Sean Sullivan
P
Indianapolis Indians
+0.2
WAR
Age 25
RHP
6'1" / 195 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.67
FIP4.67
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%20.2%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%10.9%
IP67
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
STUF4545
CTRL5050
CMD5050
K†4550
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 20 | 15 | 75 | 325 | 84 | 27 | 16 | 19.9% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 4.68 | 5.16 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Altoona Curve | 24 | 21 | 114 | 476 | 97 | 38 | 13 | 16.5% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 3.88 | 4.46 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Altoona Curve | 15 | 13 | 73 | 305 | 57 | 22 | 6 | 15.1% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 3.84 | 4.29 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 30 | 7 | 68 | 281 | 64 | 28 | 10 | 20.3% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 3.86 | 4.63 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | PIT | 12 | 12 | 67 | 285 | 56 | 26 | 9 | 19.6% | 9.3% | 3.1% | 4.73 | 4.73 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 12 | 12 | 67 | 285 | 58 | 26 | 9 | 20.2% | 9.3% | 3.1% | 4.67 | 4.66 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 12 | 12 | 67 | 282 | 58 | 26 | 9 | 20.5% | 9.3% | 3.1% | 4.65 | 4.65 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | PIT | 12 | 12 | 66 | 278 | 57 | 26 | 9 | 20.6% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 4.64 | 4.66 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | PIT | 12 | 12 | 64 | 272 | 56 | 26 | 9 | 20.5% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 4.67 | 4.69 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | PIT | 11 | 11 | 62 | 264 | 54 | 25 | 9 | 20.3% | 9.5% | 3.3% | 4.72 | 4.75 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | PIT | 11 | 11 | 60 | 255 | 51 | 25 | 8 | 20.1% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 4.78 | 4.83 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | PIT | 58 | — | 58 | 244 | 48 | 24 | 8 | 19.8% | 9.8% | 3.4% | 4.86 | 4.92 | +0.0 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | PIT | 55 | — | 55 | 233 | 46 | 23 | 8 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 4.95 | 5.01 | -0.0 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | PIT | 52 | — | 52 | 222 | 42 | 22 | 8 | 19.1% | 10.2% | 3.6% | 5.05 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | PIT | 50 | — | 50 | 209 | 39 | 22 | 8 | 18.8% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 5.17 | 5.24 | -0.2 |
| 2037 | 36 | MLB | PIT | 46 | — | 46 | 195 | 36 | 21 | 7 | 18.3% | 10.6% | 3.8% | 5.29 | 5.38 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 89 | 56 | 329 | 1387 | 246 | 125 | 48 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 4.05 | 4.62 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 34 | 200 | 843 | 150 | 76 | 29 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 4.05 | 4.62 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sean Sullivan (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.73 | 19.6% | 9.3% | 3.1% | — | 4.66 | 20.4% | 11.1% | 200 | -0.07 | — | — | — |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.99 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.5% | .311 | 4.41 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.65 | 255 | 94 |
| Austin Ross R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.42 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.4% | .281 | 5.22 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.80 | 4.42 | 121 | 94 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.41 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.4% | .311 | 5.44 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.41 | 152 | 92 |
| Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.59 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 146 | 92 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.08 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 3.84 | 21.6% | 13.4% | 73 | -0.24 | 3.84 | 206 | 90 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.32 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 159 | 90 |
| J.R. Graham R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.37 | 18.7% | 7.4% | 3.5% | .317 | 3.65 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 61 | -0.72 | 3.31 | 125 | 89 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 2.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 135 | 89 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.42 | 19.2% | 11.9% | 2.6% | .279 | 5.32 | 15.6% | 5.5% | 168 | +0.90 | 4.42 | 239 | 89 |
| David Goforth R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.06 | 17.4% | 9.8% | 2.2% | .287 | 4.58 | 14.1% | 3.6% | 184 | +0.52 | 4.06 | 256 | 89 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.05 | 19.9% | 10.4% | 2.4% | .272 | 3.60 | 19.6% | 9.7% | 129 | -0.45 | 3.20 | 386 | 88 |
| Hunter McMahon R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 16.6% | 8.3% | 2.7% | .301 | 5.92 | 5.7% | 1.8% | 14 | +1.68 | 2.23 | 174 | 88 |
| Taylor Floyd R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.32 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 3.0% | .331 | 4.32 | 18.9% | 9.8% | 122 | +0.00 | 3.48 | 290 | 88 |
| Mark Peterson R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.66 | 17.8% | 8.8% | 3.5% | .287 | 4.76 | 13.7% | 1.8% | 52 | +0.10 | 4.66 | 185 | 87 |
| Andrew Bellatti R 2024 · 4.32 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.32 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 278 | 87 |
| Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.73 | 23.7% | 10.1% | 2.5% | .284 | 3.72 | 20.3% | 12.4% | 167 | -0.01 | 3.05 | 290 | 87 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.69 | 17.5% | 8.4% | 1.8% | .317 | 4.94 | 19.4% | 9.1% | 89 | +1.25 | 3.69 | 239 | 87 |
| Cody Tucker R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.99 | 22.0% | 12.0% | 4.1% | .272 | 5.30 | 15.8% | -1.9% | 40 | +0.31 | 4.99 | 105 | 87 |
| Héctor Neris R 2027 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.97 | 20.9% | 10.0% | 2.5% | .298 | 3.00 | 31.5% | 23.7% | 221 | -0.97 | 1.99 | 682 | 87 |
| Mario Morales R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.53 | 18.4% | 8.6% | 3.5% | .342 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.14 | 108 | 86 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.