Reyes Moronta P Salt Lake Bees
Age 33 RHP 5'10" / 265 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 53 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10595vR 86
ERA4.27
FIP4.25
K%26.2%
BB%11.1%
K-BB%15.2%
ROS IP54
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP
K: +0.5 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.5 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.4 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +2.2 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.19 (53 IP)+0.2WAR
0.20.0-0.2-0.3262829
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF6565
CTRL3030
CMD5050
K†6060
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p6195.3
Whiff%
p6227.1%
K%
p5823.6%
xwOBA vs
p800.283
SL-0.6
FB-2.0

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201522AAugusta GreenJackets42049226642210%1.221.0%11.5%9.5%0.6%5.733.13
201522AAugusta GreenJackets42049226642210%1.228.3%9.7%18.6%0.4%5.732.09
201623A+San Jose Giants60059243932070%1.029.5%9.5%20.0%3.3%2.593.62
201623A+San Jose Giants60059243932070%1.038.3%8.2%30.0%2.9%2.592.51
201724MIX4 levels41044186582230%1.123.9%14.3%9.5%2.1%2.894.04+0.3
201724MIX4 levels41044186582230%1.131.2%11.8%19.4%1.6%2.892.85+0.9
201825MLBSan Francisco Giants69065262793340%0.930.2%12.6%17.6%1.7%2.493.06+1.2
201825MLBSan Francisco Giants69065262793340%0.930.2%12.6%17.6%1.5%2.492.99+1.3
201926MLBSan Francisco Giants56057246703240%1.028.5%13.0%15.4%1.8%2.863.31+0.8
201926MLBSan Francisco Giants56057246703240%1.028.5%13.0%15.4%1.6%2.863.24+0.9
202128MIX2 levels28222111212647%0.817.1%27.9%-10.8%3.4%9.417.05-0.6
202128MIX2 levels28222111212647%0.818.9%23.4%-4.5%3.6%9.417.10-0.7
202229MIX2 levels50048207552660%1.023.6%10.6%13.0%3.0%3.974.08+0.3
202229MIX2 levels50048207552660%1.026.6%12.6%14.0%2.9%3.974.07+0.3
202330MIX2 levels36042194543840%1.225.0%20.1%4.9%1.8%3.434.52+0.0
202330MIX2 levels36042194543840%1.227.8%19.6%8.2%2.1%3.434.48+0.0
▸ 2026 Season
202633MLBLAA51054226592570%1.026.2%11.1%15.2%2.9%4.274.25+0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202734MLBLAA46049206522470%1.125.4%11.6%13.8%3.2%4.444.56-0.0
202835MLBLAA42044185452270%1.024.4%12.1%12.3%3.5%4.714.89-0.2
202936MLBLAA37039163382160%1.023.4%12.7%10.6%3.9%5.045.26-0.3
202734MLBLAA303133100%1.025.4%11.6%13.8%3.2%4.444.56-0.0
202835MLBLAA024.4%12.1%12.3%3.5%4.714.89
202936MLBLAA023.4%12.7%10.6%3.9%5.045.26
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career180017473520589160%1.027.9%12.0%15.9%2.2%3.073.49+3.9
/ 200 IP2060200843235102180%1.027.9%12.0%15.9%2.2%3.073.49+4.5
Career38223851675429232351%1.025.6%13.9%11.7%2.1%3.703.86+6.9
/ 200 IP1991200871223121181%1.025.6%13.9%11.7%2.1%3.703.86+3.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Reyes Moronta (OGILVIE) 4.25 26.2%11.1%2.9% 4.88 24.4%12.3%131 +0.63
Ryan Cook R 2024 · 4.04 FIP 31 SU 4.04 25.1%10.8%3.1%.280 4.04 102 86
Blake Wood R 2024 · 3.52 FIP 31 SU 3.52 25.3%9.3%2.5%.364 3.05 210 85
Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.51 FIP 35 SU 3.51 25.4%8.6%2.7%.290 3.93 22.4%12.7%161 +0.42 3.51 219 84
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 4.40 FIP 33 SU 4.40 26.2%11.2%3.8%.263 3.99 18.1%6.8%51 -0.41 3.99 104 82
Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.17 FIP 33 SU 4.17 22.0%10.5%2.9%.290 2.37 26.9%22.6%89 -1.80 2.08 112 81
Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 4.99 FIP 33 SU 4.99 23.4%10.7%4.6%.254 3.26 122 80
Huascar Brazobán R 2026 · 3.52 FIP 33 SU 3.52 25.3%11.3%2.1%.304 3.43 22.8%12.6%174 -0.09 3.08 349 79
Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.44 FIP 33 SU 3.44 24.8%12.0%1.7%.356 4.68 23.0%9.8%66 +1.24 2.73 410 79
Bud Norris R 2026 · 3.52 FIP 33 SU 3.52 27.3%7.3%3.3%.283 3.52 316 79
Jon Edwards R 2024 · 4.46 FIP 31 SU 4.46 25.1%11.6%3.7%.290 2.30 132 78
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2025 · 3.77 FIP 32 SU 3.77 20.4%10.0%2.1%.331 5.83 17.9%3.7%41 +2.06 3.37 170 78
Clayton Mortensen R 2025 · 4.62 FIP 32 SU 4.62 23.2%14.2%3.1%.258 4.23 221 77
Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.58 FIP 33 SU 3.58 22.6%7.1%2.7%.335 2.63 25.0%20.2%26 -0.95 2.63 144 77
Arcenio Leon R 2025 · 3.43 FIP 32 SU 3.43 21.4%8.1%2.0%.314 3.03 115 75
Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 4.40 FIP 33 SU 4.40 21.3%11.4%3.0%.274 3.99 19.7%8.3%169 -0.41 2.78 596 75
Nate Jones R 2025 · 4.06 FIP 32 SU 4.06 23.4%10.9%2.8%.279 6.10 21.4%13.8%38 +2.04 2.54 157 75
Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 4.22 FIP 33 SU 4.22 20.0%9.7%2.9%.302 2.90 24.2%15.4%98 -1.32 2.82 284 74
Manny Acosta R 2028 · 3.99 FIP 35 SU 3.99 18.1%9.1%2.3%.273 3.04 23.2%9.9%44 -0.95 3.04 102 72
Spencer Patton R 2026 · 3.09 FIP 33 SU 3.09 27.9%8.7%2.3%.305 5.10 21.4%9.7%88 +2.01 2.74 239 72
Zack Segovia R 2026 · 3.41 FIP 33 SU 3.41 20.2%5.9%2.3%.312 4.36 17.6%4.0%57 +0.95 3.41 144 72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION44625.0%11.8%1.294.58
Lucas Sims ('24)64727.6%11.6%1.244.22
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Robert Stephenson ('23)65726.2%9.9%1.394.33
Fernando Rodney ('19)55924.6%11.8%0.884.21
Amir Garrett ('23)65125.8%13.4%1.505.10
José Cisnero ('23)54224.8%11.3%0.943.84