Connor CaskenetteC Beloit Sky Carp
Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 215 lbs A+ HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION232 act + 154 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†72
AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .299 / .310
PA154
HR2
K%30
BB%10
BABIP293
ISO103
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -6.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +1.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +6.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+7POSREP: +11.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+11REPTotal WAR: +1.30+1.3WAR
0.00.81.60.00.71.01.11.00.90.70.40.10.0+$43M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.0$6M+$5M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.9$2M+$2M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.7$2M+$1M
2033Arb-1$0.8M+0.4$0.9M+$0.6M
2034Arb-2$0.4M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M
2035Arb-3$0.6M———
Totals $4M $11M +$9M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202422 AJupiter Hammerheads — 7670 12300 6230 31 171237214451 43255 308 199 11 — — — — — —
202422 AJupiter Hammerheads — 7668 14300 8170 31 206289250539 44275 2211 255 53 — — — — — —
202523 A+2 teams — 245210 41910 27705 124 195302248549 52287 2911 252 51 — — — — — —
202523 A+2 teams — 245199 481010 37505 124 241372302673 60316 2015 316 100 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD24 A+MIA — 232205 46918 20746 92 224312395707 171306 329 306 92 -2 +1 +0 +4 +7 1.0
YTD24 A+MIA — 232197 5311110 28566 92 269377487864 218326 2412 382 150 +13 +1 +0 +4 +7 2.5
ROS24 A+MIA 0% 154135 28612 15463 41 206299310609 103289 3010 280 72 -5 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.3
ROS24 MLBMIA 0% 11 0000 000 00 284 00 262 59 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL24 A+MIA — 233206 46918 20746 92 223310393704 170304 329 306 92 -2 +1 +0 +4 +7 1.0
TOT24 A+MIA — 386340 7415210 351209 133 217307361668 144301 319 296 84 -7 +1 +0 +7 +11 1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBMIA 30% 319281 591216 30925 72 210297324621 114289 299 286 77 -8 +1 +0 +6 +9 0.7
202826 MLBMIA 44% 372328 701427 351056 92 213301332633 119289 289 290 80 -8 +1 +0 +7 +11 1.0
202927 MLBMIA 49% 392346 751528 371106 92 217303341644 124289 289 291 81 -8 +1 +0 +7 +11 1.1
203028 MLBMIA 52% 403356 771628 381136 92 216302340642 124289 289 291 81 -9 +1 -1 +7 +11 1.0
203129 MLBMIA 56% 401354 761528 381136 82 215302336638 121288 289 289 80 -9 +1 -1 +7 +11 0.9
203230 MLBMIA 59% 399352 741518 381146 72 210298327625 116286 2910 286 77 -10 +1 -2 +7 +11 0.7
203331 MLBMIA 61% 375330 691417 361086 62 209298321620 112284 2910 282 74 -11 +0 -3 +7 +11 0.4
203432 MLBMIA 62% 347306 621216 331015 51 203291307598 105280 2910 277 70 -12 +1 -4 +6 +10 0.1
203533 MLBMIA 63% 309272 541015 29925 31 199288298585 99276 309 270 65 -12 +0 -4 +6 +9 -0.2
202725 MLBMIA 30% 9786 18402 9282 21 209299326625 116284 299 270 64 -4 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.1
202826 MLBMIA 44% 165146 31613 15473 41 212299329628 116284 289 274 68 -6 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.2
202927 MLBMIA 49% 192169 36714 18543 41 213300337637 124284 289 276 69 -7 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.3
203028 MLBMIA 52% 208183 39814 20583 51 213301333634 120284 2810 276 69 -7 +1 -0 +4 +6 0.3
203129 MLBMIA 56% 224197 41814 21634 51 208297320617 112283 289 274 68 -8 +1 -1 +4 +6 0.2
203230 MLBMIA 59% 234206 43914 22674 41 209297320618 112281 299 271 66 -9 +0 -1 +4 +7 0.1
203331 MLBMIA 61% 227200 41814 22653 41 205293315608 110279 2910 267 63 -10 +0 -2 +4 +6 -0.0
203432 MLBMIA 62% 215189 38714 21633 31 201291312603 111276 2910 262 59 -10 +0 -2 +4 +6 -0.2
203533 MLBMIA 63% 195171 33613 19583 21 193285292577 99271 3010 256 54 -10 +0 -3 +3 +6 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 17581548 32063832 16750328 339 207295320615 113282 299 269 64 -71 +3 -9 +31 +50 0.4
