Cristopher Cruz prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Cristopher Cruz P FCL Pirates

Age 23 RHP 6'2" / 170 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 6 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.78

FIP4.78

K%22.8%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%10.3%

ROS IP7

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates Black	10	8	29	142	23	25	2	80%	2.9	11.0%	22.0%	-11.0%	2.0%	6.44	6.07	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates Black	10	8	29	142	23	25	2	80%	2.9	16.2%	17.6%	-1.4%	1.4%	6.44	4.97	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	11	10	29	141	23	22	3	91%	2.7	11.1%	19.5%	-8.4%	3.0%	7.36	6.31	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	11	10	29	141	23	22	3	91%	2.7	16.3%	15.6%	0.7%	2.1%	7.36	5.11	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	10	2	11	66	8	14	1	20%	1.1	8.2%	26.5%	-18.3%	2.3%	11.91	7.02	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	10	2	11	66	8	14	1	20%	1.1	8.2%	26.5%	-18.3%	2.3%	11.91	7.02	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	10	2	11	66	8	14	1	20%	1.1	12.1%	21.2%	-9.1%	1.5%	11.91	6.54	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	23	MLB	PIT	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.8%	12.4%	10.3%	3.0%	4.78	4.78	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	PIT	4	4	20	84	20	10	3	100%	5.0	23.4%	11.2%	12.1%	3.0%	4.63	4.56	+0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	PIT	2	2	9	38	9	4	1	100%	4.5	23.4%	11.2%	12.1%	3.0%	4.63	4.56	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	9	36	8	4	1	100%	4.3	23.4%	11.2%	12.1%	3.0%	4.63	4.18	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	36	200	844	187	94	23	100%	5.6	23.4%	11.2%	12.1%	3.0%	4.63	4.18	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		31	20	70	349	37	76	9	65%	2.3	10.5%	21.8%	-11.3%	2.5%	7.71	6.34	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		89	57	200	997	105	218	25	65%	2.3	10.5%	21.8%	-11.3%	2.5%	7.71	6.34	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cristopher Cruz (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.78	22.8%	12.4%	3.0%	—	4.56	23.4%	12.1%	20	-0.22	—	—	—
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	82
Jared Ruxer R 2015 · 4.16 FIP	23	SP-	4.16	17.3%	10.6%	2.1%	.333	4.29	14.9%	7.5%	240	+0.13	3.39	270	78
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.33	20.2%	11.3%	189	+0.25	3.54	355	78
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	77
Hunter Gregory R 2022 · 3.90 FIP	23	SP-	3.90	21.2%	8.7%	2.7%	.374	4.56	20.4%	7.9%	188	+0.66	3.84	249	76
Keagan Gillies R 2022 · 5.68 FIP	24	SP-	5.68	17.2%	11.3%	4.7%	.370	3.54	23.5%	13.9%	142	-2.14	2.93	177	76
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.11	17.6%	6.7%	206	+1.46	3.65	248	75
Chris Campos R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP-	4.91	21.0%	11.8%	3.8%	.364	4.57	18.6%	11.6%	249	-0.34	4.54	318	75
Alfredo Figaro R 2009 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	19.3%	12.0%	3.6%	.370	4.42	7.2%	-1.5%	15	-0.56	3.75	143	75
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.51	17.7%	5.4%	170	-0.51	3.97	187	74
Drew Rasmussen R 2019 · 3.64 FIP	24	SP-	3.64	24.6%	12.6%	1.9%	.312	3.21	22.7%	16.2%	237	-0.43	1.21	694	74
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.71	16.1%	6.1%	316	+0.16	3.97	371	74
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	74
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	74
Daniel Corcino R 2014 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	18.8%	12.5%	2.3%	.208	4.14	19.6%	10.0%	76	-0.23	3.84	318	73
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	72
Darren Bowen R 2023 · 3.82 FIP	22	SP-	3.82	19.0%	12.8%	1.3%	.236	5.41	15.1%	4.2%	223	+1.59	3.82	278	72
River Ryan R 2022 · 3.69 FIP	23	SP	3.69	26.1%	12.2%	2.3%	.321	3.88	20.3%	9.2%	134	+0.19	2.44	223	72
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.80	25.1%	15.0%	175	-0.63	2.47	305	72
Victor Simeon R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	22	SW	5.53	20.3%	15.7%	3.9%	.333	3.87	25.6%	5.4%	81	-1.66	3.22	180	72