Ty Buttrey — OGILVIE

Ty Buttrey P Tacoma Rainiers

Age 33 RHP 6'6" / 240 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 13 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.43

FIP4.31

K%23.7%

BB%9.0%

K-BB%14.7%

ROS IP13

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL5555

CMD5555

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p7296.1

Whiff%

p1220.0%

p1016.1%

xwOBA vs

p390.324

FB-1.8

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	138	580	103	48	7	100%	5.5	13.6%	9.5%	4.0%	1.7%	3.92	4.12	—
2015	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	25	138	580	103	48	7	100%	5.5	17.8%	8.3%	9.5%	1.2%	3.92	3.31	—
2016	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	33	9	79	364	52	46	6	27%	2.4	11.6%	13.9%	-2.3%	1.4%	4.44	4.68	—
2016	23	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	33	9	79	364	52	46	6	27%	2.4	14.3%	12.6%	1.6%	1.6%	4.44	4.52	—
2017	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	64	277	74	32	3	0%	1.6	22.1%	12.5%	9.6%	1.1%	4.81	3.45	—
2017	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	64	277	74	32	3	0%	1.6	26.7%	11.6%	15.2%	1.1%	4.81	2.90	—
2018	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	53	1	65	273	94	20	4	2%	1.2	30.5%	7.7%	22.9%	1.7%	2.48	2.43	+1.7
2018	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	53	1	65	273	94	20	4	2%	1.2	34.4%	7.3%	27.1%	1.5%	2.48	1.94	+2.1
2019	26	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	72	0	72	309	84	23	8	0%	1.0	27.2%	7.4%	19.7%	2.5%	3.98	3.14	+1.2
2019	26	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	72	0	72	309	84	23	8	0%	1.0	27.2%	7.4%	19.7%	2.6%	3.98	3.17	+1.2
2020	27	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	27	0	26	112	18	6	4	0%	1.0	16.1%	5.4%	10.7%	3.5%	5.81	4.34	+0.1
2020	27	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	27	0	26	112	18	6	4	0%	1.0	16.1%	5.4%	10.7%	3.6%	5.81	4.39	+0.0
2022	29	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	34	0	36	168	30	23	2	0%	1.1	15.7%	14.4%	1.3%	1.3%	5.94	4.33	—
2022	29	AAA RAW	Salt Lake Bees	34	0	36	168	30	23	2	0%	1.1	17.9%	13.7%	4.2%	1.2%	5.94	4.06	—
2023	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	3	17	78	16	14	2	18%	1.0	15.1%	17.7%	-2.6%	3.7%	4.15	6.11	—
2023	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	3	17	78	16	14	2	18%	1.0	15.1%	17.7%	-2.6%	3.7%	4.15	6.11	—
2023	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	3	17	78	16	14	2	18%	1.0	20.5%	17.9%	2.6%	2.6%	4.15	5.18	—
2024	31	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	29	1	29	140	31	14	6	3%	1.0	18.4%	9.0%	9.4%	4.1%	9.00	4.95	—
2024	31	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	29	1	29	140	31	14	6	3%	1.0	18.4%	9.0%	9.4%	4.1%	9.00	4.95	—
2024	31	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	29	1	29	140	31	14	6	3%	1.0	22.1%	10.0%	12.1%	4.3%	9.00	5.10	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			115	0	115	491	122	34	12	0%	1.0	24.8%	6.9%	17.9%	2.4%	4.30	3.22	+1.8
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	33	MLB	SEA	12	0	13	55	13	5	2	0%	1.1	23.7%	9.0%	14.7%	3.1%	4.43	4.31	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	34	MLB MLE	SEA	137	0	144	606	138	57	20	0%	1.0	22.8%	9.5%	13.3%	3.4%	4.54	4.61	-0.1
2028	35	MLB MLE	SEA	123	0	129	544	119	55	20	0%	1.0	21.8%	10.0%	11.8%	3.7%	4.78	4.95	-0.6
2027	34	MLB CTX	SEA	8	0	8	34	8	3	1	0%	1.0	22.8%	9.5%	13.3%	3.4%	4.54	4.61	-0.0
2028	35	MLB CTX	SEA	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	21.8%	10.0%	11.8%	3.7%	4.78	4.95	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		124	0	124	530	131	38	13	0%	1.0	24.7%	7.1%	17.6%	2.5%	4.32	3.30	+1.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		199	0	200	853	211	61	21	0%	1.0	24.7%	7.1%	17.6%	2.5%	4.32	3.30	+3.0
Career	—	MLE		330	39	527	2301	431	241	46	12%	1.6	18.7%	10.5%	8.3%	2.0%	4.46	3.94	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		125	15	200	873	164	92	17	12%	1.6	18.7%	10.5%	8.3%	2.0%	4.46	3.94	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ty Buttrey (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.31	23.7%	9.0%	3.1%	—	4.77	22.3%	12.6%	272	+0.46	—	—	—
John Axford R 2016 · 3.87 FIP	33	SU	3.87	20.8%	10.0%	2.3%	.304	4.05	22.1%	11.3%	76	+0.18	3.20	197	62
Blake Wood R 2017 · 3.44 FIP	31	SU	3.44	25.3%	9.3%	2.4%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	210	61
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	59
Ross Ohlendorf R 2016 · 4.93 FIP	33	SU	4.93	23.4%	10.7%	4.5%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	122	58
Carlos Torres R 2016 · 3.40 FIP	33	SU	3.40	23.0%	8.0%	2.2%	.252	3.99	18.9%	10.0%	186	+0.59	2.89	326	58
Joe Blanton R 2015 · 3.45 FIP	34	SW	3.45	22.4%	4.6%	3.0%	.272	3.70	23.5%	17.0%	124	+0.25	3.01	240	57
Yoshihisa Hirano R 2018 · 3.45 FIP	34	SU	3.45	22.5%	7.3%	2.4%	.242	3.97	24.6%	15.2%	65	+0.52	3.45	132	57
Santiago Casilla R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	35	SU	3.50	25.4%	8.6%	2.7%	.290	3.97	22.4%	12.7%	161	+0.47	3.50	219	56
Huascar Brazobán R 2023 · 3.52 FIP	33	SU	3.52	25.3%	11.3%	2.1%	.304	3.58	22.0%	11.7%	191	+0.06	3.08	366	55
Javy Guerra R 2019 · 3.95 FIP	33	SU	3.95	19.9%	4.9%	3.5%	.277	4.37	18.6%	8.6%	16	+0.42	2.95	260	55
Tony Barnette R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	22.6%	7.1%	2.7%	.335	2.61	25.0%	20.2%	26	-0.95	2.61	144	55
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	54
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	54
Blake Parker R 2018 · 4.12 FIP	33	SU	4.12	25.4%	6.5%	4.3%	.290	4.12	24.9%	16.5%	121	+0.00	2.52	339	54
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	54
Scott McGough R 2023 · 4.57 FIP	33	SU	4.57	28.6%	9.3%	4.9%	.266	4.26	18.9%	9.0%	126	-0.31	3.55	429	53
Felipe Arredondo R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	32	SU	4.65	16.2%	7.1%	3.7%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	337	53
Michael Tonkin R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	33	SU	4.20	23.1%	6.8%	4.0%	.237	3.56	23.5%	15.8%	131	-0.64	2.31	480	53
Tim Dillard R 2016 · 3.13 FIP	33	SU	3.13	22.6%	8.2%	1.7%	.358	4.14	13.7%	6.9%	250	+1.01	3.13	352	52
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	51

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.1	143	22.8%	9.5%	1.30	4.57
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Kutter Crawford ('24)	2.0	130	23.9%	7.2%	1.45	4.47
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Triston McKenzie ('24)	2.1	105	26.0%	9.4%	1.52	3.94
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12