Andy Weber
SS Charlotte Knights| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27 | AAA/AA/ROKARI | 225 | .305/.359/.502 | 7 | 3 | 82 | — | .253/.290/.402 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA/AAARI | 513 | .300/.360/.427 | 7 | 1 | 85 | — | .264/.309/.369 |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA/AACWS | 480 | .251/.312/.423 | 15 | 8 | 56 | — | .205/.254/.330 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 30 | MLBCWS | 16 | .247/.293/.371 | 0 | 0 | 84 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 31 | MLBCWS | 55 | .243/.289/.363 | 1 | 0 | 81 | -0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | AZL Cubs 1 | — | 56 | 51 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 196 | 268 | 353 | 621 | 157 | 267 | 34 | 7 | 280 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A | South Bend Cubs | — | 544 | 487 | 134 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 43 | 110 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 275 | 340 | 400 | 741 | 125 | 347 | 20 | 8 | 327 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 149 | 131 | 28 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 52 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 304 | 321 | 625 | 107 | 350 | 35 | 9 | 286 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 106 | 88 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 273 | 390 | 466 | 856 | 193 | 349 | 23 | 16 | 376 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 308 | 280 | 84 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 74 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 300 | 362 | 393 | 754 | 93 | 394 | 24 | 8 | 341 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 433 | 372 | 88 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 50 | 90 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 237 | 338 | 333 | 671 | 97 | 295 | 21 | 12 | 308 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 41 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 263 | 282 | 500 | 782 | 237 | 308 | 27 | 2 | 322 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 149 | 134 | 44 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 328 | 388 | 522 | 910 | 194 | 396 | 19 | 8 | 396 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | ROK | ACL D-backs | — | 35 | 31 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 324 | 419 | 743 | 161 | 250 | 9 | 9 | 322 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 404 | 364 | 113 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 310 | 371 | 434 | 805 | 124 | 355 | 14 | 9 | 355 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 109 | 100 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 260 | 321 | 400 | 721 | 140 | 343 | 28 | 7 | 323 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 348 | 318 | 81 | 21 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 77 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 255 | 309 | 447 | 756 | 192 | 300 | 22 | 7 | 331 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 132 | 117 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 239 | 321 | 359 | 680 | 120 | 278 | 19 | 9 | 307 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs 1 | — | 56 | 53 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 113 | 161 | 189 | 349 | 75 | 206 | 48 | 4 | 169 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 544 | 503 | 107 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 27 | 154 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 213 | 260 | 300 | 560 | 87 | 292 | 28 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 149 | 136 | 24 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 64 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 243 | 265 | 508 | 88 | 319 | 43 | 5 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 308 | 287 | 73 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 94 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 254 | 303 | 331 | 634 | 77 | 361 | 31 | 6 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 433 | 390 | 79 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 109 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 203 | 275 | 279 | 555 | 77 | 262 | 25 | 7 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 41 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 211 | 231 | 368 | 599 | 158 | 260 | 34 | 2 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 149 | 139 | 39 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 281 | 320 | 432 | 751 | 151 | 343 | 23 | 5 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 35 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 312 | 548 | 125 | 182 | 11 | 6 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 404 | 374 | 106 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 25 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 283 | 328 | 390 | 719 | 107 | 329 | 16 | 6 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 109 | 103 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 38 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 194 | 239 | 291 | 530 | 97 | 290 | 35 | 5 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 348 | 327 | 68 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 93 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 208 | 251 | 346 | 597 | 138 | 256 | 27 | 5 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 132 | 121 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 198 | 260 | 289 | 549 | 91 | 240 | 23 | 6 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs 1 | — | 56 | 53 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 113 | 161 | 189 | 349 | 75 | 200 | 48 | 4 | 169 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK RAW | AZL Cubs 1 | — | 56 | 51 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 196 | 268 | 353 | 621 | 157 | 267 | 34 | 7 | 280 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 544 | 503 | 107 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 27 | 154 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 213 | 260 | 300 | 560 | 87 | 299 | 28 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A RAW | South Bend Cubs | — | 544 | 487 | 134 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 43 | 110 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 275 | 340 | 400 | 741 | 125 | 347 | 20 | 8 | 327 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 255 | 235 | 40 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 110 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 170 | 229 | 247 | 476 | 77 | 315 | 43 | 5 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 255 | 219 | 52 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 76 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 237 | 340 | 379 | 719 | 142 | 350 | 30 | 12 | 324 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 308 | 287 | 73 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 94 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 254 | 303 | 331 | 634 | 77 | 366 | 31 | 6 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA RAW | Tennessee Smokies | — | 308 | 280 | 84 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 74 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 300 | 362 | 393 | 754 | 93 | 394 | 24 | 8 | 341 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 433 | 390 | 79 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 109 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 203 | 275 | 279 | 555 | 77 | 267 | 25 | 7 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA RAW | Tennessee Smokies | — | 433 | 372 | 88 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 50 | 90 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 237 | 338 | 333 | 671 | 97 | 295 | 21 | 12 | 308 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 225 | 209 | 53 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 53 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 254 | 291 | 402 | 693 | 148 | 314 | 24 | 4 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 225 | 203 | 62 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 43 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 305 | 359 | 502 | 862 | 197 | 355 | 19 | 7 | 371 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 513 | 477 | 126 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 103 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 264 | 309 | 369 | 678 | 105 | 325 | 20 | 6 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 513 | 464 | 139 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 86 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 300 | 360 | 427 | 787 | 127 | 353 | 17 | 8 | 348 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 480 | 449 | 91 | 19 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 123 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 203 | 249 | 325 | 575 | 122 | 255 | 26 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 480 | 435 | 109 | 24 | 3 | 15 | 35 | 102 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 251 | 312 | 423 | 735 | 172 | 294 | 21 | 7 | 324 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs 1 | — | 56 | 53 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 113 | 161 | 189 | 349 | 75 | 206 | 48 | 4 | 169 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 544 | 507 | 107 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 27 | 154 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 211 | 260 | 298 | 558 | 87 | 292 | 28 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 255 | 235 | 40 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 110 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 170 | 229 | 247 | 476 | 77 | 319 | 43 | 5 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 308 | 285 | 73 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 94 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 256 | 303 | 333 | 636 | 77 | 361 | 31 | 6 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 433 | 391 | 79 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 109 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 202 | 275 | 279 | 554 | 77 | 262 | 25 | 7 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 225 | 212 | 53 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 53 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 250 | 291 | 396 | 687 | 146 | 303 | 24 | 4 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 513 | 477 | 126 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 103 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 264 | 309 | 369 | 678 | 105 | 321 | 20 | 6 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 480 | 449 | 91 | 19 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 123 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 203 | 249 | 325 | 575 | 122 | 252 | 26 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 27 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 225 | 212 | 53 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 53 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 250 | 291 | 396 | 687 | 146 | 303 | 24 | 4 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 513 | 477 | 126 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 103 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 264 | 309 | 369 | 678 | 105 | 321 | 20 | 6 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 480 | 449 | 91 | 19 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 123 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 203 | 249 | 325 | 575 | 122 | 252 | 26 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB MLE | CWS | 10% | 380 | 355 | 87 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 89 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 247 | 292 | 368 | 660 | 122 | 308 | 23 | 5 | 293 | 84 | -7 | -0 | +0 | +4 | +8 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB CTX | CWS | 10% | 16 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 293 | 371 | 663 | 123 | 309 | 25 | 6 | 294 | 84 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 31 | MLB MLE | CWS | 27% | 200 | 186 | 45 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 47 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 242 | 288 | 361 | 649 | 118 | 305 | 24 | 6 | 289 | 81 | -4 | -0 | -3 | +2 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB CTX | CWS | 27% | 55 | 52 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 243 | 289 | 363 | 652 | 120 | 306 | 24 | 5 | 290 | 81 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 55 | 52 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 273 | 327 | 600 | 96 | 289 | 24 | 5 | 290 | 64 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 615 | 142 | 24 | 0 | 12 | 35 | 154 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 272 | 328 | 601 | 98 | 290 | 24 | 5 | 290 | 64 | -14 | +0 | -9 | +7 | +14 | -0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3169 | 2934 | 656 | 135 | 25 | 36 | 174 | 856 | 29 | 31 | 18 | 224 | 274 | 323 | 597 | 100 | 301 | 27 | 5 | 263 | 64 | -7 | -0 | -3 | +4 | +8 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 602 | 134 | 28 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 176 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 223 | 273 | 321 | 594 | 98 | 300 | 27 | 6 | 263 | 64 | -13 | -0 | -5 | +7 | +14 | 0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAACharlotte Knights · 348 PAwOBA .322 → .254 (−68)K% 22.1% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.13% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 4.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.86% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.980 | ×0.982 | 17.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.980 | ×0.982 | 6.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.980 | ×0.982 | 0.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 3.42% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .322 → .254; ISO .192 → .140; BABIP .300 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AABirmingham Barons · 132 PAwOBA .302 → .243 (−58)K% 18.9% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.94% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.958 | 5.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.52% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.958 | 1.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.992 | ×0.958 | 19.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.992 | ×0.958 | 2.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×0.992 | ×0.958 | 0.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.958 | 2.50% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .302 → .243; ISO .120 → .095; BABIP .278 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAReno Aces · 404 PAwOBA .349 → .312 (−37)K% 13.9% → 16.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.86% | ÷1.025 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.66% | ÷0.964 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 6.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.95% | ÷0.994 | ×0.930 | ×1.021 | ×0.992 | 25.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.17% | ÷1.069 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | ×0.992 | 4.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.27% | ÷0.902 | ×0.970 | ×1.021 | ×0.992 | 2.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.30% | ÷0.904 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 1.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 99, 2B 114, 3B 80, K 105, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .349 → .312; ISO .124 → .110; BABIP .355 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 109 PAwOBA .314 → .231 (−84)K% 27.5% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.52% | ÷0.972 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.34% | ÷0.994 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 5.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.92% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.968 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.14% | ÷1.041 | ×0.920 | ×1.022 | ×0.968 | 23.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.29% | ÷1.119 | ×0.840 | ×1.022 | ×0.968 | 3.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.43% | ÷0.985 | ×0.940 | ×1.022 | ×0.968 | 1.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.29% | ÷1.333 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 2.49% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 167, 1B 108, 2B 124, 3B 97, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .314 → .231; ISO .140 → .087; BABIP .343 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 149 PAwOBA .383 → .313 (−70)K% 19.5% → 23.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.46% | ÷1.018 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.38% | ÷1.026 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 4.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.67% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 0.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.76% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×0.977 | ×0.978 | 22.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷0.966 | ×0.840 | ×0.977 | ×0.978 | 11.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.987 | ×0.940 | ×0.977 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.81% | ÷1.229 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 2.43% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 95, 2B 93, 3B 97, K 104, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .383 → .313; ISO .194 → .145; BABIP .396 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAReno Aces · 41 PAwOBA .320 → .248 (−72)K% 26.8% → 33.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.83% | ÷0.964 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.44% | ÷1.012 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 1.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.076 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 19.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.025 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 3.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.017 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 3.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.41% | ÷1.124 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 4.63% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 115, 2B 105, 3B 103, K 93, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .320 → .248; ISO .237 → .168; BABIP .308 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL D-backs · 35 PAwOBA .322 → .236 (−87)K% 8.6% → 12.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.57% | ÷0.965 | ×1.440 | — | — | 12.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.57% | ÷1.069 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 4.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.86% | ÷1.009 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 13.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.031 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 4.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.875 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 2.99% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 102, 2B 106, 3B 97, K 93, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .322 → .236; ISO .161 → .127; BABIP .250 → .182. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AATennessee Smokies · 433 PAwOBA .304 → .248 (−56)K% 20.8% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.79% | ÷1.008 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.55% | ÷1.059 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 7.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.62% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 1.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.34% | ÷0.975 | ×0.920 | ×0.971 | ×0.988 | 20.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.74% | ÷1.023 | ×0.910 | ×0.971 | ×0.988 | 5.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.35% | ÷0.966 | ×0.880 | ×0.971 | ×0.988 | 0.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.77% | ÷1.082 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.30% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 95, 2B 105, 3B 93, K 102, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .304 → .248; ISO .097 → .079; BABIP .295 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).