Luis Rodriguez — OGILVIE

Luis RodriguezCF Great Lakes Loons

Age 23 R/R 6'2" / 175 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 108 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .263 / .300

PA108

HR2

K%33

BB%7

ISO103

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	236	209	27	3	0	4	17	111	7	1	1	129	219	201	420	72	237	47	7	198	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	236	199	43	4	1	8	27	73	7	1	1	216	330	367	697	151	289	31	11	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	506	456	74	15	0	5	40	248	5	3	1	162	238	228	466	66	332	49	8	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	506	431	104	20	1	11	65	159	5	3	1	241	347	369	716	128	350	31	13	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	336	304	69	12	2	4	25	134	4	11	2	227	294	319	613	92	385	40	7	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	336	295	81	16	2	5	34	95	4	11	2	275	357	393	751	119	384	28	10	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	171	157	25	4	0	1	12	83	1	2	0	159	224	204	427	45	324	49	7	192	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	171	150	31	5	0	1	18	60	1	2	0	207	294	260	554	53	333	35	11	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	LAD	—	108	98	20	4	0	2	8	35	1	2	0	204	271	306	577	102	288	32	7	258	55	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	LAD	30%	152	139	28	5	1	3	11	48	1	3	1	201	265	317	581	115	290	32	7	272	66	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	LAD	44%	259	235	49	9	1	6	20	79	2	4	1	209	276	332	608	123	291	31	8	280	73	-8	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.1
2029	26	MLB	LAD	51%	332	300	65	12	2	8	26	100	3	6	1	217	286	350	636	133	291	30	8	285	76	-9	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.3
2030	27	MLB	LAD	52%	373	337	73	14	2	9	29	112	4	6	2	217	286	350	637	134	291	30	8	286	77	-10	+0	+0	+1	+11	0.3
2031	28	MLB	LAD	53%	396	357	77	14	2	10	32	120	4	6	2	216	288	350	638	134	291	30	8	285	77	-10	+0	-1	+1	+11	0.2
2032	29	MLB	LAD	53%	404	365	79	15	2	10	32	123	4	6	1	216	287	351	637	134	290	30	8	284	75	-11	+1	-1	+1	+11	0.1
2027	24	MLB	LAD	30%	46	43	9	2	0	1	3	14	0	1	0	209	261	326	586	116	286	30	7	261	58	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	LAD	44%	115	104	23	4	1	3	9	35	1	2	0	221	289	365	655	144	287	30	8	270	65	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2029	26	MLB	LAD	51%	169	152	33	6	1	4	13	51	2	3	1	217	287	349	636	132	287	30	8	274	68	-6	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.0
2030	27	MLB	LAD	52%	196	177	38	7	1	5	15	59	2	3	1	215	284	350	634	136	287	30	8	276	69	-7	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.0
2031	28	MLB	LAD	53%	211	190	40	7	1	5	17	64	2	3	1	211	282	337	619	126	287	30	8	275	68	-8	+0	-0	+1	+6	-0.1
2032	29	MLB	LAD	53%	212	191	40	7	1	5	17	64	2	3	1	209	281	335	616	126	286	30	8	273	67	-8	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	949	857	183	33	5	23	74	287	9	15	4	214	283	344	627	131	290	30	8	273	67	-35	+1	-1	+3	+27	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	126	23	3	16	51	197	6	10	3	215	284	346	630	131	292	30	8	273	67	-24	+1	-1	+2	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	3273	2957	586	107	12	62	252	1193	36	50	12	198	269	305	575	107	304	36	8	260	57	-158	+5	-2	+12	+93	-5.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	115	21	2	12	50	237	7	10	2	196	267	300	567	104	300	36	8	260	57	-31	+1	-0	+2	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	236	199	43	4	1	8	27	73	7	1	1	216	330	367	697	151	289	31	11	316	100	-0	-0	—	—	+7	0.7
2022	19	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	506	431	104	20	1	11	65	159	5	3	1	241	347	369	716	128	350	31	13	325	107	+4	+0	—	—	+14	1.9
2023	20	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	336	295	81	16	2	5	34	95	4	11	2	275	357	393	751	119	384	28	10	337	116	+6	+1	—	—	+10	1.7
2024	21	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	171	150	31	5	0	1	18	60	1	2	0	207	294	260	554	53	333	35	11	260	57	-8	+0	—	—	+5	-0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	949	24	16	216	283	349	+3	+8	0.4	0.4
	/162	664	16	11	216	283	349	+2.4	+5.2	0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	198/263/300	102	288	2	2	33%	7%	55	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A	23	35→40	45→55	45→50	43	180/260/303	123	268	12	7	36%	9%	55	-1.4	206/284/377	171	294	20	9	35%	9%	85	+0.7	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Raul Beracierta 2022 · A	23	42	45→50	50	38	204/261/333	129	310	11	8	36%	6%	63	-0.9	221/267/351	130	335	15	5	37%	5%	69	-0.4	222/262/357	135	329	19	1	37%	4%	65	-0.4
✕Narciso Crook 2018 · A	23	38→44	43→55	48→50	34	191/236/299	108	292	11	9	37%	5%	43	-2.2	213/264/337	124	312	11	11	34%	5%	64	-0.8	198/275/352	154	301	19	15	38%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	43→50	51→55	47	212/285/327	114	283	10	10	27%	8%	71	-0.3	202/288/323	121	269	12	14	28%	10%	72	-0.2	197/277/356	159	247	21	23	29%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Sean Bouchard 2019 · A	23	39→41	43→55	49→50	38	195/247/302	108	280	10	13	33%	6%	48	-1.9	197/253/324	127	295	12	10	36%	6%	56	-1.3	210/314/386	176	278	19	16	30%	12%	96	+0.7
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	40	39→45	54→50	39	192/262/274	82	303	8	14	37%	7%	48	-1.9	206/305/332	126	296	13	13	32%	10%	82	+0.5	214/316/327	113	306	11	14	30%	10%	82	+0.3
✕Chase Strumpf 2021 · A	23	44→36	42→50	49→45	42	208/284/314	106	306	8	7	33%	7%	68	-0.5	195/290/334	139	313	15	5	39%	10%	76	+0.1	179/286/335	156	287	19	4	41%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Luis Santana 2022 · AA	23	39	42→45	47→50	39	198/255/299	101	269	10	10	30%	5%	51	-1.7	211/272/334	123	278	13	9	28%	6%	67	-0.5	201/263/321	120	259	14	7	27%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Ruben Cardenas 2021 · A	23	43→42	40→55	46→50	41	208/257/305	97	279	7	8	28%	6%	53	-1.5	216/264/385	169	290	23	8	33%	6%	78	+0.2	208/270/383	175	256	23	10	29%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Trey Amburgey 2018 · A	23	38→44	43→50	51→50	36	193/240/300	106	271	10	12	32%	4%	44	-2.1	214/254/347	133	278	15	9	28%	4%	63	-0.9	221/261/363	142	287	15	7	28%	4%	66	-0.4
✕Jason Lopez 2021 · A	23	40	44→55	46→45	37	202/247/323	121	282	12	7	32%	5%	53	-1.5	194/256/297	103	298	10	10	36%	7%	50	-1.7	163/228/254	91	247	10	10	36%	8%	25	-0.9
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	40	43→45	51→55	40	193/267/298	105	296	11	13	36%	7%	56	-1.3	203/272/299	96	311	8	12	35%	8%	58	-1.2	170/253/239	69	277	4	11	36%	9%	33	-0.6
✕Luis De Los Santos 2021 · A	23	41→47	40→45	48→45	37	199/247/294	95	288	8	8	33%	5%	46	-2.0	221/270/348	127	302	13	6	30%	5%	70	-0.3	216/283/335	119	291	13	7	29%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Barrett Barnes 2014 · A	23	42→48	43→45	50	37	208/256/313	105	293	11	13	32%	5%	54	-1.4	218/283/340	122	285	12	14	26%	7%	73	-0.1	215/293/346	131	300	13	7	30%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Logan Hill 2017 · A	24	39	44→55	48→45	36	196/250/310	114	286	11	10	35%	5%	52	-1.6	206/270/368	162	292	20	5	35%	7%	76	+0.1	200/268/377	177	277	24	2	36%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Juan Uriarte 2021 · A	23	38	41→45	48→30	31	189/228/283	93	291	9	6	37%	4%	34	-2.8	198/249/283	85	295	6	6	33%	4%	43	-2.2	156/203/205	49	241	0	0	33%	2%	1	-1.2
✕Marcos Castañon 2022 · A	23	39→49	42→55	49→40	34	191/244/298	106	298	9	6	38%	5%	46	-2.0	214/291/378	164	286	21	2	31%	8%	88	+0.9	230/285/382	152	297	19	2	28%	6%	83	+0.5
✕Lane Adams 2013 · A	23	43→46	43→50	52→60	38	215/259/326	111	291	11	12	29%	5%	59	-1.1	223/274/345	122	294	12	24	27%	6%	71	-0.3	228/279/363	136	311	16	36	31%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→50	48→40	39	178/241/285	107	272	11	4	37%	7%	42	-2.3	203/260/325	122	275	13	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3