Ben Heller
P
Indianapolis Indians
Age 34
RHP
6'3" / 210 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 48 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110101vR 92
ERA4.22
FIP3.98
K%29.8%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%19.3%
ROS IP49
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 48 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7796.4
Whiff%
p7729.6%
K%
p5322.7%
xwOBA vs
p130.356
CT+0.7 (37%)
CH+0.5 (22%)
SI (24%)
SL (4%)
FB-6.8 (37%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 40 | 174 | 58 | 14 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 0.0% | 4.02 | 2.49 | — |
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 40 | 174 | 58 | 14 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 33.3% | 8.0% | 25.3% | 0.0% | 4.02 | 1.27 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 59 | 0 | 55 | 229 | 61 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 24.8% | 6.8% | 18.0% | 1.3% | 2.29 | 2.58 | +1.3 |
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 59 | 0 | 55 | 229 | 61 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.6% | 6.6% | 20.1% | 2.2% | 2.29 | 2.88 | +1.1 |
| 2017 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 67 | 266 | 91 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 32.4% | 9.4% | 22.9% | 2.0% | 2.54 | 2.65 | +1.6 |
| 2017 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 67 | 266 | 91 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 34.2% | 9.8% | 24.4% | 2.3% | 2.54 | 2.71 | +1.6 |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 17 | 6 | 21 | 79 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 35% | 1.2 | 30.4% | 7.6% | 22.8% | 1.3% | 0.86 | 2.19 | +0.6 |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 17 | 6 | 21 | 79 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 35% | 1.2 | 30.4% | 7.6% | 22.8% | 1.3% | 0.86 | 2.29 | +0.6 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | New York Yankees | 6 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 7.4% | 14.8% | 7.4% | 3.00 | 6.23 | -0.1 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | New York Yankees | 6 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 7.4% | 14.8% | 7.4% | 3.00 | 6.43 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 2 | 9 | 49 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 29% | 1.2 | 18.4% | 20.4% | -2.0% | 4.1% | 9.35 | 6.37 | — |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 2 | 9 | 49 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 29% | 1.2 | 18.4% | 20.4% | -2.0% | 4.1% | 9.35 | 7.48 | — |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 63 | 279 | 73 | 25 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.7% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 1.5% | 3.45 | 3.10 | +1.1 |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 63 | 279 | 73 | 25 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.2% | 9.0% | 17.2% | 1.4% | 3.45 | 2.80 | +1.3 |
| 2024 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 41 | 0 | 49 | 215 | 78 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 31.5% | 8.8% | 22.8% | 4.5% | 5.14 | 4.03 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 41 | 0 | 49 | 215 | 78 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 36.3% | 7.9% | 28.4% | 3.3% | 5.14 | 2.81 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | PIT | 46 | 0 | 49 | 205 | 61 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.8% | 10.5% | 19.3% | 3.1% | 4.22 | 3.98 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | PIT | 42 | 0 | 44 | 184 | 52 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.2% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 3.4% | 4.31 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | PIT | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.2% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 3.4% | 4.31 | 4.35 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 60 | 0 | 64 | 296 | 64 | 30 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 3.2% | 4.63 | 4.30 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 187 | 0 | 200 | 920 | 199 | 93 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 3.2% | 4.63 | 4.30 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 272 | 8 | 310 | 1318 | 355 | 121 | 27 | 3% | 1.1 | 26.9% | 9.2% | 17.8% | 2.1% | 3.37 | 3.12 | +8.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 175 | 5 | 200 | 850 | 229 | 78 | 18 | 3% | 1.1 | 26.9% | 9.2% | 17.8% | 2.1% | 3.37 | 3.12 | +5.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ben Heller (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.98 | 29.8% | 10.5% | 3.1% | — | 4.35 | 28.2% | 17.3% | 44 | +0.37 | — | — | — |
| Santiago Casilla R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 83 |
| Bud Norris R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.52 | 27.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 316 | 83 |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.93 | 27.5% | 10.7% | 3.3% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.48 | 277 | 82 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.89 | 23.8% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .309 | 4.58 | 16.8% | 9.0% | 63 | +0.69 | 2.51 | 251 | 78 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.77 | 26.8% | 8.6% | 3.4% | .380 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 268 | 76 |
| Matt Albers R 2026 · 3.15 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.15 | 27.0% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .197 | 4.85 | 21.5% | 12.7% | 94 | +1.70 | 3.15 | 244 | 75 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.83 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .230 | 4.59 | 19.4% | 12.7% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.83 | 208 | 75 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 74 |
| Adam Ottavino R 2026 · 3.16 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.16 | 29.4% | 10.6% | 2.2% | .367 | 3.23 | 26.8% | 17.7% | 189 | +0.07 | 1.99 | 488 | 71 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 2.82 FIP | 34 | SU | 2.82 | 23.2% | 10.4% | 0.7% | .296 | 2.96 | 25.0% | 17.3% | 56 | +0.14 | 2.82 | 284 | 71 |
| Ryan Madson R 2026 · 2.97 FIP | 34 | SU | 2.97 | 23.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% | .244 | 2.98 | 23.9% | 18.7% | 176 | +0.01 | 1.42 | 240 | 71 |
| Justin Miller R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.77 | 27.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.54 | 279 | 70 |
| José Cisnero R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.22 | 26.2% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .323 | 5.60 | 23.0% | 12.2% | 16 | +1.38 | 2.28 | 279 | 69 |
| Zach McAllister R 2026 · 3.35 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.35 | 26.4% | 9.5% | 2.3% | .312 | 3.60 | 27.4% | 16.8% | 55 | +0.25 | 2.82 | 363 | 69 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 69 |
| Huascar Brazobán R 2026 · 3.08 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.08 | 23.5% | 11.5% | 0.9% | .259 | 3.58 | 22.5% | 12.8% | 122 | +0.50 | 3.08 | 349 | 69 |
| Blake Parker R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.74 | 25.5% | 8.6% | 4.9% | .258 | 4.22 | 24.9% | 15.4% | 87 | -0.52 | 2.61 | 339 | 69 |
| Brad Peacock R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.03 | 23.9% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 533 | 68 |
| Fernando Cruz R 2026 · 2.98 FIP | 34 | SU | 2.98 | 37.8% | 11.5% | 3.0% | .328 | 2.84 | 33.2% | 21.0% | 88 | -0.14 | 2.52 | 356 | 68 |
| Ian Kennedy R 2026 · 2.87 FIP | 34 | SU | 2.87 | 27.4% | 6.0% | 2.4% | .339 | 5.06 | 23.1% | 16.2% | 121 | +2.19 | 2.87 | 864 | 67 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 46 | 29.0% | 10.7% | 1.25 | 4.26 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Cody Allen ('19) | 5 | 59 | 31.3% | 10.2% | 1.19 | 3.51 |
| Michael Feliz ('21) | 5 | 47 | 30.5% | 9.8% | 1.48 | 5.05 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |