Ty Buttrey
P
Tacoma Rainiers
+0.1
WAR
Age 33
RHP
6'6" / 240 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.59
FIP4.59
xFIP4.65
SIERA4.68
K%22.2%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%12.2%
IP19
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF5555
CTRL5555
CMD5555
K†6060
FB Velo
p7296.1
Whiff%
p1220.0%
K%
p1016.1%
xwOBA vs
p390.324
FB-1.8
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | 25 | 25 | 138 | 580 | 103 | 48 | 7 | 13.6% | 9.5% | 1.7% | 3.92 | 4.10 | +1.9 |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 33 | 9 | 79 | 364 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 11.6% | 13.9% | 1.5% | 4.44 | 4.71 | +0.4 |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | 40 | 0 | 64 | 277 | 74 | 32 | 3 | 22.1% | 12.5% | 1.2% | 4.81 | 3.46 | +1.1 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 53 | 1 | 65 | 273 | 94 | 20 | 4 | 30.5% | 7.7% | 1.7% | 2.48 | 2.43 | +1.9 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 72 | 0 | 72 | 309 | 84 | 23 | 8 | 27.2% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 3.98 | 3.18 | +1.5 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 27 | 0 | 26 | 112 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 16.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 5.81 | 4.11 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 34 | 0 | 36 | 168 | 30 | 23 | 2 | 15.7% | 14.4% | 1.3% | 5.94 | 4.33 | +0.3 |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 17 | 3 | 17 | 78 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 16.0% | 20.7% | 3.6% | 4.15 | 6.34 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 29 | 1 | 29 | 140 | 31 | 14 | 6 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 4.1% | 9.00 | 5.02 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 19 | — | 19 | 81 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 24.9% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 4.46 | 4.26 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 24.2% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 4.43 | 4.40 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 330 | 39 | 527 | 2301 | 434 | 246 | 46 | 18.8% | 10.7% | 2.0% | 4.46 | 3.95 | +8.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 125 | 15 | 200 | 873 | 165 | 93 | 17 | 18.8% | 10.7% | 2.0% | 4.46 | 3.95 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ty Buttrey (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.26 | 24.9% | 9.5% | 3.1% | — | 4.40 | 24.2% | 14.5% | 20 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.47 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.9% | .263 | 3.98 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.49 | 3.98 | 104 | 80 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 76 |
| John Axford R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.91 | 20.8% | 10.0% | 2.4% | .304 | 3.97 | 22.1% | 11.3% | 76 | +0.06 | 3.28 | 197 | 75 |
| Jake Petricka R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.57 | 19.1% | 8.0% | 3.8% | .340 | 3.19 | 18.3% | 10.4% | 24 | -1.38 | 3.04 | 252 | 74 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.52 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.2% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 115 | 73 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 72 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 72 |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.12 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.12 | 22.6% | 8.2% | 1.6% | .358 | 4.15 | 13.7% | 6.9% | 250 | +1.03 | 3.12 | 352 | 71 |
| Greg Holland R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.53 | 27.0% | 14.5% | 3.4% | .238 | 3.71 | 23.8% | 15.4% | 84 | -0.82 | 1.94 | 268 | 70 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.63 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 1.8% | .331 | 6.11 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.48 | 3.45 | 170 | 70 |
| Josh Lueke R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 70 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.37 | 20.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% | .312 | 4.52 | 17.6% | 4.0% | 57 | +1.15 | 3.37 | 144 | 70 |
| Jon Edwards R 2024 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.43 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.39 | 132 | 69 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.28 | 21.9% | 8.5% | 5.4% | .312 | 5.01 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 49 | -0.27 | 2.30 | 153 | 69 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.18 | 20.0% | 9.7% | 2.8% | .302 | 2.90 | 24.2% | 15.4% | 98 | -1.28 | 2.80 | 284 | 69 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.63 | 27.3% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 316 | 69 |
| Huascar Brazobán R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.46 | 25.3% | 11.3% | 1.9% | .304 | 3.46 | 22.4% | 12.4% | 128 | +0.00 | 3.08 | 303 | 69 |
| Blake Wood R 2024 · 3.35 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.35 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.91 | 210 | 69 |
| Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.61 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 2.8% | .335 | 2.56 | 25.0% | 20.2% | 26 | -1.05 | 2.56 | 144 | 68 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.25 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 120 | 68 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.