Luis De La Rosa
P
Salem Red Sox
Age 24
RHP
6'1" / 170 lbs
A
peak 0.2 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 49 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.36
FIP4.36
K%23.3%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%13.6%
ROS IP49
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 49 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Royals 1 | 12 | 11 | 39 | 150 | 52 | 7 | 0 | 92% | 3.2 | 23.6% | 5.8% | 17.7% | 0.0% | 2.33 | 1.85 | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Royals 1 | 12 | 11 | 39 | 150 | 52 | 7 | 0 | 92% | 3.2 | 34.7% | 4.7% | 30.0% | 0.0% | 2.33 | 0.95 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 8 | 5 | 27 | 106 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 62% | 3.3 | 13.5% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 3.04 | 4.11 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 8 | 5 | 27 | 106 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 62% | 3.3 | 19.8% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 0.9% | 3.04 | 3.02 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 3 | 49 | 211 | 58 | 21 | 2 | 20% | 3.2 | 19.8% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 1.6% | 3.70 | 3.86 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 3 | 49 | 211 | 58 | 21 | 2 | 20% | 3.2 | 27.5% | 10.0% | 17.5% | 0.9% | 3.70 | 2.55 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Salem Red Sox | 28 | 6 | 70 | 304 | 88 | 40 | 4 | 21% | 2.5 | 21.4% | 15.5% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 2.94 | 4.20 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Salem Red Sox | 28 | 6 | 70 | 304 | 88 | 40 | 4 | 21% | 2.5 | 28.9% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 1.3% | 2.94 | 3.04 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | BOS | 47 | 0 | 49 | 208 | 48 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | BOS | 47 | 0 | 50 | 210 | 50 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 4.28 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | BOS | 47 | 0 | 50 | 210 | 50 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 4.26 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | BOS | 47 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 49 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.29 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 45 | 0 | 48 | 201 | 48 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 3.1% | 4.34 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | BOS | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | BOS | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 33 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 4.26 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | BOS | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 38 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.29 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 40 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 3.1% | 4.34 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 126 | 0 | 132 | 558 | 133 | 52 | 17 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 3.93 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 201 | 79 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 3.93 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 63 | 25 | 184 | 771 | 156 | 93 | 10 | 40% | 2.9 | 20.3% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 1.3% | 3.03 | 3.64 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 68 | 27 | 200 | 837 | 170 | 100 | 11 | 40% | 2.9 | 20.3% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 1.3% | 3.03 | 3.64 | +4.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis De La Rosa (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.36 | 23.3% | 9.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.28 | 23.8% | 14.5% | 149 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 88 |
| Casey Legumina R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 86 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 84 |
| T.J. Weir R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.08 | 20.0% | 9.1% | 2.8% | .319 | 3.46 | 19.0% | 9.6% | 190 | -0.62 | 3.21 | 349 | 80 |
| Alex Valverde R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.72 | 23.2% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .321 | 6.00 | 18.1% | 6.6% | 166 | +2.28 | 3.72 | 423 | 79 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2028 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 79 |
| Brett Gillis R 2027 · 3.37 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.37 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .278 | 5.10 | 15.8% | 6.7% | 73 | +1.73 | 3.37 | 119 | 79 |
| Jake Lyons R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.31 | 20.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 174 | 78 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 78 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.29 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 2.6% | .262 | 5.23 | 16.8% | 4.6% | 91 | +0.94 | 4.03 | 161 | 78 |
| Ryan Tapani R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.89 | 19.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .331 | 5.46 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 47 | +1.57 | 3.89 | 141 | 78 |
| Grant Ford R 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.34 | 20.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .300 | 4.57 | 19.0% | 4.5% | 112 | -0.77 | 3.96 | 188 | 77 |
| Ray Gaither R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 77 |
| Nick Hull R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.79 | 19.0% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .296 | 4.83 | 18.7% | 8.3% | 87 | +0.04 | 3.93 | 268 | 77 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2027 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 77 |
| Austin Bergner R 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.47 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 5.5% | .277 | 5.12 | 21.7% | 9.6% | 274 | -0.35 | 4.00 | 464 | 77 |
| Yaisel Sierra R 2027 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.01 | 22.4% | 12.3% | 71 | -1.30 | 3.01 | 176 | 76 |
| Carlo Reyes R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.26 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .318 | 3.98 | 24.1% | 12.9% | 61 | -0.28 | 2.79 | 229 | 76 |
| Tristan Stevens R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .411 | 3.71 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 91 | -0.57 | 3.71 | 126 | 76 |
| Sean Sullivan R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.88 | 20.3% | 10.0% | 4.1% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.30 | 318 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 49 | 23.7% | 9.4% | 1.16 | 4.32 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |