Rodney Theophile
P
Wilmington Blue Rocks
Age 26
RHP
6'5" / 230 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.6 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 54 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 103
ERA4.51
FIP4.51
K%21.8%
BB%10.9%
K-BB%10.9%
ROS IP54
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | GCL Nationals | 10 | 5 | 14 | 78 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 50% | 1.4 | 9.6% | 17.6% | -8.0% | 5.4% | 10.67 | 7.48 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | GCL Nationals | 10 | 5 | 14 | 78 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 50% | 1.4 | 14.1% | 14.1% | 0.0% | 3.8% | 10.67 | 6.59 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 22 | 22 | 89 | 416 | 84 | 47 | 9 | 100% | 4.0 | 14.9% | 13.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 5.56 | 4.70 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 22 | 22 | 89 | 416 | 84 | 47 | 9 | 100% | 4.0 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 2.2% | 5.56 | 4.11 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 21 | 102 | 436 | 110 | 44 | 5 | 88% | 4.3 | 19.0% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 1.2% | 3.25 | 3.64 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 21 | 102 | 436 | 110 | 44 | 5 | 88% | 4.3 | 25.2% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 1.1% | 3.25 | 2.88 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 10 | 9 | 41 | 177 | 39 | 20 | 6 | 90% | 4.1 | 17.0% | 13.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.48 | 6.13 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 10 | 9 | 41 | 177 | 39 | 20 | 6 | 90% | 4.1 | 22.0% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 3.48 | 4.55 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 20 | 89 | 382 | 93 | 47 | 3 | 100% | 4.5 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 3.53 | 3.76 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 20 | 89 | 382 | 93 | 47 | 3 | 100% | 4.5 | 24.3% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 0.8% | 3.53 | 3.03 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | WSH | 9 | 9 | 54 | 228 | 50 | 25 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 2.7% | 4.51 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 9 | 9 | 53 | 225 | 49 | 24 | 6 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 4.51 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 9 | 9 | 52 | 218 | 48 | 24 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 22.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 8 | 8 | 49 | 209 | 45 | 23 | 6 | 100% | 6.2 | 21.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 3.1% | 4.64 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 4.51 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 5 | 5 | 30 | 127 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 6 | 6 | 35 | 148 | 32 | 16 | 5 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 3.1% | 4.64 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 14 | 14 | 85 | 358 | 78 | 39 | 11 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.9% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 2.9% | 4.58 | 4.25 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 184 | 92 | 26 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.9% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 2.9% | 4.58 | 4.25 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 86 | 77 | 336 | 1489 | 256 | 196 | 31 | 90% | 3.9 | 17.2% | 13.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 4.28 | 4.46 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 46 | 200 | 885 | 152 | 117 | 19 | 90% | 3.9 | 17.2% | 13.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 4.28 | 4.46 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Rodney Theophile (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.51 | 21.8% | 10.9% | 2.7% | — | 4.61 | 21.9% | 11.0% | 154 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Burch Smith R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 82 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.63 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | +0.03 | 3.22 | 254 | 82 |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 81 |
| Jake Walters R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.17 | 17.0% | 9.4% | 2.4% | .316 | 5.97 | 15.5% | -0.2% | 72 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 261 | 80 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 78 |
| Jake Lee R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.56 | 20.5% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .362 | 5.50 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 113 | +1.94 | 2.78 | 181 | 78 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.15 | 18.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 247 | 78 |
| David Lebron R 2025 · 4.18 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.18 | 18.6% | 14.2% | 1.6% | .336 | 5.07 | 26.7% | 12.0% | 62 | +0.89 | 4.18 | 144 | 77 |
| Jonathan Pintaro R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.52 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 1.5% | .264 | 3.82 | 24.9% | 12.4% | 117 | +0.30 | 3.12 | 187 | 75 |
| Yariel Rodríguez R 2027 · 3.80 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.80 | 25.1% | 11.8% | 2.4% | .275 | 3.77 | 24.2% | 12.3% | 89 | -0.03 | 2.60 | 196 | 75 |
| Isaac Coffey R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.95 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 2.9% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 287 | 75 |
| Kumar Rocker R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.16 | 20.5% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.95 | 230 | 74 |
| Chad Dallas R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.8% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 322 | 74 |
| Markus Solbach R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.61 | 16.9% | 6.1% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.76 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 111 | +1.15 | 3.25 | 391 | 74 |
| Trace Bright R 2025 · 5.42 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.42 | 21.2% | 13.6% | 4.3% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 373 | 73 |
| Hector Noesí R 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 73 |
| Cody Sedlock R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.83 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .301 | 4.18 | 20.1% | 7.1% | 80 | -0.65 | 4.16 | 378 | 73 |
| Jackson Nezuh R 2024 · 5.06 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.06 | 23.6% | 10.4% | 4.8% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 258 | 73 |
| Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 73 |
| Tyson Hardin R 2024 · 3.45 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.45 | 23.4% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.47 | 177 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 52 | 21.9% | 10.9% | 1.11 | 4.55 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |