Justyn-Henry Malloy

Justyn-Henry MalloyRF Durham Bulls

Age 26 R/R 6'0" / 212 lbs AAA HR -6%H +4% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION220 act + 146 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 10988vR 33

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .295 / .324

PA146

HR4

K%28

BB%12

BABIP242

ISO134

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 30 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2025

CONTACT30

Whiff%

3113.2%

xwOBA

260.280

POWER50

Barrel%

528.5

Avg EV

2787.4

Bat Spd

4270.5

EYE60

Chase%

9023.8%

SPEED45

Sprint

3326.7

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 357 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

131

226

—

wRC+

140

◀◀L

wOBA

368

256

◀◀L

ISO

174

118

◀◀L

BABIP

353

271

◀◀L

27.5%

35.8%

◀◀L

BB%

17.6%

8.8%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.5M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	147	130	26	4	0	3	16	43	0	4	2	200	288	300	588	100	271	29	11	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	147	122	33	5	0	5	24	30	0	4	2	270	390	434	825	164	318	20	16	370	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	4 teams	—	680	590	146	26	0	19	73	216	7	6	1	247	337	388	725	141	348	32	11	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	4 teams	—	680	550	160	33	1	18	113	158	7	6	1	291	418	453	871	162	370	23	17	387	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	611	522	126	16	1	25	75	184	10	5	1	241	348	420	767	178	319	30	12	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	611	487	135	25	1	23	110	152	10	5	1	277	420	474	894	197	354	25	18	399	163	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	2 teams	—	466	402	86	20	1	19	52	161	7	4	4	214	315	410	725	197	295	35	11	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	2 teams	—	466	388	89	23	1	15	66	151	7	4	4	229	351	410	761	180	326	32	14	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	2 teams	—	456	382	111	26	0	12	60	102	9	6	1	291	399	453	852	162	363	22	13	375	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	2 teams	—	456	365	107	26	0	10	77	99	9	6	1	293	428	447	875	153	372	22	17	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AAA	TB	—	220	188	25	5	0	4	24	65	4	6	2	133	245	223	469	90	171	30	11	225	30	-17	+0	+0	-2	+6	-1.3
YTD	26	AAA	TB	—	220	177	28	6	0	5	35	54	4	6	2	158	310	277	587	119	189	25	16	277	70	-7	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.3
ROS	26	AAA	TB	10%	146	126	24	5	0	4	17	41	2	2	1	189	295	324	619	134	247	28	12	291	81	-3	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.1
ROS	26	MLB	TB	10%	15	13	2	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	154	267	154	421		249	27	13	279	71	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	26	AAA	TB	—	235	201	27	5	0	4	26	69	4	6	2	134	247	219	466	85	174	29	11	228	33	-18	+0	+0	-3	+7	-1.4
TOT	26	AAA	TB	—	366	314	49	10	0	8	41	106	6	8	3	156	265	264	529	108	199	29	11	251	51	-20	+0	+0	-4	+10	-1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	TB	41%	395	339	67	14	1	11	47	110	6	6	2	198	306	342	648	145	248	28	12	294	83	-8	+0	+0	-4	+11	-0.0
2027	27	MLB	TB	41%	163	140	28	6	0	5	19	46	3	3	1	200	309	350	659	150	251	28	12	281	74	-5	+0	+0	-2	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	535	459	94	19	1	14	64	167	7	4	2	205	311	342	653	137	283	31	12	294	83	-10	+0	-4	-12	+15	-1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	558	114	23	1	17	78	203	9	5	2	204	312	341	653	136	282	31	12	294	83	-13	+0	-5	-14	+18	-1.3
Career	—			—	2901	2491	586	111	3	93	340	857	41	33	12	235	337	394	731	159	314	30	12	324	106	+20	+2	-4	-31	+82	7.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	558	132	25	1	21	76	192	9	7	3	237	337	398	735	161	316	30	12	324	106	+4	+0	-1	-7	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	147	122	33	5	0	5	24	30	0	4	2	270	390	434	825	164	318	20	16	370	141	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.1
2022	22	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	33	25	7	1	0	1	7	5	0	2	0	280	438	440	877	160	300	15	21	387	154	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	22	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	238	190	51	11	0	6	43	60	2	0	0	268	409	421	830	153	354	25	18	373	144	+12	+0	—	—	+7	1.9
2022	22	A+	Rome Braves	—	320	263	80	16	0	10	47	73	4	3	0	304	417	479	896	175	376	23	15	394	159	+21	+1	—	—	+9	3.2
2022	22	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	89	72	22	5	1	1	16	20	1	1	1	306	438	444	883	139	412	22	18	400	164	+6	-0	—	—	+3	0.9
2023	23	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	611	487	135	25	1	23	110	152	10	5	1	277	420	474	894	197	354	25	18	399	163	+44	+1	—	—	+17	6.3
2024	24	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	230	202	41	7	1	8	23	85	3	1	1	203	294	366	660	163	297	37	10	296	85	-4	-0	-4	-5	+7	-0.6
2024	24	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	236	186	48	16	0	7	43	66	4	3	3	258	408	457	865	199	353	28	18	384	152	+14	-1	—	—	+7	2.0
2025	25	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	127	104	23	6	0	1	20	32	1	0	0	221	352	308	660	87	301	25	16	307	93	-1	+0	-0	-5	+4	-0.3
2025	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	329	261	84	20	0	9	57	67	8	6	1	322	457	502	959	180	399	20	17	425	183	+31	+1	—	—	+9	4.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	357	306	64	13	1	9	43	117	4	1	1	209	314	346	661	137	299	33	12	300	88	-5	-0	-4	-10	+10	-0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#1Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	555	15	4	207	309	348	-6	-7	0.2	0.2
	/162	664	18	5	207	309	348	-7.1	-8.2	0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Justyn-Henry Malloy (OGILVIE)	26	30	50	45	60	156/265/264	108	199	8	8	29%	11%	51	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Ellis 2022 · MLB	26	39→37	55	45→40	48	212/303/403	192	269	23	3	30%	10%	99	+1.7	199/289/371	172	258	19	6	29%	10%	85	+0.7	181/276/345	163	230	19	6	29%	11%	71	-0.2
✕Clint Frazier 2021 · MLB	26	46→45	54→55	46→50	47	239/311/420	181	298	21	7	27%	8%	106	+2.2	205/296/337	132	295	14	9	33%	10%	79	+0.3	180/276/289	109	272	11	10	35%	10%	57	-0.6
✕Nick Hundley 2010 · MLB	26	42→46	51→55	48→40	46	222/280/383	161	266	19	5	25%	7%	84	+0.6	240/302/397	157	301	16	4	24%	8%	96	+1.5	241/291/409	168	298	18	1	25%	6%	89	+0.5
✕Zack Short 2022 · MLB	27	36→38	50	47→45	50	192/289/343	151	253	19	7	31%	10%	79	+0.3	193/288/320	127	267	14	10	30%	11%	72	-0.2	180/282/293	113	252	12	11	31%	12%	61	-0.6
✕Stuart Fairchild 2022 · MLB	26	44→42	51→50	51→55	46	225/296/386	161	279	18	12	26%	8%	91	+1.1	222/301/376	154	297	17	17	30%	7%	92	+1.2	220/316/365	145	284	15	26	26%	9%	92	+0.7
✕Devin Mann 2023 · AAA	26	42→46	51→55	43→45	47	217/297/378	161	275	18	5	28%	8%	90	+1.0	218/295/367	149	292	16	5	29%	8%	86	+0.8	208/288/347	140	280	15	4	30%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Jabari Blash 2015 · AAA	26	37→41	53→60	46→50	42	197/281/370	173	278	22	10	36%	8%	82	+0.5	208/303/397	189	294	24	7	35%	10%	98	+1.6	199/309/387	188	287	24	5	36%	12%	95	+1.0
✕Jake Rogers 2021 · MLB	26	38→40	52→60	49→45	43	202/278/367	165	273	21	5	33%	8%	79	+0.3	237/301/444	207	322	27	7	33%	8%	108	+2.3	221/284/435	214	280	29	2	32%	7%	97	+0.7
✕Sean Bouchard 2023 · MLB	27	43→41	54→55	52→50	50	221/307/408	188	288	21	13	30%	10%	102	+1.8	208/299/363	155	294	17	15	32%	10%	87	+0.8	177/275/304	127	268	13	16	36%	10%	59	-0.5
✕DJ Stewart 2020 · MLB	26	43→47	53→60	46→50	48	228/300/402	174	266	21	11	23%	8%	97	+1.5	223/320/403	180	277	23	6	27%	11%	106	+2.2	212/319/414	202	253	29	2	28%	11%	105	+1.0
●Lane Thomas 2022 · MLB	26	46→52	51→55	48→55	50	229/308/395	165	299	17	13	28%	10%	98	+1.6	247/309/421	174	308	20	16	25%	7%	105	+2.1	248/309/423	176	306	20	21	25%	7%	104	+2.0
✕Peyton Burdick 2022 · AAA	25	38→32	52→55	45→50	45	197/293/364	167	297	20	9	38%	10%	85	+0.7	185/270/345	160	284	19	12	39%	9%	71	-0.3	169/254/325	157	260	19	13	41%	8%	56	-0.9
●Renato Núñez 2020 · MLB	26	44→51	56→60	43→30	45	236/298/421	184	280	25	3	26%	7%	102	+1.8	242/310/452	210	289	29	3	27%	7%	115	+2.8	236/309/467	231	279	34	1	28%	7%	117	+1.6
●Pedro Álvarez 2013 · MLB	26	45→46	56→60	44→45	47	235/307/425	190	307	24	3	31%	9%	106	+2.2	239/310/452	213	293	30	5	29%	9%	115	+2.7	236/310/454	218	281	32	5	28%	9%	106	+1.8
✕Andrew Susac 2016 · MLB	26	45→40	50	47→30	46	228/302/385	157	299	17	3	29%	8%	94	+1.3	198/265/335	137	271	16	3	32%	8%	66	-0.6	171/243/299	127	230	17	0	33%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Chris Jacobs 2015 · AA	26	42→41	56→55	43→40	45	223/304/412	189	299	25	3	33%	9%	102	+1.9	218/282/338	120	316	13	4	33%	7%	72	-0.2	208/261/281	73	321	7	2	35%	5%	44	-0.8
✕Taylor Jones 2020 · AAA	26	45→48	49→55	43→40	45	229/298/377	148	299	18	2	29%	8%	90	+1.0	242/310/410	168	314	19	3	28%	8%	103	+1.9	222/300/390	167	293	18	3	29%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Matt LaPorta 2011 · MLB	26	47→49	53→55	41→30	52	242/315/416	174	267	21	3	19%	9%	107	+2.2	229/291/384	155	270	18	3	22%	7%	89	+0.9	219/278/372	153	259	18	1	23%	6%	79	+0.2
●Chris Young 2010 · MLB	26	45→49	54→60	51→55	51	234/311/430	196	283	21	15	25%	10%	108	+2.3	238/324/422	184	283	20	19	22%	11%	112	+2.6	236/326/419	183	275	21	21	22%	11%	109	+2.2
✕Luis Torrens 2022 · MLB	26	46→47	54→55	45→30	46	238/296/415	177	289	22	3	26%	8%	98	+1.6	234/288/383	149	306	17	3	28%	7%	87	+0.8	227/280/355	128	284	13	2	24%	6%	75	+0.0