Evan Edwards
1B Rocket City Trash Pandas| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 25 | AA/ROKTB | 288 | .236/.373/.459 | 14 | 7 | 84 | — | .194/.296/.377 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA/AATB | 399 | .251/.359/.467 | 16 | 17 | 81 | — | .219/.296/.382 |
| 2025 | 28 | AALAA | 129 | .153/.254/.225 | 2 | 1 | 3 | — | .122/.198/.165 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 30 | MLBLAA | 2 | .208/.276/.325 | 0 | 0 | 70 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ23% MLB | 31 | MLBLAA | 22 | .205/.272/.318 | 0 | 0 | 68 | -0.1 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 22 | A | Clinton LumberKings | — | 288 | 256 | 73 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 74 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 285 | 362 | 441 | 804 | 156 | 371 | 26 | 10 | 358 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 396 | 332 | 75 | 11 | 1 | 22 | 56 | 137 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 226 | 348 | 464 | 812 | 238 | 303 | 35 | 14 | 359 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 261 | 214 | 47 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 90 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 220 | 353 | 425 | 778 | 206 | 304 | 34 | 15 | 347 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | ROK | FCL Rays | — | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 421 | 577 | 842 | 1.419 | 421 | 462 | 19 | 26 | 562 | 185 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 42 | 33 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 273 | 415 | 424 | 839 | 152 | 381 | 29 | 19 | 372 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 357 | 305 | 76 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 43 | 116 | 6 | 16 | 1 | 249 | 353 | 472 | 825 | 223 | 345 | 32 | 12 | 362 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 129 | 111 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 41 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 153 | 254 | 225 | 479 | 72 | 211 | 32 | 9 | 225 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 288 | 264 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 99 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 208 | 272 | 311 | 582 | 102 | 309 | 34 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 396 | 347 | 57 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 41 | 180 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 164 | 264 | 329 | 592 | 164 | 259 | 45 | 10 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 261 | 226 | 41 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 106 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 181 | 283 | 345 | 628 | 164 | 267 | 41 | 10 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | ROK MLE | FCL Rays | — | 27 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 318 | 423 | 682 | 1.105 | 364 | 336 | 26 | 15 | 441 | 185 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 42 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 257 | 366 | 400 | 766 | 143 | 355 | 33 | 14 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 357 | 321 | 69 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 139 | 6 | 16 | 1 | 215 | 288 | 380 | 668 | 165 | 320 | 39 | 8 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 129 | 115 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 50 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 122 | 198 | 165 | 364 | 43 | 174 | 39 | 6 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 288 | 264 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 99 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 208 | 272 | 311 | 582 | 102 | 311 | 34 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A RAW | Clinton LumberKings | — | 288 | 256 | 73 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 74 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 285 | 362 | 441 | 804 | 156 | 371 | 26 | 10 | 358 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 396 | 347 | 57 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 41 | 180 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 164 | 264 | 329 | 592 | 164 | 268 | 45 | 10 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ RAW | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 396 | 332 | 75 | 11 | 1 | 22 | 56 | 137 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 226 | 348 | 464 | 812 | 238 | 303 | 35 | 14 | 359 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 288 | 248 | 49 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 114 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 198 | 299 | 379 | 678 | 181 | 294 | 40 | 10 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 288 | 233 | 55 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 45 | 95 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 236 | 373 | 459 | 832 | 223 | 320 | 33 | 16 | 367 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 399 | 357 | 77 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 153 | 6 | 17 | 1 | 216 | 291 | 370 | 661 | 154 | 335 | 38 | 8 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 399 | 338 | 85 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 51 | 128 | 6 | 17 | 1 | 251 | 359 | 467 | 827 | 216 | 348 | 32 | 13 | 363 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 129 | 115 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 50 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 122 | 198 | 165 | 364 | 43 | 194 | 39 | 6 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA RAW | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 129 | 111 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 41 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 153 | 254 | 225 | 479 | 72 | 211 | 32 | 9 | 225 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 288 | 263 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 99 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 209 | 272 | 312 | 584 | 103 | 309 | 34 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 396 | 346 | 57 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 41 | 180 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 165 | 264 | 329 | 593 | 165 | 259 | 45 | 10 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 288 | 250 | 49 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 114 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 196 | 299 | 376 | 675 | 180 | 273 | 40 | 10 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 399 | 358 | 77 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 153 | 6 | 17 | 1 | 215 | 291 | 369 | 660 | 154 | 324 | 38 | 8 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 129 | 117 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 50 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 120 | 198 | 162 | 361 | 43 | 174 | 39 | 6 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 28 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 129 | 117 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 50 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 120 | 198 | 162 | 361 | 43 | 174 | 39 | 6 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB MLE | LAA | 2% | 200 | 182 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 61 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 209 | 277 | 326 | 603 | 117 | 287 | 30 | 7 | 272 | 70 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +4 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB CTX | LAA | 2% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 276 | 325 | 600 | 117 | 285 | 50 | 0 | 271 | 70 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 31 | MLB MLE | LAA | 23% | 97 | 89 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 206 | 273 | 319 | 593 | 113 | 283 | 30 | 7 | 268 | 68 | -4 | +0 | -3 | -2 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB CTX | LAA | 23% | 22 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 272 | 318 | 590 | 113 | 281 | 32 | 9 | 267 | 68 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -0 | +0 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 22 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 273 | 250 | 523 | 50 | 308 | 32 | 9 | 267 | 66 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -0 | +0 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 591 | 119 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 207 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 201 | 274 | 252 | 526 | 51 | 310 | 32 | 9 | 267 | 66 | -25 | +0 | -19 | -12 | +14 | -4.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1702 | 1515 | 291 | 43 | 10 | 49 | 146 | 657 | 26 | 37 | 4 | 192 | 274 | 331 | 605 | 139 | 294 | 39 | 9 | 266 | 66 | -7 | +1 | -3 | -4 | +4 | -0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 579 | 111 | 16 | 4 | 19 | 56 | 251 | 10 | 14 | 2 | 192 | 275 | 332 | 606 | 140 | 292 | 39 | 9 | 266 | 66 | -24 | +2 | -9 | -12 | +14 | -2.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 129 PAwOBA .225 → .172 (−54)K% 31.8% → 38.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.78% | ÷1.011 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.30% | ÷1.020 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.968 | 6.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.33% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 1.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.57% | ÷1.048 | ×0.920 | ×0.962 | ×0.968 | 15.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.86% | ÷0.929 | ×0.910 | ×0.962 | ×0.968 | 2.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.880 | ×0.962 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.028 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 2.15% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 110, 2B 86, 3B 106, K 102, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .225 → .172; ISO .072 → .057; BABIP .211 → .174. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 357 PAwOBA .356 → .285 (−71)K% 32.5% → 38.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.49% | ÷1.022 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.04% | ÷1.072 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 7.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.68% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 1.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.75% | ÷0.949 | ×0.920 | ×1.028 | ×0.988 | 22.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.88% | ÷1.030 | ×0.910 | ×1.028 | ×0.988 | 6.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.65% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.028 | ×0.988 | 2.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.94% | ÷1.087 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 5.77% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 90, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 104, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .356 → .285; ISO .223 → .169; BABIP .345 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAADurham Bulls · 42 PAwOBA .372 → .315 (−57)K% 28.6% → 34.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷1.009 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.05% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 13.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.006 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 31.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.020 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.003 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 4.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.137 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 2.99% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 101, 2B 104, 3B 101, K 102, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .372 → .315; ISO .152 → .123; BABIP .381 → .355. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 261 PAwOBA .342 → .276 (−66)K% 34.5% → 40.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.48% | ÷1.032 | ×1.220 | — | — | 40.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.56% | ÷0.984 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 10.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.30% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 1.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.58% | ÷1.001 | ×0.920 | ×0.991 | ×0.998 | 20.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.84% | ÷1.090 | ×0.910 | ×0.991 | ×0.998 | 3.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.81% | ÷0.955 | ×0.880 | ×0.991 | ×0.998 | 0.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.68% | ÷0.970 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 7.96% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 100, 2B 118, 3B 91, K 106, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .342 → .276; ISO .206 → .169; BABIP .304 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKFCL Rays · 27 PAwOBA .570 → .441 (−128)K% 18.5% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.52% | ÷1.005 | ×1.440 | — | — | 26.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 25.93% | ÷0.956 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.945 | 15.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.71% | ÷1.023 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.945 | 27.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.933 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.005 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 4.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 14.29% | ÷0.902 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.945 | 11.68% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 105, 2B 87, 3B 101, K 101, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .570 → .441; ISO .421 → .366; BABIP .462 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 396 PAwOBA .351 → .260 (−91)K% 34.6% → 45.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.60% | ÷1.027 | ×1.350 | — | — | 45.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.14% | ÷0.953 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 10.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.52% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 1.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.03% | ÷0.957 | ×0.910 | ×0.981 | ×0.988 | 19.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.64% | ÷1.135 | ×0.830 | ×0.981 | ×0.988 | 4.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.51% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×0.981 | ×0.988 | 0.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.28% | ÷0.978 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 9.46% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 91, 2B 127, 3B 130, K 105, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .351 → .260; ISO .238 → .169; BABIP .303 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AClinton LumberKings · 288 PAwOBA .350 → .260 (−90)K% 25.7% → 34.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.69% | ÷1.019 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.72% | ÷0.972 | ×0.690 | — | — | 6.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.04% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.47% | ÷1.019 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | — | 23.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.007 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | — | 6.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.55% | ÷0.936 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | — | 0.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.40% | ÷1.085 | ×0.800 | — | — | 3.24% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 104, 2B 101, 3B 87, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .350 → .260; ISO .156 → .109; BABIP .371 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).