Andrew Pinckney

OF Rochester Red Wings

Age 26 R/R 6'4" / 215 lbs AAA Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

Overview

AAA40-MANROOKIEPre-ArbFA 2032

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	23	AAWSH	487	.259/.329/.366	7	22	72	—	.238/.292/.325
2025	24	AAAWSH	509	.269/.350/.431	20	34	84	—	.242/.308/.366
2026	25	MLBWSH	29	.280/.333/.480	1	1	119	-0.2
2027PROJ30% MLB	26	MLBWSH	75	.227/.289/.343	2	3	79	-0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	27	MLBWSH	147	.227/.289/.344	4	6	79	-0.0
2029PROJ42% MLB	28	MLBWSH	169	.226/.289/.342	4	6	79	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.2 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2031Service1.000First FA2032

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$0.2M2030Arb-2$0.4M2031Ext$0.6M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV99

Speed76

Chase%55

BB%45

Z-Con%28

K%17

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%

CompsBrewer Hicklen (age 27) · Tyler Tolbert (age 26) · J.P. Martínez (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .289 / .343

PA75

HR2

K%33

BB%7

BABIP328

ISO116

MLB%30%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT32

xAVG

350.239

POWER55

Barrel%

7411.8

Avg EV

9094.8

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED74

Sprint

9031.0

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.0	$0.1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	22	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	17	17	4	0	0	0	0	4	0	1	1	235	235	235	471		308	24	0	213	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	83	68	22	1	1	1	13	18	2	3	1	324	446	412	858	88	429	22	16	394	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	82	73	24	6	0	3	4	16	5	6	1	329	402	534	937	205	389	20	5	414	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	93	83	21	2	1	1	7	37	3	5	1	253	333	337	671	84	444	40	8	309	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	487	437	113	20	3	7	36	130	10	22	9	259	329	366	695	108	351	27	7	313	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	509	450	121	9	2	20	44	148	12	34	5	269	350	431	781	162	356	29	9	348	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	29	25	7	0	1	1	1	10	1	1	1	280	333	480	813	200	375	34	3	333	119	+1	-0	+0	-3	+1	-0.2
2026	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	414	366	99	11	1	16	42	127	2	20	7	270	349	437	786	167	369	31	10	348	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	29	25	7	0	1	1	1	10	1	1	1	280	333	480	813	200	375	34	3	333	111	+0	-0	+0	-3	+1	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	22	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	17	17	4	0	0	0	0	5	0	1	1	235	235	235	471		303	29	0	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	83	73	20	1	1	1	8	24	2	3	1	274	361	356	718	82	380	29	10	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	82	75	20	5	0	2	2	22	5	6	1	267	329	413	743	147	349	27	2	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	93	85	17	2	1	1	5	46	3	5	1	200	269	282	551	82	415	49	5	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	487	449	107	18	3	5	24	157	10	22	9	238	292	325	617	87	350	32	5	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	509	462	112	8	2	15	32	173	12	34	5	242	308	366	674	123	343	34	6	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	29	25	7	0	1	1	1	10	1	1	1	280	333	480	813	200	375	34	3	345	119	+1	-0	+0	-3	+1	-0.2
