Jorge Garcia P ACL Giants Black
Age 24 RHP 6'0" / 185 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 37 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119109vR 100
ERA4.38
FIP4.38
K%23.1%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%13.8%
ROS IP38
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP
K: +0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +1.6 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.08 (37 IP)+0.1WAR
0.10.10.10.10.1262830
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201917ROKDSL Giants131052220417377%4.012.7%4.0%8.7%1.9%3.463.58
201917ROKDSL Giants131052220417377%4.018.6%3.2%15.5%1.4%3.462.68
202119ROKACL Giants Black642599316567%4.221.3%7.6%13.7%4.9%5.044.95
202119ROKACL Giants Black642599316567%4.231.3%6.1%25.3%5.1%5.043.94
202220ROKACL Giants Orange70104014310%1.435.0%7.5%27.5%2.5%2.792.47
202220ROKACL Giants Orange70104014310%1.435.0%7.5%27.5%2.5%2.792.48
202321MIX2 levels261542555921114%2.116.3%9.9%6.5%6.1%4.836.32
202321MIX2 levels261542555921114%2.123.1%8.2%14.9%4.3%4.834.73
▸ 2026 Season
202624MLBSF36038160371550%1.023.1%9.3%13.8%3.0%4.384.38+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725MLBSF36038162381550%1.123.5%9.0%14.5%3.0%4.334.30+0.1
202826MLBSF36038162381550%1.123.7%9.0%14.7%3.0%4.304.27+0.1
202927MLBSF36038159381450%1.023.7%9.1%14.6%3.1%4.314.31+0.1
203028MLBSF35037155361450%1.023.5%9.2%14.3%3.2%4.374.40+0.1
202725MLBSF150166816620%1.123.5%9.0%14.5%3.0%4.334.30+0.0
202826MLBSF2402510625930%1.023.7%9.0%14.7%3.0%4.304.27+0.1
202927MLBSF28029122291140%1.023.7%9.1%14.6%3.1%4.314.31+0.1
203028MLBSF30031131311240%1.023.5%9.2%14.3%3.2%4.374.40+0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career97010242910139130%1.023.6%9.1%14.5%3.1%4.333.95+1.7
/ 200 IP190020084419977260%1.123.6%9.1%14.5%3.1%4.333.95+3.4
Career5215141614105442629%2.717.0%7.2%9.8%4.2%4.224.86+0.9
/ 200 IP7421200873149633629%2.717.0%7.2%9.8%4.2%4.224.86+1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jorge Garcia (OGILVIE) 4.38 23.1%9.3%3.0% 4.29 23.6%14.6%114 -0.09
Kyle Zimmer R 2025 · 3.89 FIP 23 SW 3.89 21.8%8.6%2.8%.293 4.63 20.4%9.0%33 +0.74 2.08 276 89
Shohei Tomioka R 2027 · 4.06 FIP 25 SW 4.06 18.9%9.0%2.6%.311 4.48 17.3%3.8%141 +0.42 3.63 281 82
Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 3.86 FIP 24 SU 3.86 22.2%9.8%2.5%.353 4.73 19.3%6.7%54 +0.87 3.86 106 82
Brad Deppermann R 2027 · 4.65 FIP 25 SW 4.65 17.1%9.6%3.2%.289 3.44 20.0%7.8%45 -1.21 1.94 143 80
Carlo Reyes R 2026 · 4.26 FIP 24 SW 4.26 20.4%8.6%3.2%.318 3.98 24.1%12.9%61 -0.28 2.79 229 80
T.J. Weir R 2026 · 4.08 FIP 24 SW 4.08 20.0%9.1%2.8%.319 3.46 19.0%9.6%190 -0.62 3.21 349 79
Alex Valverde R 2026 · 3.72 FIP 24 SW 3.72 23.2%9.3%2.6%.321 6.00 18.1%6.6%166 +2.28 3.72 423 79
Joshua Loeschorn R 2025 · 3.74 FIP 23 SU 3.74 24.5%7.7%3.1%.272 4.60 16.4%7.6%67 +0.86 3.04 135 79
Jake Lyons R 2026 · 4.31 FIP 24 SW 4.31 20.1%8.5%3.4%.337 4.31 174 79
Casey Legumina R 2026 · 4.28 FIP 24 SP- 4.28 23.3%9.3%3.6%.260 4.34 20.5%11.0%189 +0.06 3.68 323 78
Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.29 FIP 24 SW 4.29 17.9%9.9%2.6%.262 5.23 16.8%4.6%91 +0.94 4.03 161 78
Connor Schultz R 2027 · 4.05 FIP 25 SU 4.05 19.7%5.3%3.5%.283 3.86 19.3%11.7%124 -0.19 3.47 171 77
Emmanuel Chapman R 2027 · 4.19 FIP 25 SW 4.19 19.7%10.6%2.6%.256 4.43 18.4%2.3%111 +0.24 3.87 192 77
Sean Sullivan R 2026 · 4.88 FIP 24 SW 4.88 20.3%10.0%4.1%.247 4.30 318 77
Trent Fennell R 2025 · 3.88 FIP 23 SW 3.88 20.6%12.2%1.8%.328 5.38 19.4%3.5%107 +1.50 3.88 163 77
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2026 · 4.34 FIP 24 SU 4.34 21.0%13.2%2.4%.341 4.64 15.7%4.0%343 +0.30 3.76 467 77
Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP 24 SU 4.23 20.4%10.7%2.7%.291 5.76 16.2%4.4%54 +1.53 4.23 105 76
Tristan Stevens R 2027 · 4.28 FIP 25 SW 4.28 17.3%8.2%2.9%.411 3.71 15.0%7.7%91 -0.57 3.71 126 75
Jake Curtis R 2026 · 3.34 FIP 24 SU 3.34 19.3%6.5%1.9%.338 3.34 105 75
Ryan Tapani R 2027 · 3.89 FIP 25 SW 3.89 19.0%7.3%2.7%.331 5.46 20.8%10.6%47 +1.57 3.89 141 75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION53823.5%9.1%1.194.34
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
David Hernandez ('19)55425.0%7.9%1.144.10
Jacob Barnes ('24)74222.1%9.6%1.214.58
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Matt Albers ('19)54920.3%8.3%1.374.21
Shane Greene ('21)75621.4%8.5%1.164.67