Milan Tolentino
SS Columbus Clippers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 546 | .234/.323/.353 | 9 | 29 | 64 | — | .207/.265/.310 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 545 | .206/.311/.403 | 21 | 20 | 49 | — | .163/.243/.305 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAACLE | 497 | .225/.331/.453 | 21 | 20 | 65 | — | .181/.261/.346 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 25 | MLBCLE | 21 | .184/.260/.328 | 1 | 1 | 65 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ35% MLB | 26 | MLBCLE | 88 | .190/.265/.344 | 3 | 3 | 71 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ44% MLB | 27 | MLBCLE | 124 | .192/.267/.345 | 4 | 4 | 72 | 0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 60
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 19 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 70 | 63 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 275 | 286 | 561 | 79 | 300 | 31 | 9 | 255 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | ACL Indians | — | 138 | 123 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 301 | 368 | 496 | 864 | 195 | 392 | 29 | 7 | 376 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ | Lake County Captains | — | 291 | 244 | 54 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 44 | 92 | 2 | 21 | 2 | 221 | 345 | 332 | 677 | 111 | 340 | 32 | 15 | 314 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 205 | 168 | 56 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 44 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 333 | 443 | 423 | 865 | 89 | 433 | 21 | 16 | 388 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 134 | 116 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 36 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 207 | 308 | 241 | 550 | 34 | 296 | 27 | 11 | 262 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Lake County Captains | — | 289 | 254 | 66 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 77 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 260 | 340 | 406 | 746 | 146 | 347 | 27 | 10 | 330 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 33 | 28 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 357 | 455 | 500 | 955 | 143 | 476 | 21 | 15 | 426 | 174 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 441 | 395 | 95 | 20 | 2 | 9 | 41 | 112 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 241 | 315 | 370 | 685 | 129 | 310 | 25 | 9 | 308 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 105 | 84 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 30 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 202 | 356 | 274 | 630 | 71 | 309 | 29 | 19 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 460 | 394 | 85 | 20 | 2 | 21 | 55 | 158 | 4 | 20 | 6 | 216 | 318 | 437 | 754 | 221 | 291 | 34 | 12 | 330 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 85 | 72 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 153 | 274 | 222 | 496 | 69 | 234 | 31 | 14 | 237 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 497 | 422 | 95 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 65 | 157 | 2 | 20 | 5 | 225 | 331 | 453 | 783 | 227 | 297 | 32 | 13 | 342 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 70 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 169 | 217 | 246 | 464 | 77 | 276 | 43 | 6 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Indians | — | 138 | 127 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 59 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 189 | 243 | 291 | 534 | 102 | 298 | 43 | 4 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 291 | 255 | 47 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 115 | 2 | 21 | 2 | 184 | 283 | 263 | 546 | 78 | 320 | 40 | 11 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 205 | 177 | 50 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 61 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 282 | 368 | 356 | 724 | 73 | 399 | 30 | 11 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 134 | 120 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 200 | 278 | 233 | 512 | 33 | 302 | 34 | 8 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 289 | 262 | 57 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 95 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 218 | 281 | 332 | 613 | 115 | 307 | 33 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 441 | 406 | 84 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 139 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 207 | 265 | 310 | 575 | 103 | 289 | 32 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 460 | 410 | 67 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 39 | 198 | 4 | 20 | 6 | 163 | 243 | 305 | 548 | 141 | 252 | 43 | 8 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 497 | 442 | 80 | 20 | 4 | 15 | 46 | 188 | 2 | 20 | 5 | 181 | 261 | 346 | 607 | 165 | 259 | 38 | 9 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 208 | 192 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 89 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 177 | 229 | 255 | 484 | 78 | 304 | 43 | 5 | 215 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 208 | 186 | 50 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 62 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 269 | 337 | 425 | 761 | 156 | 361 | 30 | 8 | 336 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 496 | 432 | 98 | 25 | 0 | 3 | 56 | 176 | 3 | 29 | 3 | 227 | 320 | 306 | 625 | 79 | 368 | 35 | 11 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 496 | 412 | 110 | 30 | 0 | 4 | 76 | 136 | 3 | 29 | 3 | 267 | 385 | 369 | 754 | 102 | 383 | 27 | 15 | 344 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 456 | 413 | 86 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 151 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 208 | 275 | 293 | 568 | 85 | 312 | 33 | 7 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 456 | 398 | 100 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 49 | 120 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 251 | 339 | 364 | 704 | 113 | 342 | 26 | 11 | 317 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 546 | 503 | 104 | 21 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 173 | 2 | 29 | 6 | 207 | 264 | 310 | 574 | 103 | 292 | 32 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 546 | 479 | 112 | 24 | 3 | 9 | 61 | 142 | 2 | 29 | 6 | 234 | 323 | 353 | 676 | 119 | 310 | 26 | 11 | 306 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 545 | 487 | 78 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 46 | 235 | 4 | 20 | 7 | 160 | 238 | 296 | 534 | 136 | 259 | 43 | 8 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 545 | 466 | 96 | 21 | 4 | 21 | 67 | 184 | 4 | 20 | 7 | 206 | 311 | 403 | 714 | 197 | 281 | 34 | 12 | 316 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 497 | 442 | 80 | 20 | 4 | 15 | 46 | 188 | 2 | 20 | 5 | 181 | 261 | 346 | 607 | 165 | 266 | 38 | 9 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA RAW | Columbus Clippers | — | 497 | 422 | 95 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 65 | 157 | 2 | 20 | 5 | 225 | 331 | 453 | 783 | 227 | 297 | 32 | 13 | 342 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 208 | 193 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 89 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 176 | 229 | 254 | 483 | 78 | 291 | 43 | 5 | 215 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 496 | 434 | 98 | 25 | 0 | 3 | 56 | 176 | 3 | 29 | 3 | 226 | 320 | 304 | 624 | 78 | 353 | 35 | 11 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 456 | 415 | 86 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 151 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 207 | 275 | 292 | 567 | 84 | 305 | 33 | 7 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 546 | 502 | 104 | 21 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 173 | 2 | 29 | 6 | 207 | 264 | 311 | 575 | 104 | 289 | 32 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 545 | 490 | 78 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 46 | 235 | 4 | 20 | 7 | 159 | 238 | 294 | 532 | 135 | 252 | 43 | 8 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 497 | 446 | 80 | 20 | 4 | 15 | 46 | 188 | 2 | 20 | 5 | 179 | 261 | 343 | 604 | 164 | 259 | 38 | 9 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 546 | 502 | 104 | 21 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 173 | 2 | 29 | 6 | 207 | 264 | 311 | 575 | 104 | 289 | 32 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 545 | 490 | 78 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 46 | 235 | 4 | 20 | 7 | 159 | 238 | 294 | 532 | 135 | 252 | 43 | 8 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 497 | 446 | 80 | 20 | 4 | 15 | 46 | 188 | 2 | 20 | 5 | 179 | 261 | 343 | 604 | 164 | 259 | 38 | 9 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | CLE | 10% | 380 | 342 | 62 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 139 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 184 | 260 | 330 | 590 | 146 | 268 | 37 | 9 | 265 | 65 | -16 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +8 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | CLE | 10% | 21 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 184 | 260 | 328 | 588 | 144 | 268 | 38 | 10 | 264 | 65 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | CLE | 35% | 254 | 228 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 91 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 190 | 265 | 345 | 610 | 155 | 270 | 36 | 9 | 273 | 71 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | CLE | 44% | 281 | 253 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 99 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 192 | 267 | 346 | 613 | 154 | 271 | 35 | 9 | 274 | 72 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB MLE | CLE | 49% | 297 | 267 | 52 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 103 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 193 | 268 | 345 | 612 | 152 | 271 | 35 | 9 | 274 | 72 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +3 | +6 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB MLE | CLE | 50% | 296 | 267 | 51 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 102 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 193 | 268 | 342 | 610 | 149 | 271 | 34 | 8 | 273 | 71 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +3 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB MLE | CLE | 51% | 294 | 265 | 51 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 100 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 193 | 267 | 338 | 605 | 145 | 271 | 34 | 9 | 272 | 70 | -11 | +0 | -2 | +3 | +6 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | CLE | 35% | 88 | 79 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 190 | 265 | 344 | 609 | 154 | 270 | 35 | 9 | 273 | 71 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | CLE | 44% | 124 | 111 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 44 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 192 | 267 | 345 | 611 | 153 | 271 | 35 | 9 | 274 | 72 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB CTX | CLE | 49% | 145 | 131 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 50 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 193 | 268 | 343 | 611 | 151 | 271 | 34 | 8 | 274 | 72 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +3 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB CTX | CLE | 50% | 148 | 133 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 51 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 193 | 268 | 341 | 609 | 148 | 271 | 34 | 9 | 273 | 71 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB CTX | CLE | 51% | 149 | 134 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 51 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 193 | 267 | 337 | 604 | 144 | 271 | 34 | 9 | 271 | 70 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +3 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 654 | 588 | 116 | 26 | 4 | 19 | 57 | 227 | 5 | 17 | 5 | 197 | 274 | 352 | 626 | 155 | 280 | 35 | 9 | 273 | 63 | -23 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +14 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 584 | 116 | 26 | 4 | 19 | 57 | 226 | 5 | 17 | 5 | 199 | 276 | 354 | 630 | 156 | 283 | 35 | 9 | 273 | 63 | -22 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +14 | -0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4380 | 3938 | 761 | 168 | 18 | 97 | 369 | 1584 | 29 | 160 | 35 | 193 | 267 | 319 | 586 | 126 | 290 | 36 | 8 | 262 | 63 | -58 | +4 | -4 | +17 | +35 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 584 | 113 | 25 | 3 | 14 | 55 | 235 | 4 | 24 | 5 | 193 | 267 | 318 | 586 | 125 | 291 | 36 | 8 | 262 | 63 | -23 | +2 | -2 | +7 | +14 | -0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAColumbus Clippers · 497 PAwOBA .335 → .265 (−71)K% 31.6% → 37.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.59% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 37.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 9.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.961 | ×1.033 | 15.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.961 | ×1.033 | 7.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.51% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.961 | ×1.033 | 1.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 5.73% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .335 → .265; ISO .227 → .172; BABIP .297 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAColumbus Clippers · 460 PAwOBA .325 → .240 (−85)K% 34.3% → 43.