Ben Joyce P Rancho Cucamonga Quakes
Age 25 RHP 6'5" / 225 lbs A peak 0.6 · 2027 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 ROS PROJECTION6 act + 43 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10697vR 88
ERA3.93
FIP3.80
K%30.6%
BB%11.8%
K-BB%18.8%
ROS IP43
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 49 IP
K: +4.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+4KBB: -3.5 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-3BBCONTACT: +3.6 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+4CONTACTSTAM: +2.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.68 (49 IP)+0.7WAR
0.40.70.60.40.3262830
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF5555
CTRL4040
CMD4545
K†7070
SL (3%)
SI (43%)
FB-2.2 (49%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202221AARocket City Trash Pandas130135720400%1.028.4%7.7%20.7%0.0%2.081.68
202221AARocket City Trash Pandas130135720400%1.035.1%7.0%28.1%0.0%2.080.95
202322MIX3 levels28028125362320%1.027.8%20.4%7.3%1.8%4.554.34+0.1
202322MIX3 levels28028125362320%1.028.8%18.4%10.4%1.6%4.553.93+0.2
202423MIX2 levels49154221672532%1.127.4%11.8%15.6%1.6%2.853.17+0.9
202423MIX2 levels49154221672532%1.130.3%11.3%19.0%1.4%2.852.73+1.1
202524MLBLos Angeles Angels504201110%0.95.0%5.0%0.0%5.0%6.236.06-0.1
202524MLBLos Angeles Angels504201110%0.95.0%5.0%0.0%5.0%6.236.33-0.1
▸ 2026 Season
202625ARancho Cucamonga Quakes606328500%0.94.76
ROS25MLBLAA41043181552150%1.030.6%11.8%18.8%2.6%3.933.80+0.4
ROS25MLBLAA10141000%1.030.6%11.8%18.8%2.6%3.933.80+0.0
2026 TOT25MLBLAA492136326529.8%12.4%17.4%2.2%4.033.36+0.7
2026 FULL25MLBLAA1521030.6%11.8%18.8%2.6%3.933.42+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726MLBLAA61064270813170%1.030.1%11.5%18.6%2.6%3.893.83+0.6
202827MLBLAA60063266793070%1.029.6%11.4%18.1%2.7%3.913.91+0.5
202928MLBLAA58061258753070%1.129.2%11.5%17.7%2.8%3.984.01+0.4
202726MLBLAA27028118361430%1.030.1%11.5%18.6%2.6%3.893.83+0.2
202827MLBLAA38040169501950%1.129.6%11.4%18.1%2.7%3.913.91+0.3
202928MLBLAA44046194572250%1.029.2%11.5%17.7%2.8%3.984.01+0.3
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career158116570018980161%1.027.0%11.5%15.5%2.3%3.693.55+3.6
/ 200 IP192120084822997191%1.027.0%11.5%15.5%2.3%3.693.55+4.3
Career10111044551206271%1.026.5%13.6%12.8%1.5%3.453.42+2.4
/ 200 IP1942200872231119131%1.026.5%13.6%12.8%1.5%3.453.42+4.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Ben Joyce (OGILVIE) 3.80 30.6%11.8%2.6% 3.92 29.6%18.1%188 +0.12
David Morgan R 2026 · 3.58 FIP 25 SU 3.58 25.9%11.4%2.2%.265 3.50 24.8%13.4%22 -0.08 3.37 170 78
James Norwood R 2026 · 4.26 FIP 25 SU 4.26 29.7%12.7%3.8%.256 2.79 29.1%17.4%82 -1.47 2.27 349 76
Bruce Rondón R 2026 · 3.44 FIP 25 SU 3.44 29.0%10.0%2.8%.284 3.40 25.1%10.5%82 -0.04 3.31 184 75
Daniel Palencia R 2026 · 2.83 FIP 25 SU 2.83 28.4%7.0%2.3%.291 3.28 26.8%19.8%17 +0.45 2.83 297 73
Trey Wingenter R 2026 · 3.29 FIP 25 SU 3.29 33.0%12.8%2.5%.257 2.81 293 73
Brian Ellington R 2026 · 3.49 FIP 25 SU 3.49 27.5%14.3%1.6%.252 5.05 24.6%9.0%97 +1.56 2.75 233 73
José Fermin R 2025 · 3.43 FIP 24 SU 3.43 25.9%13.1%1.6%.292 3.43 142 73
Keone Kela R 2026 · 2.79 FIP 25 SU 2.79 31.1%8.0%2.4%.266 3.33 27.7%18.5%30 +0.54 2.56 246 71
Dovydas Neverauskas R 2026 · 4.51 FIP 25 SU 4.51 25.1%12.3%3.6%.281 4.64 26.5%16.4%80 +0.13 2.76 353 71
Trevor Megill R 2026 · 3.37 FIP 25 SU 3.37 28.4%9.1%2.8%.408 3.78 25.8%17.6%83 +0.41 1.21 366 71
Emilio Pagán R 2026 · 4.28 FIP 25 SU 4.28 26.2%11.5%3.5%.267 3.48 29.2%23.8%214 -0.80 2.70 698 71
Jon Edwards R 2028 · 3.54 FIP 27 SU 3.54 31.7%13.1%2.7%.264 2.30 30.3%22.6%30 -1.24 2.30 132 70
Cody Carroll R 2026 · 3.77 FIP 25 SU 3.77 24.2%12.7%2.0%.282 7.04 24.3%12.3%24 +3.27 3.73 311 70
José Cisnero R 2028 · 4.40 FIP 27 SU 4.40 26.1%11.7%3.7%.367 4.02 24.5%13.3%75 -0.38 2.28 279 70
Kevin Ginkel R 2026 · 2.92 FIP 25 SU 2.92 35.4%10.0%2.8%.255 3.55 26.2%15.9%104 +0.63 2.35 431 69
Kyle Keller R 2026 · 3.02 FIP 25 SU 3.02 28.7%9.3%2.1%.294 4.16 28.4%18.6%106 +1.14 2.67 296 69
Brooks Kriske R 2026 · 3.52 FIP 25 SU 3.52 26.1%12.2%2.0%.245 5.01 28.6%16.5%41 +1.49 3.00 246 69
Michael Feliz R 2026 · 3.84 FIP 25 SU 3.84 25.3%10.6%2.8%.323 3.81 28.9%19.8%107 -0.03 2.82 442 69
Ken Giles R 2026 · 2.60 FIP 25 SU 2.60 35.7%8.4%2.6%.342 2.37 33.0%26.3%166 -0.23 1.97 368 69
Orion Kerkering R 2026 · 3.55 FIP 25 SU 3.55 25.9%12.7%1.9%.213 1.92 202 69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION45829.8%11.6%1.033.93
Cody Allen ('19)55931.3%10.2%1.193.51
Lucas Sims ('24)64727.6%11.6%1.244.22
Wade Davis ('21)65327.3%10.4%0.903.77
José Cisnero ('23)54224.8%11.3%0.943.84
Fernando Rodney ('19)55924.6%11.8%0.884.21
Greg Holland ('21)64525.4%12.3%0.874.03