Victor Cardoza

OF Clearwater Threshers
Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 181 lbs A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKDSL Phillies …178.333/.390/.56271654—.205/.254/.313
202519ROKPHI174.222/.289/.3423611—.148/.202/.228
202620A/ROKPHI272.277/.340/.3843956—.226/.276/.319
2027PROJMLE21MLBPHI382.196/.244/.2784746-0.7
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBPHI73.203/.253/.3001154-0.3
Next 2 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Speed80
Z-Con%35
Max EV33
Whiff%28
BB%23
K%17
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%
CompsVictor Duarte (age 21) · Daniel Berg (age 21) · Orlando Sandoval (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 162 proj PA
wRC+†46
AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .242 / .276
PA162
HR2
K%28
BB%5
ISO82
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -10.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-10BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.0 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +3.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.70-0.7WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.7-0.32728
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE25
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Phillies Red — 133112 27441 13347 74 241356375731 134333 2610 332 28 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Phillies Red — 178162 541227 12443 164 333390562952 228423 257 414 54 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Phillies — 174158 35813 13552 62 222289342631 120317 327 284 11 — — — — — —
202620 AClearwater Threshers — 226202 531311 17713 93 262329351680 89397 318 305 46 — — — — — —
202620 ROKFCL Phillies — 4640 14012 350 01 350395550945 200333 117 387 108 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Phillies Red — 133116 16220 9407 74 138242190432 52206 307 210 28 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Phillies Red — 178166 34713 8543 164 205254313567 108276 304 248 54 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 174162 24512 9792 62 148202228431 80250 455 184 11 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEClearwater Threshers — 226207 441011 12973 93 213266285551 72369 435 236 46 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 4641 12012 270 01 293326488813 195267 154 328 108 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Phillies Red — 133116 16220 9407 74 138242190432 52208 307 210 28 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Phillies Red — 133112 27441 13347 74 241356375731 134333 2610 332 28 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Phillies Red — 178166 34713 8543 164 205254313567 108284 304 248 54 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL Phillies Red — 178162 541227 12443 164 333390562952 228423 257 414 54 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 174162 24512 9792 62 148202228431 80268 455 184 11 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWFCL Phillies — 174158 35813 13552 62 222289342631 120317 327 284 11 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 272248 551022 141043 94 222272302574 81363 385 252 56 — — — — — —
202620 A RAW2 teams — 272242 671323 20763 94 277340384724 107383 287 319 56 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Phillies Red — 133116 16220 9407 74 138242190432 52206 307 210 28 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Phillies Red — 178165 34713 8543 164 206254315569 109276 304 248 54 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 174161 24512 9792 62 149202230432 81250 455 184 11 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 272253 551022 141043 94 217272296568 79352 385 252 56 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL Phillies Red — 178165 34713 8543 164 206254315569 109276 304 248 54 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 174161 24512 9792 62 149202230432 81250 455 184 11 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 272253 551022 141043 94 217272296568 79352 385 252 56 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLEPHI 0% 382356 701424 191064 72 196244278522 82266 285 236 46 -24 +1 +0 -2 +8 -0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLEPHI 34% 211196 40813 11572 41 202252297549 94268 275 247 54 -12 +0 +0 -1 +5 -0.8
202822 MLB CTXPHI 34% 7368 14301 4201 10 203253300553 97268 275 249 54 -4 +0 +0 -0 +2 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 7368 14301 4201 10 206260294554 88277 275 249 44 -4 +0 +0 -0 +2 -0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650605 1252709 361789 90 207262296557 89278 276 249 44 -36 +2 +0 -4 +14 -2.4
Career— MLE — 11301039 19938812 5937919 4516 192248278526 87285 345 233 44 -22 +1 +0 -2 +8 -1.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650598 1152257 3421811 269 192249281530 89286 345 233 44 -38 +1 +0 -4 +14 -2.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AClearwater Threshers · 226 PAwOBA .298 → .236 (−62)K% 31.4% → 42.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.42%÷1.000×1.360——42.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.52%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0305.35%
HBP% /PA1.33%—×0.780—×1.0301.07%
Singles /BIP29.01%÷1.000×0.920×1.009×1.03027.72%
Doubles /BIP9.92%÷1.000×0.830×1.009×1.0308.56%
Triples /BIP0.76%÷1.000×0.910×1.009×1.0300.72%
Home runs /BIP0.76%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0300.63%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .298 → .236; ISO .089 → .068; BABIP .397 → .369. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKFCL Phillies · 46 PAwOBA .403 → .328 (−75)K% 10.9% → 15.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.87%÷1.000×1.440——15.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.52%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9954.02%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP31.43%÷1.000×0.820—×0.99525.64%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Triples /BIP2.86%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9952.05%
Home runs /BIP5.71%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9954.43%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .403 → .328; ISO .200 → .161; BABIP .333 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Phillies · 174 PAwOBA .279 → .184 (−95)K% 31.6% → 45.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.61%÷1.000×1.440——45.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.47%÷0.928×0.620—×1.0085.03%
HBP% /PA1.15%—×0.720—×1.0080.83%
Singles /BIP22.33%÷1.004×0.820×1.006×1.00818.49%
Doubles /BIP7.77%÷1.015×0.720×1.006×1.0085.58%
Triples /BIP0.97%÷1.150×0.720×1.006×1.0080.62%
Home runs /BIP2.91%÷0.917×0.780—×1.0082.50%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 101, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 100, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .279 → .184; ISO .120 → .077; BABIP .317 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Phillies Red · 178 PAwOBA .401 → .248 (−153)K% 24.7% → 30.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.72%÷0.989×1.220——30.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.18%÷0.983×0.700—×1.0084.43%
HBP% /PA1.69%—×0.700—×1.0081.19%
Singles /BIP27.97%÷0.919×0.680×0.960×1.00820.02%
Doubles /BIP10.17%÷1.013×0.600×0.960×1.0085.83%
Triples /BIP1.69%÷1.071×0.600×0.960×1.0080.92%
Home runs /BIP5.93%÷0.913×0.470—×1.0083.08%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 84, 2B 103, 3B 114, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.

Result: wOBA .401 → .248; ISO .228 → .119; BABIP .423 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Phillies Red · 133 PAwOBA .327 → .210 (−117)K% 25.6% → 30.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.56%÷1.035×1.220——30.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.77%÷1.036×0.700—×1.0226.75%
HBP% /PA5.26%—×0.700—×1.0223.77%
Singles /BIP23.08%÷1.028×0.680×0.950×1.02214.83%
Doubles /BIP5.13%÷1.032×0.600×0.950×1.0222.90%
Triples /BIP5.13%÷0.981×0.600×0.950×1.0223.05%
Home runs /BIP1.28%÷1.046×0.470—×1.0220.59%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 106, 2B 106, 3B 96, K 107, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .327 → .210; ISO .134 → .076; BABIP .333 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).