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.35% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 43.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.96% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 8.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.87% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.80% | ÷0.997 | ×0.930 | ×0.966 | ×1.048 | 16.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.47% | ÷1.064 | ×0.830 | ×0.966 | ×1.048 | 6.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.85% | ÷1.042 | ×0.970 | ×0.966 | ×1.048 | 0.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.90% | ÷1.093 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 5.98% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 99, 2B 113, 3B 108, K 91, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .325 → .240; ISO .221 → .145; BABIP .291 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAkron RubberDucks · 441 PAwOBA .302 → .254 (−48)K% 25.4% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.40% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.30% | ÷0.987 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 6.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.45% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.61% | ÷0.993 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 21.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.07% | ÷0.944 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 6.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.71% | ÷1.023 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.18% | ÷0.966 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 2.64% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 99, 2B 89, 3B 105, K 96, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .302 → .254; ISO .129 → .106; BABIP .310 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Lake County Captains · 289 PAwOBA .325 → .267 (−58)K% 26.6% → 32.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.64% | ÷1.028 | ×1.270 | — | — | 32.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.69% | ÷0.971 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 7.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.69% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.73% | ÷1.011 | ×0.920 | ×0.981 | ×1.012 | 21.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.04% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.981 | ×1.012 | 8.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.69% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.981 | ×1.012 | 1.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.82% | ÷1.060 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.16% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 102, 2B 80, 3B 130, K 106, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .325 → .267; ISO .146 → .115; BABIP .347 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAkron RubberDucks · 134 PAwOBA .258 → .232 (−27)K% 26.9% → 33.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.87% | ÷0.977 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.19% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 8.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.49% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 1.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.995 | ×0.970 | ×1.013 | ×1.042 | 25.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.933 | ×0.860 | ×1.013 | ×1.042 | 4.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.053 | ×0.950 | ×1.013 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.909 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 87, 3B 111, K 95, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .258 → .232; ISO .034 → .032; BABIP .296 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Lake County Captains · 291 PAwOBA .308 → .250 (−57)K% 31.6% → 39.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.62% | ÷1.015 | ×1.270 | — | — | 39.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.12% | ÷0.975 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 11.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.69% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.71% | ÷0.983 | ×0.920 | ×1.035 | ×1.027 | 21.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.84% | ÷1.005 | ×0.810 | ×1.035 | ×1.027 | 10.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.970 | ×0.850 | ×1.035 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.97% | ÷1.134 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.43% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 97, 2B 101, 3B 94, K 103, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .308 → .250; ISO .111 → .084; BABIP .340 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ALynchburg Hillcats · 205 PAwOBA .386 → .324 (−62)K% 21.5% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.46% | ÷0.981 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.61% | ÷0.973 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 11.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.49% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.68% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | ×1.015 | 32.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.68% | ÷0.955 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | ×1.015 | 8.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.81% | ÷1.015 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.64% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 98, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .386 → .324; ISO .089 → .074; BABIP .433 → .399. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Indians · 138 PAwOBA .371 → .225 (−146)K% 29.0% → 42.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.99% | ÷0.978 | ×1.440 | — | — | 42.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.25% | ÷1.050 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 4.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.17% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.33% | ÷0.948 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 25.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.82% | ÷1.065 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 3.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.20% | ÷0.990 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 0.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.23% | ÷1.488 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 3.77% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 198, 1B 90, 2B 113, 3B 98, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .371 → .225; ISO .195 → .093; BABIP .392 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .