Pascanel Ferreras

Pascanel FerrerasSS Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 24 R/R 5'7" / 185 lbs AAA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION250 act + 166 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .298 / .323

PA166

HR2

K%29

BB%7

BABIP314

ISO101

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2031	Arb-1	$2M	+0.7	$2M	+$1.0M
2032	Arb-2	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.2M
2033	Arb-3	$2M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$12M	+$8M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	116	107	19	4	0	1	5	45	3	3	3	178	235	243	478	65	290	39	4	204	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	116	104	22	5	0	1	8	33	3	3	3	212	287	288	575	77	296	28	7	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	454	408	80	13	6	7	34	158	10	10	4	196	274	309	583	113	298	35	7	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	454	395	88	14	6	9	47	122	10	10	4	223	321	357	678	134	297	27	10	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	454	415	94	23	3	6	32	133	6	11	9	227	291	340	631	113	318	29	7	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	454	405	98	23	3	7	42	111	6	11	9	242	322	365	688	123	316	24	9	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AAA	HOU	—	250	221	59	13	1	4	17	71	8	8	6	267	341	389	731	122	367	28	7	323	106	+2	-1	+0	+3	+7	1.1
YTD	24	AAA	HOU	—	250	211	67	16	1	5	25	55	8	8	6	318	407	474	880	156	400	22	10	386	154	+15	-1	+0	+3	+7	2.5
ROS	24	AAA	HOU	10%	166	148	33	7	1	2	12	49	4	4	3	222	298	323	620	101	316	29	7	288	79	-4	-0	+0	+2	+5	0.2
ROS	24	MLB	HOU	10%	17	16	3	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	188	235	250	485	62	319	29	6	275	69	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	24	AAA	HOU	—	267	237	62	14	1	4	18	76	8	8	6	262	335	380	714	118	360	28	7	320	103	+1	-1	+0	+3	+8	1.1
TOT	24	AAA	HOU	—	416	369	92	20	2	6	29	120	12	12	9	249	324	362	686	114	346	29	7	309	95	-2	-1	+0	+4	+12	1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	HOU	35%	370	333	76	16	2	6	27	106	7	8	5	228	300	342	642	114	313	29	7	292	82	-8	-0	+0	+4	+10	0.7
2028	26	MLB	HOU	46%	407	366	85	18	2	8	30	115	8	8	6	232	304	358	662	126	311	28	7	296	85	-7	-1	+0	+4	+12	0.8
2029	27	MLB	HOU	50%	420	377	86	18	2	8	32	118	8	8	6	228	302	350	652	122	310	28	8	298	86	-7	-1	+0	+4	+12	0.9
2030	28	MLB	HOU	52%	425	381	87	18	2	8	33	119	8	8	5	228	303	349	652	121	310	28	8	298	86	-7	-0	-1	+5	+12	0.9
2031	29	MLB	HOU	52%	420	376	86	18	2	8	33	119	8	8	5	229	305	351	656	122	309	28	8	296	85	-7	-0	-1	+4	+12	0.7
2032	30	MLB	HOU	52%	414	371	85	18	2	8	32	118	8	7	5	229	304	353	657	124	308	29	8	293	83	-8	-1	-2	+4	+12	0.5
2033	31	MLB	HOU	52%	401	360	81	17	2	7	31	115	7	6	4	225	299	342	641	117	306	29	8	290	80	-9	-0	-3	+4	+11	0.3
2034	32	MLB	HOU	52%	384	344	76	16	2	6	30	112	7	5	4	221	297	331	628	110	303	29	8	284	76	-11	-1	-4	+4	+11	0.0
2035	33	MLB	HOU	52%	355	319	69	14	2	6	27	105	6	4	3	216	290	329	619	113	299	30	8	278	71	-12	-0	-4	+4	+10	-0.3
2027	25	MLB	HOU	35%	129	116	27	6	1	2	9	37	3	3	2	233	305	353	658	121	316	29	7	281	73	-4	-0	+0	+1	+4	0.1
2028	26	MLB	HOU	46%	189	169	39	8	1	4	14	53	4	4	3	231	305	361	666	130	314	28	7	285	77	-5	-0	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2029	27	MLB	HOU	50%	210	188	43	9	1	4	16	59	4	4	3	229	303	351	654	122	313	28	8	287	78	-5	-0	+0	+2	+6	0.3
2030	28	MLB	HOU	52%	221	198	46	10	1	4	17	62	4	4	3	232	306	354	659	121	313	28	8	287	78	-6	-0	-0	+2	+6	0.2
2031	29	MLB	HOU	52%	218	195	45	10	1	4	17	62	4	4	3	231	306	354	659	123	312	28	8	285	77	-6	-0	-1	+2	+6	0.2
2032	30	MLB	HOU	52%	214	191	44	9	1	4	17	61	4	4	2	230	307	351	657	120	311	29	8	283	75	-6	+0	-1	+2	+6	0.1
2033	31	MLB	HOU	52%	207	185	42	9	1	4	16	60	4	3	2	227	302	351	654	124	309	29	8	279	72	-7	-0	-1	+2	+6	-0.0
2034	32	MLB	HOU	52%	198	177	39	8	1	3	15	58	4	3	2	220	296	328	624	107	306	29	8	274	68	-7	-0	-2	+2	+6	-0.2
2035	33	MLB	HOU	52%	183	164	36	7	1	3	14	54	3	2	2	220	293	329	622	110	302	30	8	267	63	-8	-0	-2	+2	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1786	1599	364	77	9	32	136	511	34	31	22	228	302	347	649	119	312	29	8	281	73	-54	-3	-8	+19	+51	0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	133	28	3	12	49	186	12	11	8	229	301	349	650	120	313	29	8	281	73	-20	-1	-3	+7	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	4786	4305	957	200	28	81	358	1412	90	90	62	222	296	338	634	116	309	29	7	285	76	-128	-7	-15	+51	+136	3.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	130	27	4	11	49	192	12	12	8	222	296	338	634	116	309	30	8	285	76	-17	-1	-2	+7	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	116	104	22	5	0	1	8	33	3	3	3	212	287	288	575	77	296	28	7	265	61	-5	-1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2024	22	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	359	314	63	11	6	6	37	98	6	8	3	201	297	331	628	131	269	27	10	286	77	-9	+0	—	—	+10	0.1
2024	22	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	95	81	25	3	0	3	10	24	4	2	1	309	411	457	867	148	407	25	11	392	158	+6	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2025	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	454	405	98	23	3	7	42	111	6	11	9	242	322	365	688	123	316	24	9	312	97	-2	-1	—	—	+13	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,800	33	31	227	298	347	+19	+15	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	12	12	227	298	347	+7.1	+5.5	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Pascanel Ferreras (OGILVIE)	24	40	40	50	40	249/324/362	114	346	6	12	29%	7%	95	+1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bryan Holaday 2012 · AA	24	41	41→45	48→40	40	201/257/296	95	274	9	7	29%	6%	51	-1.7	214/263/302	88	270	7	5	23%	5%	55	-1.4	223/289/353	130	256	14	2	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Luis Santana 2022 · AA	23	39	42→45	47→50	39	198/255/299	101	269	10	10	30%	5%	51	-1.7	211/272/334	123	278	13	9	28%	6%	67	-0.5	201/263/321	120	259	14	7	27%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Rowdey Jordan 2023 · AA	24	43→42	39→45	48→55	45	204/271/295	91	290	6	12	30%	8%	56	-1.3	206/274/333	127	284	14	20	31%	7%	68	-0.5	199/268/331	132	272	16	23	31%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Bobby Stevens 2012 · AA	25	43	41→40	47→50	42	209/281/304	95	283	9	11	28%	6%	64	-0.8	206/259/318	112	293	12	10	33%	5%	57	-1.2	188/228/300	112	272	15	9	36%	3%	37	-1.6
✕Alika Williams 2023 · AAA	24	43→45	41→45	44→45	44	214/271/309	96	275	9	7	25%	6%	60	-1.0	223/277/326	103	287	9	7	24%	6%	67	-0.5	242/291/349	107	304	9	4	22%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA	24	42→36	43→50	48→45	44	203/282/318	115	297	11	7	33%	8%	68	-0.5	193/294/347	154	320	18	5	41%	11%	82	+0.5	177/286/336	158	296	20	3	43%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Jake Lemmerman 2014 · AA	25	43→50	41→45	52→45	47	208/287/310	101	285	9	10	28%	8%	68	-0.5	196/265/303	107	280	10	9	32%	8%	56	-1.3	146/216/244	98	209	10	4	34%	8%	19	-1.6
✕Jack Marder 2014 · AA	24	44	41→45	49→50	41	215/271/313	98	268	9	14	23%	5%	61	-1.0	229/292/341	112	282	10	9	22%	6%	78	+0.2	249/316/370	121	297	12	3	19%	5%	93	+0.6
✕Jake Slaughter 2021 · A	24	46→47	40→50	49→55	41	222/273/317	95	299	8	7	28%	6%	63	-0.9	217/283/342	125	314	14	20	34%	6%	75	-0.0	218/292/378	160	297	20	25	32%	7%	85	+0.5
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	40	39→45	54→50	39	192/262/274	82	303	8	14	37%	7%	48	-1.9	206/305/332	126	296	13	13	32%	10%	82	+0.5	214/316/327	113	306	11	14	30%	10%	82	+0.3
✕Hudson Haskin 2023 · AA	24	46→44	44→40	49→50	42	223/302/343	120	303	11	11	28%	6%	83	+0.6	215/302/318	103	314	9	18	32%	8%	77	+0.1	198/295/280	82	307	7	24	34%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Taylor Grzelakowski 2018 · A	24	43	41→45	50→30	42	210/261/306	96	282	8	8	28%	6%	55	-1.4	214/275/307	93	325	6	3	33%	7%	61	-1.0	207/272/296	89	313	6	1	33%	8%	55	-0.7
✕Vito Friscia 2021 · A	24	43	40→45	49→40	42	208/266/303	94	290	7	5	30%	7%	56	-1.3	208/289/325	117	317	12	4	35%	9%	72	-0.2	195/284/314	119	296	12	2	35%	10%	66	-0.3
✕Luis Vázquez 2023 · AAA	23	42→46	42→50	45	38	210/257/311	101	291	10	11	31%	5%	54	-1.4	229/288/359	130	302	15	9	28%	6%	81	+0.4	232/296/366	134	301	16	8	27%	6%	83	+0.3
✕Michael Guldberg 2023 · AA	24	45	39→45	50→55	45	217/283/304	87	281	7	13	24%	7%	64	-0.8	210/263/305	95	287	8	11	28%	6%	56	-1.3	176/213/260	83	241	8	10	30%	4%	17	-0.9
✕Ivan Jimenez 2016 · AAA	23	45	41→40	46→55	39	219/261/315	95	303	8	10	30%	5%	56	-1.3	247/296/337	90	319	6	15	23%	6%	77	+0.1	283/345/374	90	354	3	18	19%	7%	101	+0.7
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA	24	41→46	42→45	52→60	43	202/263/305	103	271	9	20	28%	7%	56	-1.3	228/286/325	97	313	8	28	28%	7%	70	-0.3	230/291/360	130	317	13	42	30%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Ryan McKenna 2021 · AA	24	43→53	41→50	49→55	43	207/272/310	103	287	8	15	30%	7%	61	-1.0	219/292/355	136	322	15	13	34%	9%	82	+0.5	215/292/352	137	316	16	13	35%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Freddy Zamora 2023 · AA	24	47→51	40	49→50	45	222/290/309	87	298	7	11	27%	8%	69	-0.4	218/290/303	85	301	7	14	28%	8%	67	-0.5	216/292/293	76	294	6	16	26%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Jake Rucker 2023 · AAA	23	43	42→45	48→45	44	207/284/323	116	291	8	12	30%	8%	69	-0.4	205/266/316	111	271	10	9	27%	6%	59	-1.1	194/254/312	118	225	14	9	20%	6%	51	-0.9