Ben Heller
P
Indianapolis Indians
+0.4
WAR
Age 34
RHP
6'3" / 210 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2026
ERA5.34
FIP4.14
xFIP5.30
SIERA3.83
K%25.6%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%16.5%
IP37
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2026
STUF6060
CTRL3535
CMD4040
K†6565
FB Velo
p7796.4
Whiff%
p7729.6%
K%
p5322.7%
xwOBA vs
p130.356
CT+0.7 (37%)
CH+0.5 (22%)
SI (24%)
SL (4%)
FB-6.8 (37%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 41 | 0 | 40 | 174 | 58 | 14 | 0 | 22.4% | 10.1% | 0.0% | 4.02 | 2.49 | +1.1 |
| 2016 | 24 | MLB | New York Yankees | 59 | 0 | 55 | 229 | 61 | 15 | 5 | 24.8% | 6.8% | 1.3% | 2.29 | 2.56 | +1.5 |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB | New York Yankees | 50 | 0 | 67 | 266 | 91 | 26 | 6 | 32.4% | 9.4% | 2.5% | 2.54 | 2.93 | +1.6 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | New York Yankees | 17 | 6 | 21 | 79 | 24 | 6 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.86 | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | New York Yankees | 6 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 6 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | 3.00 | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 7 | 2 | 9 | 49 | 9 | 10 | 2 | — | — | — | 9.35 | — | — |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 51 | 0 | 63 | 279 | 73 | 25 | 4 | 23.7% | 9.2% | 1.5% | 3.45 | 3.08 | +1.3 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 41 | 0 | 49 | 215 | 78 | 17 | 7 | 31.5% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 5.14 | 3.83 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | PIT | 37 | — | 37 | 157 | 44 | 16 | 5 | 28.3% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 5.45 | 4.07 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | PIT | 35 | — | 35 | 148 | 40 | 16 | 5 | 27.1% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 4.73 | 4.24 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | PIT | 33 | — | 33 | 138 | 36 | 15 | 4 | 26.1% | 10.7% | 3.2% | 4.54 | 4.41 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 37 | MLB | PIT | 30 | — | 30 | 128 | 32 | 14 | 4 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 4.56 | 4.58 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 272 | 8 | 310 | 1318 | 355 | 121 | 28 | 26.9% | 9.2% | 2.1% | 3.37 | 3.14 | +7.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 175 | 5 | 200 | 850 | 229 | 78 | 18 | 26.9% | 9.2% | 2.1% | 3.37 | 3.14 | +4.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ben Heller (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.07 | 28.3% | 10.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.40 | 26.1% | 15.5% | 98 | +0.33 | — | — | — |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.10 | 27.5% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.58 | 277 | 83 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2027 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 82 |
| Bud Norris R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.63 | 27.3% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 316 | 79 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.96 | 23.8% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .309 | 4.52 | 16.8% | 9.0% | 63 | +0.56 | 2.57 | 251 | 77 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.85 | 26.8% | 8.6% | 3.5% | .380 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 268 | 77 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.81 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .230 | 4.45 | 19.4% | 12.7% | 78 | +0.64 | 3.81 | 208 | 75 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 74 |
| Matt Albers R 2026 · 3.19 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.19 | 27.0% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .197 | 4.64 | 21.5% | 12.7% | 94 | +1.45 | 3.13 | 244 | 73 |
| Kodai Senga R 2025 · 3.69 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.69 | 29.7% | 10.9% | 3.1% | .417 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 305 | 72 |
| Adam Ottavino R 2026 · 2.92 FIP | 34 | SU | 2.92 | 29.4% | 10.6% | 1.8% | .367 | 3.24 | 26.8% | 17.7% | 189 | +0.32 | 2.15 | 488 | 72 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.18 | 23.7% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .253 | 5.14 | 25.0% | 13.8% | 32 | +0.96 | 3.38 | 212 | 72 |
| Josh Lueke R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 72 |
| Zack Segovia R 2025 · 3.37 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.37 | 20.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% | .312 | 4.52 | 17.6% | 4.0% | 57 | +1.15 | 3.37 | 144 | 71 |
| Ryan Madson R 2026 · 2.94 FIP | 34 | SW | 2.94 | 23.4% | 5.2% | 2.1% | .244 | 2.97 | 23.9% | 18.7% | 176 | +0.03 | 1.43 | 240 | 70 |
| Justin Miller R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.89 | 27.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 279 | 70 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 221 | 70 |
| Huascar Brazobán R 2026 · 3.08 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.08 | 23.5% | 11.5% | 0.9% | .259 | 3.72 | 21.7% | 12.7% | 77 | +0.64 | 3.08 | 303 | 70 |
| Blake Parker R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.42 | 25.5% | 8.6% | 4.3% | .258 | 4.20 | 24.9% | 15.4% | 87 | -0.22 | 2.41 | 339 | 69 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 5.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.25 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 120 | 69 |
| Nate Jones R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.46 | 26.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | .377 | 6.57 | 16.1% | 6.9% | 19 | +2.11 | 2.61 | 157 | 68 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.