Trey Wingenter
P
Iowa Cubs
+0.5
WAR
Age 32
RHP
6'7" / 237 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2026
ERA4.78
FIP4.09
xFIP4.62
SIERA4.53
K%26.3%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%16.5%
IP36
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2026
STUF7070
CTRL3535
CMD6060
K†7070
FB Velo
p6895.8
Whiff%
p9031.8%
K%
p8628.9%
xwOBA vs
p540.308
SL-1.1 (45%)
FB-2.0 (50%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | ROK | AZL Padres | 6 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 5 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 2.79 | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 39 | 0 | 58 | 229 | 65 | 20 | 0 | 19.9% | 11.0% | 0.0% | 1.70 | 2.81 | +1.4 |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 49 | 0 | 48 | 194 | 64 | 19 | 6 | 26.7% | 10.8% | 4.0% | 2.45 | 4.38 | +0.3 |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 62 | 0 | 63 | 268 | 80 | 35 | 7 | 27.5% | 13.5% | 2.7% | 3.55 | 3.95 | +0.7 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 55 | 1 | 55 | 235 | 80 | 29 | 6 | 33.0% | 12.8% | 2.3% | 5.89 | 3.19 | +1.1 |
| 2021 | 27 | ROK | ACL Padres | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 41 | 2 | 39 | 174 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 27.4% | 11.1% | 2.7% | 6.52 | 3.66 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 45 | 0 | 57 | 251 | 81 | 25 | 7 | 31.6% | 10.6% | 2.4% | 3.97 | 3.11 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | CHC | 36 | — | 36 | 150 | 46 | 15 | 5 | 30.8% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 4.53 | 3.77 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | CHC | 34 | — | 34 | 144 | 42 | 14 | 4 | 29.4% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 4.20 | 3.95 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 32 | — | 32 | 136 | 39 | 14 | 4 | 28.3% | 10.0% | 3.2% | 4.16 | 4.12 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | CHC | 30 | — | 30 | 128 | 35 | 13 | 4 | 27.3% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 4.23 | 4.28 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 36 | MLB | CHC | 28 | — | 28 | 120 | 32 | 12 | 4 | 26.4% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 4.36 | 4.44 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 300 | 4 | 332 | 1406 | 387 | 162 | 31 | 27.5% | 11.5% | 2.2% | 3.82 | 3.45 | +7.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 181 | 2 | 200 | 846 | 233 | 97 | 19 | 27.5% | 11.5% | 2.2% | 3.82 | 3.45 | +4.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Trey Wingenter (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.77 | 30.8% | 9.7% | 3.0% | — | 4.11 | 28.4% | 18.4% | 97 | +0.34 | — | — | — |
| C.C. Lee R 2025 · 3.02 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.02 | 34.7% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.58 | 121 | 78 |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.42 | 29.9% | 10.0% | 2.9% | .235 | 4.92 | 20.2% | 8.1% | 85 | +1.50 | 2.00 | 320 | 78 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.47 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.9% | .263 | 3.98 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.49 | 3.98 | 104 | 76 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2029 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 75 |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 3.02 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.02 | 26.0% | 10.0% | 1.5% | .263 | 3.46 | 25.3% | 16.4% | 101 | +0.44 | 2.58 | 277 | 74 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 73 |
| Ryan Tepera R 2026 · 3.17 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.17 | 34.8% | 13.5% | 2.4% | .341 | 3.18 | 25.2% | 18.0% | 129 | +0.01 | 2.27 | 445 | 72 |
| Blake Wood R 2025 · 3.35 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.35 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.91 | 210 | 72 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 3.33 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.33 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.4% | .342 | 4.98 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.65 | 3.33 | 122 | 72 |
| Daniel Bard R 2029 · 2.86 FIP | 35 | SU | 2.86 | 25.5% | 7.5% | 1.7% | .290 | 3.60 | 25.3% | 12.0% | 175 | +0.74 | 2.45 | 200 | 72 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 3.04 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.04 | 27.3% | 9.1% | 2.0% | .324 | 3.27 | 23.4% | 17.1% | 134 | +0.23 | 2.31 | 403 | 71 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.99 | 24.5% | 7.4% | 3.7% | .291 | 5.41 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 36 | +1.42 | 2.93 | 176 | 71 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 71 |
| Craig Kimbrel R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.38 | 40.6% | 15.9% | 3.1% | .286 | 2.72 | 34.6% | 24.9% | 189 | -0.66 | 1.10 | 556 | 71 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.39 | 27.7% | 9.0% | 2.7% | .298 | 3.63 | 27.3% | 20.0% | 58 | +0.24 | 3.39 | 316 | 70 |
| Spencer Patton R 2027 · 3.03 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.03 | 27.9% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .305 | 5.07 | 21.4% | 9.7% | 88 | +2.04 | 2.83 | 239 | 70 |
| Jon Edwards R 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.43 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.39 | 132 | 70 |
| David Phelps R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.40 | 24.5% | 10.9% | 3.6% | .289 | 3.37 | 26.7% | 16.6% | 84 | -1.03 | 2.49 | 373 | 69 |
| Chad Gaudin R 2027 · 2.66 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.66 | 22.8% | 6.8% | 1.1% | .325 | 3.16 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 58 | +0.50 | 2.02 | 102 | 69 |
| Charlie Morton R 2026 · 3.04 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.04 | 26.8% | 11.3% | 1.4% | .326 | 2.91 | 28.8% | 20.7% | 508 | -0.13 | 2.52 | 1,534 | 69 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.