Ben Joyce — OGILVIE

Ben Joyce P Los Angeles Angels

Age 25 RHP 6'5" / 225 lbs MLB peak 0.7 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION23 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10597vR 89

ERA3.93

FIP3.80

K%30.6%

BB%11.8%

K-BB%18.8%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 29 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL4040

CMD4545

K†7070

SL (3%)

SI (43%)

FB-2.2 (49%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	21	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	13	0	13	57	20	4	0	0%	1.0	28.4%	7.7%	20.7%	0.0%	2.08	1.68	—
2022	21	AA RAW	Rocket City Trash Pandas	13	0	13	57	20	4	0	0%	1.0	35.1%	7.0%	28.1%	0.0%	2.08	0.95	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	0	28	125	36	23	2	0%	1.0	27.8%	20.4%	7.3%	1.8%	4.55	4.31	+0.1
2023	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	0	28	125	36	23	2	0%	1.0	27.8%	20.4%	7.3%	1.8%	4.55	4.31	+0.1
2023	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	0	28	125	36	23	2	0%	1.0	28.8%	18.4%	10.4%	1.6%	4.55	3.93	+0.2
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	1	54	221	67	25	3	2%	1.1	27.4%	11.8%	15.6%	1.6%	2.85	3.14	+0.9
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	1	54	221	67	25	3	2%	1.1	27.4%	11.8%	15.6%	1.6%	2.85	3.14	+0.9
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	1	54	221	67	25	3	2%	1.1	30.3%	11.3%	19.0%	1.4%	2.85	2.73	+1.2
2025	24	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	5	0	4	20	1	1	1	0%	0.9	5.0%	5.0%	0.0%	5.0%	6.23	6.06	-0.1
2025	24	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	5	0	4	20	1	1	1	0%	0.9	5.0%	5.0%	0.0%	5.0%	6.23	6.06	-0.1
2025	24	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	5	0	4	20	1	1	1	0%	0.9	5.0%	5.0%	0.0%	5.0%	6.23	6.33	-0.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			61	1	61	259	59	30	3	2%	1.0	22.8%	11.6%	11.2%	1.2%	3.23	3.28	+0.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	25	0	23	103	27	14	0	0%	0.9	—	—	—	—	4.30	—	—
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	25	0	23	103	27	14	0	0%	0.9	—	—	—	—	4.30	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	ROK RAW	LAA	4	0	3	18	4	3	0	0%	0.8	22.2%	16.7%	5.6%	0.0%	9.00	3.33	—
2026	25	A RAW	LAA	4	0	4	21	5	3	0	0%	1.0	23.8%	14.3%	9.5%	0.0%	2.25	2.90	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	LAA	4	0	4	15	3	2	0	0%	0.9	20.0%	13.3%	6.7%	0.0%	4.91	3.10	—
2026	25	MLB RAW	LAA	13	0	12	49	15	6	0	0%	0.9	30.6%	12.2%	18.4%	0.0%	3.65	2.07	+0.4
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	LAA	13	0	12	49	15	6	0	0%	0.9	30.6%	12.2%	18.4%	0.0%	3.65	2.07	+0.4
ROS	25	MLB MLE	LAA	6	0	6	24	7	3	1	0%	1.0	30.6%	11.8%	18.8%	2.6%	3.93	3.80	+0.1
ROS	25	MLB CTX	LAA	6	0	6	25	8	3	1	0%	1.0	30.6%	11.8%	18.8%	2.6%	3.93	3.80	+0.1
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	LAA	—	—	29	127	34	17	1	—	—	27.1%	13.2%	13.8%	0.5%	4.23	0.77	+1.5
FULL	25	MLB A+C	LAA	—	—	18	77	34	17	1	—	—	45.0%	22.1%	23.0%	0.8%	6.72	2.54	+0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	LAA	61	0	64	270	81	31	6	0%	1.0	30.1%	11.6%	18.5%	2.4%	3.78	3.72	+0.6
2028	27	MLB MLE	LAA	60	0	63	266	79	30	7	0%	1.0	29.6%	11.5%	18.1%	2.5%	3.81	3.81	+0.6
2027	26	MLB CTX	LAA	58	0	61	258	77	30	6	0%	1.1	30.1%	11.6%	18.5%	2.4%	3.78	3.72	+0.6
2028	27	MLB CTX	LAA	57	0	60	253	75	29	6	0%	1.1	29.6%	11.5%	18.1%	2.5%	3.81	3.81	+0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		181	1	188	792	218	91	16	1%	1.0	27.5%	11.5%	16.0%	2.0%	3.61	3.35	+2.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		193	1	200	844	232	97	17	1%	1.0	27.5%	11.5%	16.0%	2.0%	3.61	3.35	+2.9
Career	—	MLE		120	1	122	526	139	71	7	1%	1.0	26.5%	13.5%	13.0%	1.3%	3.55	3.27	+2.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		197	2	200	865	229	117	11	1%	1.0	26.5%	13.5%	13.0%	1.3%	3.55	3.27	+2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ben Joyce (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.80	30.6%	11.8%	2.6%	—	3.76	29.8%	18.3%	127	-0.04	—	—	—
Cade Smith R 2023 · 3.44 FIP	24	SU	3.44	29.0%	9.7%	2.9%	.333	1.56	35.2%	28.9%	215	-1.88	1.03	379	77
Brian Ellington R 2016 · 3.44 FIP	25	SU	3.44	27.5%	14.3%	1.6%	.252	5.01	24.6%	9.0%	97	+1.57	2.75	233	75
Shane Smith R 2023 · 3.52 FIP	23	SU	3.52	28.1%	10.4%	2.7%	.259	3.59	22.9%	13.1%	284	+0.07	3.01	342	75
James Norwood R 2019 · 4.35 FIP	25	SU	4.35	29.7%	12.7%	3.9%	.256	2.84	29.1%	17.4%	82	-1.51	2.27	349	75
Bruce Rondón R 2016 · 3.36 FIP	25	SU	3.36	29.0%	10.0%	2.6%	.284	3.41	25.1%	10.5%	82	+0.05	3.31	184	74
Trey Wingenter R 2019 · 3.17 FIP	25	SU	3.17	33.0%	12.8%	2.2%	.257	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	293	73
Orion Kerkering R 2023 · 3.34 FIP	22	SU	3.34	28.3%	7.4%	3.1%	.301	2.88	25.6%	16.4%	179	-0.46	1.90	221	72
Zach Brzykcy R 2022 · 3.33 FIP	23	SU	3.33	30.7%	11.6%	2.5%	.222	5.27	21.7%	7.9%	59	+1.94	3.33	235	72
Emilio Pagán R 2016 · 4.08 FIP	25	SU	4.08	26.2%	11.5%	3.2%	.267	3.49	29.2%	23.8%	214	-0.59	2.67	719	71
Dovydas Neverauskas R 2018 · 4.63 FIP	25	SU	4.63	25.1%	12.3%	3.8%	.281	4.65	26.5%	16.4%	80	+0.02	2.74	353	71
Cody Carroll R 2018 · 3.73 FIP	25	SU	3.73	24.2%	12.7%	2.0%	.282	6.46	24.3%	12.3%	24	+2.73	3.67	311	71
Daniel Palencia R 2023 · 4.18 FIP	23	SU	4.18	24.9%	12.0%	3.0%	.269	3.16	28.3%	18.6%	130	-1.02	2.91	304	70
Jon Edwards R 2015 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	31.7%	13.1%	2.4%	.264	2.40	30.3%	22.6%	30	-1.00	2.40	132	70
Trevor Megill R 2019 · 3.29 FIP	25	SU	3.29	28.4%	9.1%	2.6%	.408	3.87	25.8%	17.6%	83	+0.58	1.60	385	70
Zach Maxwell R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	22	SU	3.65	26.9%	16.1%	1.4%	.331	3.85	24.3%	10.1%	159	+0.20	2.71	220	70
Franco Aleman R 2023 · 2.92 FIP	23	SU	2.92	28.4%	8.8%	2.0%	.315	2.96	29.2%	19.7%	114	+0.04	2.38	225	69
Kevin Ginkel R 2019 · 2.98 FIP	25	SU	2.98	35.4%	10.0%	2.9%	.255	3.67	26.2%	15.9%	104	+0.69	2.37	455	69
Brooks Kriske R 2019 · 3.47 FIP	25	SU	3.47	26.1%	12.2%	1.9%	.245	4.95	28.6%	16.5%	41	+1.48	3.15	246	69
Ben Heller R 2017 · 2.86 FIP	25	SU	2.86	32.4%	9.4%	2.4%	.243	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	246	68
Kyle Keller R 2018 · 2.96 FIP	25	SU	2.96	28.7%	9.3%	2.0%	.294	4.34	28.4%	18.6%	106	+1.38	2.72	296	68

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	64	30.1%	11.6%	0.96	3.84
Carl Edwards Jr. ('23)	1.2	50	28.7%	12.4%	0.76	3.05
José Leclerc ('24)	1.7	57	31.6%	12.8%	0.76	3.33
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Ryan Buchter ('19)	1.1	53	26.7%	10.8%	1.10	2.87
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82