Ty Buttrey
P
Tacoma Rainiers
Age 33
RHP
6'6" / 240 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 133 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.44
FIP4.33
K%23.9%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%14.4%
ROS IP133
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 133 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7296.1
Whiff%
p1220.0%
K%
p1016.1%
xwOBA vs
p390.324
FB-1.8
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 138 | 580 | 103 | 48 | 7 | 100% | 5.5 | 13.6% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 3.92 | 4.29 | — |
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 138 | 580 | 103 | 48 | 7 | 100% | 5.5 | 17.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 1.2% | 3.92 | 3.31 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 33 | 9 | 79 | 364 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 27% | 2.4 | 11.6% | 13.9% | -2.3% | 1.1% | 4.44 | 4.51 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 33 | 9 | 79 | 364 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 27% | 2.4 | 14.3% | 12.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 4.44 | 4.52 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 64 | 277 | 74 | 32 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 22.1% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 1.1% | 4.81 | 3.41 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 64 | 277 | 74 | 32 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 26.7% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 1.1% | 4.81 | 2.90 | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 53 | 1 | 65 | 273 | 94 | 20 | 4 | 2% | 1.2 | 30.5% | 7.7% | 22.9% | 1.8% | 2.48 | 2.47 | +1.7 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 53 | 1 | 65 | 273 | 94 | 20 | 4 | 2% | 1.2 | 34.4% | 7.3% | 27.1% | 1.5% | 2.48 | 1.94 | +2.1 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 72 | 0 | 72 | 309 | 84 | 23 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.2% | 7.4% | 19.7% | 2.7% | 3.98 | 3.22 | +1.3 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 72 | 0 | 72 | 309 | 84 | 23 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.2% | 7.4% | 19.7% | 2.6% | 3.98 | 3.17 | +1.4 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 27 | 0 | 26 | 112 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.1% | 5.4% | 10.7% | 3.7% | 5.81 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 27 | 0 | 26 | 112 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.1% | 5.4% | 10.7% | 3.6% | 5.81 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 34 | 0 | 36 | 168 | 30 | 23 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.7% | 14.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 5.94 | 4.35 | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 34 | 0 | 36 | 168 | 30 | 23 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.9% | 13.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 5.94 | 4.06 | — |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 3 | 17 | 78 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 18% | 1.0 | 16.0% | 20.7% | -4.7% | 4.2% | 4.15 | 6.68 | — |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 3 | 17 | 78 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 18% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 17.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.15 | 5.18 | — |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 29 | 1 | 29 | 140 | 31 | 14 | 6 | 3% | 1.0 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 9.00 | 4.80 | — |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 29 | 1 | 29 | 140 | 31 | 14 | 6 | 3% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 4.3% | 9.00 | 5.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 150 | 0 | 158 | 666 | 159 | 63 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.44 | 4.33 | +2.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 137 | 0 | 144 | 606 | 139 | 60 | 20 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 3.3% | 4.56 | 4.63 | +1.3 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | SEA | 123 | 0 | 129 | 544 | 120 | 57 | 20 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 3.7% | 4.81 | 4.97 | +0.6 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | SEA | 109 | 0 | 114 | 481 | 101 | 54 | 20 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 5.13 | 5.34 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 3.3% | 4.56 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | SEA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 3.7% | 4.81 | 4.97 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.0% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 5.13 | 5.34 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 124 | 0 | 124 | 530 | 131 | 38 | 13 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 7.2% | 17.5% | 2.5% | 4.33 | 3.30 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 199 | 0 | 200 | 853 | 211 | 61 | 21 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 7.2% | 17.5% | 2.5% | 4.33 | 3.30 | +4.9 | ||
| Career | — | 330 | 39 | 527 | 2301 | 434 | 246 | 47 | 12% | 1.6 | 18.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 2.0% | 4.46 | 3.98 | +8.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 125 | 15 | 200 | 873 | 165 | 93 | 18 | 12% | 1.6 | 18.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 2.0% | 4.46 | 3.98 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ty Buttrey (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 23.9% | 9.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.95 | 22.1% | 11.6% | 386 | +0.62 | — | — | — |
| John Axford R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.81 | 20.8% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .304 | 4.13 | 22.1% | 11.3% | 76 | +0.32 | 3.10 | 197 | 63 |
| Blake Wood R 2024 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 62 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 60 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.52 | 23.0% | 8.0% | 2.5% | .252 | 4.01 | 18.9% | 10.0% | 186 | +0.49 | 2.78 | 326 | 58 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 58 |
| Yoshihisa Hirano R 2027 · 3.32 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.32 | 22.5% | 7.3% | 2.2% | .242 | 3.84 | 24.6% | 15.2% | 65 | +0.52 | 3.32 | 132 | 56 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 56 |
| Huascar Brazobán R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 11.3% | 2.1% | .304 | 3.43 | 22.8% | 12.6% | 174 | -0.09 | 3.08 | 349 | 56 |
| Joe Blanton R 2027 · 3.30 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.30 | 22.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | .272 | 3.78 | 23.5% | 17.0% | 124 | +0.48 | 3.13 | 240 | 56 |
| Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.58 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | .335 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 20.2% | 26 | -0.95 | 2.63 | 144 | 55 |
| Javy Guerra R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.95 | 19.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | .277 | 4.37 | 18.6% | 8.6% | 16 | +0.42 | 2.95 | 260 | 55 |
| Scott McGough R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.31 | 28.6% | 9.3% | 4.5% | .266 | 4.20 | 19.6% | 8.9% | 126 | -0.11 | 3.65 | 429 | 54 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2029 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 54 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.52 | 27.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 316 | 54 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 54 |
| Blake Parker R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 25.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | .290 | 4.17 | 24.9% | 16.5% | 121 | -0.09 | 2.61 | 339 | 54 |
| Manny Acosta R 2028 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 54 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 21.3% | 11.4% | 3.0% | .274 | 3.99 | 19.7% | 8.3% | 169 | -0.41 | 2.78 | 596 | 54 |
| Michael Tonkin R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.20 | 23.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | .237 | 3.46 | 23.7% | 15.9% | 131 | -0.74 | 2.33 | 480 | 53 |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.15 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.15 | 22.6% | 8.2% | 1.7% | .358 | 4.13 | 13.7% | 6.9% | 250 | +0.98 | 3.15 | 352 | 52 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 136 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 1.35 | 4.70 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| Félix Hernández ('19) | 5 | 134 | 20.0% | 8.1% | 1.39 | 4.48 |
| Marco Estrada ('19) | 5 | 142 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 1.44 | 4.33 |
| Nate Karns ('17) | 3 | 96 | 24.2% | 9.3% | 1.22 | 4.24 |