Willy Montero — OGILVIE

Willy MonteroCF Tampa Tarpons

Age 21 R/R 6'4" / 202 lbs A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION397 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP300

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	16	ROK	DSL Yankees 2	—	61	47	9	1	0	0	7	18	3	0	4	191	333	213	546	21	273	30	11	256	59	-3	-2	—	—	+1	-0.3
2022	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	235	191	50	9	1	4	36	61	7	16	4	262	397	382	780	120	362	26	15	359	129	+8	+2	—	—	+5	1.5
2023	18	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	203	181	60	9	2	2	16	36	3	5	4	331	395	436	831	105	397	18	8	369	136	+9	-1	—	—	+4	1.3
2024	19	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	486	434	106	23	2	7	40	103	5	15	1	244	315	355	670	111	299	21	8	300	89	-6	+3	—	—	+11	0.7
2025	20	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	185	170	46	5	1	1	14	42	0	2	3	271	326	329	655	59	352	23	8	298	88	-3	-1	—	—	+4	0.1
2025	20	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	34	33	7	0	0	0	1	6	0	1	0	212	235	212	447		259	18	3	207	26	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	16	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees 2	—	61	50	7	1	0	0	4	27	3	0	4	140	246	160	406	20	212	44	7	186	12	-6	-2	—	—	+1	-0.7
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	235	204	36	5	1	2	23	90	7	16	4	176	282	240	522	64	291	38	10	241	49	-14	+2	—	—	+5	-0.8
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	203	187	46	6	2	1	10	55	3	5	4	246	295	316	611	70	319	27	5	263	64	-9	-1	—	—	+4	-0.5
2024	19	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	486	446	86	19	2	6	28	153	5	15	1	193	248	285	533	92	265	31	6	236	46	-31	+3	—	—	+11	-1.9
2025	20	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	185	173	34	4	1	1	11	60	0	2	3	197	245	249	493	52	290	32	6	221	36	-14	-1	—	—	+4	-1.1
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	34	33	5	0	0	0	1	9	0	1	0	152	176	152	328		201	26	3	141	-18	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2021	16	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees 2	—	61	50	7	1	0	0	4	27	3	0	4	140	246	160	406	20	259	44	7	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	16	ROK RAW	DSL Yankees 2	—	61	47	9	1	0	0	7	18	3	0	4	191	333	213	546	21	273	30	11	256	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	235	204	36	5	1	2	23	90	7	16	4	176	282	240	522	64	301	38	10	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	—	235	191	50	9	1	4	36	61	7	16	4	262	397	382	780	120	362	26	15	359	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	203	187	46	6	2	1	10	55	3	5	4	246	295	316	611	70	336	27	5	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	—	203	181	60	9	2	2	16	36	3	5	4	331	395	436	831	105	397	18	8	369	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	486	446	86	19	2	6	28	153	5	15	1	193	248	285	533	92	272	31	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	—	486	434	106	23	2	7	40	103	5	15	1	244	315	355	670	111	299	21	8	300	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	219	207	39	4	1	1	11	68	0	3	3	188	229	232	461	43	273	31	5	209	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	219	203	53	5	1	1	15	48	0	3	3	261	312	310	622	49	335	22	7	284	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	16	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees 2	—	61	54	7	1	0	0	4	27	3	0	4	130	246	148	394	19	212	44	7	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	235	203	36	5	1	2	23	90	7	16	4	177	282	241	523	64	291	38	10	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	203	188	46	6	2	1	10	55	3	5	4	245	295	314	609	69	319	27	5	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	486	450	86	19	2	6	28	153	5	15	1	191	248	282	531	91	265	31	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	219	206	39	4	1	1	11	68	0	3	3	189	229	233	462	44	276	31	5	209	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	203	188	46	6	2	1	10	55	3	5	4	245	295	314	609	69	319	27	5	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	486	450	86	19	2	6	28	153	5	15	1	191	248	282	531	91	265	31	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	219	206	39	4	1	1	11	68	0	3	3	189	229	233	462	44	276	31	5	209	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A MLE	NYY	—	397	365	76	15	1	10	26	145	3	25	3	208	266	337	603	129	310	37	7	264	65	-16	+4	+0	+1	+9	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	NYY	—	323	288	80	16	2	12	31	83	2	18	3	278	352	472	824	194	349	26	10	363	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ RAW	NYY	—	74	68	16	2	0	1	4	20	1	7	0	235	288	309	596	74	312	27	5	269	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A MLE	NYY	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		298	30	10	261	63	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	A MLE	NYY	—	407	374	77	15	1	10	27	148	3	25	3	206	265	332	596	126	306	36	7	264	65	-17	+4	+0	+1	+9	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	NYY	34%	421	387	84	16	2	9	28	130	3	11	2	217	275	339	614	121	298	31	7	275	72	-14	+1	+0	+2	+9	-0.2
2028	23	MLB MLE	NYY	48%	475	435	97	18	2	12	33	142	4	13	2	223	284	356	640	133	298	30	7	284	78	-12	+2	+0	+2	+10	0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	510	465	105	20	2	13	36	149	4	14	2	226	287	361	648	135	298	29	7	290	82	-11	+2	+0	+2	+11	0.4
2030	25	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	526	479	108	20	2	14	38	151	4	14	2	225	288	363	651	138	298	29	7	293	84	-10	+2	+0	+2	+11	0.6
2031	26	MLB MLE	NYY	56%	533	485	111	21	2	15	39	153	4	14	2	229	292	373	665	144	298	29	7	294	85	-9	+2	+0	+2	+12	0.6
2032	27	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	533	484	110	21	2	14	40	154	4	14	2	227	292	366	657	138	298	29	8	294	85	-9	+2	+0	+2	+12	0.6
2033	28	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	528	479	108	20	2	14	40	153	4	14	2	225	291	363	654	138	298	29	8	293	85	-10	+2	-1	+2	+11	0.5
2034	29	MLB MLE	NYY	58%	518	470	106	20	2	14	39	151	4	12	2	226	290	366	656	140	297	29	8	292	84	-10	+2	-1	+2	+11	0.3
2035	30	MLB MLE	NYY	60%	508	461	103	19	2	13	38	150	4	11	2	223	288	358	646	134	296	30	7	289	82	-11	+1	-2	+2	+11	0.1
2036	31	MLB MLE	NYY	62%	494	450	98	18	2	12	37	147	4	9	1	218	283	347	630	129	294	30	7	285	79	-12	+1	-3	+2	+11	-0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	NYY	34%	145	133	30	6	1	3	10	45	1	4	1	226	285	353	638	128	300	31	7	273	72	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	NYY	48%	230	210	47	9	1	6	16	69	2	6	1	224	285	362	647	138	300	30	7	282	78	-6	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	269	246	56	11	1	7	19	78	2	7	1	228	288	366	654	138	300	29	7	288	82	-6	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	288	263	60	11	1	8	21	83	2	8	1	228	290	369	659	141	300	29	7	292	84	-5	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	NYY	56%	297	271	63	12	1	9	22	85	2	8	1	232	295	384	679	151	300	29	7	293	85	-5	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.4
2032	27	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	293	267	62	12	1	9	22	85	2	8	1	232	296	386	681	154	300	29	8	293	85	-5	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.4
2033	28	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	289	263	59	11	1	8	22	84	2	7	1	224	289	365	654	141	300	29	8	292	85	-5	+1	-0	+1	+6	0.3
2034	29	MLB CTX	NYY	58%	300	272	62	12	1	8	23	88	2	7	1	228	293	368	661	140	299	29	8	290	84	-6	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	NYY	60%	306	278	62	12	1	8	23	90	2	7	1	223	287	360	647	137	298	29	8	288	82	-7	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.1
2036	31	MLB CTX	NYY	62%	305	277	61	11	1	8	23	91	2	6	1	220	285	354	639	134	296	30	8	284	79	-8	+1	-2	+1	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2722	2480	562	107	10	74	201	798	19	68	10	227	290	367	657	141	301	29	7	288	75	-58	+10	-4	+10	+59	1.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	135	26	2	18	48	191	5	16	2	228	291	370	661	142	303	29	7	288	75	-14	+2	-1	+2	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	6260	5698	1245	228	26	140	445	1876	57	165	35	218	282	341	623	123	297	30	7	279	75	-109	+18	-7	+18	+110	3.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	130	24	3	15	46	195	6	17	4	220	283	346	629	127	298	30	7	279	75	-14	+2	-1	+2	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Hernán Pérezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,811 PA	2.7	1,811	45	69	252	281	387	-0	+12	3.7	3.7
/162	664	16	25	-0.0	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.6	3,040	75	73	224	283	356	+11	+15	3.1	3.1
/162	664	16	16	+2.4	+3.3	0.7	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Willy Montero (OGILVIE)	21	45	20	40	30	207/262/313	106	298	6	13	33%	6%	63	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hector Martinez 2018 · A	21	48	37→45	44→45	37	228/271/303	76	318	5	9	29%	4%	63	-1.4	218/257/334	116	328	10	8	35%	4%	65	-1.2	251/265/416	166	386	12	13	37%	1%	82	-0.0
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2007 · A	21	41	39→40	45→55	37	197/251/289	92	304	6	8	36%	6%	53	-2.1	211/275/294	83	302	6	15	30%	6%	63	-1.4	216/288/295	79	292	7	22	26%	7%	65	-0.4
✕Ramon Mendoza 2022 · A	21	42→49	37→45	43→45	44	198/271/274	75	282	3	5	29%	8%	57	-1.8	197/270/281	84	288	5	5	31%	8%	58	-1.7	230/307/340	110	300	10	3	25%	9%	83	+0.0
✕Cutter Dykstra 2010 · A	21	40→50	40	47→55	43	198/260/282	84	275	8	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	222/279/297	75	309	6	16	28%	6%	65	-1.2	239/307/326	86	317	6	16	24%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Lenyn Sosa 2021 · A	21	42→51	40→50	43→40	37	207/237/300	93	263	7	5	25%	3%	49	-2.4	227/259/346	119	289	14	3	26%	4%	68	-1.0	243/274/380	137	290	18	3	23%	3%	80	-0.1
✕Yeison Santana 2022 · A	21	43	37→30	45→55	39	200/262/271	71	317	5	10	36%	7%	53	-2.1	218/286/282	64	313	3	15	29%	8%	63	-1.3	222/302/263	41	308	2	22	26%	9%	62	-0.8
✕Raul Juarez 2018 · A	20	44	38→45	42→40	40	212/269/287	76	277	6	6	25%	5%	59	-1.6	203/254/282	79	289	6	5	30%	5%	52	-2.2	147/189/214	67	208	8	0	33%	3%	9	-1.0
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	64	-1.3	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	70	-0.8	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	69	-0.4
✕Imeldo Diaz 2019 · A	21	44	41→40	46→45	41	216/264/307	91	269	9	5	23%	5%	61	-1.5	230/264/310	80	304	5	5	25%	4%	61	-1.5	237/260/299	62	315	3	2	25%	2%	54	-0.6
✕Rayner Contreras 2008 · A	21	47	41→40	45→50	42	227/272/325	98	293	9	7	25%	6%	68	-1.0	230/287/313	83	303	5	11	24%	6%	71	-0.8	251/305/306	55	346	0	13	26%	5%	71	-0.2
✕Randy César 2016 · A	21	40→50	38→40	40	40	194/245/270	76	274	6	2	31%	6%	46	-2.6	213/254/297	84	321	8	3	34%	5%	55	-2.0	234/279/323	89	343	8	2	32%	5%	67	-0.7
✕Stephen Alemais 2017 · A	22	44→54	40	45→50	38	209/260/305	96	307	7	10	33%	6%	59	-1.6	229/278/310	81	296	5	13	23%	6%	67	-1.1	237/289/310	72	300	3	14	21%	6%	69	-0.6
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→40	47→65	40	207/259/281	74	295	5	11	30%	6%	53	-2.1	191/260/268	77	304	6	15	36%	7%	51	-2.2	188/266/266	78	286	5	32	33%	7%	52	-0.9
✕Ti'Quan Forbes 2018 · A	21	41→50	39→40	42→45	34	199/237/278	78	287	7	5	32%	4%	44	-2.8	215/261/297	82	297	6	5	28%	5%	57	-1.8	215/270/297	82	307	6	7	30%	5%	58	-1.1
✕Claudio Finol 2021 · A	21	42	37→40	43→45	40	202/249/275	72	266	4	5	25%	5%	47	-2.5	192/249/275	83	270	6	8	29%	6%	49	-2.4	178/246/255	77	255	7	10	31%	7%	42	-0.6
✕Jimmy Mojica 2021 · A	21	45	37→40	47→50	41	212/261/283	72	278	4	8	25%	5%	54	-2.0	201/265/286	85	284	8	6	30%	6%	57	-1.8	176/246/268	92	225	11	4	26%	5%	45	-0.8
✕Dante Bichette Jr. 2014 · A	21	42→47	40→45	43→40	41	207/261/294	88	283	8	3	29%	6%	57	-1.8	214/269/312	98	286	8	2	27%	6%	64	-1.3	237/296/327	90	294	7	3	21%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Junior Lake 2011 · A	21	44→54	41→45	47→55	36	210/255/307	96	311	8	10	34%	5%	57	-1.8	234/276/349	115	325	10	21	30%	5%	75	-0.5	228/299/358	130	286	13	19	24%	8%	84	+0.1
✕David Hernandez 2008 · A	21	50	38→40	42→55	45	236/288/313	76	287	5	6	19%	6%	71	-0.8	215/281/287	72	273	3	13	21%	7%	63	-1.3	190/270/244	53	241	0	22	19%	8%	47	-1.1
✕Victor Moscote 2015 · A	21	46	35→30	43→45	41	219/263/276	58	290	3	6	25%	5%	53	-2.1	202/259/260	58	272	2	4	25%	6%	49	-2.4	180/251/225	45	240	1	1	24%	6%	37	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps