Luis Patiño
P
San Antonio Missions
+0.0
WAR
Age 26
RHP
6'1" / 192 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.65
FIP4.70
xFIP5.29
SIERA5.36
K%21.4%
BB%10.9%
K-BB%10.5%
IP23
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL4040
CMD4040
K†5555
FB Velo
p5795.0
Whiff%
p2421.6%
K%
p2318.2%
xwOBA vs
p100.361
CH+1.0
SL-0.9
FB-2.2
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | AZL Padres | 13 | 12 | 56 | 228 | 58 | 18 | 2 | 17.3% | 9.9% | 1.2% | 2.25 | 3.56 | +0.9 |
| 2018 | 18 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 17 | 17 | 83 | 330 | 98 | 24 | 1 | 22.0% | 8.6% | 0.4% | 2.16 | 2.52 | +2.5 |
| 2019 | 19 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 20 | 19 | 95 | 392 | 123 | 38 | 4 | 24.4% | 11.0% | 1.6% | 2.57 | 3.32 | +2.1 |
| 2020 | 20 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 11 | 1 | 17 | 85 | 21 | 14 | 3 | 24.7% | 16.5% | 2.8% | 5.19 | 4.63 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 21 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 26 | 22 | 107 | 455 | 115 | 38 | 14 | 24.2% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 3.97 | 3.90 | +1.7 |
| 2022 | 22 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 17 | 17 | 57 | 256 | 51 | 25 | 12 | 16.8% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 5.68 | 5.85 | -0.6 |
| 2023 | 23 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 41 | 12 | 81 | 380 | 68 | 56 | 16 | 16.3% | 15.3% | 4.2% | 5.98 | 5.94 | -0.7 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 9 | 9 | 27 | 116 | 27 | 13 | 2 | 19.7% | 11.3% | 1.7% | 2.63 | 3.77 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | SD | 23 | — | 23 | 98 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 22.4% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 4.78 | 4.77 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SD | 23 | — | 23 | 97 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 22.4% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 4.78 | 4.78 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 154 | 109 | 524 | 2242 | 467 | 245 | 58 | 20.8% | 10.9% | 2.6% | 3.71 | 4.15 | +6.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 59 | 42 | 200 | 856 | 178 | 94 | 22 | 20.8% | 10.9% | 2.6% | 3.71 | 4.15 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis Patiño (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.77 | 22.4% | 11.7% | 3.1% | — | 4.78 | 22.4% | 10.7% | 23 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.97 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 2.3% | .292 | 4.93 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +0.96 | 3.84 | 299 | 88 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.25 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.8% | .256 | 4.33 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.08 | 3.88 | 180 | 87 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.60 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.2% | .267 | 3.51 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | -0.09 | 3.51 | 103 | 86 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2028 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.1% | .265 | 3.87 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.98 | 3.45 | 315 | 84 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.32 | 26.5% | 11.2% | 3.7% | .299 | 4.62 | 23.6% | 11.9% | 58 | +0.30 | 3.86 | 134 | 83 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.85 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.07 | 3.23 | 161 | 83 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.22 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.0% | .273 | 4.53 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.31 | 3.70 | 187 | 82 |
| Jake Barrett R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.13 | 20.1% | 11.5% | 4.1% | .267 | 2.91 | 26.9% | 15.2% | 69 | -2.22 | 1.48 | 230 | 82 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.70 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 2.7% | .232 | 5.13 | 18.0% | 7.0% | 180 | +1.43 | 3.70 | 223 | 82 |
| Jack Hartman R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.32 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 3.4% | .310 | 4.30 | 17.6% | 5.6% | 46 | -0.02 | 3.45 | 161 | 82 |
| Keagan Gillies R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.00 | 21.1% | 13.3% | 1.8% | .306 | 3.65 | 20.1% | 13.5% | 54 | -0.35 | 2.94 | 157 | 81 |
| Kyle Winkler R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.74 | 23.1% | 8.7% | 2.7% | .234 | 3.53 | 18.4% | 8.3% | 43 | -0.21 | 2.96 | 114 | 81 |
| Mason Vinyard R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.41 | 21.8% | 14.5% | 2.4% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 154 | 81 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.85 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.24 | 18.2% | 8.5% | 116 | +0.39 | 3.85 | 149 | 81 |
| Jason Ruffcorn R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.14 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .255 | 4.04 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 66 | -0.10 | 4.04 | 214 | 80 |
| Kyle Hill R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.93 | 23.6% | 12.2% | 2.3% | .319 | 5.38 | 23.3% | 10.2% | 35 | +1.45 | 3.62 | 156 | 80 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.45 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 4.78 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.33 | 2.65 | 315 | 80 |
| Juan Ramon Noriega R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 21.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .243 | 3.46 | 24.8% | 17.1% | 57 | -1.00 | 3.46 | 198 | 80 |
| Zach Bryant R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 3.8% | .313 | 4.56 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 48 | -0.30 | 4.56 | 158 | 80 |
| Matt Wivinis R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.83 | 19.5% | 12.2% | 1.5% | .262 | 5.90 | 14.5% | 6.2% | 17 | +2.07 | 1.61 | 124 | 80 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.