Alexander Huerta

C DSL Astros Orange

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Astros Or…	85	.261/.400/.319	0	1	38	—	.151/.271/.178
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	195	.211/.288/.279	1	2	64	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	58	.215/.294/.291	0	1	69	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	152	.219/.298/.303	2	2	73	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%55

wOBA51

K%51

wRC+46

BB%41

Whiff%40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsAndrés Nolaya (age 18) · Carlos Cauro (age 18) · Rodolfo Castro (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 77 proj PA

wRC+64

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .286 / .277

PA77

HR0

K%26

BB%8

ISO68

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$22M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$4M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	85	69	18	4	0	0	12	18	4	1	1	261	400	319	719	58	353	21	14	343	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	85	73	11	2	0	0	8	22	4	1	1	151	271	178	449	27	227	26	9	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	85	73	11	2	0	0	8	22	4	1	1	151	271	178	449	27	216	26	9	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	85	69	18	4	0	0	12	18	4	1	1	261	400	319	719	58	353	21	14	343	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	85	73	11	2	0	0	8	22	4	1	1	151	271	178	449	27	227	26	9	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	85	73	11	2	0	0	8	22	4	1	1	151	271	178	449	27	227	26	9	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	195	174	36	6	1	1	15	52	4	2	1	211	288	279	567	68	289	27	8	262	64	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	170	151	33	6	1	1	14	44	3	2	1	215	294	291	585	76	291	26	8	270	69	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	313	279	61	11	2	3	25	81	6	4	2	219	298	303	601	84	293	26	8	276	73	-10	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.2
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	423	377	83	15	2	5	34	108	9	5	3	222	301	313	614	91	294	26	8	281	76	-12	-0	+0	+8	+9	0.5
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	502	446	101	18	3	7	41	127	10	6	3	224	304	322	626	97	295	25	8	286	79	-12	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.8
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	520	462	106	19	3	8	43	130	10	6	3	227	306	330	635	103	295	25	8	289	82	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	462	106	19	3	8	43	130	10	6	3	228	307	332	639	105	296	25	8	291	83	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	462	106	19	3	8	43	130	10	6	3	228	307	334	642	106	296	25	8	292	84	-10	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	462	106	19	3	8	43	130	10	6	3	228	307	335	643	107	296	25	8	292	84	-10	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	520	462	106	19	3	8	43	131	10	6	3	227	306	333	639	105	295	25	8	291	83	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	520	462	104	18	3	8	43	132	10	6	4	225	304	328	632	102	294	25	8	288	81	-12	-0	-1	+9	+11	0.8
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	520	462	103	18	2	8	43	133	10	5	5	223	301	321	623	99	293	26	8	284	78	-13	-1	-1	+9	+11	0.5
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	53%	520	464	102	18	2	7	42	135	9	5	7	220	298	313	611	94	291	26	8	279	75	-15	-2	-2	+9	+11	0.1
2040	31	MLB MLE	—	52%	504	450	97	17	2	6	40	133	9	4	14	215	293	303	596	88	288	26	8	273	71	-17	-5	-3	+9	+11	-0.5
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	58	52	10	2	0	0	5	15	1	1	0	215	294	291	585	76	291	26	9	270	69	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	152	136	30	5	1	2	12	39	3	2	1	219	298	303	601	84	293	26	8	276	73	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	229	203	45	8	1	3	19	58	5	3	1	222	301	313	614	91	294	25	8	281	76	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	284	253	57	10	2	4	23	72	6	3	2	224	304	322	626	97	295	25	8	286	79	-7	-0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	299	266	61	11	2	4	25	75	6	4	2	227	306	330	635	103	295	25	8	289	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	296	264	61	11	2	5	24	74	6	4	2	228	307	332	639	105	296	25	8	291	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	295	263	61	11	2	5	24	74	6	3	2	228	307	334	642	106	296	25	8	292	84	-6	-0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	294	262	61	11	2	5	24	74	6	3	2	228	307	335	643	107	296	25	8	292	84	-6	-0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	289	257	59	10	2	5	24	73	6	3	2	227	306	333	639	105	295	25	8	291	83	-6	-0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	286	255	56	10	1	4	24	73	5	3	2	225	304	328	632	102	294	26	8	288	81	-6	-0	-0	+5	+6	0.4
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	278	248	55	10	1	4	23	71	5	3	3	223	301	321	623	99	293	26	8	284	78	-7	-1	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	53%	274	245	53	9	1	4	22	71	5	3	3	220	298	313	611	94	291	26	8	279	75	-8	-1	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2040	31	MLB CTX	—	52%	263	235	51	9	1	3	21	69	5	2	7	215	293	303	596	88	288	26	8	273	71	-9	-2	-1	+5	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3297	2939	660	117	18	48	270	838	65	37	29	225	304	326	630	101	296	25	8	286	78	-81	-4	-4	+59	+71	4.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	130	23	4	9	53	165	13	7	6	225	303	325	628	100	297	25	8	286	78	-16	-1	-1	+12	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	6234	5544	1239	221	32	85	511	1586	121	69	55	223	303	321	624	97	295	25	8	284	78	-154	-8	-7	+110	+133	7.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	129	23	3	9	53	165	13	7	6	223	303	320	623	97	294	25	8	284	78	-16	-1	-1	+12	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Brian Schneider'00-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,570 PA	5.4	3,570	67	4	238*	309*	359*	+63	-0	9.0	8.8
/162	664	12	1	+11.7	-0.1	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Mike Tresh'38-'49 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,637 PA	5.5	3,637	2	19	239*	319*	306*	+65	+0	6.9	6.6
/162	664	0	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.1	3,374	47	38	225	300	323	+60	+32	6.5	5.8
/162	664	9	7	+11.9	+6.3	1.3	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alexander Huerta (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	209/286/277	67	289	0	1	26%	8%	64	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	40	35→45	44→50	51	186/280/245	59	267	2	10	28%	10%	55	-2.0	186/259/249	63	277	2	15	31%	8%	47	-2.6	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Carlos Cauro 2023 · A	18	41	35→40	45	44	190/263/252	62	283	3	5	32%	8%	49	-2.4	198/278/298	100	289	10	5	32%	9%	65	-1.2	191/283/288	97	272	12	4	31%	9%	65	-0.4
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	40→42	37→55	48→50	46	191/261/271	79	260	3	5	26%	8%	52	-2.2	197/244/318	121	277	11	5	32%	5%	56	-1.9	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Adrian De Leon 2022 · A	18	41	37→40	49→45	44	196/271/269	73	275	4	6	29%	7%	56	-1.9	203/293/278	75	310	5	6	33%	9%	68	-1.0	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Freuddy Batista 2018 · A	18	42	37→50	47→40	43	199/266/272	73	284	3	5	29%	7%	55	-2.0	179/240/265	86	269	7	4	34%	6%	43	-2.8	195/262/337	142	285	14	5	35%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	36	35→50	46→50	50	171/258/234	63	226	2	8	23%	9%	44	-2.8	181/253/251	70	223	3	7	19%	8%	45	-2.7	218/259/314	97	279	5	8	23%	5%	59	-0.6
✕Rodolfo Durán 2016 · A	18	40	36→50	45	37	191/233/259	68	269	3	6	30%	5%	38	-3.2	213/252/332	119	284	13	5	29%	5%	62	-1.4	229/272/378	149	281	17	3	25%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→49	36→50	49→40	45	200/267/261	62	282	3	5	29%	8%	52	-2.2	206/282/284	78	279	6	5	26%	8%	63	-1.3	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Aldo Gaxiola 2024 · A	18	42	37→55	49→40	46	200/275/274	74	279	5	9	28%	8%	59	-1.7	199/263/295	96	263	9	5	27%	6%	59	-1.7	193/251/309	115	259	14	2	30%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Luis Puello 2024 · A	18	42	36→55	50	47	191/283/258	66	287	2	10	31%	9%	59	-1.7	199/263/294	95	299	8	8	34%	6%	59	-1.7	190/247/314	123	286	14	8	37%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	42	37→45	51→50	44	200/264/274	74	285	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	207/273/305	98	302	7	11	31%	7%	64	-1.3	189/258/298	110	269	7	17	30%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	43	175/246/237	62	253	4	6	31%	7%	39	-3.1	208/272/308	100	260	8	7	22%	6%	65	-1.2	204/273/325	121	234	12	6	18%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	43	37→45	49→30	44	204/271/279	75	283	4	6	28%	7%	58	-1.7	206/255/291	85	265	6	4	24%	5%	54	-2.0	198/245/281	83	248	7	1	22%	4%	49	-0.8
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	43→44	36→50	50→45	44	203/264/273	70	257	3	6	22%	6%	54	-2.0	227/274/332	105	258	10	5	16%	5%	71	-0.8	232/277/359	127	262	15	5	18%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→47	36→45	49→50	39	193/238/260	66	278	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	208/254/280	72	286	5	10	28%	5%	51	-2.2	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	39	37→40	42→45	48	187/265/263	76	258	4	6	27%	9%	53	-2.1	190/298/267	77	248	4	7	22%	12%	67	-1.1	180/313/262	82	232	4	7	21%	15%	70	-0.2
✕Frank Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	40	35→45	48→30	48	184/279/246	61	271	2	5	30%	9%	55	-2.0	187/249/270	83	271	7	4	32%	6%	47	-2.5	183/244/267	84	241	9	1	27%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	40→38	37→45	47→55	52	185/290/259	74	266	4	8	29%	11%	62	-1.4	194/289/297	103	280	10	14	31%	10%	70	-0.8	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Johanfran Garcia 2023 · A	18	41	35→50	45	49	193/261/252	59	248	2	4	22%	8%	48	-2.5	208/273/317	109	307	11	5	34%	6%	68	-1.0	211/266/350	139	310	20	5	37%	5%	71	-0.4
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2018 · A	18	44→41	37→45	48→40	42	209/253/286	77	268	4	4	23%	5%	51	-2.2	219/265/293	74	276	5	4	22%	5%	58	-1.7	232/296/314	82	290	6	2	21%	7%	72	-0.3

Alexander Huerta

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps