Elvis Teran

OF DSL Mets Blue

Age 18 R/R ROK H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Mets Blue	159	.198/.335/.214	0	12	6	—	.117/.234/.124
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBNYM	269	.191/.266/.249	2	6	49	-0.5
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBNYM	76	.191/.268/.257	1	2	55	-0.3

Next 2 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%56

Z-Con%45

Speed40

BB%31

Whiff%21

wOBA13

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsDashyll Tejeda (age 18) · Roni Cabrera (age 18) · Jean Selmo (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 132 proj PA

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .264 / .247

PA132

HR1

K%33

BB%7

ISO58

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	159	131	26	2	0	0	20	55	7	12	3	198	335	214	549	15	338	35	13	273	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	159	137	16	1	0	0	14	67	7	12	3	117	234	124	358	7	220	42	9	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	159	137	16	1	0	0	14	67	7	12	3	117	234	124	358	7	225	42	9	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	159	131	26	2	0	0	20	55	7	12	3	198	335	214	549	15	338	35	13	273	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	159	137	16	1	0	0	14	67	7	12	3	117	234	124	358	7	220	42	9	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	159	137	16	1	0	0	14	67	7	12	3	117	234	124	358	7	220	42	9	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	269	242	46	6	1	2	20	88	5	6	1	191	266	249	515	58	288	33	7	240	49	-16	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	NYM	34%	220	197	38	5	1	2	17	70	4	5	1	197	273	265	538	68	290	32	8	250	55	-12	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.8
2028	19	MLB CTX	NYM	34%	76	69	13	2	0	1	6	24	1	2	0	191	268	257	525	66	282	32	8	244	55	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	76	69	13	2	0	1	6	24	1	2	0	188	263	261	524	72	273	32	8	244	38	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	112	17	0	9	51	205	9	17	0	190	265	264	529	75	274	32	8	244	38	-35	+3	+0	-4	+14	-2.2
Career	—	MLE		—	511	453	77	9	2	3	41	180	13	20	4	170	258	219	477	49	271	35	8	225	38	-20	+1	+0	-2	+8	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	98	11	3	4	52	229	17	25	5	170	259	220	479	50	271	35	8	225	38	-37	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#5Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	208	1	4	194	267	256	-1	+0	-0.7	-0.4
/162	664	5	14	-4.0	+0.0	-2.3	pk7: 0
#6Howie Schultz'43-'48 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	24	15	233*	271*	383*	-30	-2	-3.6	-3.6
/162	664	9	6	-11.8	-0.7	-1.4	pk7: -4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elvis Teran (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	190/264/247	57	288	1	3	33%	7%	49	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dashyll Tejeda 2024 · A	18	38	35→40	52→60	45	178/263/238	59	271	3	17	32%	9%	47	-2.6	195/280/265	70	269	4	38	26%	9%	59	-1.7	186/279/257	71	263	5	49	28%	10%	55	-0.7
✕Roni Cabrera 2023 · A	18	38	37→45	51→55	42	182/249/251	69	265	4	10	31%	7%	43	-2.8	183/257/282	99	270	8	12	33%	8%	54	-2.0	154/234/265	111	235	11	17	37%	8%	40	-0.8
✕Jean Selmo 2018 · A	18	37	38→40	53→45	42	178/244/257	79	264	5	8	33%	7%	43	-2.8	187/256/268	81	287	4	8	33%	8%	49	-2.4	189/276/283	93	254	3	8	24%	10%	59	-0.6
✕Neyfy Castillo 2019 · A	18	35→33	35→45	54→55	42	170/240/227	57	247	3	16	31%	7%	35	-3.4	181/247/272	91	291	7	13	38%	7%	47	-2.5	173/246/300	127	303	15	16	45%	7%	52	-1.2
✕Victor Cardoza 2024 · A	18	40	37→40	50	41	188/264/265	77	274	3	11	31%	7%	53	-2.1	195/247/286	91	301	7	13	36%	5%	51	-2.3	191/238/278	88	304	8	14	38%	5%	43	-1.0
✕Freili Encarnacion 2023 · A	18	39→33	37→50	52→50	37	183/247/256	72	292	5	11	37%	6%	44	-2.8	193/247/276	83	300	7	11	36%	4%	48	-2.5	184/237/297	113	271	13	10	36%	4%	47	-1.4
✕Hans Montero 2022 · A	18	36→37	34→45	50→55	43	164/258/215	50	281	2	13	38%	9%	40	-3.1	166/262/235	69	267	5	16	36%	10%	47	-2.6	167/249/265	98	276	10	18	40%	9%	45	-1.4
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	34	38→40	50	39	169/229/246	77	248	5	6	33%	6%	34	-3.5	162/235/226	64	222	3	6	27%	6%	34	-3.5	156/245/214	58	204	3	7	23%	6%	36	-0.9
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2017 · A	18	35	34→40	51→60	43	170/237/223	53	246	2	17	30%	7%	32	-3.6	193/262/264	71	268	4	21	27%	8%	51	-2.2	180/256/253	73	260	6	32	31%	8%	44	-0.9
✕Alexander Benua 2022 · A	18	34	35→40	54→55	42	165/240/223	58	237	2	13	29%	7%	34	-3.5	189/258/264	75	282	5	16	32%	6%	50	-2.3	185/254/265	80	289	5	17	35%	7%	48	-0.9
✕Rayne Doncon 2022 · A	18	41→38	39→45	53→40	44	198/266/282	84	282	6	11	30%	8%	57	-1.8	195/246/322	127	253	14	6	28%	6%	59	-1.7	185/240/312	128	238	14	4	29%	6%	51	-1.4
✕Willy Montero 2023 · A	18	39→40	36→40	48→50	47	183/277/247	64	282	4	13	33%	10%	54	-2.0	205/261/277	72	294	5	9	30%	6%	53	-2.1	203/250/271	68	286	5	8	29%	5%	45	-1.3
✕Mariel Bautista 2016 · A	18	39→36	37→40	50	43	187/252/262	75	256	4	8	27%	7%	47	-2.6	212/263/294	82	263	5	14	20%	5%	58	-1.7	223/269/315	92	265	7	18	18%	4%	63	-0.5
✕Andres Valor 2024 · A	18	40→36	39→45	51→60	41	193/247/280	87	271	6	18	30%	6%	49	-2.4	186/258/281	95	301	7	29	38%	7%	54	-2.0	166/252/269	102	286	9	37	41%	8%	48	-1.6
✕Manuel Cabrera 2024 · A	18	33	35→40	51→45	45	161/244/219	58	225	3	10	28%	8%	36	-3.4	176/262/238	62	277	4	11	35%	7%	47	-2.5	160/250/216	57	266	6	11	39%	8%	37	-1.0
✕Javier Osorio 2023 · A	18	36	35→45	52→60	33	163/234/218	55	310	3	16	45%	6%	31	-3.7	185/260/278	93	293	7	20	37%	7%	54	-2.0	180/263/293	113	263	10	29	33%	8%	57	-0.5
✕Jhonny Severino 2023 · A	18	39→31	37→55	52→50	37	186/240/258	72	286	4	11	35%	6%	41	-3.0	195/244/329	134	266	15	12	32%	5%	59	-1.6	186/231/352	166	232	22	11	31%	5%	58	-1.2
✕Simon Juan 2023 · A	18	36	36→45	56→50	41	174/240/244	70	245	3	14	29%	6%	38	-3.2	186/239/274	88	284	8	9	35%	6%	45	-2.7	182/234/279	97	282	10	10	38%	5%	41	-1.2
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2009 · A	18	35	34→40	49→50	39	170/220/225	55	235	2	11	27%	5%	26	-4.1	182/240/262	80	228	6	13	22%	6%	42	-2.9	196/255/291	94	243	9	9	22%	6%	53	-1.0
✕Nelson Medina 2019 · A	18	37	36→45	47→50	42	164/257/231	68	308	2	11	43%	10%	43	-2.8	173/255/254	81	270	5	12	34%	9%	47	-2.5	161/242/258	97	244	8	16	35%	9%	42	-0.8

Elvis Teran

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps