Yunesky Sanchez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 30 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 705 | .324/.367/.455 | 15 | 10 | 94 | — | .273/.307/.362 |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 441 | .311/.375/.415 | 5 | 5 | 96 | — | .259/.302/.313 |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 139 | .206/.235/.267 | 1 | 1 | 28 | — | .184/.205/.211 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 23 | A | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 445 | 408 | 115 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 36 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 282 | 326 | 353 | 679 | 71 | 300 | 8 | 6 | 301 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 523 | 494 | 146 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 41 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 296 | 333 | 348 | 682 | 53 | 322 | 8 | 4 | 309 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 213 | 199 | 53 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 26 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 266 | 315 | 352 | 666 | 85 | 298 | 12 | 7 | 301 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 368 | 338 | 96 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 45 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 284 | 335 | 411 | 746 | 127 | 308 | 12 | 7 | 330 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 24 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 208 | 208 | 417 | 238 | 12 | 0 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2011 | 27 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 145 | 134 | 40 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 299 | 338 | 388 | 726 | 90 | 325 | 12 | 4 | 321 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 261 | 243 | 84 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 346 | 386 | 465 | 851 | 119 | 368 | 10 | 6 | 377 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | INTL | Mexico | — | 230 | 220 | 58 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 264 | 289 | 409 | 699 | 145 | 279 | 13 | 3 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 428 | 392 | 132 | 22 | 1 | 12 | 28 | 49 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 337 | 385 | 490 | 875 | 153 | 358 | 11 | 7 | 384 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 277 | 259 | 79 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 305 | 338 | 402 | 740 | 97 | 330 | 11 | 3 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 300 | 267 | 82 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 29 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 307 | 373 | 386 | 759 | 79 | 332 | 10 | 8 | 340 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 141 | 128 | 41 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 320 | 379 | 477 | 855 | 156 | 339 | 9 | 8 | 377 | 142 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 40 | 38 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 256 | 289 | 546 | 53 | 273 | 15 | 2 | 240 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 99 | 93 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 227 | 258 | 485 | 65 | 212 | 13 | 4 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 23 | A MLE | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 445 | 417 | 109 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 49 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 261 | 292 | 319 | 611 | 58 | 280 | 11 | 4 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 523 | 502 | 143 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 50 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 285 | 312 | 335 | 647 | 50 | 314 | 10 | 3 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 213 | 205 | 51 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 249 | 277 | 332 | 609 | 83 | 285 | 15 | 4 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 368 | 347 | 84 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 62 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 242 | 277 | 331 | 609 | 89 | 275 | 17 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 145 | 135 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 289 | 324 | 370 | 694 | 81 | 314 | 15 | 3 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 261 | 249 | 75 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 34 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 301 | 328 | 373 | 702 | 72 | 332 | 13 | 3 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 428 | 403 | 110 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 62 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 273 | 307 | 362 | 670 | 89 | 303 | 14 | 4 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 300 | 278 | 72 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 259 | 302 | 313 | 615 | 54 | 282 | 12 | 4 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 40 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 184 | 205 | 211 | 416 | 26 | 226 | 18 | 2 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | A MLE | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 445 | 417 | 109 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 49 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 261 | 292 | 319 | 611 | 58 | 289 | 11 | 4 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | A RAW | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 445 | 408 | 115 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 36 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 282 | 326 | 353 | 679 | 71 | 300 | 8 | 6 | 301 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 523 | 502 | 143 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 50 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 285 | 312 | 335 | 647 | 50 | 316 | 10 | 3 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA RAW | Mobile BayBears | — | 523 | 494 | 146 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 41 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 296 | 333 | 348 | 682 | 53 | 322 | 8 | 4 | 309 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 213 | 205 | 51 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 249 | 277 | 332 | 609 | 83 | 287 | 15 | 4 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AA RAW | Mobile BayBears | — | 213 | 199 | 53 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 26 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 266 | 315 | 352 | 666 | 85 | 298 | 12 | 7 | 301 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 392 | 370 | 90 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 66 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 243 | 278 | 341 | 619 | 97 | 279 | 17 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 392 | 362 | 101 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 48 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 279 | 327 | 398 | 725 | 119 | 303 | 12 | 7 | 321 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 145 | 135 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 289 | 324 | 370 | 694 | 81 | 325 | 15 | 3 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AA RAW | Altoona Curve | — | 145 | 134 | 40 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 299 | 338 | 388 | 726 | 90 | 325 | 12 | 4 | 321 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 491 | 468 | 142 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 64 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 303 | 331 | 380 | 711 | 77 | 340 | 13 | 3 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 491 | 463 | 142 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 22 | 57 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 307 | 341 | 438 | 779 | 132 | 327 | 12 | 4 | 344 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 705 | 661 | 183 | 27 | 1 | 11 | 27 | 102 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 277 | 312 | 371 | 683 | 94 | 309 | 14 | 4 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 705 | 651 | 211 | 34 | 3 | 15 | 37 | 80 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 324 | 367 | 455 | 822 | 131 | 347 | 11 | 5 | 361 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 441 | 412 | 106 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 53 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 257 | 297 | 316 | 612 | 58 | 287 | 12 | 4 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 441 | 395 | 123 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 42 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 311 | 375 | 415 | 790 | 104 | 334 | 10 | 8 | 352 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 139 | 133 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 195 | 213 | 233 | 446 | 38 | 239 | 19 | 2 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 139 | 131 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 206 | 235 | 267 | 502 | 61 | 230 | 14 | 4 | 223 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | A MLE | South Bend Silver Hawks | — | 445 | 424 | 109 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 49 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 257 | 292 | 314 | 606 | 57 | 280 | 11 | 4 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 523 | 498 | 143 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 50 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 287 | 312 | 337 | 650 | 50 | 314 | 10 | 3 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 213 | 203 | 51 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 251 | 277 | 335 | 612 | 84 | 285 | 15 | 4 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 392 | 371 | 90 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 66 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 243 | 278 | 340 | 618 | 97 | 275 | 17 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 145 | 137 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 285 | 324 | 365 | 689 | 80 | 314 | 15 | 3 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 491 | 469 | 142 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 64 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 303 | 331 | 380 | 710 | 77 | 332 | 13 | 3 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 705 | 665 | 183 | 27 | 1 | 11 | 27 | 102 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 275 | 312 | 368 | 681 | 93 | 303 | 14 | 4 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 441 | 415 | 106 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 53 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 255 | 297 | 313 | 610 | 58 | 282 | 12 | 4 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 139 | 135 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 193 | 213 | 230 | 443 | 37 | 226 | 19 | 2 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3494 | 3303 | 889 | 117 | 15 | 31 | 126 | 464 | 24 | 40 | 42 | 269 | 301 | 342 | 643 | 73 | 303 | 13 | 4 | 280 | 76 | -100 | -9 | +0 | +37 | +76 | 0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 614 | 166 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 86 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 270 | 300 | 345 | 645 | 75 | 304 | 13 | 4 | 280 | 76 | -19 | -2 | +0 | +7 | +14 | 0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 40 PAwOBA .239 → .193 (−46)K% 15.0% → 18.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.00% | ÷0.977 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.50% | ÷0.933 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 1.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.88% | ÷1.022 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.952 | 18.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.142 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.952 | 4.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.872 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 104, 2B 128, 3B 100, K 95, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .239 → .193; ISO .053 → .036; BABIP .273 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 300 PAwOBA .330 → .277 (−53)K% 9.7% → 12.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.67% | ÷0.966 | ×1.200 | — | — | 12.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.00% | ÷1.029 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 3.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 1.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.15% | ÷1.059 | ×0.930 | ×1.031 | ×0.962 | 24.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.62% | ÷1.117 | ×0.830 | ×1.031 | ×0.962 | 3.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.84% | ÷1.017 | ×0.920 | ×1.031 | ×0.962 | 0.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.84% | ÷1.244 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 0.46% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 112, 2B 123, 3B 103, K 93, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .330 → .277; ISO .079 → .058; BABIP .332 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 428 PAwOBA .377 → .294 (−83)K% 11.4% → 14.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.45% | ÷0.948 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.54% | ÷1.120 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 3.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.70% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.28% | ÷1.067 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 25.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.41% | ÷1.167 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 4.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.29% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 0.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.50% | ÷1.287 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 1.85% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 157, 1B 113, 2B 133, 3B 130, K 90, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .377 → .294; ISO .153 → .094; BABIP .358 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 261 PAwOBA .367 → .311 (−56)K% 10.3% → 13.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.34% | ÷0.952 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.98% | ÷0.992 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 3.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.38% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.48% | ÷1.022 | ×0.930 | ×1.042 | ×0.982 | 29.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.064 | ×0.830 | ×1.042 | ×0.982 | 3.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.46% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.042 | ×0.982 | 0.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.221 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 1.56% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 144, 1B 104, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 90, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.
Result: wOBA .367 → .311; ISO .119 → .078; BABIP .368 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAltoona Curve · 145 PAwOBA .318 → .297 (−22)K% 12.4% → 15.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.41% | ÷0.977 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.14% | ÷0.897 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 3.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.38% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.59% | ÷0.986 | ×0.970 | ×1.021 | ×0.978 | 27.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.17% | ÷0.949 | ×0.860 | ×1.021 | ×0.978 | 4.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.949 | ×0.950 | ×1.021 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.72% | ÷0.931 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 1.41% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 97, 2B 90, 3B 90, K 95, BB 79 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .318 → .297; ISO .090 → .077; BABIP .325 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAAReno Aces · 368 PAwOBA .323 → .267 (−56)K% 12.2% → 16.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.23% | ÷0.938 | ×1.290 | — | — | 16.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.79% | ÷1.093 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 4.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.55% | ÷0.984 | ×0.900 | ×1.007 | ×1.018 | 22.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.14% | ÷1.087 | ×0.810 | ×1.007 | ×1.018 | 4.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.68% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.007 | ×1.018 | 0.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.39% | ÷1.061 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 1.79% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 97, 2B 117, 3B 130, K 88, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .323 → .267; ISO .127 → .095; BABIP .308 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAMobile BayBears · 213 PAwOBA .290 → .263 (−27)K% 12.2% → 14.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.21% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 3.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.046 | ×0.998 | 23.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.046 | ×0.998 | 3.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×1.046 | ×0.998 | 1.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.92% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.
Result: wOBA .290 → .263; ISO .085 → .076; BABIP .298 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AAMobile BayBears · 523 PAwOBA .299 → .284 (−16)K% 7.8% → 9.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.84% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 9.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 2.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.96% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 26.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 4.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .299 → .284; ISO .053 → .051; BABIP .322 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .