Victor Cardoza — OGILVIE

Victor CardozaOF Clearwater Threshers

Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 181 lbs A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION272 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .111 / .111

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%5

BABIP304

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	133	112	27	4	4	1	13	34	7	7	4	241	356	375	731	134	333	26	10	332	111	+2	-0	—	—	+3	0.5
2024	18	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	178	162	54	12	2	7	12	44	3	16	4	333	390	562	952	228	423	25	7	414	166	+14	+2	—	—	+4	2.0
2025	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	174	158	35	8	1	3	13	55	2	6	2	222	289	342	631	120	317	32	7	284	79	-4	+0	—	—	+4	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	133	117	19	2	3	1	8	47	7	7	4	162	258	256	514	94	244	35	6	218	34	-10	-0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	178	167	38	7	1	5	7	64	3	16	4	228	271	371	642	144	337	36	4	282	77	-5	+2	—	—	+4	0.1
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	174	162	24	5	1	2	9	79	2	6	2	148	202	228	431	80	248	45	5	183	10	-19	+0	—	—	+4	-1.5
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	133	117	19	2	3	1	8	47	7	7	4	162	258	256	514	94	257	35	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	—	133	112	27	4	4	1	13	34	7	7	4	241	356	375	731	134	333	26	10	332	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	178	167	38	7	1	5	7	64	3	16	4	228	271	371	642	144	337	36	4	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	—	178	162	54	12	2	7	12	44	3	16	4	333	390	562	952	228	423	25	7	414	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	174	162	24	5	1	2	9	79	2	6	2	148	202	228	431	80	268	45	5	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	—	174	158	35	8	1	3	13	55	2	6	2	222	289	342	631	120	317	32	7	284	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	133	117	19	2	3	1	8	47	7	7	4	162	258	256	514	94	244	35	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	178	166	38	7	1	5	7	64	3	16	4	229	271	373	645	145	337	36	4	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	174	161	24	5	1	2	9	79	2	6	2	149	202	230	432	81	248	45	5	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	133	117	19	2	3	1	8	47	7	7	4	162	258	256	514	94	244	35	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	178	166	38	7	1	5	7	64	3	16	4	229	271	373	645	145	337	36	4	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	174	161	24	5	1	2	9	79	2	6	2	149	202	230	432	81	248	45	5	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A MLE	PHI	—	272	248	53	11	1	2	14	108	3	9	4	214	264	290	554	77	359	40	5	249	55	-15	+0	+0	-2	+6	-1.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	PHI	—	46	40	14	0	1	2	3	5	0	0	1	350	395	550	945	200	333	11	7	387	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A RAW	PHI	—	226	202	53	13	1	1	17	71	3	9	3	262	329	351	680	89	397	31	8	305	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A MLE	PHI	0%	9	9	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	111	111	111	222		301	33	0	236	46	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	A MLE	PHI	—	281	257	54	11	1	2	14	111	3	9	4	210	259	284	543	74	351	40	5	249	55	-15	+0	+0	-2	+6	-1.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	313	289	58	11	2	5	17	111	4	7	2	201	255	304	559	104	301	35	5	253	57	-16	+1	+0	-2	+7	-1.1
2028	22	MLB MLE	PHI	48%	410	378	78	15	2	8	24	140	5	9	3	206	263	320	583	114	301	34	6	263	64	-18	+1	+0	-2	+9	-1.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	471	433	91	18	2	10	29	157	6	10	3	210	269	330	599	120	301	33	6	269	68	-18	+1	+0	-3	+10	-1.0
2030	24	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	510	467	99	19	3	11	32	168	6	11	4	212	271	336	607	124	302	33	6	273	71	-18	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.9
2031	25	MLB MLE	PHI	60%	530	485	104	20	3	12	33	174	7	11	4	214	274	342	617	128	302	33	6	274	72	-18	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.9
2032	26	MLB MLE	PHI	58%	540	494	105	20	3	12	34	177	7	11	4	213	273	338	611	126	302	33	6	274	72	-18	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.9
2027	21	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	108	100	21	4	1	2	6	38	1	2	1	210	262	330	592	120	304	35	6	247	57	-6	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.4
2028	22	MLB CTX	PHI	48%	199	183	38	7	1	4	12	68	2	4	1	208	264	322	586	115	304	34	6	258	64	-9	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.5
2029	23	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	255	234	50	10	1	6	16	85	3	5	2	214	273	342	615	128	304	33	6	264	68	-10	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.6
2030	24	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	283	260	56	11	1	7	18	93	3	6	2	215	274	346	620	131	305	33	6	268	71	-10	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.5
2031	25	MLB CTX	PHI	60%	317	290	64	12	2	8	20	104	4	7	2	221	280	359	639	138	305	33	6	269	72	-11	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.5
2032	26	MLB CTX	PHI	58%	313	286	63	12	2	8	20	103	4	7	2	220	281	360	641	140	304	33	6	270	72	-10	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1475	1353	292	56	8	35	92	491	17	31	10	216	274	347	621	131	308	33	6	265	64	-55	+2	+0	-9	+32	-3.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	129	25	4	15	41	216	7	14	4	216	275	347	622	131	309	33	6	265	64	-24	+1	+0	-4	+14	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3268	3001	617	117	20	66	193	1120	47	88	30	206	264	324	588	118	301	34	6	263	64	-106	+4	+0	-17	+60	-5.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	122	23	4	13	38	223	9	18	6	204	262	322	584	117	299	34	6	263	64	-25	+1	+0	-4	+14	-1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.5	1,675	34	36	208	262	326	-10	+0	-3.1	-1.5
/162	664	14	14	-4.0	+0.0	-1.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Victor Cardoza (OGILVIE)	20	25	30	45	25	190/240/276	87	301	2	5	38%	5%	46	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	38	42→40	44→55	39	190/253/289	99	277	10	9	34%	6%	54	-2.0	206/263/300	94	283	6	11	28%	6%	59	-1.6	204/262/298	94	272	5	15	25%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Enger Jimenez 2014 · A	19	34	41→40	47→50	35	176/222/272	96	262	8	9	35%	5%	37	-3.3	206/257/299	93	278	6	10	26%	5%	57	-1.8	216/268/312	96	280	5	12	23%	5%	61	-0.6
✕Didimo Bracho 2017 · A	20	35	37→30	48→60	34	172/222/242	69	271	5	13	37%	5%	30	-3.8	195/244/300	105	293	8	6	34%	5%	52	-2.2	181/230/321	140	251	11	3	32%	5%	48	-0.7
✕Miguel Rodriguez 2007 · A	20	35	37→45	48→45	34	175/223/246	71	263	5	6	34%	4%	32	-3.7	209/264/290	81	278	5	5	25%	5%	57	-1.8	217/275/301	85	280	4	3	23%	5%	63	-0.6
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→40	41→45	48→50	41	200/267/299	99	282	9	10	31%	6%	61	-1.5	203/296/305	102	299	9	8	32%	10%	74	-0.5	186/292/283	98	277	9	10	33%	11%	67	-0.7
✕Rafael Mejia 2018 · A	20	35	42→40	47→50	36	182/227/281	99	253	10	6	32%	5%	41	-3.0	211/251/341	130	301	15	8	34%	4%	65	-1.2	206/233/374	168	276	24	10	35%	2%	61	-0.3
✕Justin Twine 2016 · A	20	35→32	38→40	48→50	29	176/206/253	77	258	5	7	34%	2%	26	-4.0	189/228/265	76	293	5	8	36%	3%	38	-3.2	214/250/302	88	318	6	14	33%	3%	53	-1.2
✕Juan Beltre 2007 · A	21	36	34→30	47→60	34	173/221/220	48	266	2	10	34%	4%	25	-4.1	209/274/272	63	297	3	19	29%	6%	57	-1.8	243/319/291	49	314	2	32	21%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Adonis Paula 2013 · A	19	37	37→40	48→40	35	180/236/252	72	281	4	8	36%	5%	38	-3.2	196/258/274	78	286	4	5	31%	6%	52	-2.2	178/237/252	75	274	4	2	34%	6%	37	-1.1
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/249/281	94	269	8	13	32%	6%	51	-2.3	196/261/274	78	315	7	10	37%	7%	53	-2.1	188/258/263	75	295	9	10	37%	7%	47	-1.2
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2019 · A	20	33	39→40	47→50	40	163/252/248	85	260	6	8	37%	7%	45	-2.7	192/272/290	98	317	8	13	39%	7%	62	-1.4	158/238/238	80	331	8	23	50%	6%	35	-1.2
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→29	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	210/275/314	104	329	8	15	36%	7%	68	-1.0	190/253/306	116	287	12	16	36%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Ronnierd Garcia 2013 · A	20	37	38→45	43→40	36	183/242/259	77	280	7	4	36%	5%	42	-2.9	207/259/301	94	287	7	4	29%	6%	58	-1.7	214/269/322	109	294	9	2	29%	6%	63	-0.6
✕Tyler Whitaker 2023 · A	20	31→41	41→40	50→55	28	154/209/246	91	302	10	11	50%	5%	27	-4.0	168/244/253	85	315	8	14	45%	7%	42	-2.9	162/245/247	86	284	7	18	42%	8%	40	-1.6
✕Carlos Pacheco 2019 · A	20	34	40→45	45→50	40	171/240/260	88	276	8	9	39%	8%	42	-2.9	188/245/276	88	325	7	9	41%	7%	47	-2.5	155/212/245	90	274	9	10	44%	6%	26	-1.3
✕Steven Baron 2011 · A	20	34	37→45	45→50	32	169/209/234	65	278	5	5	40%	4%	24	-4.2	181/220/273	92	260	7	9	32%	4%	36	-3.3	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Jorge Quiterio 2015 · A	20	36	40→45	46→45	39	183/234/269	86	255	8	8	31%	5%	41	-3.0	194/235/279	85	299	6	9	35%	5%	43	-2.8	177/200/259	83	273	6	12	37%	2%	24	-1.1
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	40→37	40	52→50	40	195/254/288	93	274	7	14	31%	6%	53	-2.1	201/272/277	76	304	4	8	32%	8%	58	-1.7	190/273/260	70	294	3	7	33%	10%	51	-1.4
✕Edgar Corcino 2012 · A	20	34→44	40→45	44→45	37	171/230/254	83	267	8	6	37%	6%	37	-3.3	197/252/293	96	298	9	6	35%	6%	53	-2.1	235/281/345	110	297	10	4	23%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Erick Gabo 2015 · A	20	36	37→45	43→55	30	173/212/242	70	297	4	6	42%	4%	26	-4.0	219/277/307	88	325	4	14	32%	6%	66	-1.1	240/303/343	103	353	3	22	30%	5%	82	-0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps