Luis Rodriguez — OGILVIE

Luis RodriguezCF Great Lakes Loons

Age 23 R/R 6'2" / 175 lbs A+ HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 108 proj PA

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .264 / .301

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%7

ISO103

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	236	199	43	4	1	8	27	73	7	1	1	216	330	367	697	151	289	31	11	316	100	-0	-0	—	—	+5	0.5
2022	19	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	506	431	104	20	1	11	65	159	5	3	1	241	347	369	716	128	350	31	13	325	106	+4	+0	—	—	+11	1.5
2023	20	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	336	295	81	16	2	5	34	95	4	11	2	275	357	393	751	119	384	28	10	337	114	+6	+1	—	—	+7	1.5
2024	21	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	171	150	31	5	0	1	18	60	1	2	0	207	294	260	554	53	333	35	11	260	62	-8	+0	—	—	+4	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	236	209	30	3	1	5	17	108	7	1	1	144	232	239	471	96	231	46	7	204	24	-21	-0	—	—	+5	-1.7
2022	19	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	506	453	80	15	1	7	43	229	5	3	1	177	255	260	516	84	321	45	8	233	44	-34	+0	—	—	+11	-2.3
2023	20	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	336	304	68	12	2	4	25	131	4	11	2	224	291	316	607	92	359	39	7	266	66	-14	+1	—	—	+7	-0.5
2024	21	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	171	157	25	4	0	1	12	82	1	2	0	159	224	204	427	45	314	48	7	194	17	-17	+0	—	—	+4	-1.3
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	236	209	30	3	1	5	17	108	7	1	1	144	232	239	471	96	253	46	7	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	—	236	199	43	4	1	8	27	73	7	1	1	216	330	367	697	151	289	31	11	316	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	506	453	80	15	1	7	43	229	5	3	1	177	255	260	516	84	329	45	8	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	506	431	104	20	1	11	65	159	5	3	1	241	347	369	716	128	350	31	13	325	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	336	304	68	12	2	4	25	131	4	11	2	224	291	316	607	92	372	39	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	336	295	81	16	2	5	34	95	4	11	2	275	357	393	751	119	384	28	10	337	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	171	157	25	4	0	1	12	82	1	2	0	159	224	204	427	45	320	48	7	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	Great Lakes Loons	—	171	150	31	5	0	1	18	60	1	2	0	207	294	260	554	53	333	35	11	260	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	236	210	30	3	1	5	17	108	7	1	1	143	232	238	470	95	231	46	7	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	506	453	80	15	1	7	43	229	5	3	1	177	255	260	516	84	321	45	8	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	336	304	68	12	2	4	25	131	4	11	2	224	291	316	607	92	359	39	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	171	156	25	4	0	1	12	82	1	2	0	160	224	205	429	45	314	48	7	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	336	304	68	12	2	4	25	131	4	11	2	224	291	316	607	92	359	39	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	171	156	25	4	0	1	12	82	1	2	0	160	224	205	429	45	314	48	7	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	23	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		288	33	11	258	61	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	LAD	30%	152	139	29	5	1	3	11	47	1	3	1	209	272	324	595	115	290	31	7	272	70	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	25	MLB MLE	LAD	44%	259	235	49	9	1	6	20	79	2	4	1	209	276	332	608	123	290	31	8	281	76	-7	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	LAD	51%	332	300	65	12	2	8	26	99	3	6	1	217	286	350	636	133	290	30	8	286	80	-8	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	LAD	52%	373	336	74	14	2	10	30	111	4	6	2	220	292	363	655	143	290	30	8	287	80	-9	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	LAD	53%	396	357	77	14	2	10	32	119	4	6	2	216	288	350	638	134	290	30	8	286	80	-10	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.0
2032	29	MLB MLE	LAD	53%	404	364	79	15	2	10	33	122	4	6	1	217	289	352	641	135	289	30	8	284	79	-10	+1	-1	+1	+9	-0.1
2033	30	MLB MLE	LAD	52%	406	366	78	14	2	10	33	124	4	6	1	213	285	344	630	131	288	31	8	282	77	-11	+1	-2	+1	+9	-0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	LAD	30%	46	43	9	2	0	1	3	14	0	1	0	209	261	326	586	116	285	30	7	264	70	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	LAD	44%	115	104	22	4	0	3	9	35	1	2	0	212	281	337	617	125	286	30	8	273	76	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	LAD	51%	169	152	33	6	1	4	13	51	2	3	1	217	287	349	636	132	286	30	8	278	80	-4	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	LAD	52%	196	176	38	7	1	5	16	58	2	3	1	216	289	352	641	136	286	30	8	279	80	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	LAD	53%	211	190	41	7	1	6	17	63	2	3	1	216	287	358	645	142	286	30	8	278	80	-5	+0	-0	+1	+5	0.0
2032	29	MLB CTX	LAD	53%	212	191	40	7	1	5	17	64	2	3	1	209	281	335	616	126	285	30	8	276	79	-5	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	LAD	52%	212	191	40	7	1	5	17	65	2	3	1	209	281	335	616	126	284	31	8	274	77	-6	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1161	1047	223	40	5	29	92	350	11	18	5	213	283	344	627	131	288	30	8	276	66	-30	+2	-2	+4	+25	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	124	22	3	16	52	196	6	10	3	212	283	341	624	130	286	30	8	276	66	-17	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3580	3228	655	117	16	74	283	1254	39	54	13	203	275	318	593	115	302	35	8	265	66	-61	+4	-4	+8	+51	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	118	21	3	13	51	228	7	10	2	201	273	314	587	113	301	35	8	265	66	-17	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.7	1,160	29	19	216	283	348	+4	+8	0.7	0.7
/162	664	16	11	+2.4	+4.3	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	199/264/301	102	288	2	2	33%	7%	61	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Raul Beracierta 2022 · A	23	42	44→50	50	37	205/259/332	127	312	11	8	36%	6%	65	-1.2	226/273/354	128	337	14	5	35%	5%	76	-0.4	233/275/366	133	341	18	1	36%	4%	76	-0.3
✕Jake Rogers 2018 · A	23	41→40	44→55	47→45	42	204/268/326	123	280	11	10	30%	7%	68	-1.0	194/266/335	141	268	16	7	32%	8%	70	-0.9	216/279/422	206	274	28	2	32%	7%	93	+0.4
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A	23	36→40	44→50	45→50	43	180/261/297	117	271	11	7	36%	9%	59	-1.6	201/279/356	155	288	17	9	34%	9%	80	-0.2	190/261/345	156	258	19	12	33%	8%	68	-0.7
✕Chase Strumpf 2021 · A	23	44→37	41→50	49→45	42	208/284/313	105	305	8	7	32%	7%	71	-0.8	197/291/331	134	305	14	5	37%	10%	79	-0.2	181/287/328	147	281	17	4	38%	11%	74	-0.4
✕Marcos Castañon 2022 · A	23	39→49	42→50	49→40	34	191/244/298	106	298	9	6	38%	5%	52	-2.2	214/290/368	154	286	19	2	30%	8%	86	+0.3	210/284/359	149	274	19	1	29%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	40	39→40	54→50	39	192/262/271	79	299	7	14	36%	7%	53	-2.1	205/306/320	115	292	11	13	31%	10%	82	-0.0	213/316/315	101	301	9	14	29%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Sandro Fabian 2021 · A	23	40→46	44→55	46→45	39	204/261/317	114	276	13	6	30%	6%	63	-1.3	224/265/382	158	260	20	4	22%	4%	80	-0.2	223/272/387	164	251	20	4	20%	5%	81	-0.1
✕Francisco Acuna 2023 · A	23	41→48	41→45	47→50	42	198/274/300	102	281	8	11	31%	7%	65	-1.2	216/287/309	93	288	7	13	26%	7%	71	-0.8	203/287/297	95	268	8	17	26%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Pedro Pagés 2022 · A	23	43→45	43→50	42→40	42	211/278/315	104	301	11	4	32%	7%	69	-0.9	213/277/334	121	292	13	4	30%	7%	73	-0.6	227/286/364	137	285	17	2	26%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	39	43→45	51→55	41	193/269/299	106	293	11	13	36%	8%	63	-1.4	203/273/300	97	309	8	12	34%	8%	64	-1.3	170/256/241	71	275	3	11	36%	10%	43	-0.6
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	42→50	51→55	47	210/284/319	109	280	9	10	27%	8%	72	-0.7	203/288/320	117	266	12	14	26%	10%	74	-0.5	197/276/341	144	245	18	22	27%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Narciso Crook 2018 · A	23	38→43	43→50	48→50	34	193/237/303	109	291	11	9	37%	5%	51	-2.3	215/266/334	119	313	10	11	33%	5%	69	-0.9	206/268/351	145	302	15	14	35%	6%	70	-0.6
✕Carlos Narváez 2023 · A	24	36→45	46→45	46→45	44	182/271/305	123	284	14	6	38%	10%	65	-1.2	206/290/331	125	292	13	7	32%	9%	78	-0.3	212/295/344	132	286	15	6	29%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Juan Uriarte 2021 · A	23	39	41→45	48→30	32	192/231/285	93	290	9	6	36%	4%	44	-2.8	198/248/282	84	293	6	6	33%	4%	50	-2.3	152/200/202	49	235	0	0	33%	2%	10	-1.2
✕Andrew Navigato 2022 · AA	24	41→40	44→55	46→50	44	203/280/318	115	282	11	13	30%	8%	71	-0.8	217/276/370	153	271	17	14	26%	6%	81	-0.1	214/273/383	169	262	19	17	26%	6%	81	-0.1
✕Deibinson Romero 2010 · A	23	41→45	40→50	46→40	43	200/264/290	90	277	7	5	29%	7%	58	-1.7	209/275/318	109	276	11	3	27%	7%	69	-0.9	223/296/348	126	274	12	2	22%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/254/321	133	272	15	10	35%	6%	62	-1.4	207/272/348	141	302	15	9	35%	6%	75	-0.5	202/267/346	145	293	16	7	35%	6%	71	-0.3
✕Luis Santana 2022 · AA	23	40	43→45	47→50	40	201/259/308	107	270	11	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	217/276/340	123	279	13	9	26%	6%	74	-0.5	208/269/326	118	262	13	7	25%	5%	65	-0.7
✕Luis Vázquez 2023 · AAA	23	42→46	41→45	45→50	39	209/255/305	96	283	9	11	29%	5%	57	-1.8	226/286/347	121	297	13	9	27%	6%	79	-0.2	227/293/349	122	296	14	8	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Carson Blair 2013 · A	23	35	42→50	43→30	38	176/239/285	109	279	9	6	39%	7%	47	-2.5	200/272/335	135	323	12	4	38%	9%	72	-0.7	196/274/342	145	318	14	1	39%	9%	71	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps