Victor Cardoza — OGILVIE

Victor CardozaOF Clearwater Threshers

Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 181 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION169 act + 112 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .269 / .334

PA112

HR2

K%28

BB%5

BABIP289

ISO115

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	133	117	19	2	3	1	8	46	7	7	4	162	258	256	514	94	254	35	6	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	133	112	27	4	4	1	13	34	7	7	4	241	356	375	731	134	333	26	10	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	178	167	41	7	1	6	7	65	3	16	4	246	288	407	695	162	365	37	4	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	178	162	54	12	2	7	12	44	3	16	4	333	390	562	952	228	423	25	7	414	175	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	174	162	22	5	0	2	9	79	2	6	2	136	191	204	394	68	244	45	5	185	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	174	158	35	8	1	3	13	55	2	6	2	222	289	342	631	120	317	32	7	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	PHI	—	169	151	38	6	1	2	11	53	2	5	4	252	311	344	655	93	360	31	7	280	72	-5	-1	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
YTD	20	A	PHI	—	169	147	45	7	1	2	15	37	2	5	4	306	378	408	786	102	384	22	9	345	122	+4	-1	+0	-1	+5	0.8
ROS	20	A	PHI	0%	112	104	23	4	1	2	6	31	1	3	1	220	269	334	603	115	290	28	5	262	59	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
ROS	20	MLB	PHI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		292	—	—	255	54	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	20	A	PHI	—	169	152	38	6	1	2	11	53	2	5	4	250	311	342	653	92	356	31	7	280	72	-5	-1	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
TOT	20	A	PHI	—	281	255	61	10	2	4	17	84	3	8	5	239	294	340	634	102	330	30	6	273	67	-11	-0	+0	-2	+8	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	PHI	34%	306	282	63	12	2	5	17	80	4	6	2	223	277	333	611	110	289	26	6	273	67	-11	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.4
2028	22	MLB	PHI	48%	405	373	85	16	2	8	24	104	5	7	3	228	284	346	629	118	290	26	6	281	73	-12	+0	+0	-2	+11	-0.3
2029	23	MLB	PHI	54%	467	429	98	18	2	10	29	118	6	9	4	228	287	350	636	121	291	25	6	286	77	-12	+0	+0	-3	+13	-0.2
2030	24	MLB	PHI	55%	507	464	108	20	3	11	32	127	6	9	4	233	291	360	651	127	292	25	6	289	79	-12	+0	+0	-3	+14	-0.0
2031	25	MLB	PHI	60%	528	483	113	21	3	12	34	132	6	10	4	234	293	364	657	130	292	25	6	290	80	-12	+0	+0	-3	+15	0.0
2027	21	MLB	PHI	34%	105	97	22	4	1	2	6	28	1	2	1	227	279	351	629	124	291	27	6	266	62	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2028	22	MLB	PHI	48%	196	180	42	8	1	4	12	50	2	4	1	233	289	356	644	122	292	26	6	274	68	-7	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.2
2029	23	MLB	PHI	54%	253	232	53	10	1	5	16	64	3	5	2	228	287	345	632	116	293	25	6	279	72	-8	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.2
2030	24	MLB	PHI	55%	281	258	59	11	1	6	18	71	3	5	2	229	287	349	636	120	294	25	6	282	74	-8	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.2
2031	25	MLB	PHI	60%	315	288	68	13	2	7	20	79	4	6	2	236	295	368	663	132	294	25	6	283	75	-9	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1150	1056	244	46	6	24	72	292	13	22	8	231	289	354	643	123	295	25	6	279	72	-37	+1	+0	-7	+33	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	138	26	3	14	41	165	7	12	5	231	288	355	643	124	295	25	6	279	72	-21	+0	+0	-4	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	2810	2581	572	105	17	57	166	782	40	73	28	222	279	342	621	120	293	28	6	275	69	-99	+3	+0	-17	+80	-3.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	132	24	4	13	38	181	9	17	6	221	278	340	618	119	293	28	6	275	69	-23	+1	+0	-4	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	133	112	27	4	4	1	13	34	7	7	4	241	356	375	731	134	333	26	10	332	112	+2	-0	—	—	+4	0.6
2024	18	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	178	162	54	12	2	7	12	44	3	16	4	333	390	562	952	228	423	25	7	414	175	+15	+2	—	—	+5	2.2
2025	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	174	158	35	8	1	3	13	55	2	6	2	222	289	342	631	120	317	32	7	284	76	-5	+0	—	—	+5	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#3Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,348	27	25	227	280	346	-8	+0	-1.1	-0.5
	/162	664	13	12	227	280	346	-4.0	+0.0	-0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Victor Cardoza (OGILVIE)	20	25	30	45	25	239/294/340	102	330	4	8	30%	6%	67	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Albert Laboy 2007 · A	20	40→38	38→40	48→45	41	193/236/269	76	242	5	10	22%	5%	34	-2.8	216/262/306	90	258	9	7	19%	5%	55	-1.4	213/261/298	85	248	10	6	18%	5%	51	-0.9
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→34	41→45	48→50	40	199/264/295	96	283	9	10	32%	6%	54	-1.4	202/295/301	99	301	9	8	33%	10%	69	-0.4	182/291/276	94	275	9	10	33%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Enger Jimenez 2015 · A	20	39	40	48→50	38	191/241/288	97	267	7	9	30%	5%	42	-2.3	214/267/304	90	282	5	10	24%	6%	56	-1.3	223/275/315	92	285	5	14	22%	5%	59	-0.5
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	191/251/266	76	262	4	12	28%	6%	40	-2.4	205/277/292	87	289	8	19	29%	8%	59	-1.1	203/290/292	89	267	11	29	26%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Miguel Rodriguez 2007 · A	20	35	37→45	48→45	34	175/223/246	71	263	5	6	34%	4%	23	-3.6	209/264/290	81	278	5	5	25%	5%	52	-1.6	217/275/301	85	280	4	3	23%	5%	58	-0.5
✕Jose Bellorin 2011 · A	20	42	39→40	47→50	42	203/257/285	81	265	6	10	25%	6%	47	-1.9	223/280/308	85	271	6	9	19%	6%	63	-0.8	239/295/316	78	276	6	10	15%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2014 · A	20	39	38→40	47→50	39	189/242/268	78	269	6	5	31%	6%	37	-2.7	186/245/258	72	280	3	6	32%	6%	36	-2.7	147/214/205	58	225	0	6	32%	6%	7	-1.5
✕Rafael Mejia 2018 · A	20	35	42→40	47→50	36	182/227/281	99	253	10	6	32%	5%	33	-2.9	211/251/341	130	301	15	8	34%	4%	60	-1.0	206/233/374	168	276	24	10	35%	2%	56	-0.3
✕Emilio King 2010 · A	20	40	37→45	51→40	43	190/274/270	79	258	4	9	26%	6%	53	-1.5	203/253/290	87	301	6	4	33%	4%	47	-1.9	213/250/309	96	311	7	2	33%	3%	47	-1.0
✕Erick Gonzalez 2011 · A	20	38	34→40	43→50	42	182/243/237	55	268	2	7	31%	7%	29	-3.2	210/295/284	74	272	3	10	22%	10%	64	-0.8	214/322/287	73	261	2	14	16%	13%	74	-0.0
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	39→35	40	52→50	40	193/252/284	91	274	7	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	201/271/278	77	305	4	8	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Jorge Quiterio 2015 · A	20	36	40→45	46→45	39	183/234/269	86	255	8	8	31%	5%	33	-2.9	194/235/279	85	299	6	9	35%	5%	36	-2.7	177/200/259	83	273	6	12	37%	2%	14	-1.1
✕Raul Juarez 2018 · A	20	44	38→45	42→40	40	212/269/287	76	277	6	6	25%	5%	54	-1.4	203/254/282	79	289	6	5	30%	5%	46	-2.0	147/189/214	67	208	8	0	33%	3%	-2	-1.0
✕Yan Olmo 2011 · A	20	40	35→30	47→55	37	189/241/246	57	258	3	9	27%	4%	30	-3.1	212/272/282	70	280	5	13	25%	5%	54	-1.4	218/288/274	56	269	6	23	20%	5%	54	-0.5
✕Felix G. Santana 2014 · A	19	37	36→40	41→50	38	179/237/243	64	263	3	6	32%	5%	29	-3.2	220/276/302	82	293	5	8	25%	5%	60	-1.0	244/300/327	83	318	5	10	23%	4%	73	-0.0
✕Didimo Bracho 2017 · A	20	35	37→30	48→60	34	172/222/242	69	271	5	13	37%	5%	21	-3.7	195/244/300	105	293	8	6	34%	5%	46	-2.0	181/230/321	140	251	11	3	32%	5%	41	-0.6
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→45	47→65	40	207/259/281	74	295	5	11	30%	6%	47	-1.9	190/259/265	75	304	6	15	36%	7%	44	-2.1	192/271/270	78	293	5	32	33%	7%	47	-0.7
✕Stanley Martinez 2017 · A	20	40	38→45	48→50	45	192/266/269	77	269	5	10	29%	8%	48	-1.9	216/284/317	101	292	9	7	27%	7%	68	-0.5	213/282/313	100	281	9	5	26%	7%	65	-0.2
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2011 · A	20	41	40→45	50	42	202/257/291	89	262	7	13	26%	6%	49	-1.8	224/280/353	129	280	13	10	24%	6%	76	+0.0	226/277/353	127	285	14	8	25%	5%	72	-0.1