Heriberto Ron

P DSL Arizona Red

Age 20 LHP ROK peak 0.6 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	19	ROKDSL Arizona R…	12	11	44	3.89	2.15	27.5%	5.6%	—	K 18.7% · BB 7.0% · FIP 3.27
2027PROJ	20	MLB—	6	6	26	4.22	4.22	21.4%	7.5%	0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLB—	4	4	20	4.18	4.14	22.1%	7.4%	0.2

Next 2 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJordan Woods (age 20) · Riley Frey (age 21) · Dalton Lehnen (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 97105vR 113

ERA4.22

FIP4.22

K%21.4%

BB%7.5%

K-BB%14.0%

Proj IP26

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	12	11	44	178	49	10	2	92%	3.7	18.7%	7.0%	11.7%	1.6%	3.89	3.27	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	12	11	44	178	49	10	2	92%	3.7	18.7%	7.0%	11.7%	1.6%	3.89	3.27	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	12	11	44	178	49	10	2	92%	3.7	27.5%	5.6%	21.9%	1.1%	3.89	2.15	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	—	6	6	26	110	24	8	3	100%	4.3	21.4%	7.5%	14.0%	2.9%	4.22	4.22	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	—	9	9	42	176	39	13	5	100%	4.6	22.1%	7.4%	14.6%	2.9%	4.18	4.14	+0.4
2028	21	MLB CTX	—	4	4	20	84	19	6	2	100%	5.0	22.1%	7.4%	14.6%	2.9%	4.18	4.14	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	20	86	19	6	2	100%	5.1	22.1%	7.4%	14.6%	2.9%	4.18	3.76	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	41	200	844	186	59	20	100%	4.8	22.1%	7.4%	14.6%	2.9%	4.18	3.76	+2.7
Career	—	MLE		12	11	44	178	33	12	3	92%	3.7	18.7%	7.0%	11.7%	1.6%	3.89	3.27	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		55	50	200	809	151	57	13	92%	3.7	18.7%	7.0%	11.7%	1.6%	3.89	3.27	+1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Heriberto Ron (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.22	21.4%	7.5%	2.9%	—	4.14	22.1%	14.6%	42	-0.08	—	—	—
Jordan Woods L 2024 · 4.51 FIP	20	SP	4.51	20.5%	10.3%	3.3%	.329	4.18	20.5%	8.3%	139	-0.33	3.92	170	84
Riley Frey L 2023 · 4.00 FIP	21	SP	4.00	22.5%	7.5%	3.4%	.417	4.47	18.0%	10.8%	184	+0.47	3.87	202	83
Dalton Lehnen L 2017 · 3.95 FIP	21	SP	3.95	19.8%	7.6%	2.8%	.398	4.49	15.8%	2.9%	189	+0.54	3.95	222	82
Yereny Teus L 2024 · 3.57 FIP	20	SP	3.57	23.3%	10.3%	2.1%	.276	3.33	24.6%	10.0%	88	-0.24	2.63	185	82
Ryan Rolison L 2018 · 3.88 FIP	21	SP	3.88	21.2%	9.2%	2.6%	.200	4.41	19.1%	11.5%	191	+0.53	3.81	390	81
Jake Bennett L 2023 · 3.41 FIP	22	SP	3.41	21.2%	7.2%	2.2%	.339	3.29	19.3%	13.9%	222	-0.12	3.22	285	80
Hogan Harris L 2019 · 3.84 FIP	22	SP	3.84	20.5%	10.6%	2.1%	.235	3.71	27.4%	12.7%	74	-0.13	3.09	501	78
Pablo Aldonis L 2022 · 4.19 FIP	20	SP-	4.19	20.7%	8.0%	3.3%	.324	2.64	21.9%	13.1%	68	-1.55	1.89	135	78
Miguel Pozo L 2022 · 3.54 FIP	20	SP	3.54	23.2%	11.6%	1.7%	.312	5.04	16.5%	-5.7%	24	+1.50	3.54	110	78
Blake Townsend L 2021 · 3.78 FIP	20	SP-	3.78	26.7%	11.2%	2.8%	.286	4.01	18.5%	4.8%	96	+0.23	3.34	305	78
Antonio Bastardo L 2009 · 4.73 FIP	23	SP	4.73	17.9%	8.5%	3.8%	.297	3.04	33.0%	22.1%	129	-1.69	2.47	404	78
Ryan Williamson L 2018 · 4.10 FIP	23	SP-	4.10	18.4%	5.9%	3.3%	.286	5.57	18.4%	5.8%	102	+1.47	4.10	123	76
Mitch Bratt L 2023 · 3.89 FIP	20	SP	3.89	21.3%	7.4%	3.0%	.321	3.81	20.9%	13.8%	340	-0.08	3.44	481	76
Johan Simon L 2021 · 3.51 FIP	20	SP-	3.51	19.8%	10.2%	1.4%	.302	4.50	17.6%	1.1%	41	+0.99	3.45	178	76
Robert Gasser L 2021 · 3.81 FIP	22	SP	3.81	18.9%	4.6%	3.1%	.286	3.65	23.2%	15.0%	312	-0.16	2.38	494	76
Adam Seminaris L 2021 · 3.94 FIP	22	SP	3.94	22.7%	8.3%	3.1%	.357	3.75	18.2%	9.3%	230	-0.19	3.00	577	75
Cesar Lares L 2023 · 5.16 FIP	20	SP	5.16	20.0%	6.8%	5.2%	.367	5.07	15.7%	4.3%	119	-0.09	2.62	196	75
Tommy Sommer L 2021 · 4.65 FIP	22	SP-	4.65	23.9%	9.3%	4.3%	.196	5.36	18.6%	6.1%	205	+0.71	4.28	230	74
Hunter Barco L 2024 · 3.61 FIP	23	SP	3.61	23.4%	10.0%	2.2%	.275	3.72	21.1%	10.0%	195	+0.11	3.29	257	74
Aneury Olivo L 2015 · 3.07 FIP	20	SP	3.07	18.9%	8.0%	1.0%	.357	4.57	12.3%	-1.2%	42	+1.50	3.07	108	74

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	34	21.8%	7.5%	1.12	4.20
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Charlie Furbush ('15)	1.3	52	24.5%	8.1%	1.04	3.97
Dave Baldwin ('66-'73, 2 WAR*)	1.1	56	22.2%*	9.2%*	0.96*	3.97*
Jay Ritchie ('64-'68, 2 WAR*)	1.5	58	21.1%*	8.0%*	1.01*	4.21*
Carlos Diaz ('82-'86, 2 WAR*)	1.3	52	25.1%*	8.7%*	0.91*	3.84*