Wikelman González

Wikelman González P Charlotte Knights

+0.2 WAR

INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)

Age 24 RHP 6'0" / 220 lbs AAA Svc 1.0 · Ctrl thru 2030 peak 0.7 · 2027

ERA3.79

FIP4.54

xFIP4.11

SIERA3.89

K%23.0%

BB%14.4%

K-BB%8.6%

IP78

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.7peak

2027

K†5555

FB Velo

p5895.1

Whiff%

p9032.3%

p8528.7%

xwOBA vs

p400.323

FB+4.6 (56%)

CU (23%)

CH-0.8 (15%)

SL-1.0 (29%)

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox 1	14	14	46	191	44	24	3	15.7%	15.7%	2.2%	3.30	4.97	-0.0
2021	19	A	Salem Red Sox	12	11	53	216	66	16	2	21.3%	9.0%	1.5%	2.91	3.28	+1.0
2022	20	A+	Greenville Drive	25	25	98	428	121	54	2	21.1%	14.8%	0.7%	4.21	3.57	+1.9
2023	21	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	25	25	111	477	168	70	7	27.6%	16.6%	1.9%	3.96	3.89	+1.8
2024	22	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	24	19	84	360	92	46	6	20.7%	14.1%	2.0%	4.73	4.22	+0.9
2025	23	MLB	Chicago White Sox	42	4	70	309	76	53	3	22.1%	18.0%	0.9%	4.26	3.99	+0.8
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	AAA	Charlotte Knights	7	0	9	33	11	3	0	—	—	—	1.04	—	—
ROS	24	MLB	CWS	31	—	31	132	30	19	3	22.9%	14.3%	2.2%	3.79	4.54	+0.1
2026 Total	24	MLB	CWS	—	—	40	165	41	22	3	25.0%	13.3%	1.7%	3.19	3.55	+0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	25	MLB	CWS	14	14	79	334	78	42	7	23.4%	12.7%	2.2%	4.11	4.34	+0.7
2028	26	MLB	CWS	14	14	79	334	79	41	8	23.6%	12.4%	2.3%	4.23	4.32	+0.7
2029	27	MLB	CWS	14	14	78	331	78	41	8	23.6%	12.3%	2.3%	4.29	4.33	+0.7
2030	28	MLB	CWS	14	14	77	326	77	40	8	23.5%	12.3%	2.4%	4.32	4.35	+0.7
2031	29	MLB	CWS	14	14	76	319	74	39	8	23.1%	12.3%	2.4%	4.38	4.43	+0.6
2032	30	MLB	CWS	13	13	73	309	70	38	8	22.5%	12.4%	2.5%	4.46	4.52	+0.5
2033	31	MLB	CWS	13	13	71	298	65	37	8	21.9%	12.6%	2.6%	4.56	4.62	+0.3
2034	32	MLB	CWS	12	12	68	286	61	36	8	21.3%	12.7%	2.6%	4.67	4.74	+0.2
2035	33	MLB	CWS	12	12	65	273	56	35	7	20.6%	12.9%	2.7%	4.79	4.86	+0.1
2036	34	MLB	CWS	11	11	62	260	52	34	7	19.9%	13.1%	2.8%	4.92	5.00	-0.0
2037	35	MLB	CWS	58	—	58	245	47	33	7	19.2%	13.3%	2.9%	5.06	5.15	-0.1
2038	36	MLB	CWS	54	—	54	229	42	31	7	18.4%	13.6%	3.1%	5.21	5.32	-0.2
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			149	98	471	2014	452	301	29	22.4%	15.0%	1.4%	3.96	3.89	+7.5
/ 200 IP	—			63	42	200	856	192	128	12	22.4%	15.0%	1.4%	3.96	3.89	+3.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wikelman González (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.54	22.9%	14.3%	2.2%	—	4.33	23.5%	11.0%	236	-0.21	—	—	—
Chad Smith R 2026 · 4.33 FIP	24	SU	4.33	19.8%	13.5%	2.2%	.274	3.90	25.2%	12.6%	86	-0.43	3.32	258	85
Jake Gilbert R 2026 · 4.13 FIP	24	SU	4.13	22.1%	15.2%	1.8%	.314	4.65	18.2%	2.0%	53	+0.52	4.13	103	84
Harrison Cohen R 2026 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	3.00	24.2%	12.6%	70	-1.56	2.12	117	84
Cole Gordon R 2025 · 4.10 FIP	23	SU	4.10	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.09	4.10	112	84
Ryan Jennings R 2026 · 3.48 FIP	24	SU	3.48	23.4%	11.9%	1.6%	.316	4.40	23.0%	9.5%	109	+0.92	3.48	142	83
Dylan Heid R 2026 · 4.72 FIP	24	SU	4.72	21.6%	16.9%	2.4%	.287	3.33	22.6%	9.0%	103	-1.39	2.65	135	83
Tyler Schimpf R 2025 · 4.03 FIP	23	SU	4.03	24.3%	15.9%	1.8%	.300	5.65	24.1%	7.1%	58	+1.62	3.37	126	83
Eduardo Herrera R 2026 · 4.10 FIP	24	SU	4.10	25.5%	15.7%	2.1%	.284	4.44	16.7%	-5.0%	31	+0.34	4.10	127	82
Ray Gaither R 2026 · 4.86 FIP	24	SU	4.86	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.51	18.6%	4.7%	123	-0.35	4.05	164	82
Grayson Thurman R 2026 · 4.71 FIP	24	SU	4.71	19.5%	14.1%	2.7%	.319	4.82	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.11	4.56	132	82
Cameron Gann R 2026 · 4.21 FIP	24	SU	4.21	21.4%	12.4%	2.4%	.296	5.37	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.16	3.60	146	82
Dakota Mekkes R 2026 · 4.57 FIP	24	SU	4.57	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.86	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.29	2.95	246	82
Brandon Cunniff R 2028 · 4.25 FIP	26	SU	4.25	24.5%	13.2%	2.8%	.256	4.33	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.08	3.88	180	81
Brooks Kriske R 2027 · 3.48 FIP	25	SU	3.48	26.1%	12.2%	1.9%	.245	4.81	28.6%	16.5%	41	+1.33	3.04	230	81
Nathanael Santiago R 2027 · 3.43 FIP	25	SU	3.43	20.3%	11.4%	1.1%	.286	3.56	23.2%	10.9%	71	+0.13	2.48	138	81
Colin McKee R 2026 · 5.04 FIP	24	SU	5.04	24.2%	14.7%	3.9%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.69	4.16	148	81
Troy Taylor R 2025 · 4.69 FIP	23	SU	4.69	22.8%	14.6%	3.0%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.18	130	81
Bruce Rondón R 2026 · 3.79 FIP	24	SU	3.79	23.5%	11.8%	2.1%	.336	3.35	26.7%	14.0%	140	-0.44	3.30	184	80
Reid Schaller R 2026 · 4.62 FIP	24	SU	4.62	20.2%	13.1%	2.9%	.298	3.90	22.0%	11.4%	90	-0.72	3.63	186	80
Craig Schlitter R 2026 · 4.61 FIP	24	SW	4.61	22.7%	15.4%	2.7%	.298	4.70	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.09	4.23	222	80

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2028	Arb-1	$2M	+0.7	$3M	+$0.9M
2029	Arb-2	$4M	+0.7	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-3	$6M	+0.7	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$10M		$13M	+$3M