.56	18.4%	7.7%	1.9%	.274	4.01	18.5%	6.1%	91	+0.45	3.00	483	80
Roman Angelo R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP	3.99	22.6%	11.4%	2.5%	.291	5.72	18.6%	5.2%	169	+1.73	3.99	290	80
Tyler Stuart R 2024 · 3.53 FIP	24	SP	3.53	21.1%	7.4%	2.3%	.319	6.01	15.6%	0.6%	19	+2.48	3.53	252	80
Tyler Cravy R 2015 · 3.94 FIP	26	SP-	3.94	17.0%	9.0%	2.1%	.305	4.61	18.6%	7.8%	138	+0.67	3.94	276	80
Isaac Coffey R 2024 · 3.67 FIP	24	SP	3.67	24.3%	11.4%	2.1%	.280	5.77	18.5%	6.9%	56	+2.10	3.67	287	79
Nic Swanson R 2024 · 4.91 FIP	25	SP	4.91	19.3%	11.8%	3.5%	.286	5.43	19.9%	6.5%	132	+0.52	4.29	438	79
Will Warren R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	25	SP	4.26	24.5%	7.6%	4.1%	.344	3.77	23.7%	15.2%	318	-0.49	3.72	709	79
Mike Wright Jr. R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	25	SP	4.07	15.7%	7.9%	2.3%	.260	4.25	17.2%	9.8%	343	+0.18	3.76	725	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.7	133	21.1%	9.1%	1.34	4.70
Jack Bentley ('13-'27, 5 WAR*)	3.6	143	21.1%*	9.8%*	1.35*	4.67*
Max Surkont ('49-'57, 5 WAR*)	6.0	149	20.0%*	8.4%*	1.27*	4.76*
Bill Voiselle ('42-'50, 12 WAR*)	6.9	172	23.3%*	9.2%*	1.41*	4.32*
Tyler Anderson ('25)	6.3	126	19.5%	7.8%	1.32	4.30
Dan Straily ('19)	4.0	115	19.8%	9.1%	1.60	4.56
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	106	20.5%	9.7%	1.30	4.61