Pascanel Ferreras

SS Sugar Land Space Cowboys
Age 25 R/R 5'7" / 185 lbs AAA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2343ETA2029MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422AA/A+HOU454.223/.321/.35791059—.191/.268/.301
202523AAHOU454.242/.322/.36571166—.216/.280/.317
202624AAA/AAHOU426.294/.369/.45091199—.260/.324/.377
2027PROJ10% MLB25MLBHOU21.222/.287/.33300730.0
2028PROJ35% MLB26MLBHOU88.224/.290/.34012760.0
2029PROJ44% MLB27MLBHOU124.224/.291/.34122770.0
Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$0.2M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Max EV54
Speed53
Chase%43
K%41
Whiff%34
Z-Con%29
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 1.9, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 88%
CompsCorey Joyce (age 25) · Trevor Schwecke (age 26) · Bryan Lavastida (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†73
AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .287 / .333
PA21
HR0
K%29
BB%5
BABIP303
ISO50
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: -0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Arb-1$0.2M———
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.6M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202321 AFayetteville Woodpeckers — 116104 22501 8333 33 212287288575 77296 287 265 22 — — — — — —
202422 AACorpus Christi Hooks — 359314 631166 37986 83 201297331628 131269 2710 286 52 — — — — — —
202422 A+Asheville Tourists — 9581 25303 10244 21 309411457867 148407 2511 392 84 — — — — — —
202523 AACorpus Christi Hooks — 454405 982337 421116 119 242322365688 123316 249 312 66 — — — — — —
202624 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys — 307272 832416 207510 76 305373467840 162397 247 369 105 — — — — — —
202624 AACorpus Christi Hooks — 11999 26503 14252 43 263359404763 141315 2112 338 82 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202321 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 116106 18401 6443 33 170235236471 66261 385 201 22 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 359324 581065 271196 83 179255293548 114262 338 245 52 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 9585 20202 6324 21 235316329645 94350 346 293 84 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 454416 902135 311316 119 216280317598 101301 297 266 66 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLESugar Land Space Cowboys — 307279 772114 149010 76 276333401735 125382 295 323 105 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 119105 23402 10302 43 219299314613 95285 258 289 82 — — — — — —
202321 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 116106 18401 6443 33 170235236471 66274 385 201 22 — — — — — —
202321 A RAWFayetteville Woodpeckers — 116104 22501 8333 33 212287288575 77296 287 265 22 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLE2 teams — 454409 781267 3315110 104 191268301568 110281 337 255 59 — — — — — —
202422 AA RAW2 teams — 454395 881469 4712210 104 223321357678 134297 2710 308 59 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 454416 902135 311316 119 216280317598 101302 297 266 66 — — — — — —
202523 AA RAWCorpus Christi Hooks — 454405 982337 421116 119 242322365688 123316 249 312 66 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLE2 teams — 426384 1012517 2412012 119 263326388714 125359 286 314 98 — — — — — —
202624 AAA RAW2 teams — 426371 1092919 3410012 119 294369450819 156375 238 360 98 — — — — — —
202321 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 116106 18401 6443 33 170235236471 66261 385 201 22 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLE2 teams — 454408 781267 3315110 104 191268301569 110280 337 255 59 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 454414 902135 311316 119 217280319599 101301 297 266 66 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLE2 teams — 426387 1012517 2412012 119 261326385711 124355 286 314 98 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 AA MLE2 teams — 454408 781267 3315110 104 191268301569 110280 337 255 59 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 454414 902135 311316 119 217280319599 101301 297 266 66 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLE2 teams — 426387 1012517 2412012 119 261326385711 124355 286 314 98 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLEHOU 10% 380346 761726 241087 75 219284328612 109298 286 277 73 -12 -1 +0 +4 +8 0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXHOU 10% 2120 4100 160 00 222287333620 111303 295 280 73 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLEHOU 35% 254230 501114 17715 53 221287335622 115297 287 281 76 -7 -0 +0 +3 +6 0.1
202927 MLB MLEHOU 44% 281255 571315 19785 54 221288336624 115296 287 281 77 -8 -1 +0 +3 +6 0.1
203028 MLB MLEHOU 49% 296269 591315 20825 54 221287336623 115295 287 281 76 -8 -1 -1 +3 +6 -0.0
203129 MLB MLEHOU 50% 296269 591315 20825 44 220286333620 114294 287 280 75 -9 -1 -1 +3 +6 -0.1
203230 MLB MLEHOU 51% 294267 581315 20825 34 218285330615 112293 287 278 74 -9 -1 -2 +3 +6 -0.3
202826 MLB CTXHOU 35% 8880 17401 6252 21 224290340630 116302 287 284 76 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
202927 MLB CTXHOU 44% 124113 26612 8352 22 224291341632 117302 286 285 77 -3 -0 +0 +1 +3 0.0
203028 MLB CTXHOU 49% 145131 30712 10403 22 224290340631 117301 287 284 76 -4 -0 -0 +2 +3 -0.0
203129 MLB CTXHOU 50% 148134 30712 10413 22 223289338627 115299 287 283 75 -4 -0 -1 +2 +3 -0.1
203230 MLB CTXHOU 51% 149136 30712 10412 22 221288335622 113298 287 281 74 -5 -0 -1 +2 +3 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 654594 1333149 4418212 109 224291335626 111305 287 283 73 -19 -2 -2 +7 +14 -0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650590 1323149 4418112 109 224291336627 112304 287 283 73 -19 -2 -2 +7 +14 -0.1
Career— MLE — 30812796 6111341647 20390060 6147 219286328614 110303 297 276 73 -48 -4 -4 +17 +35 -0.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650590 12828310 4319013 1310 217285325610 108300 297 276 73 -19 -1 -2 +7 +14 -0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys · 307 PAwOBA .363 → .323 (−40)K% 24.4% → 29.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.43%÷1.000×1.200——29.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.51%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0334.64%
HBP% /PA3.26%—×0.940—×1.0333.16%
Singles /BIP26.40%÷1.000×0.930×1.044×1.03326.47%
Doubles /BIP12.18%÷1.000×0.830×1.044×1.03310.90%
Triples /BIP0.51%÷1.000×0.970×1.044×1.0330.53%
Home runs /BIP3.05%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0332.20%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.

Result: wOBA .363 → .323; ISO .162 → .132; BABIP .397 → .382. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 119 PAwOBA .335 → .289 (−46)K% 21.0% → 25.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.01%÷1.000×1.220——25.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.76%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9988.22%
HBP% /PA1.68%—×0.870—×0.9981.46%
Singles /BIP24.32%÷1.000×0.920×1.011×0.99822.57%
Doubles /BIP6.76%÷1.000×0.840×1.011×0.9985.72%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.940×1.011×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP4.05%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9983.24%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .335 → .289; ISO .141 → .120; BABIP .315 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 454 PAwOBA .304 → .266 (−39)K% 24.4% → 28.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.45%÷1.036×1.220——28.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.25%÷0.948×0.700—×1.0126.91%
HBP% /PA1.32%—×0.870—×1.0121.16%
Singles /BIP22.11%÷0.982×0.920×1.016×1.01221.31%
Doubles /BIP7.82%÷0.930×0.840×1.016×1.0127.27%
Triples /BIP1.02%÷0.949×0.940×1.016×1.0121.04%
Home runs /BIP2.38%÷1.057×0.800—×1.0121.82%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 96, 2B 86, 3B 90, K 107, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .304 → .266; ISO .123 → .105; BABIP .316 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 359 PAwOBA .281 → .245 (−36)K% 27.3% → 33.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.30%÷1.003×1.220——33.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.31%÷0.974×0.700—×1.0277.61%
HBP% /PA1.67%—×0.870—×1.0271.49%
Singles /BIP18.52%÷0.968×0.920×1.000×1.02718.08%
Doubles /BIP5.09%÷0.908×0.840×1.000×1.0274.84%
Triples /BIP2.78%÷0.908×0.940×1.000×1.0272.96%
Home runs /BIP2.78%÷0.970×0.800—×1.0272.35%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 94, 2B 82, 3B 82, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .281 → .245; ISO .131 → .117; BABIP .269 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Asheville Tourists · 95 PAwOBA .382 → .293 (−89)K% 25.3% → 33.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.26%÷0.991×1.310——33.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.53%÷0.977×0.600—×0.9986.45%
HBP% /PA4.21%—×0.770—×0.9983.24%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷0.988×0.870×1.012×0.99829.67%
Doubles /BIP5.26%÷1.079×0.780×1.012×0.9983.84%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850×1.012×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP5.26%÷1.073×0.880—×0.9984.31%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 98, 2B 116, 3B 100, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .382 → .293; ISO .148 → .112; BABIP .407 → .350. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 116 PAwOBA .261 → .201 (−60)K% 28.4% → 38.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.45%÷1.016×1.360——38.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.90%÷0.985×0.690——4.83%
HBP% /PA2.59%—×0.780——2.02%
Singles /BIP22.54%÷0.972×0.920×0.966—20.60%
Doubles /BIP7.04%÷1.000×0.830×0.966—5.65%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×0.966—0.00%
Home runs /BIP1.41%÷0.993×0.800——1.13%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 94, 2B 100, 3B 100, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .261 → .201; ISO .077 → .056; BABIP .296 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).