Ryan Cermak — OGILVIE

Ryan CermakSS Bowling Green Hot Rods

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs A+ HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 103 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .261 / .310

PA103

HR2

K%30

BB%7

ISO119

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE46

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	24	22	4	0	1	1	1	13	1	3	0	182	250	409	659	227	375	54	4	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	24	22	6	0	1	2	1	9	1	3	0	273	333	636	970	364	364	38	4	414	175	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	2 teams	—	175	162	30	7	1	4	9	54	4	8	2	185	246	315	561	130	250	31	5	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	2 teams	—	175	155	41	9	1	6	15	37	4	8	2	265	343	452	794	187	312	21	9	352	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	214	184	25	5	1	3	19	99	8	15	1	136	246	223	469	87	259	46	9	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	214	175	37	6	2	4	28	67	8	15	1	211	346	337	683	126	308	31	13	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	2 teams	—	122	112	24	7	1	7	7	40	3	8	2	214	279	482	761	268	262	33	6	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	2 teams	—	122	108	29	11	1	6	11	31	3	8	2	269	352	556	908	287	324	25	9	394	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	TB	—	103	93	19	4	1	2	7	31	2	3	1	204	275	333	608	129	262	30	7	261	58	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	TB	30%	175	157	32	6	1	4	13	52	3	4	1	204	277	331	609	127	265	30	7	268	63	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2028	27	MLB	TB	42%	252	227	46	9	1	6	19	73	4	6	1	203	276	330	606	128	267	29	8	272	67	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2029	28	MLB	TB	48%	305	275	55	11	1	7	23	88	4	7	2	200	272	324	595	124	268	29	8	274	68	-11	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.1
2027	26	MLB	TB	30%	53	48	9	2	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	188	264	292	556	104	268	30	8	257	55	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	27	MLB	TB	42%	105	94	20	4	1	2	8	30	2	3	1	213	288	340	629	128	270	29	8	262	59	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	28	MLB	TB	48%	145	131	27	5	1	3	11	42	2	3	1	206	278	328	606	122	271	29	8	264	60	-7	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	303	273	56	11	2	6	23	88	5	7	2	205	279	326	605	121	276	29	8	262	59	-14	+1	-0	+3	+9	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	120	24	4	13	49	189	11	15	4	205	279	326	605	121	276	29	8	262	59	-30	+1	-1	+7	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	1370	1232	235	49	8	34	98	450	29	54	10	191	266	326	593	136	266	33	7	262	59	-64	+7	-1	+15	+39	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	111	23	4	16	46	214	14	26	5	190	265	325	590	135	265	33	7	262	59	-30	+3	-0	+7	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	24	22	6	0	1	2	1	9	1	3	0	273	333	636	970	364	364	38	4	414	175	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	22	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	160	142	38	8	1	6	14	36	3	8	2	268	344	465	809	197	320	22	9	357	132	+6	+1	—	—	+5	1.1
2023	22	ROK	FCL Rays	—	15	13	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	231	333	308	641	77	250	7	7	302	89	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2024	23	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	185	155	31	3	2	3	21	61	6	12	0	200	319	303	622	103	298	33	11	288	78	-5	+2	—	—	+5	0.3
2024	23	ROK	FCL Rays	—	29	20	6	3	0	1	7	6	2	3	1	300	517	600	1.117	300	385	21	24	486	230	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2025	24	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	100	89	20	6	1	3	9	30	2	7	2	225	310	416	726	191	304	30	9	324	106	+1	+1	—	—	+3	0.4
2025	24	ROK	FCL Rays	—	22	19	9	5	0	3	2	1	1	1	0	474	545	1.211	1.756	737	400	5	9	714	404	+8	+0	—	—	+1	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	304	7	7	203	272	331	+3	+3	0.1	0.1
	/162	664	15	16	203	272	331	+7.1	+6.6	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Cermak (OGILVIE)	25	20	39	60	46	192/261/310	118	262	2	3	30%	7%	58	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	38	44→40	50	44	193/277/309	116	270	12	12	32%	8%	65	-0.7	203/293/294	91	284	8	11	29%	9%	67	-0.5	196/291/271	75	277	5	10	28%	10%	57	-0.6
✕Willie MacIver 2022 · AA	25	35→33	44→45	51→55	37	184/244/295	111	265	12	16	35%	6%	46	-2.0	200/274/327	127	297	14	15	35%	8%	67	-0.5	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	33→28	45	49→50	42	177/246/290	113	244	14	18	33%	7%	46	-2.0	206/279/324	118	280	13	12	29%	9%	68	-0.5	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	39→40	45→50	51→55	41	198/264/325	127	271	12	15	31%	6%	62	-0.9	206/284/345	139	284	16	22	32%	8%	76	+0.1	198/283/340	141	269	18	27	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Andrew Cain 2015 · A	25	41→37	47→50	57→50	39	210/262/346	136	286	14	14	31%	6%	66	-0.6	190/248/314	124	316	13	9	41%	7%	52	-1.6	152/215/272	120	256	14	8	44%	7%	26	-2.1
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	39→36	44→40	55→50	44	196/275/315	119	256	11	15	27%	7%	64	-0.8	212/300/304	92	266	8	14	22%	9%	72	-0.2	211/311/283	71	261	6	15	19%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	39→38	45→50	53→55	42	195/273/320	125	283	13	16	34%	8%	65	-0.7	201/277/315	114	267	11	16	27%	8%	65	-0.7	164/253/261	97	214	9	20	27%	8%	38	-1.1
✕Andres Sosa 2023 · A	25	38	42→40	52→45	46	187/288/295	108	267	9	9	31%	9%	66	-0.6	194/280/284	90	288	7	7	32%	8%	59	-1.1	177/267/253	76	271	5	4	33%	7%	42	-0.8
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	39	44→45	49→40	42	198/262/310	112	269	11	6	30%	7%	57	-1.2	190/247/298	108	260	12	4	31%	6%	47	-1.9	181/237/285	104	244	12	2	30%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→28	45	50	37	195/254/318	123	282	13	12	35%	6%	56	-1.3	212/270/305	93	320	9	17	34%	6%	59	-1.1	219/278/292	73	339	7	24	35%	6%	54	-0.9
✕Chris Roller 2022 · AA	25	38	39→50	53→55	39	187/246/274	87	273	6	16	32%	6%	40	-2.4	190/267/311	121	291	12	16	36%	8%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Bradlee Beesley 2023 · AA	25	40	45→50	54→60	37	201/257/327	126	300	13	21	36%	6%	59	-1.1	206/282/327	121	313	11	26	35%	7%	70	-0.3	189/280/319	130	291	11	39	35%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Alerick Soularie 2023 · A	24	39	44→45	53→60	44	192/275/311	119	295	12	16	36%	9%	64	-0.8	197/281/310	113	291	12	26	34%	9%	66	-0.6	177/270/280	103	254	13	39	33%	10%	53	-0.5
✕Cory Vaughn 2014 · AA	25	41	45	53→50	42	203/278/323	120	288	13	14	33%	8%	68	-0.5	187/255/294	107	275	11	13	34%	7%	50	-1.7	158/228/255	96	233	10	12	35%	6%	26	-1.8
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A	25	42→43	43→45	50	42	207/270/323	116	273	10	12	27%	6%	63	-0.8	226/283/329	103	310	8	9	28%	6%	70	-0.3	228/286/321	93	317	7	7	29%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	35→40	46→50	53→55	40	187/250/311	124	262	15	19	34%	7%	53	-1.5	184/265/319	135	258	16	22	34%	8%	62	-0.9	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Brandon Hicks 2011 · AAA	25	37→41	45→50	51→50	38	192/249/314	122	273	13	15	34%	6%	53	-1.5	201/262/346	145	307	18	11	38%	7%	67	-0.5	192/257/340	148	302	19	10	41%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Kyle Gaedele 2015 · AA	25	41→43	44→45	54→50	41	202/264/324	122	291	11	16	33%	7%	62	-0.9	205/275/354	149	352	17	10	43%	8%	74	-0.1	176/260/344	168	320	21	7	48%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Jason Martinson 2014 · AA	25	36→39	46→45	54→50	38	184/255/307	124	295	15	15	41%	8%	54	-1.4	186/245/294	108	295	12	14	39%	6%	45	-2.1	162/221/268	105	271	12	8	43%	6%	26	-2.4