2026	25	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	414	379	88	9	1	11	29	152	2	20	7	232	290	348	639	116	351	37	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	182	165	43	5	1	3	10	51	7	10	3	261	330	358	687	97	360	28	5	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	182	158	50	7	1	4	17	38	7	10	3	316	407	449	856	133	397	21	9	386	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	580	533	125	20	4	6	30	204	13	27	10	235	292	321	612	86	366	35	5	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	580	520	134	22	4	8	43	167	13	27	10	258	330	362	691	104	363	29	7	313	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	509	462	112	8	2	15	32	173	12	34	5	242	308	366	674	123	351	34	6	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	Rochester Red Wings	—	509	450	121	9	2	20	44	148	12	34	5	269	350	431	781	162	356	29	9	348	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	443	404	95	9	2	12	30	162	3	21	8	235	293	356	649	121	355	37	7	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	443	391	106	11	2	17	43	137	3	21	8	271	348	440	788	169	369	31	10	347	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	182	163	43	5	1	3	10	51	7	10	3	264	330	362	692	98	359	28	5	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	580	532	125	20	4	6	30	204	13	27	10	235	292	321	613	86	360	35	5	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	509	460	112	8	2	15	32	173	12	34	5	243	308	367	676	124	343	34	6	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	443	407	95	9	2	12	30	162	3	21	8	233	293	354	647	120	353	37	7	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	580	532	125	20	4	6	30	204	13	27	10	235	292	321	613	86	360	35	5	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	509	460	112	8	2	15	32	173	12	34	5	243	308	367	676	124	343	34	6	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	443	407	95	9	2	12	30	162	3	21	8	233	293	354	647	120	353	37	7	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	WSH	30%	380	347	79	9	2	9	24	129	6	16	4	228	289	345	634	117	329	34	6	285	79	-9	+2	+1	-2	+8	0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	WSH	30%	75	69	16	2	0	2	5	25	1	3	1	227	289	343	632	116	328	33	7	284	79	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	WSH	37%	395	360	83	10	2	10	26	132	6	16	5	227	290	345	635	118	326	33	7	285	79	-10	+1	+1	-2	+9	-0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	WSH	42%	403	367	84	10	2	10	27	134	6	15	4	227	289	344	633	117	323	33	7	285	79	-10	+1	+1	-2	+9	-0.2
2030	29	MLB MLE	WSH	43%	398	363	81	10	2	9	27	131	5	12	4	224	287	339	626	115	318	33	7	282	77	-11	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.4
2028	27	MLB CTX	WSH	37%	147	134	32	4	1	4	10	49	2	6	2	227	289	344	633	117	326	33	7	285	79	-4	+0	+1	-1	+3	-0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	WSH	42%	169	154	35	4	1	4	11	56	2	6	2	226	289	342	631	116	323	33	7	284	79	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	WSH	43%	173	157	35	4	1	4	12	57	2	5	2	224	286	338	624	114	317	33	7	281	77	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	518	470	109	12	4	13	34	172	7	18	7	232	294	357	651	126	331	33	7	286	78	-12	+1	+1	-6	+11	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	136	15	5	16	43	216	9	23	9	231	293	354	648	124	330	33	7	286	78	-15	+1	+1	-7	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3160	2882	675	78	16	71	198	1072	56	145	42	234	296	346	643	112	344	34	6	284	78	-37	+4	+3	-11	+32	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	139	16	3	15	41	221	12	30	9	234	298	347	645	113	344	34	6	284	78	-16	+2	+1	-5	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Mike Felder'85-'94 * career totals — 10 seasons, 2,497 PA	3.8	2,497	14	161	247*	300*	340*	-18	+17	0.9	2.8
/162	664	4	43	-4.9	+4.4	0.2	pk7: 5
#4Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.8	564	14	21	227	286	344	-3	+4	-0.0	-0.0
