José Tena — OGILVIE

José Tena3B Washington Nationals

Age 25 L/R 5'10" / 195 lbs MLB Svc 1.180 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION186 act + 164 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 1572vR 94

AVG/OBP/SLG.240 / .301 / .387

PA164

HR4

SB5

K%27

BB%7

BABIP314

ISO147

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

906.3%

xwOBA

490.307

POWER45

Barrel%

457.5

Avg EV

7590.8

Bat Spd

6572.9

EYE50

Chase%

9020.6%

SPEED55

Sprint

5827.8

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 365 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

317

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

201

294

▶▶R

ISO

042

092

▶▶R

BABIP

278

341

▶▶R

25.0%

24.6%

—

BB%

0.0%

6.6%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2023

Service 1.180 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.8M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2028	Arb-1	$2M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2029	Arb-2	$2M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.5M
2030	Arb-3	$2M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$4M		$9M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Indians	—	218	201	48	6	3	1	9	42	4	10	7	239	285	313	598	75	290	19	4	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK	DSL Indians	—	218	195	61	8	4	1	15	29	4	10	7	313	374	410	784	97	355	13	7	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	AZL Indians Blue	—	199	193	42	4	4	1	4	63	2	6	2	218	241	295	537	78	318	32	2	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	AZL Indians Blue	—	199	191	62	7	6	1	6	44	2	6	2	325	352	440	792	115	418	22	3	351	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+	2 teams	—	522	492	105	26	2	10	20	175	6	12	6	213	253	335	588	122	305	34	4	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+	2 teams	—	522	475	140	31	3	16	37	127	6	12	6	295	353	474	827	179	369	24	7	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA	3 teams	—	727	685	153	33	7	14	26	246	5	12	8	223	257	353	610	130	320	34	4	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA	3 teams	—	727	674	179	32	7	16	37	174	5	12	8	266	309	405	714	139	331	24	5	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	4 teams	—	553	495	117	29	2	9	42	208	8	23	9	236	306	358	664	121	380	38	8	292	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	4 teams	—	553	479	130	29	2	8	58	155	8	23	9	271	360	390	750	119	379	28	10	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA	3 teams	—	657	615	151	25	1	19	34	204	2	21	10	246	287	382	669	137	336	31	5	289	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA	3 teams	—	657	605	168	30	2	21	44	169	2	21	10	278	329	438	767	160	353	26	7	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	3 teams	—	472	424	108	28	3	5	42	120	3	25	7	255	326	370	697	116	343	25	9	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	3 teams	—	472	414	110	28	4	6	52	113	3	25	7	266	352	396	748	130	351	24	11	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	MLB	WSH	—	186	170	41	10	2	5	14	56	2	3	1	241	306	412	718	171	330	30	8	316	100	+0	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.6
YTD	25	MLB	WSH	—	186	170	41	10	2	5	14	56	2	3	1	241	306	412	718	171	330	30	8	320	103	+1	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.6
ROS	25	MLB	WSH	100%	164	150	36	8	1	4	12	45	1	5	1	240	301	387	687	147	314	27	7	304	91	-2	+1	-2	+1	+5	0.2
ROS	25	MLB	WSH	100%	164	150	36	8	1	4	12	45	1	5	1	240	301	387	687	147	314	27	7	299	87	-2	+1	-2	+1	+5	0.1
FULL	25	MLB	WSH	—	350	320	77	18	3	9	26	101	3	8	2	241	304	400	704	159	322	29	7	308	94	-2	+1	-3	+1	+10	0.7
TOT	25	MLB	WSH	—	350	320	77	18	3	9	26	101	3	8	2	241	304	400	704	159	322	29	7	310	96	-2	+1	-3	+1	+10	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	WSH	65%	639	582	138	30	4	15	47	177	5	19	5	237	300	380	679	143	313	28	7	304	91	-7	+2	-9	+2	+18	0.7
2028	27	MLB	WSH	65%	626	570	135	29	4	15	46	174	5	19	5	237	300	381	680	144	312	28	7	304	90	-7	+2	-9	+2	+18	0.7
2029	28	MLB	WSH	65%	614	559	133	29	4	15	46	171	4	18	5	238	300	385	685	147	312	28	7	302	90	-7	+2	-9	+2	+17	0.5
2030	29	MLB	WSH	65%	601	547	129	28	4	14	45	169	4	16	4	236	299	378	677	143	311	28	7	300	88	-8	+2	-10	+2	+17	0.3
2031	30	MLB	WSH	65%	407	370	86	19	2	9	31	115	3	10	3	232	297	368	665	135	309	28	8	297	86	-7	+1	-8	+1	+12	-0.1
2027	26	MLB	WSH	65%	415	379	91	20	3	10	30	115	3	13	3	240	301	388	689	148	313	28	7	298	86	-6	+1	-6	+1	+12	0.3
2028	27	MLB	WSH	65%	407	371	89	19	3	10	30	113	3	12	3	240	302	388	690	148	312	28	7	298	86	-6	+1	-6	+1	+12	0.2
2029	28	MLB	WSH	65%	399	363	85	19	2	9	30	111	3	11	3	234	298	372	670	138	312	28	8	297	86	-6	+1	-6	+1	+11	0.1
2030	29	MLB	WSH	65%	391	355	83	18	2	9	30	110	3	10	3	234	299	372	671	138	311	28	8	295	84	-7	+1	-6	+1	+11	-0.0
2031	30	MLB	WSH	65%	265	241	56	12	2	6	20	75	2	6	2	232	297	373	670	141	309	28	8	292	82	-5	+0	-5	+1	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2412	2203	527	116	15	51	177	660	16	66	17	239	301	375	675	136	317	27	7	296	85	-41	+6	-39	+17	+68	1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	142	31	4	14	48	178	4	18	5	239	300	375	676	136	316	27	7	296	85	-11	+2	-10	+5	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	6399	5883	1381	294	41	131	404	1909	52	196	72	235	290	365	655	131	322	30	6	288	78	-157	+10	-54	+27	+181	0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	140	30	4	13	41	194	5	20	7	234	289	363	652	129	322	30	6	288	78	-16	+1	-6	+3	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Indians	—	218	195	61	8	4	1	15	29	4	10	7	313	374	410	784	97	355	13	7	347	124	+6	-1	—	—	+6	1.1
2019	18	ROK	AZL Indians Blue	—	199	191	62	7	6	1	6	44	2	6	2	325	352	440	792	115	418	22	3	351	127	+6	+0	—	—	+6	1.2
2021	20	A+	Lake County Captains	—	447	413	116	25	2	16	27	117	5	10	5	281	333	467	800	186	355	26	6	352	127	+14	+0	—	—	+13	2.7
2021	20	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	75	62	24	6	1	0	10	10	1	2	1	387	479	516	996	129	444	13	13	432	189	+8	+0	—	—	+2	1.0
2022	21	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	23	19	7	2	0	1	4	4	0	0	0	368	478	632	1.110	263	429	17	17	481	226	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2022	21	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	550	516	136	25	6	13	25	138	3	8	5	264	301	411	712	147	332	25	5	312	97	-2	-0	—	—	+16	1.4
2022	21	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	154	139	36	5	1	2	8	32	2	4	3	259	309	353	661	94	312	21	5	290	80	-4	-0	—	—	+4	0.0
2023	22	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	34	31	7	2	0	0	3	13	0	0	0	226	294	290	584	65	389	38	9	270	65	-1	+0	-2	+6	+1	0.4
2023	22	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	66	60	21	5	1	4	4	17	1	0	1	350	400	667	1.067	317	425	26	6	452	204	+8	-0	—	—	+2	0.9
2023	22	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	362	308	80	20	1	4	41	104	6	16	7	260	358	370	728	110	371	29	11	327	108	+3	+0	—	—	+10	1.4
2023	22	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	91	80	22	2	0	0	10	21	1	7	1	275	363	300	663	25	373	23	11	312	97	-0	+1	—	—	+3	0.3
2024	23	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	168	161	43	5	0	3	7	41	0	6	1	267	298	354	652	87	342	24	4	293	82	-3	+1	-3	+2	+5	0.2
2024	23	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	448	408	117	21	2	18	34	115	2	15	8	287	345	480	825	194	359	26	8	361	134	+17	-0	—	—	+13	3.0
2024	23	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	41	36	8	4	0	0	3	13	0	0	1	222	282	333	615	111	348	32	7	265	61	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	24	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	169	152	37	13	2	0	15	37	1	3	1	243	315	355	671	112	319	22	9	302	89	-2	+0	-4	+2	+5	0.1
2025	24	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	240	209	60	13	1	5	30	59	0	21	5	287	377	431	807	144	379	25	12	361	135	+9	+2	—	—	+7	1.9
2025	24	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	63	53	13	2	1	1	7	17	2	1	1	245	355	377	732	132	343	27	11	330	110	+1	-0	—	—	+2	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	371	344	87	20	2	3	25	91	1	9	2	253	305	349	654	96	335	25	7	295	84	-7	+1	-8	+10	+11	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Angel Berroalast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,794 PA	8	2,794	46	50	259	303	375	+27	-6	6.8	7.1
	/162	664	11	12	259	303	375	+6.5	-1.4	1.6	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,750	60	78	241	298	379	+10	-13	6.0	5.7
	/162	664	15	19	241	298	379	+2.4	-3.0	1.5	pk7: 5
#2Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#3Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Luis Rivaslast yr '08 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,279 PA	7	2,279	33	81	257	303	376	-0	-5	3.8	3.8
#4Luis Rivaslast yr '08 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,279 PA	/162	664	10	24	257	303	376	-0.0	-1.4	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Jose Castillolast yr '08 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,059 PA	5	2,059	39	13	254	296	379	+7	-14	1.9	1.9
	/162	664	13	4	254	296	379	+2.4	-4.5	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
José Tena (OGILVIE)	25	50	45	55	50	241/304/400	159	322	9	8	29%	7%	96	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Josh Smith 2023 · MLB	25	48→52	45	52→50	51	232/323/359	127	290	12	17	23%	9%	96	+1.5	233/322/361	128	285	12	11	21%	9%	96	+1.5	238/326/362	125	285	12	10	20%	9%	95	+1.1
✕Kyle Isbel 2022 · MLB	25	45→53	48→50	56→55	44	227/289/370	143	286	15	20	26%	7%	84	+0.6	231/286/374	143	286	13	16	23%	6%	83	+0.6	242/292/371	130	288	10	11	19%	6%	83	+0.4
✕Shed Long Jr. 2021 · MLB	25	45→47	48→50	49→50	44	225/287/369	144	298	16	12	29%	8%	82	+0.5	221/285/353	132	308	13	10	31%	8%	78	+0.2	211/279/335	125	300	12	6	32%	8%	67	-0.1
✕Tucker Bradley 2023 · AA	25	50→53	47→50	53→50	47	245/311/383	138	313	14	15	25%	8%	96	+1.5	241/303/381	140	314	13	15	26%	8%	92	+1.2	242/305/389	147	315	13	16	26%	8%	93	+0.7
✕Nick Senzel 2020 · MLB	25	50→56	48→50	52→50	44	248/302/398	150	317	15	16	26%	7%	96	+1.5	233/292/355	122	281	12	13	20%	7%	81	+0.4	215/285/349	134	257	17	9	23%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Ryan Kalish 2012 · MLB	24	47→51	48→50	56→55	47	236/293/378	142	284	15	24	22%	7%	87	+0.8	220/270/320	100	293	9	19	27%	6%	62	-0.9	212/256/305	93	285	8	20	28%	5%	48	-1.0
✕Josh Rutledge 2014 · MLB	25	49→58	47→50	55→50	42	245/291/385	141	294	14	15	22%	5%	89	+0.9	232/285/339	107	306	8	9	26%	6%	73	-0.1	223/279/311	88	306	6	4	27%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Jordan Danks 2014 · MLB	27	49	48→50	51→50	47	241/311/380	139	325	15	14	29%	9%	95	+1.4	229/288/344	115	324	13	9	31%	7%	76	+0.1	223/279/323	100	318	12	7	32%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Brett Wisely 2023 · AAA	24	47→51	49→50	55	46	237/301/388	152	305	17	24	28%	8%	94	+1.3	230/296/357	127	295	12	15	25%	8%	83	+0.6	231/293/342	111	293	10	15	23%	7%	76	+0.0
●Bryson Stott 2023 · MLB	25	48→56	46→45	50→55	48	236/298/365	128	293	13	13	24%	8%	85	+0.7	252/314/378	126	291	13	25	17%	8%	96	+1.5	254/320/377	123	288	13	29	16%	8%	95	+1.4
✕Richie Palacios 2022 · AAA	25	51→52	46→50	56→55	52	245/324/385	140	302	11	20	22%	9%	102	+1.9	240/321/368	128	287	11	18	19%	10%	97	+1.5	232/324/354	122	273	11	20	18%	11%	91	+0.8
✕Jacob Robson 2021 · AAA	26	50→56	45	51→55	43	239/297/364	125	331	12	20	30%	7%	85	+0.7	227/307/349	122	391	10	24	40%	10%	86	+0.8	220/312/341	121	401	8	29	42%	11%	81	+0.2
✕Nate Tenbrink 2012 · AA	25	46→51	46→50	57→50	45	225/291/359	134	291	12	17	26%	8%	82	+0.5	227/296/377	150	329	16	13	33%	8%	89	+0.9	226/297/380	155	340	17	11	36%	8%	87	+0.4
✕Yairo Muñoz 2020 · MLB	25	52→55	46→50	49→55	44	259/306/390	130	314	14	16	22%	6%	95	+1.4	264/298/378	114	317	11	19	20%	4%	89	+0.9	271/296/374	103	321	10	23	18%	3%	82	+0.3
✕Kevin Kramer 2019 · MLB	25	52→56	45→50	48→50	42	253/306/381	128	330	11	11	26%	6%	94	+1.3	226/291/350	124	313	11	7	29%	7%	79	+0.3	203/281/316	112	287	10	3	30%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Xavier Paul 2010 · MLB	25	54→58	44→45	51→55	43	259/307/381	123	336	10	18	26%	6%	93	+1.3	244/287/364	120	306	10	20	23%	5%	80	+0.4	258/315/388	129	322	12	19	22%	7%	93	+0.6
✕Quincy Hamilton 2023 · AA	25	46→44	46→50	53→50	49	225/309/354	130	297	14	18	28%	9%	89	+0.9	206/283/353	147	268	17	12	28%	9%	78	+0.2	182/260/332	150	231	18	10	29%	9%	59	-0.6
✕Scott Cousins 2010 · AA	25	46→51	47→50	55	41	231/277/377	146	300	14	19	28%	6%	80	+0.4	236/284/377	141	302	13	16	25%	6%	83	+0.6	235/284/360	126	300	11	16	25%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Josh VanMeter 2020 · MLB	25	45→47	50→55	50	47	231/292/393	161	278	17	15	24%	8%	91	+1.1	223/303/394	171	277	19	11	26%	10%	96	+1.5	205/310/363	157	260	18	7	27%	13%	89	+0.4
✕Hoy Park 2022 · MLB	26	47→49	46→45	50→55	52	232/315/362	130	299	13	15	26%	10%	93	+1.3	217/298/335	118	295	12	17	28%	10%	79	+0.3	210/295/313	103	288	11	19	29%	10%	69	-0.3