Player 838005 P DSL Mets Blue
Age — —HP ROK peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION14 act + 10 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINST108
ERA4.32
FIP4.32
K%23.4%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%14.1%
ROS IP10
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP
K: +0.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.4 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: +1.6 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+2CONTACTSTAM: +1.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: +0.24 (24 IP)+0.2WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career (MLE) + Projections

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ 2026 Season
2026—ROKDSL Mets Blue641454125067%2.415.1%11.6%3.5%0.0%1.883.29+0.2
ROS—MLBNYM2210421041100%5.023.4%9.2%14.1%3.0%4.324.32+0.0
2026 Total—MLBNYM——24962291——22.7%9.2%13.5%1.3%2.883.71+0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202725MLBNYM3320842083100%6.723.7%9.0%14.8%3.0%4.274.25+0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career—64145486067%2.415.1%11.6%3.5%0.0%1.883.29+0.2
/ 200 IP—845620075311284067%2.415.1%11.6%3.5%0.0%1.883.29+4.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Player 838005 (OGILVIE) —— 4.32 23.4%9.2%3.0%— — ——— — ———
Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP 26 SP- 3.92 24.5%9.5%3.1%.232 5.11 17.5%6.2%190 +1.19 3.92 233 84
Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP 25 SP- 4.42 23.3%10.7%3.5%.225 — ——— — 4.42 102 76
Nathanael Santiago R 2026 · 3.47 FIP 25 SP- 3.47 20.3%11.4%1.2%.286 3.51 23.2%10.9%71 +0.04 2.45 138 74
Sean Harney R 2026 · 3.51 FIP 25 SP- 3.51 18.2%9.8%1.3%.285 4.69 16.5%5.1%59 +1.18 3.51 123 71
Michael King R 2026 · 4.55 FIP 25 SW 4.55 21.5%9.1%3.8%.316 2.73 28.3%20.8%219 -1.82 1.96 948 70
Brendan Beck R 2025 · 3.18 FIP 24 SP 3.18 22.5%6.7%2.1%.289 3.78 20.9%13.1%225 +0.60 3.18 256 68
Blair Henley R 2025 · 4.80 FIP 24 SP- 4.80 20.8%12.2%3.5%.450 4.58 17.9%4.8%170 -0.22 3.80 187 68
Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.80 FIP 24 SP- 4.80 25.7%12.4%4.2%.296 3.43 18.7%10.3%40 -1.37 2.78 181 68
Sean Mooney R 2025 · 4.82 FIP 24 SP- 4.82 24.7%13.5%3.8%.277 — ——— — 3.45 102 68
Chase Centala R 2025 · 4.16 FIP 24 SP- 4.16 17.4%6.6%3.1%.361 — ——— — 4.16 124 67
Brett Gillis R 2026 · 3.37 FIP 25 SP- 3.37 20.3%8.8%1.6%.278 5.10 15.8%6.7%73 +1.73 3.37 119 67
Sauryn Lao R 2026 · 3.48 FIP 25 SP- 3.48 21.7%7.3%2.4%.297 — ——— — 3.19 182 67
Greyfer Eregua R 2024 · 4.85 FIP 23 SP- 4.85 18.3%9.3%3.9%.317 — ——— — 3.73 126 67
Cody Morris R 2026 · 3.74 FIP 25 SP- 3.74 31.3%11.6%3.3%.256 4.66 24.1%7.0%72 +0.92 2.26 256 67
Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP 25 SW 4.06 18.9%9.0%2.6%.311 4.48 17.3%3.8%141 +0.42 3.63 281 66
Jose Samayoa R 2027 · 3.56 FIP 26 SW 3.56 16.6%9.9%1.1%.286 4.12 17.3%9.4%226 +0.56 3.56 262 65
Daniel Federman R 2025 · 4.34 FIP 24 SP- 4.34 23.8%8.3%4.0%.311 — ——— — 4.34 119 65
Brock Stewart R 2026 · 3.92 FIP 25 SW 3.92 23.3%9.2%3.0%.295 5.28 16.6%7.8%224 +1.36 1.51 596 65
DJ Myers R 2025 · 4.12 FIP 24 SP- 4.12 22.9%12.4%2.5%.375 — ——— — 3.47 257 64
Tristan Stevens R 2026 · 4.28 FIP 25 SW 4.28 17.3%8.2%2.9%.411 3.71 15.0%7.7%91 -0.57 3.71 126 64