/ 162G— — 650572 11823312 6218610 123 206295320615 114281 2910 269 64 -26 +1 -3 +12 +18 0.2
Career— — 37923340 6971411565 362108759 8222 209297318615 110286 2910 281 73 -114 +8 -15 +68 +107 5.5
/ 162G— — 650573 12024311 6218610 144 209298319618 110287 2910 281 73 -20 +1 -3 +12 +18 0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202422 AJupiter Hammerheads — 7668 14300 8170 31 206289250539 44275 2211 255 53 -4 +0 — — +2 -0.2
202523 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos — 5245 11200 4132 11 244327289616 44344 258 288 79 -1 -0 — — +1 0.0
202523 A+Beloit Sky Carp — 193154 37810 33373 113 240384305689 65308 1917 324 106 +1 +1 — — +5 0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#5Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
51,7573333211296327+31+203.33.2
/1626641212+11.9+7.61.2pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Connor Caskenette (OGILVIE) 24 40 25 55 60 217/307/361 144301 1013 31% 9% 84 +1.3 ————————— —————————
✕Taylor Krick
2011 · A 		23 43 38→30 48→40 51 205/292/282 77270 67 25% 10% 63 -0.8 226/312/290 64313 35 26% 8% 73 -0.1 233/324/284513282226%8%74-0.0
✕Colt Sedbrook
2010 · AA 		25 45→44 38→30 51→50 48 214/305/293 79273 614 22% 8% 72 -0.2 205/298/278 73263 512 22% 8% 66 -0.6 176/285/2224622821221%8%45-1.2
✕Alex Meneses
2008 · AA 		24 46 34→30 49→50 54 210/304/263 54287 211 25% 11% 63 -0.8 208/283/273 65289 411 26% 9% 56 -1.3 198/269/2363827321126%8%38-1.1
✕Andy Paz
2017 · AA 		24 49 38→40 51→45 45 233/286/312 80303 67 24% 7% 66 -0.6 214/262/283 69291 59 26% 6% 48 -1.9 174/216/193192460728%5%3-1.6
✕Blake Rambusch
2023 · A 		23 47 37→30 52→65 42 219/287/293 74318 414 30% 7% 63 -0.9 230/317/295 65313 329 25% 9% 76 +0.1 252/330/3045231614919%9%79+0.1
✕Anthony Prato
2022 · A 		24 47→48 36→45 49→55 49 213/306/279 66310 311 29% 10% 69 -0.4 214/304/326 112305 915 30% 10% 79 +0.3 206/303/32111529091629%10%75-0.0
✕Nick Natoli
2013 · AA 		25 42 37→30 52→50 50 197/280/272 74269 410 26% 10% 55 -1.4 181/253/250 69264 411 30% 8% 38 -2.6 143/220/1904721511131%8%6-3.1
✕Onix Vega
2023 · AAA 		24 46 38→30 47→45 46 218/292/299 80295 67 26% 8% 67 -0.5 203/277/273 70267 56 24% 8% 53 -1.5 185/267/230452403522%9%38-0.9
✕Kawika Emsley-Pai
2013 · A 		24 43 36→30 46→40 53 198/292/268 70276 37 27% 11% 59 -1.1 195/288/272 77280 67 29% 11% 59 -1.1 161/272/222602346430%12%39-0.7
✕Frainyer Chavez
2023 · AAA 		24 46→47 36→40 50 46 213/280/277 64294 314 27% 8% 56 -1.3 209/271/287 78291 712 28% 7% 54 -1.4 228/293/32698302111726%8%71-0.2
✕Freddy Zamora
2023 · AA 		24 47→51 40 49→50 45 222/290/309 87298 711 27% 8% 69 -0.4 218/290/303 85301 714 28% 8% 67 -0.5 216/292/2937629461626%8%62-0.6
✕Cobie Fletcher-Vance
2022 · A 		24 46→48 37→40 53→45 50 216/299/288 72282 49 23% 9% 67 -0.5 214/270/293 79280 55 24% 6% 56 -1.3 206/255/280732685124%5%42-1.3
✕Rob Henry
2019 · A 		24 41 37→30 54→55 49 193/289/269 76284 418 30% 10% 59 -1.1 181/267/257 76330 612 43% 9% 46 -2.0 143/238/2005629161248%8%17-2.6
✕Erlin Cerda
2017 · A 		23 44 36→40 51→55 42 205/266/276 70280 211 26% 6% 49 -1.8 196/240/268 72301 38 34% 5% 35 -2.8 163/196/205432510834%3%-4-1.3
✕Mike Martin
2017 · A 		24 44 36→30 51→55 43 207/272/268 61283 414 27% 7% 50 -1.7 224/273/295 71281 418 21% 5% 56 -1.3 231/275/2885728212718%4%52-0.8
✕Derrik Gibson
2014 · AA 		24 45→54 35→40 50→55 44 212/272/274 62294 315 27% 7% 51 -1.7 234/295/309 75305 412 23% 7% 69 -0.4 240/303/3086830531121%7%69-0.3
✕Tim Hutting
2006 · AA 		24 50 38→40 49→50 47 236/305/320 84306 511 23% 7% 77 +0.1 228/288/316 88295 89 24% 7% 69 -0.4 223/280/290672867523%6%55-0.9
✕Joe Sclafani
2014 · A 		24 46→45 40 52→50 51 218/297/316 98272 614 21% 9% 73 -0.1 252/313/328 76307 411 18% 8% 82 +0.5 279/336/3406133321016%7%89+0.5
✕Will Piwnica-Worms
2014 · A 		24 43 38→40 50 50 205/285/287 82263 69 23% 9% 61 -1.0 207/276/302 95284 88 28% 8% 60 -1.0 181/247/265842529530%7%39-0.9
✕Rowdey Jordan
2023 · AA 		24 43→42 39→45 48→55 45 204/271/295 91290 612 30% 8% 56 -1.3 206/274/333 127284 1420 31% 7% 68 -0.5 199/268/331132272162331%7%62-0.6