Sean Sullivan
P
Indianapolis Indians
Age 25
RHP
6'1" / 195 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 70 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 113
ERA4.97
FIP4.97
K%18.0%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%8.6%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 20 | 15 | 75 | 325 | 84 | 27 | 16 | 75% | 3.8 | 19.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 4.68 | 4.82 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 20 | 15 | 75 | 325 | 84 | 27 | 16 | 75% | 3.8 | 25.8% | 8.3% | 17.5% | 4.9% | 4.68 | 4.71 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Altoona Curve | 24 | 21 | 114 | 476 | 97 | 38 | 13 | 88% | 4.7 | 16.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 3.88 | 4.30 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Altoona Curve | 24 | 21 | 114 | 476 | 97 | 38 | 13 | 88% | 4.7 | 20.4% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 2.7% | 3.88 | 3.88 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Altoona Curve | 15 | 13 | 73 | 305 | 57 | 22 | 6 | 87% | 4.8 | 15.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 3.84 | 4.71 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Altoona Curve | 15 | 13 | 73 | 305 | 57 | 22 | 6 | 87% | 4.8 | 18.7% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 2.0% | 3.84 | 3.51 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 30 | 7 | 68 | 281 | 64 | 28 | 10 | 23% | 2.3 | 20.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 3.86 | 4.88 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 30 | 7 | 68 | 281 | 64 | 28 | 10 | 23% | 2.3 | 22.8% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 3.6% | 3.86 | 4.37 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | PIT | 11 | 11 | 70 | 296 | 53 | 28 | 10 | 100% | 6.4 | 18.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 4.97 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 11 | 11 | 70 | 296 | 55 | 27 | 10 | 100% | 6.4 | 18.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 3.3% | 4.89 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 11 | 11 | 69 | 291 | 56 | 27 | 10 | 100% | 6.3 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 3.3% | 4.87 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | PIT | 11 | 11 | 67 | 282 | 54 | 27 | 10 | 100% | 6.1 | 19.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 4.90 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 5 | 5 | 34 | 144 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 100% | 6.8 | 18.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 3.3% | 4.89 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 7 | 7 | 46 | 194 | 37 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 6.6 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 3.3% | 4.87 | 4.88 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | PIT | 8 | 8 | 52 | 220 | 42 | 21 | 7 | 100% | 6.5 | 19.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 4.90 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 21 | 21 | 131 | 553 | 105 | 52 | 19 | 100% | 6.2 | 19.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 4.89 | 4.52 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 32 | 32 | 200 | 844 | 160 | 79 | 29 | 100% | 6.2 | 19.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 4.89 | 4.52 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 89 | 56 | 329 | 1387 | 246 | 125 | 48 | 63% | 3.7 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 4.05 | 4.63 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 34 | 200 | 843 | 150 | 76 | 29 | 63% | 3.7 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 4.05 | 4.63 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sean Sullivan (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.97 | 18.0% | 9.3% | 3.3% | — | 4.90 | 19.0% | 9.6% | 206 | -0.07 | — | — | — |
| Yaisel Sierra R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.01 | 22.4% | 12.3% | 71 | -1.30 | 3.01 | 176 | 87 |
| Hunter Adkins R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.37 | 16.2% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.81 | 11.8% | 0.5% | 58 | +0.44 | 4.37 | 160 | 84 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 84 |
| Carlos Sano R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 9.58 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.60 | 4.98 | 105 | 83 |
| Jake Bray R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.02 | 15.4% | 11.2% | 3.3% | .294 | 5.41 | 20.5% | 7.7% | 61 | +0.39 | 2.76 | 198 | 81 |
| Jake Bockenstedt R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.62 | 16.9% | 11.4% | 2.7% | .303 | 4.01 | 16.6% | 4.2% | 20 | -0.61 | 4.01 | 214 | 80 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 80 |
| Carlos Frías R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.16 | 14.1% | 7.2% | 2.5% | .320 | 4.70 | 13.0% | 2.6% | 74 | +0.54 | 3.64 | 204 | 80 |
| Chase Centala R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 124 | 80 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 79 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2028 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.48 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .316 | 5.59 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.11 | 4.48 | 125 | 79 |
| Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.77 | 20.3% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .309 | 3.63 | 21.4% | 13.2% | 123 | -0.14 | 1.87 | 232 | 79 |
| TJ Shook R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.41 | 21.0% | 9.6% | 3.4% | .273 | 4.29 | 23.1% | 14.9% | 172 | -0.12 | 3.36 | 432 | 79 |
| Ryan Tapani R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.89 | 19.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .331 | 5.46 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 47 | +1.57 | 3.89 | 141 | 79 |
| Matt Ager R 2024 · 5.00 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.00 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.00 | 146 | 79 |
| Noah Bremer R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 79 |
| Mike Franco R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.74 | 17.2% | 12.9% | 2.6% | .251 | 4.30 | 21.9% | 12.7% | 98 | -0.44 | 3.06 | 322 | 78 |
| Jake Dunning R 2027 · 5.65 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.65 | 13.4% | 9.6% | 4.5% | .354 | 4.21 | 14.1% | 2.8% | 74 | -1.44 | 4.13 | 120 | 78 |
| Phil Klein R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 1.6% | .280 | 3.17 | 24.5% | 17.9% | 97 | -0.66 | 3.17 | 178 | 78 |
| Angel Araiza R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.55 | 16.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | .287 | 3.95 | 15.0% | 7.6% | 193 | -0.60 | 3.53 | 289 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 69 | 18.7% | 9.4% | 1.29 | 4.91 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |