Willy Montero — OGILVIE

Willy MonteroCF Tampa Tarpons

Age 21 R/R 6'4" / 202 lbs A HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION289 act + 192 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .257 / .310

PA192

HR3

SB6

K%34

BB%6

BABIP298

ISO107

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	16	ROK	DSL Yankees 2	—	61	50	7	1	0	0	4	28	3	0	4	140	246	160	406	20	269	46	7	178	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	16	ROK	DSL Yankees 2	—	61	47	9	1	0	0	7	18	3	0	4	191	333	213	546	21	273	30	11	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	235	204	35	5	1	2	23	91	7	16	4	172	278	235	513	64	295	39	10	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	235	191	50	9	1	4	36	61	7	16	4	262	397	382	780	120	362	26	15	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	203	187	44	5	2	1	10	57	3	5	4	235	285	299	584	64	326	28	5	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	203	181	60	9	2	2	16	36	3	5	4	331	395	436	831	105	397	18	8	369	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	486	447	83	19	2	6	27	159	5	15	1	186	240	277	517	92	266	33	6	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	486	434	106	23	2	7	40	103	5	15	1	244	315	355	670	111	299	21	8	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	219	206	36	4	1	1	12	68	0	3	3	175	220	218	439	44	254	31	5	198	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	219	203	53	5	1	1	15	48	0	3	3	261	312	310	622	49	335	22	7	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A	NYY	—	289	264	53	13	1	7	21	107	2	15	3	201	265	337	602	136	303	37	7	266	62	-12	+2	+0	+1	+8	-0.1
YTD	21	A	NYY	—	289	257	68	16	2	9	28	75	2	15	3	265	341	447	789	183	337	26	10	348	125	+8	+2	+0	+1	+8	1.9
ROS	21	A	NYY	0%	192	177	36	8	1	3	12	65	1	6	1	203	257	310	567	107	294	34	6	255	53	-10	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.3
ROS	21	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		296	—	—	252	51	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	21	A	NYY	—	289	265	53	13	1	7	21	107	2	15	3	200	265	336	601	136	301	37	7	266	62	-12	+2	+0	+1	+8	-0.1
TOT	21	A	NYY	—	481	441	89	21	2	10	33	172	3	21	4	202	262	326	588	125	301	36	7	262	58	-23	+3	+0	+2	+14	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	NYY	34%	430	395	83	17	2	9	29	137	3	9	2	210	269	332	601	122	295	32	7	269	64	-17	+1	+0	+2	+12	-0.3
2028	23	MLB	NYY	48%	482	441	95	20	2	11	34	148	4	10	2	215	278	345	622	129	295	31	7	278	71	-16	+1	+0	+2	+14	0.1
2029	24	MLB	NYY	53%	515	469	102	21	2	12	37	155	4	11	3	217	280	348	628	130	296	30	7	285	76	-14	+1	+0	+2	+15	0.4
2030	25	MLB	NYY	55%	529	481	107	22	3	13	39	157	4	11	3	222	286	362	648	139	296	30	7	288	79	-13	+1	+0	+2	+15	0.5
2031	26	MLB	NYY	56%	535	486	109	22	3	14	40	159	4	11	3	224	289	368	657	144	296	30	7	289	80	-12	+1	+0	+2	+15	0.6
2032	27	MLB	NYY	55%	534	485	108	22	2	14	40	159	4	11	3	223	287	363	650	140	296	30	7	289	80	-12	+1	+0	+2	+15	0.6
2027	22	MLB	NYY	34%	148	136	29	6	1	3	10	47	1	3	1	213	272	338	610	125	297	32	7	266	62	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	NYY	48%	234	214	46	10	1	5	16	72	2	5	1	215	276	341	617	126	297	31	7	276	69	-8	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.0
2029	24	MLB	NYY	53%	272	248	55	11	1	7	20	82	2	6	1	222	285	359	644	137	298	30	7	282	74	-8	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.2
2030	25	MLB	NYY	55%	289	264	59	12	1	8	21	86	2	6	1	223	286	367	653	144	298	30	7	285	77	-8	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.2
2031	26	MLB	NYY	56%	298	272	60	12	1	8	22	88	2	6	2	221	284	360	644	140	298	30	7	286	77	-8	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.2
2032	27	MLB	NYY	55%	294	268	59	12	1	8	22	87	2	6	1	220	284	362	646	142	298	30	7	287	78	-7	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1535	1403	308	63	6	39	111	462	11	32	7	220	282	356	639	137	296	30	7	282	74	-45	+4	+0	+5	+43	0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	132	27	3	17	47	196	5	14	3	222	285	364	649	141	299	30	7	282	74	-19	+2	+0	+2	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	4421	4028	845	166	21	86	307	1383	42	108	33	210	273	325	598	116	293	31	7	267	62	-189	+8	+0	+16	+125	-4.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	124	24	3	13	45	203	6	16	5	209	272	326	598	117	291	31	7	267	62	-28	+1	+0	+2	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	16	ROK	DSL Yankees 2	—	61	47	9	1	0	0	7	18	3	0	4	191	333	213	546	21	273	30	11	256	54	-3	-2	—	—	+2	-0.3
2022	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	235	191	50	9	1	4	36	61	7	16	4	262	397	382	780	120	362	26	15	359	133	+9	+2	—	—	+7	1.7
2023	18	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	203	181	60	9	2	2	16	36	3	5	4	331	395	436	831	105	397	18	8	369	140	+9	-1	—	—	+6	1.5
2024	19	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	486	434	106	23	2	7	40	103	5	15	1	244	315	355	670	111	299	21	8	300	88	-7	+3	—	—	+14	1.0
2025	20	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	185	170	46	5	1	1	14	42	0	2	3	271	326	329	655	59	352	23	8	298	86	-3	-1	—	—	+5	0.2
2025	20	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	34	33	7	0	0	0	1	6	0	1	0	212	235	212	447		259	18	3	207	17	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,854	41	38	217	276	344	+7	+10	0.2	0.7
	/162	664	15	14	217	276	344	+2.4	+3.6	0.1	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Willy Montero (OGILVIE)	21	45	20	40	30	202/262/326	125	301	10	21	36%	7%	58	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hector Martinez 2018 · A	21	48	37→45	44→45	37	228/271/303	76	318	5	9	29%	4%	58	-1.2	221/259/340	119	328	11	8	35%	4%	63	-0.9	251/265/416	166	386	12	13	37%	1%	79	+0.1
✕Yeison Santana 2022 · A	21	43	37→30	45→55	39	199/261/271	71	320	5	10	37%	7%	46	-2.0	217/285/282	65	313	3	15	29%	8%	59	-1.1	221/302/263	42	308	2	22	26%	9%	57	-0.6
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2007 · A	21	41	39→40	45→55	37	197/251/289	92	304	6	8	36%	6%	46	-2.0	211/275/294	83	302	6	15	30%	6%	58	-1.2	216/288/295	79	292	7	22	26%	7%	60	-0.3
✕Ramon Mendoza 2022 · A	21	42→51	37→45	43→45	44	199/271/275	76	282	3	5	29%	8%	51	-1.7	196/268/279	83	288	5	5	31%	8%	52	-1.6	232/306/347	116	310	11	3	27%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Narbe Cruz 2022 · A	21	43	37→40	45	41	202/278/276	74	302	5	7	32%	7%	56	-1.3	208/260/292	84	290	6	6	29%	5%	51	-1.7	208/260/295	87	295	8	6	31%	5%	47	-0.8
✕Stephen Alemais 2017 · A	22	43→52	40	45→50	38	208/259/303	96	304	7	10	33%	5%	53	-1.5	225/276/305	80	294	5	13	24%	6%	60	-1.0	231/286/303	73	295	4	14	22%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Raul Juarez 2018 · A	20	44	38→45	42→40	40	212/269/287	76	277	6	6	25%	5%	54	-1.4	203/254/282	79	289	6	5	30%	5%	46	-2.0	147/189/214	67	208	8	0	33%	3%	-2	-1.0
✕Cutter Dykstra 2010 · A	21	40→50	40	47→55	43	198/260/282	84	275	8	11	30%	7%	48	-1.9	217/273/292	75	304	6	16	29%	6%	56	-1.3	232/301/316	84	315	6	16	26%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Ti'Quan Forbes 2018 · A	21	40→50	39→40	42→45	34	197/235/274	77	286	7	5	33%	4%	35	-2.8	213/260/294	81	301	6	5	30%	5%	50	-1.7	218/268/300	82	308	6	5	30%	5%	52	-1.1
✕Claudio Finol 2021 · A	21	42	37→40	43→45	40	200/246/273	72	266	4	5	26%	5%	39	-2.5	191/247/273	82	270	6	8	30%	6%	40	-2.4	172/238/248	76	248	7	10	32%	6%	29	-0.7
✕Braulio Vasquez 2021 · A	22	41	39→45	44→65	38	195/257/276	81	309	7	7	37%	6%	46	-2.0	209/283/301	92	307	6	30	31%	7%	63	-0.8	206/284/296	90	299	5	42	30%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Victor Estevez 2010 · A	21	46	37→30	42→45	36	212/265/281	69	320	4	6	34%	5%	50	-1.7	199/244/267	68	277	4	6	28%	4%	37	-2.7	168/205/213	44	227	2	4	26%	3%	3	-2.6
✕Randy César 2016 · A	21	40→50	38→40	40	40	194/245/270	76	274	6	2	31%	6%	39	-2.5	210/251/294	84	320	8	3	35%	5%	46	-2.0	227/271/317	90	337	9	2	34%	5%	58	-0.8
✕Colton Welker 2019 · A	21	52→53	40	43→45	39	246/284/337	91	329	7	6	27%	5%	72	-0.2	210/256/309	99	275	9	5	26%	5%	53	-1.5	187/253/272	86	238	8	3	24%	7%	42	-0.9
✕Dante Bichette Jr. 2014 · A	21	44→49	40→45	43→40	41	211/266/301	90	289	8	3	29%	6%	56	-1.3	213/268/315	102	288	9	2	28%	6%	60	-1.0	237/294/332	95	297	8	3	22%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Luis Reynoso 2016 · A	21	41	36→30	43→50	36	193/244/249	56	313	4	5	38%	6%	32	-3.0	198/254/263	65	351	4	6	41%	6%	40	-2.4	156/216/182	26	314	0	3	47%	6%	1	-1.1
✕Jacob Gonzalez 2019 · A	21	43→53	39→40	43→40	38	208/256/291	83	276	6	5	27%	4%	49	-1.8	199/249/286	87	255	8	3	25%	5%	45	-2.1	213/266/301	88	261	10	1	22%	4%	55	-0.9
✕Jimmy Mojica 2021 · A	21	45	37→40	47→50	41	212/261/283	72	278	4	8	25%	5%	48	-1.9	202/265/291	89	285	8	6	30%	6%	53	-1.5	182/249/283	101	230	13	4	26%	5%	43	-0.7
✕Luis Palacios 2010 · A	21	39	39→40	46→50	36	192/235/276	84	265	7	5	30%	4%	36	-2.7	190/239/268	78	302	5	7	36%	5%	35	-2.8	130/184/163	32	225	0	6	40%	6%	-19	-1.1
✕Brandol Mezquita 2021 · A	20	42→52	37→30	47→50	39	193/264/262	70	322	6	9	39%	7%	46	-2.0	212/274/288	76	357	5	13	39%	6%	56	-1.3	206/268/276	71	352	4	14	40%	6%	48	-0.8