Evan Edwards — OGILVIE

Evan Edwards1B Rocket City Trash Pandas

Age 29 L/L 6'0" / 200 lbs AA K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .288 / .349

PA15

HR0

K%30

BB%8

ISO138

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	22	A	Clinton LumberKings	—	288	256	73	14	1	8	28	74	3	3	0	285	362	441	804	156	371	26	10	358	129	+10	+1	—	—	+6	1.7
2021	24	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	396	332	75	11	1	22	56	137	6	6	1	226	348	464	812	238	303	35	14	359	129	+14	+1	—	—	+9	2.4
2022	25	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	261	214	47	6	1	12	38	90	6	6	2	220	353	425	778	206	304	34	15	347	121	+7	+0	—	—	+6	1.3
2022	25	ROK	FCL Rays	—	27	19	8	0	1	2	7	5	0	1	0	421	577	842	1.419	421	462	19	26	562	267	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2023	26	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	42	33	9	0	1	1	8	12	0	1	0	273	415	424	839	152	381	29	19	372	138	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	26	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	357	305	76	13	5	15	43	116	6	16	1	249	353	472	825	223	345	32	12	362	131	+13	+3	—	—	+8	2.4
2025	28	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	129	111	17	2	0	2	12	41	3	1	0	153	254	225	479	72	211	32	9	225	39	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	22	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	—	288	264	55	10	1	5	20	99	3	3	0	208	272	311	582	102	309	34	7	260	62	-13	+1	—	—	+6	-0.6
2021	24	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	396	346	57	7	1	16	42	180	6	6	1	165	266	329	596	165	262	45	11	263	64	-17	+1	—	—	+9	-0.8
2022	25	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	261	225	42	5	1	10	27	106	6	6	2	187	291	351	642	164	270	41	10	276	73	-8	+0	—	—	+6	-0.2
2022	25	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	27	21	7	0	1	2	5	7	0	1	0	333	462	714	1.176	381	358	26	19	462	199	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	26	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	42	36	9	0	1	1	5	14	0	1	0	250	341	389	730	139	346	33	12	308	95	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	26	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	357	320	69	11	4	11	28	139	6	16	1	216	291	378	669	162	326	39	8	288	81	-8	+3	—	—	+8	0.3
2025	28	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	129	115	14	2	0	1	8	50	3	1	0	122	198	165	364	43	182	39	6	177	6	-14	+0	—	—	+3	-1.2
2019	22	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	—	288	264	55	10	1	5	20	99	3	3	0	208	272	311	582	102	311	34	7	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A RAW	Clinton LumberKings	—	288	256	73	14	1	8	28	74	3	3	0	285	362	441	804	156	371	26	10	358	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	396	346	57	7	1	16	42	180	6	6	1	165	266	329	596	165	270	45	11	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+ RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	396	332	75	11	1	22	56	137	6	6	1	226	348	464	812	238	303	35	14	359	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	288	247	48	5	2	11	31	114	6	7	2	194	299	364	664	170	294	40	11	293	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	288	233	55	6	2	14	45	95	6	7	2	236	373	459	832	223	320	33	16	367	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	399	356	77	11	5	11	33	153	6	17	1	216	294	368	662	152	337	38	8	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	399	338	85	13	6	16	51	128	6	17	1	251	359	467	827	216	348	32	13	363	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	129	115	14	2	0	1	8	50	3	1	0	122	198	165	364	43	194	39	6	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA RAW	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	129	111	17	2	0	2	12	41	3	1	0	153	254	225	479	72	211	32	9	225	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	—	288	263	55	10	1	5	20	99	3	3	0	209	272	312	584	103	309	34	7	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	396	345	57	7	1	16	42	180	6	6	1	165	266	330	597	165	262	45	11	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	288	249	48	5	2	11	31	114	6	7	2	193	299	361	661	169	278	40	11	293	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	399	357	77	11	5	11	33	153	6	17	1	216	294	367	661	151	328	38	8	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	129	117	14	2	0	1	8	50	3	1	0	120	198	162	361	43	182	39	6	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	399	357	77	11	5	11	33	153	6	17	1	216	294	367	661	151	328	38	8	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	129	117	14	2	0	1	8	50	3	1	0	120	198	162	361	43	182	39	6	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	29	MLB MLE	LAA	2%	15	14	3	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	214	267	286	552	71	288	33	7	289	82	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	LAA	23%	243	218	46	8	1	6	20	72	3	4	1	211	286	339	626	128	287	30	8	289	82	-5	+0	-2	-4	+5	-0.6
2027	30	MLB CTX	LAA	23%	55	49	10	2	0	1	5	16	1	1	0	204	291	306	597	102	286	29	9	280	82	-1	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	55	49	10	2	0	1	5	16	1	1	0	204	291	306	597	102	281	29	9	280	70	-1	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	119	24	0	12	59	189	12	12	0	206	292	309	601	104	283	29	9	280	70	-14	+2	-6	-12	+14	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	1758	1560	300	44	10	50	155	673	27	38	5	192	277	329	606	137	293	38	9	271	70	-6	+0	-2	-5	+6	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	110	16	4	18	57	249	10	14	2	191	275	326	601	135	291	38	9	271	70	-14	+1	-5	-12	+14	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Evan Edwards (OGILVIE)	29	—	—	—	—	212/288/349	137	288	4	3	30%	8%	82	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brett Carroll 2012 · MLB	29	42→45	47→55	48→50	44	214/281/347	133	264	14	11	25%	6%	78	-0.3	205/271/329	124	273	14	10	29%	7%	70	-0.8	191/262/312	122	255	14	10	30%	8%	60	-1.0
✕Sam Hilliard 2023 · MLB	29	37→47	53→55	54→55	46	202/280/375	174	267	22	14	33%	9%	84	+0.2	216/288/391	175	306	21	17	34%	9%	91	+0.6	206/276/393	187	291	21	20	35%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Simon Pond 2006 · MLB	29	44→43	50→55	47→45	41	223/278/374	151	293	18	8	30%	6%	82	+0.0	221/276/356	135	296	13	6	29%	7%	78	-0.3	213/269/344	131	284	12	3	28%	7%	72	-0.7
✕Brian O'Grady 2021 · MLB	29	42→38	54→55	52→50	40	221/278/398	178	293	22	16	32%	6%	88	+0.5	215/282/373	158	296	17	14	31%	8%	84	+0.1	194/268/357	163	263	17	13	32%	8%	74	-0.4
✕Corey Brown 2015 · MLB	29	39→48	50→55	50	37	204/254/355	151	288	18	13	35%	6%	70	-0.9	202/253/358	156	294	19	15	36%	6%	70	-0.9	201/259/370	168	288	21	17	37%	7%	73	-0.5
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB	29	43	46→50	49→50	42	215/271/341	126	287	13	11	30%	6%	72	-0.7	204/270/355	151	326	19	14	41%	7%	76	-0.4	143/213/283	140	229	22	18	47%	7%	37	-1.2
✕Clete Thomas 2014 · MLB	30	42→52	46→45	48→55	42	211/266/339	128	287	13	13	31%	7%	70	-0.9	221/286/333	112	298	10	14	27%	8%	76	-0.4	213/279/283	70	293	2	21	26%	8%	59	-0.6
✕Nick Gorneault 2008 · AAA	29	45→48	49→55	48→50	44	227/284/377	150	291	17	12	28%	7%	85	+0.2	209/265/345	136	276	15	11	29%	7%	71	-0.8	196/251/329	132	258	15	9	29%	6%	59	-1.1
✕Andy Wilkins 2018 · MLB	29	37→45	50	50→45	44	197/261/346	149	255	18	5	30%	8%	70	-0.8	187/257/338	151	270	20	6	37%	8%	67	-1.1	144/219/292	148	195	22	2	39%	8%	40	-1.1
✕Tyler Colvin 2015 · MLB	29	44→53	47→60	53→45	40	221/270/364	143	296	13	9	30%	6%	76	-0.4	205/244/307	102	299	8	6	33%	5%	53	-2.1	184/207/254	70	281	4	0	35%	3%	24	-2.3
✕George Lombard 2005 · MLB	29	47→44	47→50	55	45	237/295/377	140	297	15	17	25%	7%	89	+0.5	224/296/372	148	312	16	23	31%	8%	88	+0.5	216/290/358	142	303	15	27	32%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Daniel Palka 2022 · MLB	30	41→43	50→55	50	48	212/284/365	153	266	18	7	28%	9%	83	+0.1	219/277/369	150	283	19	5	29%	7%	81	-0.1	209/266/354	145	267	20	2	29%	7%	69	-0.6
✕Luke Allen 2007 · AAA	28	44→43	48→50	49→45	45	227/276/368	141	273	16	8	23%	6%	80	-0.1	246/296/363	117	287	12	7	18%	7%	86	+0.3	272/321/371	98	305	8	3	13%	6%	95	+0.5
✕John-Ford Griffin 2009 · AAA	29	43→38	50	49→40	44	223/280/379	156	278	18	4	27%	7%	84	+0.2	222/281/347	125	298	11	8	28%	7%	78	-0.3	205/266/311	106	289	6	7	29%	6%	62	-0.9
✕Brandon Allen 2015 · MLB	29	44→47	49→55	50	48	223/288/369	146	274	16	5	25%	8%	85	+0.2	208/271/331	123	263	13	5	25%	8%	70	-0.8	189/252/302	113	238	12	3	25%	7%	56	-1.1
✕D.J. Peterson 2022 · AAA	30	43→44	47→50	50→40	41	215/274/348	133	292	15	11	31%	6%	75	-0.5	209/283/372	163	294	20	7	34%	8%	84	+0.2	174/256/339	165	233	22	1	35%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Cory Aldridge 2008 · AAA	29	45→49	44→55	47→45	42	218/275/345	127	301	11	8	30%	7%	74	-0.5	236/289/393	157	311	18	5	29%	7%	91	+0.6	240/288/415	175	308	22	2	29%	6%	94	+0.5
✕Aaron Rifkin 2007 · AAA	28	43→45	48→50	47→45	45	216/279/362	146	271	15	8	26%	7%	80	-0.1	228/279/366	138	304	14	6	29%	6%	81	-0.1	224/272/360	136	300	14	3	29%	5%	75	-0.4
✕Billy McKinney 2023 · MLB	28	41→51	49→55	53→45	46	207/284/358	152	283	16	5	32%	9%	82	-0.0	218/297/362	144	287	17	7	29%	9%	87	+0.4	209/290/344	135	268	17	6	27%	9%	78	-0.1
✕Sócrates Brito 2021 · MLB	28	44→54	48→50	50→55	41	223/268/371	148	291	14	13	28%	6%	78	-0.3	220/273/328	108	295	10	21	28%	6%	70	-0.9	212/265/298	85	287	8	28	27%	5%	58	-1.2