Trey Wingenter
P
Iowa Cubs
Age 32
RHP
6'7" / 237 lbs
AAA
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10292vR 83
ERA3.71
FIP3.59
K%32.4%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%22.4%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SL-1.1 (45%)
FB-2.0 (50%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | ROK | AZL Padres | 6 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 11.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 2.79 | 3.00 | — |
| 2015 | 21 | ROK | AZL Padres | 6 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 11.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 2.79 | 3.00 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 39 | 0 | 58 | 229 | 65 | 20 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 19.9% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 0.0% | 1.70 | 2.81 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 39 | 0 | 58 | 229 | 65 | 20 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 28.4% | 8.7% | 19.7% | 0.0% | 1.70 | 1.90 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 49 | 0 | 48 | 194 | 64 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.7% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 4.2% | 2.45 | 4.52 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 49 | 0 | 48 | 194 | 64 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 33.0% | 9.8% | 23.2% | 3.1% | 2.45 | 3.25 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 0 | 63 | 268 | 80 | 35 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.5% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 2.7% | 3.55 | 3.98 | +0.5 |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 0 | 63 | 268 | 80 | 35 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.9% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 2.6% | 3.55 | 3.67 | +0.7 |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 55 | 1 | 55 | 235 | 80 | 29 | 6 | 2% | 1.0 | 33.0% | 12.8% | 20.2% | 2.5% | 5.89 | 3.29 | +0.8 |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 55 | 1 | 55 | 235 | 80 | 29 | 6 | 2% | 1.0 | 34.0% | 12.3% | 21.7% | 2.6% | 5.89 | 3.19 | +0.9 |
| 2021 | 27 | ROK | ACL Padres | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 33% | 1.0 | 54.5% | 9.1% | 45.5% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -0.35 | — |
| 2021 | 27 | ROK | ACL Padres | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 33% | 1.0 | 54.5% | 9.1% | 45.5% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.10 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 41 | 2 | 39 | 174 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5% | 0.9 | 27.4% | 11.1% | 16.3% | 3.0% | 6.52 | 3.81 | +0.3 |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 41 | 2 | 39 | 174 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 5% | 0.9 | 29.3% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 2.3% | 6.52 | 3.51 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 57 | 251 | 81 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 31.6% | 10.6% | 21.0% | 2.3% | 3.97 | 3.02 | +1.0 |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 57 | 251 | 81 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 32.3% | 10.0% | 22.3% | 2.8% | 3.97 | 3.17 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | CHC | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 71 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 32.4% | 9.9% | 22.4% | 2.9% | 3.71 | 3.59 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | CHC | 46 | 0 | 48 | 202 | 62 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.6% | 10.3% | 20.3% | 3.2% | 3.88 | 3.94 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 41 | 0 | 44 | 184 | 54 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.2% | 10.7% | 18.5% | 3.5% | 4.13 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | CHC | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.9% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 3.8% | 4.42 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | CHC | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.6% | 10.3% | 20.3% | 3.2% | 3.88 | 3.94 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.2% | 10.7% | 18.5% | 3.5% | 4.13 | 4.27 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | CHC | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.9% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 3.8% | 4.42 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 137 | 1 | 138 | 596 | 180 | 69 | 18 | 1% | 1.0 | 30.1% | 11.6% | 18.6% | 3.0% | 5.18 | 3.69 | +2.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 199 | 1 | 200 | 865 | 261 | 100 | 26 | 1% | 1.0 | 30.1% | 11.6% | 18.6% | 3.0% | 5.18 | 3.69 | +4.0 | ||
| Career | — | 300 | 4 | 332 | 1406 | 387 | 162 | 32 | 1% | 1.1 | 27.5% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 2.3% | 3.82 | 3.49 | +7.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 181 | 2 | 200 | 846 | 233 | 98 | 19 | 1% | 1.1 | 27.5% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 2.3% | 3.82 | 3.49 | +4.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Trey Wingenter (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.59 | 32.4% | 9.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.25 | 29.3% | 18.6% | 130 | +0.66 | — | — | — |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 3.13 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.13 | 29.9% | 10.0% | 2.4% | .235 | 4.87 | 20.2% | 8.1% | 85 | +1.74 | 2.00 | 320 | 82 |
| C.C. Lee R 2025 · 3.00 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.00 | 34.7% | 9.1% | 3.0% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 121 | 79 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 77 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2029 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 76 |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 3.03 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.03 | 26.0% | 10.0% | 1.6% | .263 | 3.35 | 25.3% | 16.4% | 101 | +0.32 | 2.48 | 277 | 75 |
| Blake Wood R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 74 |
| Ryan Tepera R 2026 · 3.07 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.07 | 34.8% | 13.5% | 2.2% | .341 | 3.31 | 25.2% | 18.0% | 129 | +0.24 | 2.33 | 445 | 73 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 73 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.60 | 27.7% | 9.0% | 3.1% | .298 | 3.52 | 27.3% | 20.0% | 58 | -0.08 | 3.52 | 316 | 72 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 71 |
| Jay Jackson R 2025 · 2.91 FIP | 31 | SU | 2.91 | 32.4% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .272 | 3.61 | 29.4% | 19.9% | 41 | +0.70 | 2.41 | 261 | 71 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.20 | 24.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | .291 | 5.21 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 36 | +1.01 | 3.05 | 176 | 70 |
| Craig Kimbrel R 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.24 | 40.6% | 15.9% | 2.8% | .286 | 2.81 | 34.6% | 24.9% | 189 | -0.43 | 0.89 | 599 | 70 |
| Spencer Patton R 2027 · 3.09 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.09 | 27.9% | 8.7% | 2.3% | .305 | 5.10 | 21.4% | 9.7% | 88 | +2.01 | 2.74 | 239 | 69 |
| Huascar Brazobán R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.74 | 28.5% | 11.4% | 2.9% | .275 | 3.48 | 23.3% | 12.9% | 187 | -0.26 | 3.08 | 349 | 69 |
| Josh Lueke R 2024 · 2.50 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.50 | 30.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 69 |
| Fernando Cruz R 2026 · 2.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 2.77 | 27.4% | 10.0% | 1.3% | .254 | 2.78 | 36.3% | 25.3% | 181 | +0.01 | 2.52 | 356 | 69 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 2.94 FIP | 32 | SU | 2.94 | 27.3% | 9.1% | 1.8% | .324 | 3.29 | 23.4% | 17.1% | 134 | +0.35 | 2.27 | 426 | 69 |
| Chaz Roe R 2026 · 3.07 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.07 | 28.4% | 12.7% | 1.4% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.69 | 257 | 68 |
| Daniel Bard R 2029 · 2.70 FIP | 35 | SU | 2.70 | 25.5% | 7.5% | 1.5% | .290 | 3.50 | 25.3% | 12.0% | 175 | +0.80 | 2.48 | 200 | 68 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 46 | 30.2% | 10.5% | 1.27 | 4.01 |
| Cody Allen ('19) | 5 | 59 | 31.3% | 10.2% | 1.19 | 3.51 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| Michael Feliz ('21) | 5 | 47 | 30.5% | 9.8% | 1.48 | 5.05 |
| Wade Davis ('21) | 6 | 53 | 27.3% | 10.4% | 0.90 | 3.77 |