Chris Newell — OGILVIE

Chris NewellOF Tulsa Drillers

Age 25 L/L 6'2" / 200 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION299 act + 199 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .253 / .346

PA199

HR8

SB8

K%41

BB%9

BABIP263

ISO167

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	43	41	6	2	0	1	1	16	1	3	3	146	186	268	454	122	208	37	2	191	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	43	41	9	3	0	1	1	11	1	3	3	220	256	366	622	146	276	26	2	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	2 teams	—	372	327	71	13	3	17	41	151	0	15	7	217	304	431	736	214	331	41	11	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	2 teams	—	372	312	83	17	3	21	56	110	0	15	7	266	378	542	919	276	335	30	15	396	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	526	464	65	14	1	17	46	245	8	31	6	140	230	284	514	144	231	47	9	228	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	526	439	88	18	1	25	71	177	8	31	6	200	322	417	739	216	259	34	13	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	549	497	99	18	1	19	43	224	3	24	0	199	267	354	621	155	308	41	8	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	549	465	112	23	2	20	75	168	3	24	0	241	350	428	778	187	325	31	14	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AA	LAD	—	299	269	46	3	1	14	26	121	2	15	3	171	249	346	595	175	235	40	9	258	56	-15	+2	+0	-2	+8	-0.7
YTD	25	AA	LAD	—	299	257	54	4	1	16	38	94	2	15	3	210	316	420	737	210	255	31	13	327	109	+3	+2	+0	-2	+8	1.2
ROS	25	AA	LAD	2%	199	179	32	4	1	8	17	81	1	8	1	178	253	346	599	167	260	41	9	266	62	-9	+1	+0	-1	+6	-0.3
ROS	25	MLB	LAD	2%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0						256	50	0	257	55	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	AA	LAD	—	303	273	46	3	1	14	26	123	2	15	3	168	246	341	587	172	232	41	9	258	56	-15	+2	+0	-2	+9	-0.7
TOT	25	AA	LAD	—	498	448	78	7	2	22	43	202	3	23	4	174	251	346	597	172	246	41	9	261	58	-24	+3	+0	-3	+14	-1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	LAD	31%	549	492	91	13	2	21	48	213	4	19	3	185	263	348	610	163	267	39	9	274	68	-20	+3	+0	-3	+16	-0.5
2028	27	MLB	LAD	42%	564	505	96	14	2	22	50	212	4	19	3	190	268	356	625	166	269	38	9	278	71	-19	+3	+0	-3	+16	-0.4
2027	26	MLB	LAD	31%	170	152	28	4	1	6	15	66	1	6	1	184	262	342	604	158	263	39	9	265	61	-8	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
2028	27	MLB	LAD	42%	237	212	40	6	1	9	21	89	2	8	1	189	268	354	622	165	265	38	9	268	63	-10	+1	+0	-1	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	411	368	68	10	2	15	36	157	3	14	2	185	263	345	608	160	268	38	9	267	62	-18	+2	+0	-2	+12	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	108	16	3	24	57	248	5	22	3	186	264	347	611	162	268	38	9	267	62	-28	+3	+0	-4	+18	-1.0
Career	—			—	2802	2505	460	78	10	105	246	1142	21	119	23	184	262	348	611	165	277	41	9	269	64	-113	+15	+0	-17	+79	-3.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	106	18	2	24	57	265	5	28	5	182	261	344	606	162	276	41	9	269	64	-26	+4	+0	-4	+18	-0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	43	41	9	3	0	1	1	11	1	3	3	220	256	366	622	146	276	26	2	277	70	-1	-1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	22	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	184	158	35	9	1	7	24	58	0	8	5	222	324	424	748	203	295	32	13	330	111	+2	-0	—	—	+5	0.7
2023	22	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	188	154	48	8	2	14	32	52	0	7	2	312	430	662	1.092	351	378	28	17	461	211	+24	+1	—	—	+5	3.0
2024	23	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	113	99	16	3	0	2	11	37	1	7	0	162	252	253	505	91	226	33	10	233	37	-8	+1	—	—	+3	-0.4
2024	23	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	413	340	72	15	1	23	60	140	7	24	6	212	342	465	806	253	271	34	15	353	128	+13	+2	—	—	+12	2.8
2025	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	549	465	112	23	2	20	75	168	3	24	0	241	350	428	778	187	325	31	14	345	122	+14	+5	—	—	+16	3.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	414	16	14	189	264	352	-2	+0	-0.3	-0.2
	/162	664	25	22	189	264	352	-4.0	+0.0	-0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chris Newell (OGILVIE)	25	35	55	55	60	174/251/346	172	246	22	23	41%	9%	58	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joseph Dunigan 2011 · AA	25	41→44	52→55	52→50	34	209/257/375	167	317	20	16	40%	6%	72	-0.2	190/242/351	161	357	21	12	50%	6%	60	-1.0	170/223/333	163	326	24	11	53%	6%	44	-1.1
✕Matt Gorski 2023 · AA	25	38→33	50→55	56→55	36	199/252/348	149	299	18	20	39%	6%	63	-0.9	198/244/367	169	274	22	18	36%	5%	65	-0.7	186/231/364	178	245	24	19	35%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Josh Stowers 2022 · AA	25	37→43	51→50	54→55	39	198/262/353	154	282	19	23	36%	7%	69	-0.4	186/253/322	136	267	16	20	35%	7%	57	-1.2	163/237/289	126	233	14	21	35%	7%	38	-1.6
✕John Rave 2023 · AAA	25	43→44	50→55	54→55	43	218/288/365	147	310	19	18	35%	9%	82	+0.5	217/283/362	145	296	16	16	30%	8%	79	+0.3	220/292/381	161	277	17	23	26%	9%	84	+0.5
✕Drew Robinson 2017 · AAA	25	38→40	54→55	52→50	44	205/277/385	180	283	22	14	35%	9%	83	+0.6	217/290/383	166	323	18	12	36%	9%	88	+0.9	211/290/368	157	322	17	12	37%	10%	82	+0.3
✕Dylan Cozens 2019 · MLB	25	34→44	53→55	48→50	37	179/249/350	170	303	23	12	46%	8%	63	-0.9	198/283/370	172	350	21	15	45%	10%	82	+0.5	141/265/311	170	252	20	22	48%	14%	59	-0.2
✕Daniel Palka 2017 · AAA	25	37→44	54→55	49→50	36	202/256/379	177	296	23	10	39%	6%	72	-0.2	214/265/383	169	289	23	5	33%	6%	78	+0.2	207/274/387	180	263	25	4	31%	8%	80	+0.3
✕Kameron Misner 2023 · AA	25	43	47→50	55	46	206/293/346	140	317	15	24	37%	10%	80	+0.4	199/286/344	145	310	15	23	37%	10%	76	+0.1	205/283/356	150	291	16	27	33%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Chad Bell 2022 · AA	25	40	52→55	52→40	39	203/266/363	160	314	21	5	41%	8%	72	-0.2	207/268/348	141	347	18	5	42%	7%	69	-0.4	189/252/320	131	323	19	0	45%	7%	52	-1.0
✕Zac Cook 2023 · AA	25	38	48→55	50	34	182/279/325	143	319	17	15	44%	6%	71	-0.3	191/272/319	128	339	15	17	45%	5%	66	-0.6	129/211/238	108	252	16	29	52%	3%	17	-0.9
✕Devin Foyle 2022 · AA	25	39→36	50→45	48→45	43	206/272/358	152	269	18	10	30%	7%	74	-0.1	214/285/341	127	273	14	7	26%	8%	75	-0.0	193/283/277	84	242	8	0	22%	10%	55	-0.5
✕Garrett Whitley 2022 · AAA	25	39→36	50	50→55	39	193/273/351	158	310	17	15	41%	8%	73	-0.1	193/274/325	132	323	14	18	41%	9%	66	-0.6	169/268/299	130	291	14	26	43%	11%	54	-0.8
✕Izzy Wilson 2022 · AA	24	41→33	48→45	54→55	40	205/269/339	134	314	17	25	39%	8%	68	-0.5	205/266/350	145	301	18	18	36%	7%	69	-0.4	174/239/323	149	244	19	17	36%	7%	47	-1.1
✕Jordan Qsar 2022 · A	26	42→38	53→55	50	42	200/285/369	169	338	21	13	44%	10%	82	+0.5	198/278/361	163	329	20	14	42%	9%	77	+0.1	177/261/340	163	292	20	15	43%	9%	63	-0.5
✕Alex McGarry 2023 · AAA	25	38→46	54→50	52→50	32	203/245/379	177	302	23	12	40%	5%	69	-0.4	213/260/339	126	331	14	13	38%	6%	63	-0.8	217/262/331	114	336	11	13	37%	5%	59	-0.8
✕Sam Hilliard 2021 · MLB	27	37→46	50→55	54→55	38	195/253/347	153	287	19	18	38%	7%	63	-0.8	193/267/359	166	269	21	15	35%	9%	72	-0.2	190/268/352	162	268	18	18	34%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Gabriel Cancel 2022 · AAA	25	36→46	53→55	54→50	34	197/243/368	171	284	22	19	39%	5%	65	-0.7	195/257/321	126	312	14	14	40%	7%	58	-1.2	170/244/275	106	277	12	10	41%	8%	38	-0.9
✕Micah Pries 2023 · AA	25	44→42	49→55	56→50	38	221/277/380	159	307	16	17	33%	5%	82	+0.5	204/266/341	137	272	14	9	29%	6%	67	-0.5	183/250/311	129	238	14	5	29%	6%	50	-0.8
✕Grant Witherspoon 2022 · A	25	41→45	49→50	48→50	41	214/266/358	143	288	18	12	32%	7%	71	-0.3	216/276/363	147	300	18	13	32%	7%	76	+0.1	201/267/344	142	280	17	13	33%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Kevin Smith 2021 · AA	25	37→43	53→55	49→50	35	202/248/370	168	283	22	13	37%	5%	67	-0.5	205/258/363	158	283	19	15	33%	6%	69	-0.4	200/251/358	158	270	20	15	33%	6%	62	-0.6