Player 839196 P DSL Rangers Blue
Age — —HP ROK peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION35 act + 24 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINST109
ERA4.36
FIP4.36
K%23.3%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%13.9%
ROS IP24
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP
K: +0.5 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -3.4 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-3BBCONTACT: -4.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-5CONTACTSTAM: +2.5 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.55 (60 IP)-0.5WAR
0.10.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career (MLE) + Projections

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ 2026 Season
2026—ROKDSL Rangers Red13035172412740%2.716.2%19.6%-3.4%3.3%4.636.00-0.6
ROS—MLBTEX23024103241030%1.123.3%9.4%13.9%3.0%4.364.36+0.1
2026 Total—MLBTEX——6027565377——23.6%13.3%10.3%2.6%4.525.33-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202725MLBTEX24025105251030%1.023.7%9.1%14.6%3.0%4.304.27+0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career—13035172283460%2.716.2%19.6%-3.4%3.3%4.636.00-0.6
/ 200 IP—740200983160194340%2.716.2%19.6%-3.4%3.3%4.636.00-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Player 839196 (OGILVIE) —— 4.36 23.3%9.4%3.0%— — ——— — ———
Brayden Spears R 2026 · 4.25 FIP 25 SU 4.25 19.9%10.9%2.6%.311 — ——— — 4.07 105 81
Danny Hrbek R 2025 · 4.08 FIP 24 SU 4.08 21.3%7.5%3.3%.312 — ——— — 4.08 100 79
Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP 25 SU 3.74 22.4%10.2%2.3%.330 4.97 16.5%3.9%101 +1.23 3.74 140 79
Nick Merkel R 2026 · 3.90 FIP 25 SU 3.90 22.8%7.1%3.3%.284 3.25 20.8%10.5%125 -0.65 3.08 201 78
Joe Vogatsky R 2025 · 4.82 FIP 24 SU 4.82 21.0%8.8%4.3%.326 — ——— — 4.82 120 77
Connor Schultz R 2026 · 4.05 FIP 25 SU 4.05 19.7%5.3%3.5%.283 3.86 19.3%11.7%124 -0.19 3.47 171 77
Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP 25 SU 4.36 21.7%10.1%3.3%.311 5.39 24.0%10.9%22 +1.03 4.36 152 77
Casey Cobb R 2026 · 3.73 FIP 25 SU 3.73 21.8%6.2%3.1%.261 5.72 17.2%8.3%118 +1.99 3.73 191 77
Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 25 SU 4.04 19.9%10.4%2.4%.272 3.57 19.6%9.7%129 -0.47 3.26 386 77
Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 3.75 FIP 25 SU 3.75 25.5%8.4%3.2%.340 4.62 22.5%13.6%185 +0.87 3.75 223 77
Trent Harris R 2026 · 3.45 FIP 25 SU 3.45 26.9%9.5%2.6%.258 4.07 22.8%13.3%87 +0.62 3.45 163 76
Carter Rustad R 2026 · 4.84 FIP 25 SU 4.84 19.1%8.6%4.1%.278 — ——— — 3.35 101 76
Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.24 FIP 25 SU 4.24 21.1%10.6%2.9%.286 6.43 14.1%7.0%24 +2.19 4.09 183 76
Austin Ross R 2025 · 4.51 FIP 24 SU 4.51 20.7%9.6%3.5%.281 4.91 21.2%5.7%55 +0.40 4.51 121 76
Brad Bass R 2026 · 4.01 FIP 25 SU 4.01 21.6%8.1%3.1%.286 — ——— — 4.01 247 75
Cody Tucker R 2026 · 4.98 FIP 25 SU 4.98 22.0%12.0%4.0%.272 5.11 15.8%-1.9%40 +0.13 4.98 105 75
Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 3.88 FIP 25 SU 3.88 25.6%8.0%3.5%.299 5.10 22.4%6.5%121 +1.22 3.88 158 75
Jake Curtis R 2025 · 3.34 FIP 24 SU 3.34 19.3%6.5%1.9%.338 — ——— — 3.34 105 75
Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.53 FIP 25 SU 3.53 26.4%10.9%2.3%.301 4.31 28.4%19.1%97 +0.78 3.48 138 74
Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 3.24 FIP 25 SU 3.24 22.1%7.8%1.8%.274 4.67 24.1%8.8%38 +1.43 3.24 172 74