Trey Wingenter — OGILVIE

Trey Wingenter P Iowa Cubs

Age 32 RHP 6'7" / 237 lbs AAA peak 0.4 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10193vR 85

ERA3.70

FIP3.56

K%31.3%

BB%8.9%

K-BB%22.4%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF7070

CTRL3535

CMD6060

K†7070

SL-1.1 (45%)

FB-2.0 (50%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	21	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	6	0	10	44	5	3	0	0%	1.6	11.4%	6.8%	4.5%	0.0%	2.79	3.00	—
2015	21	ROK RAW	AZL Padres	6	0	10	44	5	3	0	0%	1.6	11.4%	6.8%	4.5%	0.0%	2.79	3.00	—
2016	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	39	0	58	229	65	20	0	0%	1.5	19.9%	11.0%	8.9%	0.0%	1.70	2.81	—
2016	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	39	0	58	229	65	20	0	0%	1.5	28.4%	8.7%	19.7%	0.0%	1.70	1.90	—
2017	23	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	49	0	48	194	64	19	6	0%	1.0	26.7%	10.8%	15.9%	3.9%	2.45	4.38	—
2017	23	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	49	0	48	194	64	19	6	0%	1.0	33.0%	9.8%	23.2%	3.1%	2.45	3.25	—
2018	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	62	0	63	268	80	35	7	0%	1.0	27.5%	13.5%	14.0%	2.7%	3.55	3.95	+0.4
2018	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	62	0	63	268	80	35	7	0%	1.0	29.9%	13.1%	16.8%	2.6%	3.55	3.67	+0.7
2019	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	55	1	55	235	80	29	6	2%	1.0	33.0%	12.8%	20.2%	2.2%	5.89	3.17	+0.9
2019	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	55	1	55	235	80	29	6	2%	1.0	34.0%	12.3%	21.7%	2.6%	5.89	3.19	+0.9
2021	27	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	3	1	3	11	6	1	0	33%	1.0	54.5%	9.1%	45.5%	0.0%	0.00	-0.35	—
2021	27	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	3	1	3	11	6	1	0	33%	1.0	54.5%	9.1%	45.5%	0.0%	0.00	0.10	—
2023	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	41	2	39	174	51	22	4	5%	0.9	26.6%	10.1%	16.5%	2.7%	6.52	3.63	+0.4
2023	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	41	2	39	174	51	22	4	5%	0.9	26.6%	10.1%	16.5%	2.7%	6.52	3.63	+0.4
2023	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	41	2	39	174	51	22	4	5%	0.9	29.3%	12.6%	16.7%	2.3%	6.52	3.51	+0.5
2024	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	57	251	81	25	7	0%	1.3	29.8%	9.0%	20.7%	2.4%	3.97	3.07	+1.0
2024	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	57	251	81	25	7	0%	1.3	29.8%	9.0%	20.7%	2.4%	3.97	3.07	+1.0
2024	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	0	57	251	81	25	7	0%	1.3	32.3%	10.0%	22.3%	2.8%	3.97	3.17	+0.9
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			97	1	95	417	127	50	12	1%	1.0	30.5%	12.0%	18.5%	2.9%	5.66	3.65	+1.0
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	32	MLB	CHC	4	0	4	17	5	1	0	0%	1.0	31.3%	8.9%	22.4%	2.9%	3.70	3.56	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	33	MLB MLE	CHC	46	0	48	202	60	19	6	0%	1.0	29.7%	9.3%	20.3%	3.2%	3.85	3.91	+0.4
2028	34	MLB MLE	CHC	41	0	44	184	52	18	6	0%	1.1	28.3%	9.8%	18.5%	3.5%	4.10	4.24	+0.2
2027	33	MLB CTX	CHC	17	0	18	76	23	7	2	0%	1.1	29.7%	9.3%	20.3%	3.2%	3.85	3.91	+0.1