/162	664	16	24	-4.0	+4.7	-0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andrew Pinckney (OGILVIE)	26	32	55	74	45	226/287/342	116	329	6	10	34%	6%	79	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brewer Hicklen 2023 · AAA	27	40→50	51→50	61→60	38	198/275/354	157	323	19	32	42%	8%	78	-0.3	198/279/351	153	289	18	34	36%	8%	78	-0.3	207/283/355	147	290	18	38	33%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Tyler Tolbert 2024 · AA	26	44→48	41→45	68→65	41	212/267/318	106	292	7	38	29%	6%	65	-1.2	222/280/314	92	303	7	46	27%	6%	69	-0.9	222/284/299	77	304	6	60	27%	6%	65	-0.6
✕J.P. Martínez 2023 · AAA	27	44→48	46→50	63→65	44	212/291/347	134	316	13	31	34%	9%	81	-0.1	216/295/343	127	314	11	37	32%	9%	82	-0.0	210/293/330	120	304	10	45	32%	9%	75	-0.3
✕Monte Harrison 2022 · MLB	26	47→45	49→50	61→60	35	211/279/350	139	375	18	34	45%	7%	78	-0.3	202/263/313	111	370	12	32	45%	7%	63	-1.4	185/245/278	93	346	9	37	46%	7%	45	-1.4
✕Jonny Butler 2024 · AA	25	41→33	44→50	61→55	41	203/266/328	125	283	11	21	32%	7%	68	-1.0	188/263/297	109	256	9	14	28%	8%	59	-1.6	164/247/265	101	220	7	12	27%	9%	44	-1.4
✕Mike Antico 2024 · AA	26	42→43	45	63→60	44	209/276/336	127	277	13	39	29%	7%	73	-0.6	212/277/322	110	293	11	31	30%	7%	70	-0.8	201/271/300	99	284	10	32	31%	6%	61	-0.9
✕Nate Eaton 2023 · MLB	26	46→49	44→45	60	44	225/292/346	121	294	12	29	27%	7%	81	-0.1	214/264/339	125	280	13	27	28%	5%	69	-0.9	210/267/331	121	274	12	27	27%	6%	67	-0.8
✕Matt Gorski 2024 · AAA	26	36→34	51→55	56→55	37	196/245/348	152	264	20	21	34%	6%	65	-1.2	202/250/363	161	283	20	16	35%	6%	70	-0.9	190/239/355	165	267	20	14	36%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Greg Jones 2024 · AAA	26	47→48	46→50	63→65	34	211/272/340	129	363	13	37	43%	6%	73	-0.6	209/274/319	110	365	11	44	43%	6%	69	-0.9	206/278/301	95	358	10	57	42%	7%	63	-0.8
✕Tanner Kirwer 2022 · AA	26	43	44→40	61→60	47	210/297/324	114	292	13	36	30%	9%	79	-0.2	205/278/294	89	293	9	31	31%	8%	64	-1.3	190/262/256	66	274	7	35	31%	7%	48	-1.2
✕Justin Maxwell 2010 · MLB	26	44→45	50→60	60	45	222/296/378	156	307	18	31	32%	8%	91	+0.6	221/301/390	169	320	20	25	35%	10%	95	+1.0	222/296/434	212	299	27	17	34%	9%	103	+0.7
✕Lane Adams 2017 · AAA	27	45	44→50	59→60	42	223/276/335	113	295	11	32	28%	6%	73	-0.6	208/266/335	127	311	14	29	35%	7%	69	-0.9	187/251/323	136	289	16	28	39%	7%	59	-0.8
✕Adam Engel 2017 · AAA	25	44→48	40→50	61→60	41	211/268/314	102	298	6	33	30%	6%	64	-1.3	208/265/328	120	290	10	20	31%	6%	67	-1.1	223/282/358	135	299	13	23	29%	5%	79	-0.1
✕David Hamilton 2024 · MLB	26	41→43	45→50	68→70	48	205/280/327	121	267	12	51	27%	9%	72	-0.7	221/286/352	131	280	14	50	25%	8%	80	-0.2	227/287/350	124	282	13	56	24%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Reggie Abercrombie 2008 · MLB	27	46→49	50→55	61→60	35	231/274/391	160	309	17	34	31%	4%	85	+0.2	220/254/349	129	328	14	28	36%	3%	68	-1.0	214/257/341	127	316	15	25	36%	3%	65	-0.8
✕Elijah Dunham 2024 · AAA	26	42→44	47→50	57→60	45	209/284/346	137	283	14	28	30%	8%	78	-0.3	207/274/345	138	295	14	20	32%	8%	74	-0.5	192/258/336	144	273	14	17	33%	7%	63	-0.6
✕Justin Dean 2023 · AAA	26	44→47	40→45	58→65	40	202/275/297	95	318	7	26	36%	7%	64	-1.3	208/284/297	89	321	8	39	34%	9%	68	-1.0	212/289/296	84	320	7	47	33%	9%	66	-0.8
✕Phillip Sikes 2024 · AA	25	38→37	44→45	58→55	39	190/260/306	116	291	11	27	37%	7%	60	-1.6	192/259/305	113	293	12	21	37%	6%	60	-1.6	176/247/286	110	265	13	20	37%	6%	49	-1.2
✕Jordyn Adams 2024 · MLB	24	44→46	43→45	62→60	40	210/269/322	112	313	9	33	34%	7%	67	-1.1	211/270/325	114	316	11	26	34%	7%	68	-1.0	201/261/307	106	302	11	26	35%	7%	58	-1.0
✕Billy Cook 2024 · AA	25	37→44	48→50	57→55	37	196/250/333	137	277	17	23	35%	6%	63	-1.4	213/275/345	132	297	15	22	32%	7%	75	-0.5	211/276/340	129	293	14	25	32%	7%	72	-0.4

Andrew Pinckney

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps