Brooks Baldwin
LF Chicago White Sox| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | A+/ACWS | 396 | .269/.351/.460 | 15 | 22 | 72 | — | .211/.274/.365 | |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA/AACWS | 354 | .324/.393/.460 | 8 | 17 | 102 | — | .286/.336/.404 | |
| 2024 | 23 | MLBCWS | 121 | .211/.250/.316 | 2 | 4 | 56 | -0.1 | ||
| 2025 | 24 | AAACWS | 132 | .368/.431/.752 | 12 | 4 | 143 | — | .308/.362/.550 | |
| 2025 | 24 | MLBCWS | 328 | .240/.292/.407 | 11 | 5 | 91 | -1.1 | ||
| 2026 | 25 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2027PROJ | 26 | MLBCWS | 212 | .241/.298/.403 | 7 | 9 | 95 | 0.1 | ||
| 2028PROJ82% MLB | 27 | MLBCWS | 358 | .240/.296/.400 | 12 | 16 | 93 | 0.1 | ||
| 2029PROJ82% MLB | 28 | MLBCWS | 350 | .238/.294/.395 | 11 | 14 | 91 | -0.1 | ||
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 50
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 21 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 77 | 71 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 225 | 286 | 254 | 539 | 28 | 308 | 25 | 8 | 252 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL White Sox | — | 49 | 43 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 209 | 306 | 256 | 562 | 47 | 273 | 20 | 12 | 267 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 113 | 101 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 327 | 382 | 495 | 877 | 168 | 384 | 22 | 7 | 379 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 283 | 245 | 60 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 61 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 245 | 339 | 445 | 784 | 200 | 286 | 22 | 12 | 345 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 121 | 114 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 211 | 250 | 316 | 566 | 105 | 272 | 26 | 5 | 252 | 56 | -6 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 35 | 29 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 345 | 441 | 655 | 1.096 | 310 | 320 | 6 | 14 | 458 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 319 | 286 | 92 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 56 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 322 | 388 | 441 | 829 | 119 | 381 | 18 | 9 | 370 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 328 | 300 | 72 | 15 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 86 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 240 | 292 | 407 | 699 | 167 | 298 | 26 | 6 | 304 | 91 | -4 | +1 | -10 | -5 | +7 | -1.1 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 132 | 117 | 43 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 368 | 431 | 752 | 1.183 | 385 | 369 | 17 | 9 | 496 | 143 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 449 | 414 | 96 | 21 | 1 | 13 | 27 | 117 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 232 | 281 | 382 | 662 | 150 | 290 | 26 | 6 | 290 | 83 | -9 | +2 | -9 | -3 | +10 | -1.1 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 77 | 74 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 162 | 195 | 176 | 370 | 14 | 255 | 35 | 4 | 177 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 49 | 45 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 133 | 204 | 156 | 360 | 22 | 203 | 29 | 8 | 173 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 113 | 104 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 250 | 291 | 375 | 666 | 125 | 314 | 31 | 4 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 283 | 255 | 50 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 83 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 196 | 268 | 361 | 629 | 165 | 243 | 29 | 8 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 121 | 114 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 211 | 250 | 316 | 566 | 105 | 272 | 26 | 5 | 251 | 56 | -6 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 35 | 30 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 333 | 412 | 633 | 1.045 | 300 | 287 | 6 | 11 | 387 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 319 | 296 | 83 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 70 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 280 | 328 | 378 | 706 | 98 | 347 | 22 | 6 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 328 | 300 | 72 | 15 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 86 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 240 | 292 | 407 | 699 | 167 | 298 | 26 | 6 | 303 | 91 | -4 | +1 | -10 | -5 | +7 | -1.1 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 132 | 120 | 37 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 308 | 362 | 550 | 912 | 242 | 335 | 20 | 7 | 379 | 143 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 126 | 119 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 41 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 151 | 198 | 168 | 366 | 17 | 231 | 33 | 6 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 126 | 114 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 29 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 219 | 294 | 254 | 548 | 35 | 294 | 23 | 10 | 258 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 396 | 359 | 76 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 117 | 2 | 22 | 5 | 212 | 274 | 368 | 642 | 156 | 272 | 30 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 396 | 346 | 93 | 15 | 3 | 15 | 42 | 86 | 2 | 22 | 5 | 269 | 351 | 460 | 811 | 191 | 315 | 22 | 11 | 355 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 475 | 441 | 117 | 23 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 103 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 265 | 312 | 379 | 691 | 113 | 326 | 22 | 6 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 475 | 429 | 126 | 25 | 0 | 10 | 39 | 89 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 294 | 357 | 422 | 779 | 128 | 349 | 19 | 8 | 347 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 460 | 420 | 108 | 19 | 3 | 17 | 30 | 113 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 257 | 310 | 438 | 748 | 181 | 311 | 25 | 7 | 325 | 106 | +3 | +0 | -10 | -5 | +10 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 460 | 417 | 115 | 20 | 3 | 23 | 33 | 108 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 276 | 332 | 504 | 835 | 228 | 318 | 23 | 7 | 359 | 106 | +3 | +0 | -10 | -5 | +10 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 126 | 118 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 41 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 153 | 198 | 169 | 368 | 17 | 235 | 33 | 6 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 396 | 362 | 76 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 117 | 2 | 22 | 5 | 210 | 274 | 365 | 639 | 155 | 263 | 30 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 475 | 442 | 117 | 23 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 103 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 265 | 312 | 378 | 690 | 113 | 323 | 22 | 6 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 460 | 425 | 108 | 19 | 3 | 17 | 30 | 113 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 254 | 310 | 433 | 743 | 179 | 308 | 25 | 7 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 475 | 442 | 117 | 23 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 103 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 265 | 312 | 378 | 690 | 113 | 323 | 22 | 6 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 460 | 425 | 108 | 19 | 3 | 17 | 30 | 113 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 254 | 310 | 433 | 743 | 179 | 308 | 25 | 7 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | CWS | 100% | 466 | 429 | 102 | 18 | 2 | 15 | 31 | 115 | 3 | 21 | 4 | 240 | 297 | 400 | 696 | 160 | 290 | 25 | 7 | 308 | 95 | -3 | +3 | -3 | -5 | +10 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | CWS | 100% | 212 | 195 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 52 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 241 | 298 | 403 | 701 | 162 | 291 | 25 | 7 | 310 | 95 | -1 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +5 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | CWS | 82% | 437 | 402 | 96 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 29 | 108 | 3 | 19 | 4 | 239 | 295 | 397 | 692 | 158 | 289 | 25 | 7 | 306 | 93 | -3 | +2 | -3 | -5 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB MLE | CWS | 82% | 427 | 393 | 93 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 29 | 106 | 2 | 17 | 3 | 237 | 293 | 392 | 685 | 155 | 288 | 25 | 7 | 303 | 91 | -4 | +2 | -3 | -5 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB MLE | CWS | 82% | 412 | 379 | 90 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 28 | 104 | 2 | 14 | 3 | 234 | 290 | 385 | 675 | 151 | 286 | 25 | 7 | 299 | 89 | -6 | +2 | -4 | -4 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB MLE | CWS | 82% | 397 | 366 | 84 | 15 | 1 | 12 | 26 | 101 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 231 | 286 | 376 | 662 | 146 | 284 | 25 | 7 | 294 | 85 | -7 | +1 | -4 | -4 | +9 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | CWS | 82% | 358 | 329 | 80 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 88 | 2 | 16 | 3 | 240 | 296 | 400 | 697 | 160 | 290 | 25 | 7 | 308 | 93 | -3 | +2 | -2 | -4 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB CTX | CWS | 82% | 350 | 321 | 76 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 24 | 87 | 2 | 14 | 3 | 238 | 294 | 395 | 689 | 157 | 289 | 25 | 7 | 305 | 91 | -4 | +2 | -3 | -4 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB CTX | CWS | 82% | 338 | 310 | 73 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 23 | 85 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 235 | 291 | 388 | 679 | 153 | 287 | 25 | 7 | 301 | 89 | -5 | +1 | -3 | -4 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB CTX | CWS | 82% | 326 | 299 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 83 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 232 | 287 | 380 | 666 | 148 | 284 | 25 | 7 | 296 | 85 | -6 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +7 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1821 | 1673 | 394 | 74 | 6 | 57 | 120 | 460 | 9 | 59 | 10 | 236 | 290 | 389 | 679 | 154 | 289 | 25 | 7 | 300 | 87 | -26 | +8 | -21 | -18 | +39 | -1.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 597 | 140 | 26 | 2 | 20 | 43 | 164 | 3 | 21 | 4 | 235 | 289 | 385 | 675 | 151 | 288 | 25 | 7 | 300 | 87 | -9 | +3 | -7 | -6 | +14 | -0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3342 | 3074 | 729 | 127 | 14 | 99 | 219 | 845 | 17 | 124 | 28 | 237 | 292 | 384 | 676 | 147 | 293 | 25 | 7 | 297 | 87 | -31 | +10 | -25 | -23 | +51 | -1.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 142 | 25 | 3 | 19 | 43 | 164 | 3 | 24 | 5 | 237 | 292 | 385 | 677 | 147 | 294 | 25 | 7 | 297 | 87 | -9 | +3 | -7 | -7 | +14 | -0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAACharlotte Knights · 132 PAwOBA .485 → .379 (−106)K% 16.7% → 20.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷0.996 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 6.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.76% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.26% | ÷1.002 | ×0.930 | ×1.015 | ×1.033 | 24.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.980 | ×0.830 | ×1.015 | ×1.033 | 4.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.11% | ÷0.961 | ×0.970 | ×1.015 | ×1.033 | 2.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 12.63% | ÷1.320 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 6.92% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 100, 2B 96, 3B 92, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .485 → .379; ISO .385 → .245; BABIP .369 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AABirmingham Barons · 319 PAwOBA .363 → .311 (−51)K% 17.6% → 21.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.55% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.78% | ÷1.081 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 5.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.94% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.43% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | ×0.967 | ×1.012 | 28.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.96% | ÷0.990 | ×0.910 | ×0.967 | ×1.012 | 6.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.044 | ×0.880 | ×0.967 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.61% | ÷0.935 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.26% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 96, 2B 98, 3B 109, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .363 → .311; ISO .119 → .104; BABIP .381 → .347. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAACharlotte Knights · 35 PAwOBA .446 → .387 (−59)K% 5.7% → 6.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 5.71% | ÷0.991 | ×1.200 | — | — | 6.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.025 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 10.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.52% | ÷1.033 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.048 | 17.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷0.994 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.048 | 9.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.049 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.41% | ÷1.016 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 5.35% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 107, 2B 99, 3B 110, K 98, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .446 → .387; ISO .310 → .258; BABIP .320 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 283 PAwOBA .336 → .269 (−67)K% 21.6% → 29.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.55% | ÷1.004 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.66% | ÷0.951 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 8.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.35% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.48% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×0.973 | ×0.990 | 16.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.07% | ÷1.050 | ×0.830 | ×0.973 | ×0.990 | 5.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.63% | ÷0.988 | ×0.910 | ×0.973 | ×0.990 | 1.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.43% | ÷0.861 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 5.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 100, 2B 110, 3B 98, K 101, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .336 → .269; ISO .200 → .167; BABIP .286 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 113 PAwOBA .375 → .291 (−84)K% 22.1% → 30.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.12% | ÷0.948 | ×1.310 | — | — | 30.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.08% | ÷0.943 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 4.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.88% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 0.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.21% | ÷1.011 | ×0.870 | ×0.970 | ×0.998 | 28.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.030 | ×0.780 | ×0.970 | ×0.998 | 1.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.008 | ×0.850 | ×0.970 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.58% | ÷1.017 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 5.68% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 102, 2B 106, 3B 102, K 90, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .375 → .291; ISO .168 → .136; BABIP .384 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 77 PAwOBA .240 → .177 (−64)K% 24.7% → 34.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.68% | ÷0.972 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.49% | ÷1.021 | ×0.690 | — | — | 4.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.92% | ÷1.050 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | — | 22.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.85% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | — | 3.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.172 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 110, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 94, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .240 → .177; ISO .028 → .021; BABIP .308 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL White Sox · 49 PAwOBA .261 → .173 (−88)K% 20.4% → 29.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.41% | ÷1.008 | ×1.440 | — | — | 29.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.24% | ÷0.961 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 7.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 16.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.06% | ÷1.287 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 3.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.104 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.173 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 135, 1B 100, 2B 157, 3B 121, K 102, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .261 → .173; ISO .047 → .024; BABIP .273 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).