2028	34	MLB CTX	CHC	13	0	14	59	17	6	2	0%	1.1	28.3%	9.8%	18.5%	3.5%	4.10	4.24	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		127	1	127	550	166	63	16	1%	1.0	30.1%	11.4%	18.7%	3.0%	5.24	3.64	+1.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		200	2	200	867	262	99	25	1%	1.0	30.1%	11.4%	18.7%	3.0%	5.24	3.64	+2.2
Career	—	MLE		300	4	332	1406	381	157	31	1%	1.1	27.1%	11.1%	15.9%	2.2%	3.82	3.43	+1.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		181	2	200	846	229	94	19	1%	1.1	27.1%	11.1%	15.9%	2.2%	3.82	3.43	+1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Trey Wingenter (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.56	31.3%	8.9%	2.9%	—	4.07	29.0%	19.4%	91	+0.51	—	—	—
C.C. Lee R 2018 · 3.03 FIP	31	SU	3.03	34.7%	9.1%	3.1%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.59	121	79
Santiago Casilla R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	35	SU	3.50	25.4%	8.6%	2.7%	.290	3.97	22.4%	12.7%	161	+0.47	3.50	219	78
Wade Davis R 2018 · 3.33 FIP	32	SU	3.33	29.9%	10.0%	2.7%	.235	5.00	20.2%	8.1%	85	+1.67	2.00	320	77
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	76
Mark Lowe R 2015 · 2.37 FIP	32	SU	2.37	28.4%	5.1%	1.9%	.302	5.22	19.2%	9.9%	98	+2.85	2.37	153	76
Blake Wood R 2017 · 3.44 FIP	31	SU	3.44	25.3%	9.3%	2.4%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	210	75
Pedro Strop R 2017 · 3.08 FIP	32	SU	3.08	26.0%	10.0%	1.7%	.263	3.43	25.3%	16.4%	101	+0.35	2.56	277	75
Ross Ohlendorf R 2015 · 3.30 FIP	32	SU	3.30	23.7%	7.2%	2.3%	.342	4.93	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.63	3.30	122	74
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	74
Chris Hatcher R 2017 · 4.31 FIP	32	SU	4.31	24.5%	7.4%	4.3%	.291	5.32	18.0%	8.4%	36	+1.01	2.92	176	72
Ryan Madson R 2015 · 2.99 FIP	34	SU	2.99	23.4%	5.2%	2.2%	.244	2.96	23.9%	18.7%	176	-0.03	1.42	240	71
Jay Jackson R 2019 · 2.80 FIP	31	SU	2.80	32.4%	9.1%	2.3%	.272	3.59	29.4%	19.9%	41	+0.79	2.36	261	71
Daniel Bard R 2020 · 2.82 FIP	35	SU	2.82	25.5%	7.5%	1.7%	.290	3.63	25.3%	12.0%	175	+0.81	2.56	200	70
Spencer Patton R 2021 · 3.04 FIP	33	SU	3.04	27.9%	8.7%	2.2%	.305	5.01	20.8%	10.0%	88	+1.97	2.79	239	70
Jonathan Broxton R 2016 · 3.77 FIP	32	SU	3.77	22.0%	7.3%	2.9%	.256	4.34	20.5%	9.0%	16	+0.57	3.67	137	70
Fernando Cruz R 2022 · 2.89 FIP	32	SU	2.89	27.4%	10.0%	1.5%	.254	2.76	36.3%	25.3%	181	-0.13	2.50	371	70
Ryan Brasier R 2020 · 2.97 FIP	32	SU	2.97	27.3%	9.1%	1.9%	.324	3.30	23.4%	17.1%	134	+0.33	2.31	426	69
Chad Gaudin R 2016 · 2.67 FIP	33	SU	2.67	22.8%	6.8%	1.2%	.325	3.15	21.8%	13.9%	58	+0.48	2.02	102	69
Blake Parker R 2017 · 2.52 FIP	32	SU	2.52	33.9%	6.3%	2.7%	.228	4.20	26.6%	18.8%	144	+1.68	2.52	339	69
Huascar Brazobán R 2022 · 3.77 FIP	32	SU	3.77	28.5%	11.4%	3.0%	.275	3.49	23.2%	12.9%	187	-0.28	3.08	366	69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	48	29.9%	9.3%	1.23	3.87
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Diego Castillo ('22)	1.3	52	28.1%	8.9%	1.07	3.12
Keone Kela ('19)	1.1	43	30.1%	9.4%	0.92	3.23
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Blake Parker ('21)	1.2	60	26.6%	7.3%	1.40	3.36
Joe Jiménez ('24)	1.9	53	29.8%	8.6%	1.11	4.06